April 23, 2014 - Women Keep Hickenlooper Ahead In Colorado Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Back Armed Teachers, School Metal Detectors
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Margins of 19 percentage points or more among women, and smaller margins among independent voters keep Colorado's Democratic governor, John Hickenlooper, ahead of possible Republican challengers, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters approve 52 - 39 percent of the job Gov. Hickenlooper is doing and say 47 - 43 percent that he deserves reelection, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Hickenlooper's leads over possible Republican contenders are:
  • 47 - 40 percent, over former U.S. Rep. Tom Tancredo. Men back Tancredo 47 - 42 percent while women go to Hickenlooper 53 - 34 percent. Independent voters go Democratic 44 - 39 percent.
  • 48 - 38 percent over Secretary of State Scott Gessler. Men back Gessler by a slim 44 - 41 percent margin while women back Hickenlooper 55 - 32 percent. Independent voters go Democratic 43 - 36 percent.
  • 48 - 39 percent over former U.S. Rep. Bob Beauprez, with men to Beauprez 46 - 41 percent and women for Hickenlooper 55 - 33 percent. Independent voters go Democratic 45 - 36 percent.
  • 47 - 38 percent over former State Sen. Mike Kopp, with men for Kopp 44 - 40 percent and women for Hickenlooper 54 - 32 percent. Independent voters go Democratic 44 - 36 percent.
"Strong support from women and an edge among independent voters give Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper a solid foothold in his reelection effort," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.

"Meanwhile, the Republican contenders are looking for a handhold to pull themselves up in the Rocky Mountain State."

Colorado voters give Hickenlooper a 51 - 37 percent favorability rating, including 87 - 5 percent among Democrats and 48 - 37 percent among independent voters. Women give the governor a 58 - 30 percent favorability, with men divided 44 - 45 percent. He gets a negative 22 - 67 percent rating from Republicans.

Tancredo gets a split 31 - 30 percent favorability, with 37 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion. Some 65 percent don't know enough about Gessler to form an opinion; 52 percent don't know enough about Beauprez and 77 percent don't know enough about Kopp.

Gun Control

Colorado voters oppose 56 - 39 percent the state's stricter new gun control laws. They support 85 - 14 percent background checks for all gun buyers, but oppose 51 - 45 percent a statewide ban on ammunition magazines that hold more than 15 rounds.

Voters support 50 - 45 percent allowing teachers and school officials to carry guns on school grounds. Men support the measure 59 - 38 percent while women are opposed 51 - 42 percent.

By an overwhelming 74 - 20 percent, voters support metal detectors at school entrances. Support is strong among all groups listed.

Deciding what measure would be most effective in reducing gun violence in schools:
  • 38 percent of voters list metal detectors;
  • 30 percent prefer armed teachers;
  • 21 percent want stricter gun laws.
"In large numbers, Colorado voters want metal detectors in the doorways of schools, and half of voters want teachers and school officials armed in the interest of keeping kids safe," Malloy said.

From April 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,298 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter

1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Tom Tancredo the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Hickenlooper         47%    10%    92%    44%    42%    53%    59%    46%    47%    40%
Tancredo             40     80      4     39     47     34     25     43     42     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      2      1      1      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1      1      2      1      1      2      1      2
DK/NA                 9      7      4     14      7     12     14      8      8      9
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Tom Tancredo the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Hickenlooper         47      48      46      46      42
Tancredo             40      39      41      45      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       3       3       1       3
DK/NA                 9       8       9       8      11
 
 
2. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Scott Gessler the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Hickenlooper         48%    13%    92%    43%    41%    55%    58%    47%    46%    43%
Gessler              38     77      2     36     44     32     22     38     42     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      2      -      -      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      -      2      2      1      1      2      1      1
DK/NA                12      8      5     18     11     12     18     12     10     11
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Scott Gessler the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Hickenlooper         48      46      45      47      42
Gessler              38      40      40      42      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       2       3       1       3
DK/NA                12      10      11      10      13
 
 
3. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Bob Beauprez the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Hickenlooper         48%     9%    93%    45%    41%    55%    58%    46%    47%    43%
Beauprez             39     81      3     36     46     33     25     41     43     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      2      1      1      1      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      -      3      2      1      2      2      1      1
DK/NA                10      7      4     14      9     10     15      9      8      9
 
 
4. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Mike Kopp the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Hickenlooper         47%    10%    91%    44%    40%    54%    53%    46%    46%    42%
Kopp                 38     78      3     36     44     32     29     38     42     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      2      -      -      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      1      3      3      1      1      3      2      2
DK/NA                12     10      5     15     11     12     18     12      8     11
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Mike Kopp the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Hickenlooper         47      47      44
Kopp                 38      38      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       3
DK/NA                12      11      11
 
 
5. Is your opinion of John Hickenlooper favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            51%    22%    87%    48%    44%    58%    56%    51%    51%    47%
Unfavorable          37     67      5     37     45     30     16     38     42     45
Hvn't hrd enough     10     10      8     13      9     11     26     10      5      6
REFUSED               2      1      -      2      2      1      2      1      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of John Hickenlooper favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            51      47      46      49      45
Unfavorable          37      37      43      42      42
Hvn't hrd enough     10      13       9       7      11
REFUSED               2       3       1       2       1
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Tom Tancredo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            31%    49%     9%    34%    39%    23%    13%    34%    35%    36%
Unfavorable          30     15     52     27     33     28     15     28     39     37
Hvn't hrd enough     37     36     38     37     27     48     71     37     25     26
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      2      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Tancredo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            31      25      30      34      32
Unfavorable          30      31      30      30      29
Hvn't hrd enough     37      43      39      34      37
REFUSED               1       2       1       1       1
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Scott Gessler favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            19%    32%     5%    19%    23%    14%    14%    18%    22%    20%
Unfavorable          16      8     31     12     17     15     14     12     20     18
Hvn't hrd enough     65     60     63     68     58     71     71     69     58     61
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      -      2      1      -      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Gessler favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 23  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2013    2013
 
Favorable            19      16      15
Unfavorable          16      15      11
Hvn't hrd enough     65      67      74
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Bob Beauprez favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            27%    48%     8%    25%    33%    20%     9%    30%    32%    30%
Unfavorable          20      7     36     18     18     21     13     16     26     23
Hvn't hrd enough     52     44     54     55     46     58     76     53     40     45
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      3      1      2      2      2      2
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Mike Kopp favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            12%    22%     2%    12%    14%    10%    15%     8%    14%    13%
Unfavorable           9      2     18      8     10      9      6      9     13      8
Hvn't hrd enough     77     74     79     79     75     80     76     81     73     78
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      3      1      1      1
 
 
23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Hickenlooper is handling his job as Governor?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              52%    22%    87%    50%    46%    59%    64%    51%    50%    48%
Disapprove           39     69      8     39     47     31     16     42     43     46
DK/NA                 9      9      6     11      7     11     20      8      7      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Hickenlooper is handling his job as Governor?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              52      52      48      48      47
Disapprove           39      39      46      44      43
DK/NA                 9      10       7       8      10
 
 
24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              34%    11%    56%    38%    31%    38%    45%    34%    31%    32%
Disapprove           51     76     29     47     58     44     30     55     55     53
DK/NA                15     13     15     15     11     19     25     11     13     15
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              34      41      36      37      36
Disapprove           51      47      51      50      49
DK/NA                15      12      13      13      16
 
 
28. Do you feel that John Hickenlooper deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes/Deserves         47%    16%    84%    45%    42%    52%    59%    46%    45%    43%
No/Does not          43     74     10     44     51     35     22     45     47     51
DK/NA                10     10      6     11      7     13     19     10      8      6
 
TREND: Do you feel that John Hickenlooper deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Yes/Deserves         47      45      42      45      45
No/Does not          43      45      49      48      44
DK/NA                10       9       9       7      11
 
 
30. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Colorado today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Very satisfied       10%     5%    19%     8%    10%    10%    12%     9%     9%    11%
Smwht satisfied      44     22     62     46     38     49     56     43     42     35
Smwht dissatisfied   26     38     13     28     28     25     25     27     26     27
Very dissatisfied    20     35      4     18     24     16      7     20     23     26
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      1      -      -      1      -      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Colorado today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Very satisfied       10      11       9      11      10
Smwht satisfied      44      46      44      43      44
Smwht dissatisfied   26      23      26      23      26
Very dissatisfied    20      20      20      23      20
DK/NA                 -       1       1       1       -
 
 
39. Do you support or oppose the stricter new gun control laws in Colorado?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Support              39%    12%    74%    38%    29%    49%    40%    33%    45%    42%
Oppose               56     84     21     58     67     46     55     63     52     51
DK/NA                 5      5      6      4      4      5      5      5      3      7
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose the stricter new gun control laws in Colorado?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 22
                     2014    2014    2013    2013
 
Support              39      43      40      40
Oppose               56      52      55      54
DK/NA                 5       5       4       5
 
 
40. Do you support or oppose requiring background checks for all gun buyers?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Support              85%    75%    97%    85%    78%    91%    89%    84%    84%    83%
Oppose               14     23      2     14     20      8     10     15     14     13
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      1      2      1      1      1      4
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose requiring background checks for all gun buyers?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 22
                     2014    2014    2013    2013
 
Support              85      86      85      82
Oppose               14      13      14      16
DK/NA                 1       1       1       2
 
 
41. Do you support or oppose a statewide ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition magazines that hold more than 15 bullets?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Support              45%    24%    75%    41%    36%    54%    42%    38%    51%    51%
Oppose               51     72     21     54     62     40     49     59     46     46
DK/NA                 4      4      4      4      2      6      9      3      3      3
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose a statewide ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition magazines that hold more than 15 bullets?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 22
                     2014    2014    2013    2013
 
Support              45      50      49      49
Oppose               51      47      48      48
DK/NA                 4       3       3       3
 
 
42. Do you support or oppose allowing teachers and school officials to carry guns on school grounds?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Support              50%    63%    25%    57%    59%    42%    50%    55%    50%    40%
Oppose               45     31     70     38     38     51     44     40     47     52
DK/NA                 5      5      6      5      3      7      6      5      3      8
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose allowing teachers and school officials to carry guns on school grounds?
                     Apr 23  Feb 05
                     2014    2014
 
Support              50      50
Oppose               45      45
DK/NA                 5       5
 
 
43. Do you support or oppose using metal detectors at school entrances?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Support              74%    80%    71%    74%    70%    78%    62%    74%    77%    79%
Oppose               20     16     20     20     24     16     33     19     18     16
DK/NA                 6      4      8      6      6      6      5      7      5      5
 
 
44. Which of these do you think would do more to reduce gun violence in schools, having stricter gun laws, armed teachers in schools, or using metal detectors at school entrances?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Stricter gun laws    21%     6%    42%    17%    18%    24%    21%    18%    25%    21%
Armed teachers       30     45      8     32     38     22     30     33     29     25
Metal detectors      38     38     37     41     32     43     34     38     38     40
DK/NA                11     10     12     10     11     11     14     11      9     14
 
 

Demographic Summary

Additional Crosstabs