April 24, 2014 - Economy, Healthcare Hurt Udall In Colorado Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Sen. Rand Paul Leads 2016 Presidential Pack
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The economy and healthcare, listed by Colorado voters as top issues in this year's U.S. Senate race, could be the mountains which Democratic incumbent Sen. Mark Udall must climb, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Sen. Udall gets 45 percent to 44 percent for U.S. Rep. Cory Gardner, his Republican challenger, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

The gender gap is wide as Udall leads 52 - 35 percent among women while Gardner leads 53 - 38 percent among men. Udall leads among Democrats 90 - 3 percent while Gardner takes Republicans 88 - 7 percent and gets 43 percent of independent voters to Udall's 41 percent.

In an open-ended question, allowing for any answer, 16 percent of voters list the economy or jobs as the most important issue in deciding their U.S. Senate vote, and 14 percent list healthcare. No other issue comes close.

Voters who list the economy back Gardner over Udall 53 - 40 percent and voters who cite health care back the Republican 57 - 36 percent.

Colorado voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 - 37 percent, including 62 - 34 percent among independent voters.

"In a race that is both too close to call and one of the prime targets for Republicans trying to take back the Senate, Colorado Sen. Mark Udall might best focus on one predominant concern - the economy," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.

Voters have a mixed outlook on the economy as 60 percent say the state's economy is "excellent" or "good," while 39 percent say "not so good" or "poor."

At the same time, only 26 percent of voters say the nation's economy is "excellent" or "good," while 73 percent say "not so good" or "poor."

Colorado voters are divided 42 - 42 percent in their approval of the job Udall is doing as a U.S. Senator and say 46 - 40 percent he does not deserve to be reelected.

The incumbent gets a 43 - 38 percent favorability rating, compared to Gardner's 30 - 18 percent score. But 50 percent of voters don't know enough about Gardner to form an opinion.

2016 Presidential Race

U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky is the strongest candidate in Colorado in the 2016 presidential race, topping former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton 48 - 43 percent. There is a huge gender gap as men back the Republican Paul 55 - 35 percent while women go with the Democrat Clinton 50 - 40 percent. Independent voters back Paul 48 - 37 percent.

In other possible matchups:
  • Clinton ties New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie 42 - 42 percent;
  • Clinton leads former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush 45 - 40 percent;
  • Clinton gets 45 percent to former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee's 44 percent.
Paul also has the highest favorability rating, 41 - 30 percent, edging Huckabee's 37 - 30 percent favorability. Clinton gets a divided 48 - 47 percent favorability, with Christie tilting slightly negative at 35 - 38 percent and Bush getting a negative 29 - 40 percent score.

"The road to the White House has many twists and turns, but right now, U.S. Sen. Rand Paul is the man to beat in Colorado," Malloy said.

Colorado voters disapprove 59 - 38 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing. Disapproval is 95 - 5 percent among Republicans and 65 - 32 percent among independent voters, while Democrats approve 83 - 12 percent.

Disapproval is 65 - 32 percent among men and 54 - 44 percent among women.

Voters disapprove 60 - 37 percent of the way President Obama is handling the economy and disapprove 60 - 36 percent of the way he is handling foreign policy.

From April 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,298 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

10. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Cory Gardner the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Udall                45%     7%    90%    41%    38%    52%    56%    43%    43%    42%
Gardner              44     88      3     43     53     35     25     48     47     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      2      -      3      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      2      2      2      1      1      1      2      1
DK/NA                 8      4      6     13      5     11     15      8      6      6
 
                     IMPORTANT ISSUE TO VOTE Q13
                     Economy     HlthCare
 
Udall                40%           36%
Gardner              53            57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -             2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -             -
DK/NA                 6             4
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Mark Udall favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            43%    12%    78%    43%    37%    49%    50%    41%    42%    41%
Unfavorable          38     71      6     36     47     31     17     40     44     47
Hvn't hrd enough     17     16     15     20     15     19     32     18     12     11
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mark Udall favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 24  Feb 06  Nov 20
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Favorable            43      42      44
Unfavorable          38      35      38
Hvn't hrd enough     17      21      17
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
12. Is your opinion of Cory Gardner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            30%    55%    10%    29%    40%    21%    15%    34%    33%    35%
Unfavorable          18      1     38     17     16     21     12     15     23     23
Hvn't hrd enough     50     44     52     52     43     58     72     51     42     41
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      2      1      2      1      2      1
 
 
13. What is the most important issue to you in deciding how to vote for United States Senator this year?
                            Tot
 
Economy(General)            10%
Jobs/Unemployment            5
Economy(Other Specific)      1
 
Class inequality             1
 
Budget(General)              1
Government spending          2
Budget deficit               1
Taxes(General)               1
 
Education(General)           4
Education(Other Specific)    1
 
Gun Issues/Policy/Control    4
 
Healthcare                  14
Immigration Issues           3
Abortion                     2
Women's Issues               1
Social Issues                1
Social Services(General)     1
Elderly Issues               1
Gay marriage/Gay Issues      1
Marijuana                    1
 
Environment                  4
Hydro-fracking               1
Gas/Oil/Energy Issues        1
 
Military Issues/Benefits     1
Foreign policy               1
 
Party/Political Philosophy   5
Caring about people          2
Honesty/Trustworthiness      2
Candidate experience         1
Bipartisan/Cross party lines/
 Coop to get things done     1
 
Other                       11
DK/NA                       14
 
 
14. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              42%     5%    90%    38%    33%    51%    50%    42%    42%    38%
Christie             42     85      5     41     49     36     33     42     45     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      -      4      3      1      1      3      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      3      1      4      6      3      3      6      5      3
DK/NA                 9      5      5     13      9      8     14      7      6      9
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 24  Feb 06  Nov 20  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Clinton              42      43      38      42      41
Christie             42      42      46      43      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       4       3       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5       4       5       4       4
DK/NA                 9       9       9      10       8
 
 
15. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              43%     6%    90%    37%    35%    50%    43%    43%    44%    39%
Paul                 48     87      5     48     55     40     43     50     47     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      2      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      -      3      1      2      2      1      1      3
DK/NA                 7      5      5     10      7      7     12      5      7      6
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 24  Feb 06  Nov 20
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Clinton              43      43      44
Paul                 48      47      47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       2       3
DK/NA                 7       7       5
 
 
16. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                              AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              45%     6%    92%    41%    37%    54%    50%    46%    47%    39%
Bush                 40     86      4     35     45     35     29     41     41     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      5      4      1      2      2      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      4      -      6      6      3      3      5      5      4
DK/NA                 8      4      4     12      8      8     16      6      5      8
 
 
17. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              45%     5%    92%    40%    37%    52%    47%    46%    45%    40%
Huckabee             44     89      3     42     49     38     36     44     44     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      3      3      1      2      1      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      1      4      3      2      3      3      3      2
DK/NA                 7      4      4     10      7      7     13      7      5      6
 
 
18. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            48%    11%    93%    44%    39%    57%    52%    49%    47%    42%
Unfavorable          47     85      5     48     56     38     37     47     48     55
Hvn't hrd enough      3      3      1      5      3      3     10      2      3      1
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      2      2      1      2      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Apr 24  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2014    2013    2013
 
Favorable            48      51      53
Unfavorable          47      44      44
Hvn't hrd enough      3       4       2
REFUSED               2       1       1
 
 
19. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            35%    51%    19%    37%    38%    33%    23%    35%    40%    39%
Unfavorable          38     23     52     35     41     35     25     39     40     42
Hvn't hrd enough     26     24     27     26     19     32     51     23     20     16
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      2      1      1      2      -      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 24  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2014    2013    2013
 
Favorable            35      50      49
Unfavorable          38      22      17
Hvn't hrd enough     26      28      32
REFUSED               1       1       2
 
 
20. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            41%    61%    11%    43%    52%    30%    31%    43%    41%    44%
Unfavorable          30     10     56     28     29     31     27     29     31     32
Hvn't hrd enough     28     28     32     28     18     38     40     28     28     23
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
21. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            29%    53%    13%    24%    33%    25%    16%    28%    31%    38%
Unfavorable          40     15     58     42     41     39     32     43     42     36
Hvn't hrd enough     30     31     27     34     25     36     51     28     26     24
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      2      -      2      1      -      2
 
 
22. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            37%    69%     6%    38%    44%    30%    29%    37%    36%    46%
Unfavorable          30      6     53     28     31     29     20     29     34     31
Hvn't hrd enough     32     24     40     33     24     40     51     32     29     22
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      -      1      -      1
 
 
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              42%    14%    75%    41%    35%    49%    50%    39%    42%    39%
Disapprove           42     71     12     42     52     33     20     44     48     49
DK/NA                16     16     13     17     13     18     30     17      9     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Apr 24  Feb 06  Nov 20  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              42      45      44      47      45
Disapprove           42      41      44      34      31
DK/NA                16      14      12      18      24
 
 
26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bennet is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              36%    23%    56%    34%    33%    38%    34%    31%    41%    39%
Disapprove           37     53     17     38     44     30     26     39     40     36
DK/NA                28     24     27     28     23     32     39     30     19     26
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bennet is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Apr 24  Feb 06  Nov 20  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              36      39      39      42      40
Disapprove           37      36      39      34      31
DK/NA                28      26      23      24      29
 
 
27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              38%     5%    83%    32%    32%    44%    38%    36%    38%    38%
Disapprove           59     95     12     65     65     54     57     62     58     59
DK/NA                 3      -      5      4      4      3      5      2      4      3
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Apr 24  Feb 06  Nov 20  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              38      37      36      41      43
Disapprove           59      59      59      56      54
DK/NA                 3       3       5       4       3
 
 
29. Do you feel that Mark Udall deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes/Deserves         40%    11%    74%    39%    36%    44%    48%    38%    39%    38%
No/Does not          46     76     15     47     55     37     26     49     51     51
DK/NA                14     13     11     15      9     18     25     13     10     11
 
TREND: Do you feel that Mark Udall deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Apr 24  Feb 06  Nov 20  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Yes/Deserves         40      42      41      44      40
No/Does not          46      42      47      36      33
DK/NA                14      16      11      21      27
 
 
31. Would you describe the state of Colorado's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Excellent             4%     2%     7%     4%     4%     4%     4%     5%     4%     3%
Good                 56     46     71     53     60     52     68     56     52     50
Not so good          30     35     16     35     27     32     21     30     31     33
Poor                  9     17      3      8      8     11      7      8     11     12
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      1      1      -      1      1      2
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of Colorado's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Apr 24  Jun 13
                     2014    2013
 
Excellent             4       2
Good                 56      52
Not so good          30      33
Poor                  9      11
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
32. Do you think Colorado's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Better               45%    27%    66%    43%    47%    44%    55%    46%    42%    39%
Worse                13     21      6     11     12     14     10     13     13     14
The same             40     50     25     44     40     40     33     40     43     44
DK/NA                 2      2      3      2      1      3      2      2      2      2
 
TREND: Do you think Colorado's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     Apr 24  Jun 13
                     2014    2013
 
Better               45      47
Worse                13      11
The same             40      42
DK/NA                 2       1
 
 
33. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Very satisfied        1%     -      2%     -      1%     1%     1%     1%     1%     2%
Smwht satisfied      23      7     49     18     17     29     22     24     24     22
Smwht dissatisfied   35     32     35     39     36     35     41     37     33     28
Very dissatisfied    40     60     12     42     46     35     35     39     40     47
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      -      1      1      -      1      1
 
 
34. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              37%     5%    79%    32%    33%    42%    40%    35%    39%    37%
Disapprove           60     95     17     64     65     55     59     62     59     60
DK/NA                 3      -      4      4      2      3      1      3      2      3
 
 
35. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              36%     6%    73%    33%    30%    42%    38%    34%    37%    37%
Disapprove           60     92     21     62     66     54     54     63     60     60
DK/NA                 4      1      6      6      4      5      8      3      4      4
 
 
36. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Excellent             1%     -      3%     -      1%     1%     2%     1%     -      1%
Good                 25      8     53     20     24     27     29     23     26     24
Not so good          42     44     37     46     41     44     41     48     42     38
Poor                 31     47      7     33     34     28     28     29     31     36
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1      -      1      1
 
 
37. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Better               28%    12%    54%    25%    28%    29%    30%    27%    27%    29%
Worse                32     50     12     33     32     32     25     35     32     34
The same             39     38     33     42     40     38     46     38     40     37
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      1      -      -      1      1
 
 
38. Do you support or oppose the health care law passed by Barack Obama and Congress in 2010?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Support              37%     4%    76%    34%    32%    42%    40%    35%    37%    36%
Oppose               59     94     19     62     65     54     56     61     59     59
DK/NA                 4      1      5      4      3      4      3      3      3      5
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose the health care law passed by Barack Obama and Congress in 2010?
                     
                     Apr 24  Feb 06  Nov 20
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Support              37      37      40
Oppose               59      60      56
DK/NA                 4       4       4
 
 

Demographic Summary

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