July 16, 2014 - Colorado Gov Race Tied, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Economy Is Good And Getting Better, Voters Say
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Despite stronger voter optimism about Colorado's economy than found in many states, the race for governor is tied, with 43 percent for Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper and 44 percent for former U.S. Rep. Bob Beauprez, the Republican challenger, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters give Gov. Hickenlooper a split job approval rating, with 48 percent approving and 46 percent disapproving, compared to a 52 - 39 percent approval rating in an April 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Hickenlooper does not deserve reelection, voters say 48 - 42 percent, down from a positive 47 - 43 percent support in April.

The gender gap is wide today as men back Beauprez 48 - 37 percent, while women back Hickenlooper 48- 40 percent. Hickenlooper leads 90 - 4 percent among Democrats, while Beauprez takes Republicans 86 - 7 percent. Independent voters are divided with 41 percent for Beauprez and 40 percent for Hickenlooper.

In another split, 43 percent of voters have a favorable opinion of the governor, with 42 percent unfavorable, down from 51 - 37 percent favorable in April. Beauprez gets a 31 - 25 percent favorability rating, with 43 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion, compared to 52 percent who didn't know enough about him in April.

"Coloradans seem generally optimistic about the future and confidant in the state's economy. But that is certainly not enough to open the way for a smooth ride to reelection for Gov. John Hickenlooper," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.

"Is former U.S. Rep. Bob Beauprez enjoying a bounce after his Republican primary win or is he a real challenge to the Democratic incumbent?"

Only 28 percent of Colorado voters have read or heard anything about Beauprez's 2010 comments about people who don't pay federal income tax. Of that group, 52 percent agree with Beauprez and 40 percent disagree.

Lack of effort is the main reason a person is poor, 44 percent of voters say, while 41 percent cite circumstances beyond a person's control. Poor people have it easy because they can get government benefits without doing anything in return, 52 percent of voters say, while 37 percent say poor people have it hard because government benefits don't go far enough to help them live decently.

Colorado voters give Hickenlooper good grades for character:
  • Voters say 54 - 37 percent that he is honest and trustworthy, compared to 40 - 26 percent for Beauprez;
  • Hickenlooper cares about their needs and problems, voters say 51 - 41 percent, compared to 41 - 29 percent for Beauprez;
  • The governor has strong leadership qualities, voters say 56 - 38 percent, compared to 43 - 25 percent for Beauprez.
The Colorado Economy

In an open-ended question, allowing for any answer, 20 percent of Colorado voters say the economy/jobs is the most important issue in deciding their vote for governor, with 9 percent listing gun issues and 6 percent listing education or education funding.

A total of 64 percent of voters say the state's economy is "excellent" or "good," while 35 percent say "not so good" or "poor." The state's economy is getting better, 49 percent of voters say, while 12 percent say it's getting worse and 38 percent say it's the same.

Colorado's economy is better than it was four years ago, 58 percent of voters say, while 17 percent say it's worse and 23 percent say it's about the same. Looking at their own and their family's finances, 30 percent of voters say they are better off than they were four years ago, with 25 percent saying worse off and 44 percent saying about the same.

On these economic questions, Colorado voters are more positive than voters in most other states surveyed by Quinnipiac University. Only Iowa scored higher rating the economy.

From July 10 - 14, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,147 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Bob Beauprez the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Hickenlooper         43%     7%    90%    40%    37%    48%    45%    42%    46%    39%
Beauprez             44     86      4     41     48     40     36     42     45     51
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      2      2      3      2      5      3      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      1      4      3      2      4      3      2      1
DK/NA                 8      5      4     13      8      8      9     10      5      9
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Bob Beauprez the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 16  Apr 23
                     2014    2014
 
Hickenlooper         43      48
Beauprez             44      39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2
DK/NA                 8      10
 
 
2. Is your opinion of John Hickenlooper favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            43%    17%    80%    41%    36%    50%    43%    43%    47%    40%
Unfavorable          42     71      8     42     48     37     32     43     43     48
Hvn't hrd enough     12     10     11     14     14     11     25     12      8      9
REFUSED               2      2      1      3      2      2      -      2      1      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of John Hickenlooper favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 16  Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            43      51      47      46      49      45
Unfavorable          42      37      37      43      42      42
Hvn't hrd enough     12      10      13       9       7      11
REFUSED               2       2       3       1       2       1
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Bob Beauprez favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            31%    60%     6%    25%    32%    29%    13%    25%    38%    43%
Unfavorable          25      9     47     21     23     26     15     24     31     25
Hvn't hrd enough     43     30     45     52     43     43     71     49     29     29
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      2      1      1      2      2      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Bob Beauprez favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 16  Apr 23
                     2014    2014
 
Favorable            31      27
Unfavorable          25      20
Hvn't hrd enough     43      52
REFUSED               2       2
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Hickenlooper is handling his job as Governor?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              48%    24%    87%    43%    40%    56%    51%    50%    50%    41%
Disapprove           46     72      9     48     53     39     35     45     47     52
DK/NA                 6      4      4      8      7      5     14      5      4      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Hickenlooper is handling his job as Governor?
                     Jul 16  Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              48      52      52      48      48      47
Disapprove           46      39      39      46      44      43
DK/NA                 6       9      10       7       8      10
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              36%    17%    65%    32%    34%    37%    43%    38%    34%    29%
Disapprove           49     66     22     55     55     44     35     50     53     55
DK/NA                15     17     13     13     10     19     22     12     13     16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Jul 16  Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              36      34      41      36      37      36
Disapprove           49      51      47      51      50      49
DK/NA                15      15      12      13      13      16
 
 
21. Do you feel that John Hickenlooper deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes/Deserves         42%    16%    81%    37%    37%    47%    40%    40%    47%    40%
No/Does not          48     78     12     48     52     44     38     49     50     53
DK/NA                10      5      7     14     11      8     21     11      4      7
 
TREND: Do you feel that John Hickenlooper deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Jul 16  Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Yes/Deserves         42      47      45      42      45      45
No/Does not          48      43      45      49      48      44
DK/NA                10      10       9       9       7      11
 
 
23. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Colorado today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Very satisfied       12%     5%    27%     8%    13%    12%    20%    12%     9%    13%
Smwht satisfied      41     22     59     43     37     44     45     42     42     32
Smwht dissatisfied   25     38      9     26     26     24     26     25     23     29
Very dissatisfied    21     35      4     23     24     19      9     21     26     25
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -      2
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Colorado today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Jul 16  Apr 23  Feb 05  Nov 19  Aug 23  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Very satisfied       12      10      11       9      11      10
Smwht satisfied      41      44      46      44      43      44
Smwht dissatisfied   25      26      23      26      23      26
Very dissatisfied    21      20      20      20      23      20
DK/NA                 -       -       1       1       1       -
 
 
24. What is the most important issue to you in deciding how to vote for Governor this year?
                            Tot
 
Economy Total               20%
 Economy(General)           12
 Jobs/Unemployment           7
 Economy(Other Specific)     1
 
Budget Total                 3%
 Budget(General)             2
 Government spending         1
 
Taxes                        2
 
Education Total              6%
 Education(General)          5
 Funding/Spending education  1
 
Environment                  4
Hydro-fracking               3
Gas/Oil/Energy Issues        3
 
Gun Issues/Policy/Control    9
Immigration Issues           4
Healthcare                   3
Marijuana                    3
Women's Issues               2
Gay marriage/Gay Issues      2
Social Issues                1
Crime                        1
Abortion                     1
Personal freedom/liberty     1
Roads/Traffic/Infrastructure 1
 
Party/Political Philosophy   3
Honesty/Trustworthiness      3
Caring about people          1
Strong/Capable leader        1
Replace Governor             1
 
Other                       11
DK/NA                       11
 
 
25. Would you say that Bob Beauprez - is honest and trustworthy or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  40%    67%    19%    35%    41%    39%    30%    33%    44%    52%
No                   26     12     39     27     26     25     23     31     25     19
DK/NA                35     21     42     39     33     36     47     35     31     28
 
 
26. Would you say that Bob Beauprez - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  41%    69%    17%    38%    43%    39%    41%    35%    43%    48%
No                   29     10     54     26     27     31     14     32     35     28
DK/NA                30     21     29     36     30     30     45     33     21     24
 
 
27. Would you say that Bob Beauprez - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  43%    66%    22%    41%    45%    42%    42%    38%    47%    47%
No                   25     14     45     20     25     26     12     28     28     27
DK/NA                32     20     33     39     30     33     47     33     24     26
 
 
28. Would you say that John Hickenlooper - is honest and trustworthy or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  54%    34%    83%    50%    49%    59%    54%    54%    56%    53%
No                   37     58     12     39     41     34     31     39     38     36
DK/NA                 8      8      6     11     10      7     15      7      6     11
 
TREND: Would you say that John Hickenlooper is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     Jul 16  Feb 05  Aug 23
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Yes                  54      59      56
No                   37      31      35
DK/NA                 8      10       9
 
 
29. Would you say that John Hickenlooper - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  51%    30%    83%    48%    47%    56%    52%    50%    53%    50%
No                   41     65     12     43     46     37     25     45     44     44
DK/NA                 7      6      5      9      8      7     22      4      3      6
 
TREND: Would you say that John Hickenlooper cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Jul 16  Feb 05  Aug 23
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Yes                  51      54      50
No                   41      39      44
DK/NA                 7       7       6
 
 
30. Would you say that John Hickenlooper - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  56%    38%    82%    54%    51%    61%    65%    55%    58%    49%
No                   38     58     12     39     42     34     20     41     38     46
DK/NA                 6      4      6      7      7      5     15      5      4      5
 
TREND: Would you say that John Hickenlooper has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Jul 16  Feb 05  Aug 23
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Yes                  56      60      57
No                   38      34      38
DK/NA                 6       6       6
 
 
31. Would you describe the state of Colorado's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Excellent             6%     3%    10%     5%     6%     6%     5%     7%     5%     6%
Good                 58     48     71     56     62     54     71     63     52     48
Not so good          27     39     14     28     25     30     22     24     31     32
Poor                  8      8      4     10      7      9      1      6     10     12
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      -      1      -      -      1      2
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of Colorado's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Jul 16  Apr 24  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Excellent             6       4       2
Good                 58      56      52
Not so good          27      30      33
Poor                  8       9      11
DK/NA                 1       1       1
 
 
32a. (If economy excellent/good q31) How much credit do you give Governor Hickenlooper for the state of Colorado's economy; a lot, some, not much, or none at all?
                     Economy Excellent/Good Q31
 
A lot                18%
Some                 54
Not much             20
None at all           6
DK/NA                 2
 
 
32b. (If economy not so good/poor q31) How much blame do you give Governor Hickenlooper for the state of Colorado's economy; a lot, some, not much, or none at all?
                     Economy Not so good/Poor Q31
 
A lot                26%
Some                 51
Not much             15
None at all           8
DK/NA                 1
 
 
33. Do you think Colorado's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Better               49%    32%    73%    47%    49%    49%    57%    51%    49%    42%
Worse                12     18      5     10      9     15     14     10     13     13
The same             38     50     21     42     42     35     29     39     37     44
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      -      1      -      -      1      2
 
TREND: Do you think Colorado's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     Jul 16  Apr 24  Jun 13
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Better               49      45      47
Worse                12      13      11
The same             38      40      42
DK/NA                 1       2       1
 
 
34. Compared with four years ago, do you think Colorado's economy is better today, worse today, or about the same?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Better               58%    45%    78%    56%    58%    58%    60%    65%    56%    46%
Worse                17     25      7     17     16     18     14     14     19     21
About the same       23     28     12     25     24     21     22     18     24     29
DK/NA                 3      3      2      3      2      3      4      3      1      3
 
 
35. Compared with four years ago, are you and your family financially better off today, worse off today, or about the same?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Better off           30%    19%    45%    29%    35%    26%    35%    42%    25%    14%
Worse off            25     30     14     28     22     28     24     23     26     26
About the same       44     49     39     42     43     45     38     34     48     59
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      1      2      3      1      1      1
 
 
36. Have you heard or read anything about Bob Beauprez's comments in 2010 about people who don't pay federal income tax?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  28%    29%    29%    26%    30%    27%    12%    22%    38%    37%
No                   69     69     68     72     69     69     85     75     60     58
DK/NA                 3      2      3      3      1      4      3      2      2      5
 
 
37. (If heard or read q36) In general, do you agree or disagree with Beauprez's comments?
                     Heard/Read Q36
 
Agree                52%
Disagree             40
DK/NA                 8
 
 
57. In your opinion, which is generally more often to blame if a person is poor, lack of effort on his or her own part or circumstances beyond his or her control?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Lack of effort       44%    64%    25%    41%    52%    36%    46%    48%    42%    37%
Beyond control       41     26     61     40     35     47     44     40     40     45
DK/NA                15     10     15     19     14     16     10     12     18     18
 
 
58. Please tell me which statement comes closer to your own views, even if neither is exactly right: Poor people today have it easy because they can get government benefits without doing anything in return. Poor people today have it hard because government benefits don't go far enough to help them live decently.
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Easy                 52%    82%    23%    49%    58%    46%    51%    53%    49%    55%
Hard                 37     11     64     39     32     42     40     37     39     34
DK/NA                11      7     12     12     10     12      9     11     12     11
 
 

Demographic Summary

Additional Crosstabs