March 27, 2008 - Independent Voters Give Obama Huge Connecticut Lead, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Clinton By A Nose Over McCain

Word format

With strong support from young and independent voters, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama leads Arizona Sen. John McCain 52 - 35 percent in Connecticut, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. These same voters do not give New York Sen. Hillary Clinton as much support in her 45 - 42 percent lead over Sen. McCain.

In the Obama-McCain matchup, independent voters support the Democrat 45 - 38 percent, while voters under 45 years old back him 63 - 30 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pe-ack) University poll finds. White voters back Obama 48 - 39 percent while black voters back him 91 - 5 percent.

When Clinton faces McCain, independent voters go to the Republican 48 - 36 percent, while young voters back her 50 - 39 percent. Men back McCain 52 - 37 percent, while women back Clinton 53 - 33 percent.

Connecticut voters split 46 - 47 percent in their favorable/unfavorable opinion of Clinton. Obama gets a 59 - 24 percent favorability. McCain gets a 52 - 31 percent score.

"Sen. Barack Obama has argued that he is more electable than Sen. Hillary Clinton because of his appeal to independent voters. And in Connecticut that is what we are finding. Independent voters, especially independent men, make the difference in Connecticut," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D.

"Obama wins a huge 73 percent of voters under 35, but will they show up on Election Day? Historically, they haven't turned out."

The economy is the single most important issue in their presidential vote, 47 percent of Connecticut voters say, followed by 25 percent who list the war in Iraq and 11 percent who list health care. Voters split on the most important quality they want in a candidate, with 29 percent looking for a strong leader and 28 percent looking for someone trustworthy.

The U.S. economy is in a recession, voters say 74 - 21 percent. If Obama is elected, the economy will get better, voters say 40 - 16 percent, while 35 percent say it won't change. If Clinton is elected, voters say 36 - 20 percent the economy will get better, with 36 percent saying it won't change. If McCain wins, voters say 25 - 20 percent the economy will get worse, while 47 percent say it won't change.

Obama would be a good president, voters say 56 - 28 percent, as 31 percent of his backers cite fresh ideas and 19 percent cite his intelligence. The main reason he would not be a good president, 69 percent of detractors say, is that he is not knowledgeable or experienced.

Clinton would be a good president, voters say 49 - 43 percent, with 48 percent of backers citing experience and 27 percent who say she is knowledgeable or intelligent. Her weakest points are President Bill Clinton and past controversies, 26 percent of detractors say, while 25 percent say she is dishonest.

McCain would be a good president, voters say 51 - 35 percent, as 48 percent cite his experience and 22 percent point to his military background. His stand on the war in Iraq is his weakest point, 53 percent say, while 29 percent cite his loyalty to the Republican Party and President George W. Bush.

Bush, Dodd Approval

Connecticut voters disapprove 76 - 20 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing, his lowest approval in any Quinnipiac University poll in any state. U.S. Sen. Christopher Dodd's 51 - 28 percent approval also is his lowest ever.

"Sen. Dodd's approval declined steadily as he ran for President. Perhaps his numbers will come back up again, now that he is home from the campaign trail. We will keep an eye on Dodd. He is up for reelection in 2010 and no incumbent wants to start a reelection campaign with numbers that low," Dr. Schwartz said.

From March 19 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,697 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Clinton                 45%      6%     78%     36%     37%     53%     42%     74%
McCain                  42      91      10      48      52      33      47       9
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       -       3       2       2       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       1       2       5       3       4       2      12
DK/NA                    8       2       7       9       6       9       7       3
 
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Mar 27  Nov 8   May 10  Feb 19
                        2008    2007    2007    2007
 
Clinton                 45      47      47      48
McCain                  42      41      40      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       3       3       2
DK/NA                    8       7       9       9
 
 
2. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Obama                   52%     14%     82%     45%     47%     57%     48%     91%
McCain                  35      81      10      38      42      29      39       5
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       -       2       2       1       1       2       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       -       2       4       2       3       3       2
DK/NA                    9       4       5      12       7      10       9       2
 
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Mar 27  May 10  Feb 19
                        2008    2007    2007
 
Obama                   52      46      43
McCain                  35      38      38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       3       2
DK/NA                    9      12      15
 
 
3. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               46%     12%     71%     38%     36%     54%     44%     62%
Unfavorable             47      82      22      52      56      38      50      23
Hvn't hrd enough         5       3       5       7       6       5       4      12
REFUSED                  2       2       2       2       1       3       2       2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                        Mar 27  Nov 8   May 10  Feb 19
                        2008    2007    2007    2007
 
Favorable               46      48      49      53
Unfavorable             47      39      42      36
Hvn't hrd enough         5      10       7       8
REFUSED                  2       4       2       3
 
 
4. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               59%     35%     75%     56%     55%     63%     56%     84%
Unfavorable             24      45      12      25      29      20      26       6
Hvn't hrd enough        15      17      12      16      15      15      15      11
REFUSED                  2       2       2       2       2       2       2       -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        Mar 27  May 10  Feb 19
                        2008    2007    2007
 
Favorable               59      51      48
Unfavorable             24      15      10
Hvn't hrd enough        15      32      40
REFUSED                  2       1       2
 
 
5. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               52%     86%     30%     56%     61%     43%     57%     20%
Unfavorable             31       4      52      27      25      37      28      60
Hvn't hrd enough        14      10      15      14      11      17      13      18
REFUSED                  3       1       3       3       3       3       3       2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        Mar 27  May 10  Feb 19
                        2008    2007    2007
 
Favorable               52      48      52
Unfavorable             31      28      22
Hvn't hrd enough        14      22      22
REFUSED                  3       2       4
 
 
6. Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     49%     13%     75%     43%     40%     57%     47%     67%
No                      43      83      19      46      52      35      46      24
DK/NA                    8       4       6      11       7       9       8       9
 
 
7. (If "YES" Q6)(Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) What are the main reasons you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President?
                        CLINTON WOULD MAKE GOOD PRESIDENT Q6
                        Tot     Men     Wom
 
Experienced             48%     52%     46%
 
Knowledgeable/
 Intelligent            27      23      29
 
Good leader/strong      14      14      15
 
Bill Clinton            15      15      15
 
Would be first
 woman president        13       9      15
 
Good job as senator/
 Good track record      12      14      11
 
Strong beliefs/Stands
 up for what she
 believes in            11       9      12
 
Agree on issues         10       8      10
 
Healthcare issue         9       6      11
 
Stand on War/Military    7       5       7
 
Compassionate/Caring     5       4       5
 
Good judgment/Decisions  5       6       4
 
Stand on Economy         3       2       4
 
Honest/Integrity         2       3       2
 
Charismatic/Gd speaker   2       1       2
 
Liberal                  2       1       2
 
Just like her            4       4       3
Nothing in particular   17      18      16
 
 
8. (If "NO" Q6)(Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) What are the main reasons you think Hillary Clinton would not make a good President?
                        CLINTON WOULD NOT MAKE GOOD PRESIDENT Q6
                        Tot     Men     Wom
 
Bill Clinton/Past
 controversies          26%     24%     29%
 
Dishonest/Lacks
 integrity              25      25      25
 
Not knowledgeable/
 Not qualified/Lacks
 experience             21      19      22
 
Disagree on issues      12      13      11
 
Power hungry            12      14      10
 
Too liberal             10      12       7
 
Wishy-washy/Changes
 mind too much          10      11       9
 
Stand on War/Military    5       7       4
 
Too rigid/Inflexible/
 Close minded            4       4       3
 
Woman should not
 be president            3       2       4
 
Stand on Economy         3       4       2
 
Too loyal to
 Democratic party        2       3       1
 
Not liberal enough       1       -       2
Stand on Immigration     1       1       1
Stand on Terrorism       1       1       -
 
Just don't like her     19      14      24
Nothing in particular   22      23      20
 
 
9. Do you think John McCain would make a good President or not?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     51%     87%     30%     54%     60%     42%     55%     19%
No                      35       5      56      30      27      41      32      64
DK/NA                   14       8      14      16      12      16      13      17
 
 
10. (If "YES" Q9) (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) What are the main reasons you think John McCain would make a good President?
                        MCCAIN WOULD MAKE GOOD PRESIDENT Q9
                        Tot     Men     Wom
 
Experienced/
 Qualified/Long
 service in senate      48%     47%     50%
 
Military background/
 Veteran                22      23      19
 
Knowledgeable/
 Intelligent            18      16      20
 
Honest/Integrity        15      14      17
 
Good leader/strong      14      14      15
 
Stand on War/Military   12      12      11
 
Strong beliefs/Stands
 up for what he
 believes in             9       9      10
 
Agree on issues          7       6       7
 
Good job as senator/
 Good track record       6       6       6
 
Moderate/Independent-
 minded                  5       6       3
 
Conservative             4       4       3
 
Stand on Economy         4       6       3
 
Good judgment/Decisions  3       3       4
 
Charismatic/Gd speaker   2       2       2
 
Stand on Terrorism       2       3       1
 
Compassionate/Caring     1       1       3
Stand on Immigration     1       2       -
 
Just like him            6       6       7
Nothing in particular   16      17      15
 
 
11.(If "NO" Q9) (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) What are the main reasons you think John McCain would not make a good President?
                        MCCAIN WOULD NOT MAKE GOOD PRESIDENT Q9
                        Tot     Men     Wom
 
Stand on War/Military   53%     56%     52%
 
Too loyal to Rep party/
 George W Bush          29      30      28
 
Too old                 19      17      20
 
Stand on Economy        14      15      14
 
Disagree on issues      14      10      16
 
Too rigid/Inflexible/
 Close minded            6      11       4
 
Not knowledgeable/
 Not qualified/Lacks
 experience              5       4       5
 
Hot headed/bad temper    5       5       5
 
Dishonest/Lacks
 integrity               3       2       3
 
Wishy-washy/Changes
 mind too much           3       4       3
 
Power hungry             2       3       1
 
Not conservative/Too
 liberal                 2       4       1
 
Stand on Immigration     2       3       1
 
Stand on Terrorism       2       1       2
 
Too moderate/
 Independent minded      1       1       -
 
Just don't like him      5       6       5
Nothing in particular   22      23      22
 
 
12. Do you think Barack Obama would make a good President or not?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     56%     28%     75%     53%     52%     59%     52%     88%
No                      28      56      16      27      33      25      31       8
DK/NA                   16      16      10      20      15      16      17       4
 
 
13.(If "YES" Q12) (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) What are the main reasons you think Barack Obama would make a good President?
                        OBAMA WOULD MAKE GOOD PRESIDENT Q12
                        Tot     Men     Wom
 
Young/New/Fresh ideas   31%     33%     29%
 
Knowledgeable/
 Intelligent            19      19      18
 
Charismatic/Gd speaker  15      19      12
 
Good leader/strong      13      14      13
 
Agree on issues         12       9      15
 
Honest/Integrity        12      13      12
 
Stand on War/Military   12       9      14
 
Compassionate/Caring    10       8      11
 
Strong beliefs/Stands
 up for what he
 believes in             8       8       9
 
Able to unite people     6       4       7
 
Stand on Economy         5       4       6
 
Good judgment/Decisions  5       4       6
 
Experienced/Qualified/
 Service in senate       3       4       2
 
Good to have a
 black president         3       3       4
 
Loyal to Dem party       3       3       3
 
Moderate/Independent-
 minded                  3       4       3
 
Good job as senator/
 Good track record       2       2       2
 
Not been in office
 long enough to be
 corrupted               2       2       2
 
Just like him            7       6       9
Nothing in particular   17      17      16
 
 
14.(If "NO" Q12) (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) What are the main reasons you think Barack Obama would not make a good President?
                        OBAMA WOULD NOT MAKE GOOD PRESIDENT Q12
                        Tot     Men     Wom
 
Not knowledgeable/
 Not qualified/
 Lacks experience       69%     67%     71%
 
Too liberal             11      15       6
 
Disagree on issues       9       9       8
 
Rev. Wright/Church       9      11       7
 
Not American/
 Muslim/Islamic ties     8       8       9
 
Wishy-washy/Changes
 mind too much           6       4      10
 
Dishonest/Lacks
 integrity               6       7       5
 
Stand on War/Military    6       7       6
 
Racial Motivations       5       4       5
 
All talk/No substance    4       5       4
 
Too rigid/Inflexible/
 Close minded            2       3       -
 
Stand on Terrorism       2       2       2
 
Too moderate/Independent
 minded                  1       1       1
Power hungry             1       1       1
Too loyal to Dem party   1       2       -
Stand on Economy         1       2       1
Stand on Immigration     1       1       1
 
Just don't like him      7       4      10
Nothing in particular   18      17      19
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling her job as Governor?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Approve                 76%     81%     74%     77%     73%     79%     78%     70%
Disapprove              13      13      13      13      17      10      12      14
DK/NA                   10       6      14       9      10      11      10      16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling her job as Governor?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Mar 27  Nov 7   May 9   Feb 15  Aug 17  Jan 13  May 9
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2006    2005    2007
 
Approve                 76      77      69      72      73      83      69
Disapprove              13      14      22      20      15       3      22
DK/NA                   10       9       9       8      12      14       9
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Approve                 52%     77%     39%     51%     55%     49%     54%     36%
Disapprove              35      13      47      35      35      36      33      48
DK/NA                   13      11      14      14      10      16      13      16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               Highest Lowest
                                                               Approve Approve
                        Mar 27  Nov 8  May 10  Feb 19  Aug 17  Sep 21  Jul 31
                        2008    2007   2007    2007    2006    2000    2003
 
Approve                 52      52     53      52      55      80      51
Disapprove              35      38     39      40      40      14      33
DK/NA                   13       9      8       7       6       6      17
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Dodd is handling his job as United States Senator?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Approve                 51%     34%     65%     48%     50%     53%     50%     62%
Disapprove              28      47      15      30      35      21      30       7
DK/NA                   21      19      20      23      15      26      21      31
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Dodd is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Mar 27  Nov 8   May 10  Feb 19  Aug 17  Apr 19  Mar 27
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2006    2001    2008
 
Approve                 51      55      60      60      57      71      51
Disapprove              28      31      26      25      27      16      28
DK/NA                   21      15      14      15      16      13      21
 
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Approve                 20%     56%      5%     18%     25%     16%     21%      8%
Disapprove              76      37      94      78      71      80      75      88
DK/NA                    4       7       2       4       5       4       4       4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Mar 27  Nov 8   May 10  Feb 19  Aug 17  Dec 19  Mar 27
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2006    2001    2008
 
Approve                 20      24      24      24      29      87      20
Disapprove              76      71      72      72      67      10      76
DK/NA                    4       5       4       5       4       2       4
 
 
19. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Very satisfied           6%      8%      6%      6%      7%      5%      6%      8%
Smwht satisfied         48      55      50      44      49      47      49      47
Smwht dissatisfied      30      26      29      34      29      32      30      28
Very dissatisfied       14      10      15      15      14      15      15      14
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       1       1       1       3
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                        Mar 27  Nov 7   Jun 8   May 2   Feb 16  Jan 12  Jul 27
                        2008    2007    2006    2006    2006    2006    2005
 
Very Satisfied           6       6       8       7       7       7       6
Smwht Satisfied         48      57      54      53      61      59      60
Smwht Dissatisfied      30      24      25      29      22      23      25
Very Dissatisfied       14      10      12      11       9      10       8
DK/NA                    1       1       1       -       -       1       1
 
 
20. Which is more important in your vote for president in the general election in November - the candidates' positions on the issues or the candidates' leadership and personal qualities?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Positions on issues     57%     58%     61%     53%     54%     60%     57%     63%
Leadership and
 personal qualities     37      37      35      40      41      34      38      31
DK/NA                    6       5       3       6       5       6       5       6
 
 
21. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (Read options)
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Terrorism                8%     22%      1%      7%     10%      6%      8%      1%
The war in Iraq         25      18      32      21      22      27      24      31
The economy             47      41      48      49      47      46      47      49
Illegal immigration      6       9       1       9       7       5       6       -
Health care             11       8      15      10      10      13      11       7
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      1       1       1       1       1       1       1       3
DK/NA                    2       2       1       4       3       2       2       9
 
 
22. When you decide how to vote for president, which of the following is the single most important quality you look for in a candidate? (Read options)
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Trustworthy             28%     26%     26%     30%     28%     28%     28%     27%
Shares your values      18      20      19      16      20      15      19      11
A strong leader         29      30      31      28      28      31      29      35
Experienced             17      21      15      18      14      20      17      12
Inspiring                5       1       7       6       7       4       5       7
DK/NA                    3       2       2       3       2       3       2       8
 
 
23. All other things being equal, would you - rather vote for a man, rather vote for a woman or wouldn't a presidential candidate's gender make a difference to you?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Man                     11%     19%      6%     11%     11%     10%     11%     12%
Woman                    6       1       9       4       3       8       5       5
Wouldn't make a diff    83      79      85      85      85      81      83      82
DK/NA                    1       1       1       -       1       1       1       -
 
 
24. Do you think most people you know would vote for a presidential candidate who is a woman, or not?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     56%     49%     59%     57%     58%     54%     56%     59%
No                      29      33      28      27      27      30      28      20
DK/NA                   16      18      13      15      16      16      15      21
 
 
25. Do you think America is ready to elect a woman president, or not?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     70%     60%     76%     71%     74%     66%     69%     70%
No                      25      33      20      24      22      27      26      25
DK/NA                    5       7       4       5       4       6       5       5
 
 
26. All other things being equal, would you - rather vote for a black candidate, rather vote for a white candidate or wouldn't a presidential candidate's race make a difference to you?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Black candidate          1%      1%      2%      1%      1%      2%      1%      2%
White candidate          3       6       3       2       4       3       4       3
Wouldn't make a diff    94      92      94      96      94      94      94      96
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       1       1       1       -
 
 
27. Do you think most people you know would vote for a presidential candidate who is black, or not?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     63%     58%     65%     66%     61%     65%     64%     61%
No                      20      22      20      17      21      18      19      24
DK/NA                   17      20      15      17      18      17      18      15
 
 
28. Do you think America is ready to elect a black president, or not?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     69%     64%     71%     70%     68%     70%     69%     67%
No                      22      28      20      20      23      21      22      22
DK/NA                    9       8       9       9       9       9       9      11
 
 
29. In presidential politics today, who do you think faces more obstacles - a black candidate or a woman candidate?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Black candidate         43%     47%     46%     40%     48%     39%     41%     69%
Woman candidate         38      35      37      40      32      43      40      15
DK/NA                   19      19      17      20      20      19      19      17
 
 
30. How worried are you about your family's financial situation over the next year? Very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Very worried            26%     15%     30%     27%     18%     33%     23%     40%
Smwht worried           41      37      41      42      41      40      42      37
Not too worried         22      28      22      21      27      19      24      11
Not at all worried      11      20       7       9      14       8      10      13
DK/NA                    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -
 
 
31. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as - Excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Excellent                -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -
Good                    11      28       6       7      14       7      11       8
Not so good             43      50      39      44      45      41      44      31
Poor                    45      20      54      49      40      50      44      59
DK/NA                    1       1       1       -       -       1       1       2
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as - Excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                        Mar 27  Sep 30  Aug 19  Dec 20  Apr 23
                        2008    2004    2004    2001    2001
 
Excellent                -       1       1       1       4
Good                    11      36      36      31      57
Not so good             43      45      44      54      34
Poor                    45      18      18      13       5
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       -
 
 
32. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Getting ahead           12%     18%     10%     12%     15%      9%     11%     18%
Falling behind          19      13      21      18      15      22      18      30
Holding steady          69      68      69      69      70      67      70      52
DK/NA                    1       -       1       -       -       1       1       -
 
 
33. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now? (Read options)
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Volatility in the
 stock market           14%     19%     12%     14%     14%     13%     15%      5%
Declining real
 estate values          11      14      13       8      10      12      11      10
Rising health care
 costs                  20      15      21      22      20      20      20      28
Rising gasoline
 prices                 38      40      38      37      40      36      39      33
Rising food prices      11       8      13      12       8      14      11      16
DK/NA                    6       4       4       7       7       4       5       8
 
 
34. Do you think the United States economy is in a recession now?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     74%     53%     81%     76%     72%     75%     73%     80%
No                      21      41      15      19      25      19      22      16
DK/NA                    5       6       4       6       4       6       5       4
TABLE 060
 
 
35. If John McCain is elected President, do you think the economy will get better, get worse or stay about the same?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Get better              20%     34%     14%     21%     24%     16%     22%      5%
Get worse               25       5      38      23      21      28      23      39
Stay the same           47      52      42      48      48      45      47      45
DK/NA                    9       9       6       9       7      10       8      11
 
 
36. If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think the economy will get better, get worse or stay about the same?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Get better              36%     11%     57%     29%     31%     40%     35%     38%
Get worse               20      46       5      21      23      17      22       2
Stay the same           36      35      31      39      40      32      35      50
DK/NA                    9       8       6      10       6      11       9       9
 
 
37. If Barack Obama is elected President, do you think the economy will get better, get worse or stay about the same?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Get better              40%     16%     59%     35%     36%     42%     36%     56%
Get worse               16      37       6      15      19      13      17       3
Stay the same           35      39      29      40      37      33      36      33
DK/NA                   10       9       7      11       8      11      10       7
 
 
38. What do you think should happen to most illegal immigrants working in the United States - Should they be offered a chance to apply for citizenship, OR Should they be allowed to stay as temporary workers, OR Should they be deported to the country they came from?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Citizenship             47%     37%     53%     47%     43%     51%     46%     59%
Temporary workers       27      26      27      27      29      25      28      12
Deported                22      32      17      22      25      20      23      22
DK/NA                    4       5       3       4       4       4       4       8
 
 
39. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Right thing             28%     68%      8%     27%     34%     23%     30%      9%
Wrong thing             69      29      90      68      64      73      66      87
DK/NA                    3       3       2       4       2       5       4       4
 
TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Right   Right
                        Mar 27  Nov 8   May 10  Feb 19  Aug 17  Aug 19  Mar 27
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2006    2004    2008
 
Right thing             28      30      30      30      33      43      28
Wrong thing             69      66      65      65      62      49      69
DK/NA                    3       5       4       5       5       8       3
 
 
40. What should the United States do in Iraq? Withdraw all troops as soon as possible, OR Set a timetable to withdraw troops gradually OR Keep troops in Iraq as long as needed?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Withdraw all troops     18%      7%     25%     16%     15%     21%     16%     26%
Set a timetable         54      32      65      56      49      59      54      66
Keep troops as needed   25      59       8      26      34      17      28       6
DK/NA                    2       2       2       3       2       3       2       2
 
 
41. How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the United States? Very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Very worried            19%     25%     15%     20%     15%     23%     20%     13%
Smwht worried           49      54      48      48      47      50      49      45
Not too worried         24      19      27      23      27      21      25      27
Not at all worried       7       2       8       8      10       4       6      13
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       1       1       1       2
 
 
42.(If registered Democrat) Some people have suggested that Senator Obama and Senator Clinton should run together in the general election for President in November. It could be a Clinton-Obama ticket, with Clinton running for President and Obama for Vice-President, OR It could be an Obama-Clinton ticket, with Obama running for President and Clinton for Vice-President. Which would you rather see - A Clinton-Obama ticket or an Obama-Clinton ticket, or would you rather they not run together?
                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS..
                                Clinton Obama
                        Tot     Voters  Voters
 
Clinton-Obama ticket    30%     65%      9%
Obama-Clinton ticket    30      11      45
Not run together        35      19      42
DK/NA                    5       5       4