January 21, 2010 - Lamont Has Early Name Edge In Connecticut Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Bysiewicz Tops Dems In Attorney General Race

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With an edge in name recognition, Connecticut businessman and former U.S. Senate candidate Ned Lamont leads the pack in the Democratic primary race for Governor, where almost half of the voters remain undecided, and has small leads over Republican contenders, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

While 44 percent of Democrats remain undecided, Lamont gets 27 percent, followed by Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy with 11 percent. No other Democrat tops 5 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

On the Republican side, 59 percent are undecided, with 17 percent for former ambassador Tom Foley and 8 percent for Lt. Gov. Mike Fedele. No other Republican tops 6 percent.

In possible general election matchups:
  • Lamont edges Foley 38 - 36 percent;
  • Lamont tops Fedele 41 - 32 percent;
  • Malloy beats Foley 37 - 33 percent;
  • Malloy leads Fedele 37 - 31 percent.
Connecticut Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz tops the Democratic pack for State Attorney General with 62 percent, with 10 percent for former Democratic State Chairman George Jepson and 24 percent undecided.

"The big winner in the primaries for Governor is 'Undecided.' With most of the candidates largely unknown, voters aren't expressing a preference in the gubernatorial primaries yet," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.

"On the Democratic side, Ned Lamont has taken the 'lead' with the exit of Susan Bysiewicz, but much of that is due to his greater name recognition. Malloy is within striking range and it is possible for a lesser known candidate to emerge."

"Two Greenwich millionaires - Foley and Lamont - are leading the pack for the nomination for Governor. At a time when a lot of Connecticut families are hurting because of the tough economy, how will that play?" Dr. Schwartz asked.

By a 49 - 14 percent margin, Connecticut voters have a favorable opinion of Bysiewicz, with 36 percent who don't know enough about her to form an opinion.

Lamont gets a 35 - 21 percent favorability, as 42 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion.

The "don't know enough" number for other candidates for Governor or Attorney General ranges from 59 percent to 96 percent.

"Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz has to feel good about her poll numbers. Despite the controversy over whether she has been in 'active practice' as an attorney for 10 years, which broke as the poll was in the field, she is the clear favorite over the virtually unknown George Jepsen in the Democratic primary. And her favorability numbers have remained high. But if this story doesn't go away, this could change," Schwartz said.

School Bus Seat Belts

Connecticut voters support 73 - 20 percent proposed legislation to require seat belts on school buses in the state. Parents of public school students support the measure 73 - 22 percent. Women back it 79 - 14 percent while men support it 66 - 27 percent.

There is strong support across party lines and in every area of the state.

From January 14 - 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,594 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The survey includes 593 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points and 420 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ned Lamont, Dan Malloy, Mary Glassman, Gary LeBeau, Rudy Marconi, Jim Amann and Juan Figueroa, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMS..
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Lamont               27%    42%    18%
Malloy               11     12     11
Glassman              4      2      6
LeBeau                2      2      1
Marconi               1      1      -
Amann                 5      7      4
Figueroa              1      -      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4      2      5
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2
DK/NA                44     31     51
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ned Lamont, Dan Malloy, Mary Glassman, Gary LeBeau, Rudy Marconi, Jim Amann and Juan Figueroa, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMS.......
                     Jan 21  Nov 10  Feb 10
                     2010    2009    2009
 
Lamont               27      23      na
Malloy               11       9      12
Glassman              4      na      na
LeBeau                2       2      na
Marconi               1       1      na
Amann                 5       3       4
Figueroa              1      na      na
Bysiewicz            na      26      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4       1       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       2
DK/NA                44      33      36
 
 
2. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for State Attorney General were being held today and the candidates were Susan Bysiewicz, George Jepsen and Michael Jarjura, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMS..
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Bysiewicz            62%    59%    64%
Jepsen               10     17      5
Jarjura               3      4      3
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      -
DK/NA                24     18     28
 
 
3. (If registered Republican) If the Republican primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Tom Foley, Mike Fedele, Oz Griebel, Mark Boughton and Larry DeNardis, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED REPS..
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Foley                17%    18%    15%
Fedele                8      7     10
Griebel               2      3      -
Boughton              6      7      6
DeNardis              4      5      4
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1
DK/NA                59     56     62
 
 
4. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Ned Lamont the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Lamont               38%     9%    74%    30%    36%    40%
Foley                36     77     10     37     44     30
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      1      3      2      3
DK/NA                21     11     14     28     17     25
 
 
5. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Malloy               37%     9%    73%    27%    33%    40%
Foley                33     76      8     31     41     27
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      1      3      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      1      5      4      3
DK/NA                24     10     16     34     19     28
 
 
6. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Ned Lamont the Democrat and Mike Fedele the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Lamont               41%    11%    75%    35%    38%    43%
Fedele               32     72      9     28     39     25
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      -      4      3      3
DK/NA                23     14     16     31     19     27
 
 
7. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Mike Fedele the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Malloy               37%     8%    72%    31%    34%    41%
Fedele               31     71      8     27     37     24
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      1      5      3      3
DK/NA                27     17     19     34     24     29
 
 
8. Is your opinion of - Jim Amann favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            11%    10%    16%     9%    11%    11%
Unfavorable           8      6      7     12     12      5
Hvn't hrd enough     79     84     76     78     75     83
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Jim Amann favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jan 21  Nov 10  Feb 10
                     2010    2009    2009
 
Favorable            11       7       7
Unfavorable           8       8      13
Hvn't hrd enough     79      84      79
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            32%    22%    46%    29%    35%    30%
Unfavorable           7     13      3      8      9      6
Hvn't hrd enough     59     63     49     62     55     62
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jan 21  Nov 10  Feb 10
                     2010    2009    2009
 
Favorable            32      21      19
Unfavorable           7      10      11
Hvn't hrd enough     59      67      69
REFUSED               2       2       1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of - Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            35%    18%    54%    33%    38%    33%
Unfavorable          21     37      9     23     26     18
Hvn't hrd enough     42     44     37     41     34     48
REFUSED               2      1      -      3      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jan 21  Nov 10
                     2010    2009
 
Favorable            35      31
Unfavorable          21      24
Hvn't hrd enough     42      43
REFUSED               2       1
 
 
11. Is your opinion of - Gary LeBeau favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             4%     4%     4%     5%     4%     4%
Unfavorable           2      4      2      2      4      1
Hvn't hrd enough     92     92     93     91     91     93
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Gary LeBeau favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jan 21  Nov 10
                     2010    2009
 
Favorable             4       4
Unfavorable           2       4
Hvn't hrd enough     92      91
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
12. Is your opinion of - Rudy Marconi favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             5%     5%     6%     4%     6%     3%
Unfavorable           2      2      3      2      3      2
Hvn't hrd enough     92     93     90     93     90     94
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      -      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Rudy Marconi favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jan 21  Nov 10
                     2010    2009
 
Favorable             5       5
Unfavorable           2       3
Hvn't hrd enough     92      92
REFUSED               1       -
 
 
13. Is your opinion of - Mary Glassman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             8%     7%    11%     7%     7%     8%
Unfavorable           2      2      2      1      2      1
Hvn't hrd enough     90     91     86     91     90     90
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
14. Is your opinion of - Juan Figueroa favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             3%     5%     4%     2%     4%     3%
Unfavorable           2      1      2      3      3      2
Hvn't hrd enough     94     93     93     94     92     95
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1
 
 
15. Is your opinion of - Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            31%    48%    21%    31%    34%    27%
Unfavorable           6      2      8      6      8      5
Hvn't hrd enough     62     50     71     61     57     67
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jan 21  Nov 12  Sep 17  Jul 23  Apr 2
                     2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
 
Favorable            31      20      12      17      12
Unfavorable           6       6       6       5       6
Hvn't hrd enough     62      74      81      77      80
REFUSED               1       -       1       1       1
 
 
16. Is your opinion of - Mike Fedele favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            16%    28%     8%    16%    19%    13%
Unfavorable           5      3      6      4      7      3
Hvn't hrd enough     78     68     86     79     73     83
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1
 
 
17. Is your opinion of - Larry DeNardis favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             7%     9%     5%     7%     8%     5%
Unfavorable           3      4      3      3      3      2
Hvn't hrd enough     89     87     92     89     87     91
REFUSED               1      -      -      2      1      1
 
 
18. Is your opinion of - Oz Griebel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             2%     3%     2%     1%     3%     1%
Unfavorable           1      1      1      1      2      1
Hvn't hrd enough     96     96     96     95     94     97
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      1
 
 
19. Is your opinion of - Mark Boughton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             7%    14%     3%     6%    10%     4%
Unfavorable           2      4      1      2      2      2
Hvn't hrd enough     90     82     95     90     88     93
REFUSED               1      -      -      1      -      1
 
 
20. Is your opinion of - Susan Bysiewicz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            49%    30%    68%    47%    47%    51%
Unfavorable          14     23      5     14     18      9
Hvn't hrd enough     36     46     26     37     34     38
REFUSED               1      1      -      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Susan Bysiewicz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Jan 21  Nov 10  Feb 10
                     2010    2009    2009
 
Favorable            49      43      40
Unfavorable          14      11      12
Hvn't hrd enough     36      44      48
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
21. Is your opinion of - George Jepsen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            14%    10%    18%    13%    17%    11%
Unfavorable           5      7      5      5      7      4
Hvn't hrd enough     80     82     76     81     76     84
REFUSED               1      1      -      2      1      1
 
 
22. Is your opinion of - Michael Jarjura favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            13%    12%    13%    15%    14%    13%
Unfavorable           7     10      7      7     10      5
Hvn't hrd enough     79     78     80     77     76     81
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      1
 
 
23. There is a proposal in the state legislature to require seat belts on school buses in Connecticut. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea?
                                                               HvKids
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    PubSch
 
Good idea            73%    64%    81%    74%    66%    79%    73%
Bad idea             20     26     14     20     27     14     22
DK/NA                 7     10      5      6      7      7      5