July 15, 2010 - Democrats Top Republicans In Connecticut Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Foley Has Almost 4-1 Lead In Republican Primary

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Democratic contenders Ned Lamont and Dan Malloy top any of the three possible Republican candidates for Governor of Connecticut by margins of 11 percentage points or more among registered voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Among likely Republican primary voters, former ambassador Tom Foley leads with 48 percent, followed by Lt. Gov. Mike Fedele with 13 percent and businessman Oz Griebel with 7 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Another 32 percent are undecided. This is the first survey of likely primary voters and cannot be compared with earlier surveys of registered voters.

Among likely Democratic primary voters, businessman Lamont leads former Stamford Mayor Malloy 46 - 37 percent, with 16 percent undecided.

Democrats lead in any possible general election matchups among registered voters:
  • Lamont over Foley 45 - 33 percent;
  • Lamont over Fedele 49 - 27 percent;
  • Lamont over Griebel 49 - 25 percent;
  • Malloy over Foley 44 - 33 percent;
  • Malloy over Fedele 49 - 26 percent;
  • Malloy over Griebel 51 - 25 percent.
"The Democrats haven't won a race for Governor in Connecticut in 24 years. Could this be their year? Both Ned Lamont and Dan Malloy have double digit leads over all the Republicans, including frontrunner Tom Foley. The Democratic candidates benefit from the state's Democratic registration advantage and they are better known than the Republican contenders," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.

"Democrats also could be helped by the divisiveness of the Republican primary battle, which seems nastier than the Democratic campaign, an unusual twist," Dr. Schwartz added.

A total of 41 percent of Connecticut likely Republican primary voters have heard "a lot" or "some" about Foley's two past arrests, while 58 percent have heard "not much" or "nothing at all." Only 30 percent of these primary voters say the arrest controversy makes them less likely to vote for Foley, as 55 percent say it doesn't make a difference. Foley's past arrests are a private matter, 48 percent say, while 28 percent say they are a legitimate issue.

By a 45 - 9 percent margin, Connecticut Republican primary voters have a favorable opinion of Foley, with 42 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion. For Fedele, 73 percent haven't heard enough. For Griebel, 81 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion.

Among those Republican likely primary voters who select a candidate, 73 percent say they might change their mind before the August 10 primary.

Likely Democratic primary voters are more solid in their support, but 50 percent of those who select a candidate say they might change their mind.

Malloy gets a 50 - 8 percent favorability among likely Democratic voters, with 40 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion. Lamont's favorability is 60 - 12 percent.

"One month before the primary, Foley has a huge lead over Lt. Gov. Mike Fedele and Oz Griebel. The governor's race is overshadowed by the Senate battle between Linda McMahon and Attorney General Richard Blumenthal and the controversy over Foley's arrests is not having much impact," Dr. Schwartz said. "So Foley has been unharmed and voters still don't know much about Fedele or Griebel.

"The race is closer on the Democratic side, where Malloy is within single digits. This race could go down to the wire."

From July 7 - 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,367 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Also from July 7 - 13, Quinnipiac University conducted separate surveys of 668 Connecticut likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points and 854 likely Republican primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. These likely voters were selected from lists of people who have voted in past elections.

The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE BASED ON A POLL OF 854 LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

1REP. If the Republican primary for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Tom Foley, Mike Fedele, or Oz Griebel? (If undecided q1REP) As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward Foley, Fedele, or Griebel? (This table includes "Leaners".)
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Foley                48%    52%    43%
Fedele               13     12     13
Griebel               7      8      7
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -
DK/NA                32     27     37


1aREP. (If express choice q1REP) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     CHOSE CANDIDATE Q1REP...
                            CAND CHOICE Q1REP
                     Tot    TF     MF     OG
Made up              25%    22%    34%    30%
Might change         73     76     64     70
DK/NA                 2      2      3      -


2REP. Is your opinion of - Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Favorable            45%    50%    40%
Unfavorable           9      9      9
Hvn't hrd enough     42     38     46
REFUSED               4      2      5


3REP. Is your opinion of - Mike Fedele favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Favorable            20%    23%    16%
Unfavorable           5      8      3
Hvn't hrd enough     73     68     79
REFUSED               2      2      2


4REP. Is your opinion of - Oz Griebel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Favorable            13%    15%    10%
Unfavorable           5      6      3
Hvn't hrd enough     81     77     85
REFUSED               2      2      2


9REP. Which type of candidate would you prefer to see as a governor - someone with years of political experience or a political outsider?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Experience           32%    29%    36%
Outsider             54     58     49
DK/NA                14     13     15


10REP. If Mike Fedele is elected Governor, do you think Connecticut's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Get better           13%    15%    12%
Get worse             6      7      4
Stay the same        45     49     41
DK/NA                36     29     43


11REP. If Tom Foley is elected Governor, do you think Connecticut's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Get better           26%    30%    22%
Get worse             5      5      5
Stay the same        42     43     41
DK/NA                27     22     32


12REP. If Oz Griebel is elected Governor, do you think Connecticut's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Get better           12%    14%     9%
Get worse             6      8      4
Stay the same        40     45     36
DK/NA                42     33     52


13REP. How much have you heard or read about the controversy regarding Tom Foley's two past arrests - a lot, some, not much, or nothing at all?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
A lot                10%    10%    11%
Some                 31     34     28
Not much             29     28     30
Nothing at all       29     27     31
DK/NA                 1      1      1


14REP. Does the controversy over Tom Foley's two past arrests make you more likely to vote for him in the Republican primary for Governor, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS.......
                     Tot    Men    Wom    HeardQ13REP
More likely           1%     1%     1%     2%
Less likely          30     26     34     31
Doesn't make diff    55     61     50     62
DK/NA                13     12     15      5


15REP. Which one of the following do you think better describes how you feel about this controversy? Do you think Tom Foley's two past arrests are a legitimate campaign issue or is this a private matter?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS.......
                     Tot    Men    Wom    HeardQ13REP
Legitimate Issue     28%    27%    28%    34%
Private matter       48     51     46     58
DK/NA                24     22     26      8


THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE BASED ON A POLL OF 668 LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

1DEM. If the Democratic primary for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Dan Malloy or Ned Lamont? (If undecided q1DEM) As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward Malloy or Lamont? (This table includes "Leaners".)
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Malloy               37%    35%    38%
Lamont               46     49     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -
DK/NA                16     15     17


1aDEM. (If express choice q1DEM) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     CHOSE CANDIDATE Q1DEM...
                            CAND CHOICE Q1DEM
                     Tot    DM     NL
Made up              49%    48%    49%
Might change         50     51     50
DK/NA                 1      1      1


2DEM. Is your opinion of - Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Favorable            50%    53%    48%
Unfavorable           8      7      8
Hvn't hrd enough     40     37     42
REFUSED               2      3      2


3DEM. Is your opinion of - Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Favorable            60%    64%    56%
Unfavorable          12     12     12
Hvn't hrd enough     25     20     30
REFUSED               3      4      2


4DEM. Do you think Dan Malloy has the right kind of experience to be Governor of Connecticut or not?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Yes                  60%    64%    56%
No                   13     15     12
DK/NA                27     21     32


5DEM. Would you say that Dan Malloy cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Yes                  61%    61%    61%
No                   10     13      8
DK/NA                29     27     31


6DEM. Would you say that Dan Malloy is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Yes                  59%    63%    55%
No                    6      7      6
DK/NA                35     30     39


7DEM. Would you say that Dan Malloy has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Yes                  62%    63%    62%
No                    9      8     10
DK/NA                28     28     28


8DEM. Do you think Ned Lamont has the right kind of experience to be Governor of Connecticut or not?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Yes                  59%    63%    56%
No                   20     22     19
DK/NA                21     16     25


9DEM. Would you say that Ned Lamont cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Yes                  67%    68%    67%
No                   14     15     13
DK/NA                19     18     20


10DEM. Would you say that Ned Lamont is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Yes                  70%    73%    67%
No                    7      8      6
DK/NA                23     19     27


11DEM. Would you say that Ned Lamont has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Yes                  70%    73%    67%
No                   11     12     11
DK/NA                19     15     22


12DEM. Does Dan Malloy's experience as Mayor of Stamford make you more likely to vote for him in the Democratic primary for Governor, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
More likely          41%    45%    38%
Less likely           8     10      7
Doesn't make diff    46     41     51
DK/NA                 4      3      4


13DEM. Does Ned Lamont's experience as a businessman make you more likely to vote for him in the Democratic primary for Governor, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
More likely          31%    36%    27%
Less likely          14     11     17
Doesn't make diff    51     51     52
DK/NA                 4      2      5


14DEM. Does Ned Lamont's challenge of Joe Lieberman in the 2006 Senate election make you more likely to vote for Lamont in the Democratic primary for Governor, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
More likely          48%    53%    44%
Less likely          11     10     12
Doesn't make diff    38     34     42
DK/NA                 2      2      2


15DEM. Which type of candidate would you prefer to see as a governor - someone with years of political experience or a political outsider?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Experience           45%    43%    47%
Outsider             33     35     31
DK/NA                22     22     22


16DEM. If Dan Malloy is elected Governor, do you think Connecticut's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Get better           29%    30%    28%
Get worse             3      5      2
Stay the same        48     47     48
DK/NA                20     19     22


17DEM. If Ned Lamont is elected Governor, do you think Connecticut's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Get better           37%    39%    35%
Get worse             5      6      5
Stay the same        43     42     43
DK/NA                16     14     17


THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE BASED ON A POLL OF 1,367 REGISTERED VOTERS

TREND: (If registered Republican) If the Republican primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Tom Foley, Mike Fedele and Oz Griebel, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................
                     Jul 15  Jun 10  May 27  Mar 18  Jan 21
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010
Foley                43      39      37      30      17
Fedele                9      12      11       4       8
Griebel               4       2       5       2       2
Boughton             na      na      na       4       6
Wright               na      na      na       2      na
Marsh                na      na      na       -      na
DeNardis             na      na      na       2       4
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       3       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       1       3       3       2
DK/NA                40      44      42      50      59
 
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ned Lamont and Dan Malloy, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS..................................
                     Jul 15  Jun 10  May 27  Mar 18  Jan 21  Nov 10  Feb 10
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009    2009
Lamont               46      39      41      28      27      23      na
Malloy               26      22      24      18      11       9      12
Glassman             na      na      na       4       4      na      na
Figueroa             na      na      na       1       1      na      na
Marconi              na      na      na       2       1       1      na
Amann                na      na      na      na       5       3       4
LeBeau               na      na      na      na       2       2      na
Bysiewicz            na      na      na      na      na      26      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       2       1       4       1       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       1       3       2       2       2       2
DK/NA                24      36      30      44      44      33      36
 
 
4. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ned Lamont the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
Lamont               45%     7%    84%    41%    39%    51%
Foley                33     76      4     28     41     26
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      2      2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      2      5      5      2
DK/NA                17     14      7     24     15     20
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Ned Lamont the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 15  Jan 21
                     2010    2010
 
Lamont               45      38
Foley                33      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                17      21
 
 
5. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ned Lamont the Democrat and Mike Fedele the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
Lamont               49%    12%    85%    46%    44%    53%
Fedele               27     69      1     23     35     21
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      3      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      2      3      4      2
DK/NA                19     15      9     26     16     22
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Ned Lamont the Democrat and Mike Fedele the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 15  Jan 21
                     2010    2010
Lamont               49      41
Fedele               27      32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                19      23
 
 
6. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ned Lamont the Democrat and Oz Griebel the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
Lamont               49%    14%    85%    45%    43%    55%
Griebel              25     65      2     18     30     20
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      2      4      5      2
DK/NA                21     16      9     29     20     22
 
 
7. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
Malloy               44%    14%    76%    39%    39%    48%
Foley                33     71      8     32     41     27
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      2      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      2      3      2      3
DK/NA                19     13     11     25     17     21
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 15  Jan 21
                     2010    2010
Malloy               44      37
Foley                33      33
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       4
DK/NA                19      24
 
 
8. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Mike Fedele the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
Malloy               49%    16%    80%    47%    46%    52%
Fedele               26     66      3     21     32     21
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      2      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      3      4      2      4
DK/NA                20     16     11     27     18     22
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Mike Fedele the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 15  Jan 21
                     2010    2010
Malloy               49      37
Fedele               26      31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                20      27
 
 
9. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Oz Griebel the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
Malloy               51%    16%    82%    51%    49%    53%
Griebel              25     68      4     16     29     21
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      3      4      2      3
DK/NA                21     15     11     29     19     22
 
 
10. Is your opinion of - Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Reg
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Dem
Favorable            49%    26%    69%    50%    51%    48%    63%
Unfavorable          21     41      4     23     28     16      7
Hvn't hrd enough     27     31     27     25     20     34     28
REFUSED               2      3      -      2      2      2      1
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS...............
                     Jul 15  Jun 10  May 27  Mar 18
                     2010    2010    2010    2010
Favorable            63      43      46      43
Unfavorable           7       9      12      13
Hvn't hrd enough     28      46      39      42
REFUSED               1       2       3       2
 
 
11. Is your opinion of - Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Reg
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Dem
Favorable            41%    27%    50%    44%    45%    38%    50%
Unfavorable          11     21      5      9     14      9      7
Hvn't hrd enough     46     49     43     46     40     51     41
REFUSED               1      3      1      1      1      2      1
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS...............
                     Jul 15  Jun 10  May 27  Mar 18
                     2010    2010    2010    2010
Favorable            50      26      28      35
Unfavorable           7       5       5       9
Hvn't hrd enough     41      68      65      55
REFUSED               1       1       1       1
 
 
12. Is your opinion of - Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Reg
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Rep
Favorable            29%    42%    19%    28%    36%    23%    48%
Unfavorable          12      9     15     12     15     10      7
Hvn't hrd enough     58     47     65     58     48     66     43
REFUSED               1      2      1      2      1      2      1
 
TREND: (If registered Republican) Is your opinion of Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED REPS...............
                     Jul 15  Jun 10  May 27  Mar 18
                     2010    2010    2010    2010
Favorable            48      37      34      37
Unfavorable           7       9       6       6
Hvn't hrd enough     43      52      58      57
REFUSED               1       1       1       1
 
 
13. Is your opinion of - Mike Fedele favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Reg
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Rep
Favorable            12%    25%     2%    12%    16%     8%    24%
Unfavorable           8      4     13      7      9      7      2
Hvn't hrd enough     79     69     83     81     75     83     72
REFUSED               1      1      2      -      -      2      1
 
TREND: (If registered Republican) Is your opinion of Mike Fedele favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED REPS...............
                     Jul 15  Jun 10  May 27  Mar 18
                     2010    2010    2010    2010
Favorable            24      17      15      11
Unfavorable           2       5       6       8
Hvn't hrd enough     72      78      78      80
REFUSED               1       1       1       1
 
14. Is your opinion of - Oz Griebel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Reg
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Rep
Favorable             8%    17%     6%     6%    11%     6%    16%
Unfavorable           6      4      7      7      8      4      7
Hvn't hrd enough     85     78     87     86     80     89     76
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: (If registered Republican) Is your opinion of Oz Griebel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED REPS.......
                     Jul 15  Jun 10  May 27  Mar 18
                     2010    2010    2010    2010
Favorable            16       8      10       5
Unfavorable           7       3       2       3
Hvn't hrd enough     76      89      88      92
REFUSED               1       -       1       -
 
 
28. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
Very satisfied        3%     2%     4%     2%     2%     3%
Smwht satisfied      38     29     54     33     34     42
Smwht dissatisfied   37     40     30     40     38     35
Very dissatisfied    22     29     12     24     25     19
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      -      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 15  Jun 10  Mar 18  Nov 10  Sep 16  Oct 21  Mar 13
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    1998    2003
Very satisfied        3       2       1       2       3      21       4
Smwht satisfied      38      42      39      41      38      62      32
Smwht dissatisfied   37      36      38      39      35      14      34
Very dissatisfied    22      19      20      17      23       3      29
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       -       1
 
 
39. How much have you heard or read about the controversy regarding Tom Foley's two past arrests - a lot, some, not much, or nothing at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
A lot                 6%     7%     8%     3%     5%     6%
Some                 24     24     23     25     29     20
Not much             32     32     28     35     30     34
Nothing at all       38     36     41     37     35     40
REFUSED               -      1      -      1      1      -
 
 
40. Does the controversy over Tom Foley's two past arrests make you more likely to vote for him for Governor in the general election in November, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HeardQ39
More likely           -      -      -      -      1%     -       -
Less likely          39     33     42     41     36     42      48
No difference        47     54     46     45     54     41      50
DK/NA                13     13     11     14      9     17       2
 
 
41. Which one of the following do you think better describes how you feel about this controversy? Do you think Tom Foley's two past arrests are a legitimate campaign issue or is this a private matter?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HeardQ39
Legitimate issue     29%    30%    31%    29%    26%    31%    37%
Private matter       48     51     47     48     54     43     58
DK/NA                23     20     22     23     19     26      4