October 15, 2010 - Malloy Up 7 Points In Connecticut Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; No Movement For Republican In Two Weeks

Word format

Dan Malloy, the Democratic candidate for governor in Connecticut, is closing in on the magic 50 percent mark as he leads Republican Tom Foley 49 - 42 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Foley's numbers are unchanged from a September 29 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Malloy with a 45 - 42 percent lead.

In this latest survey, 7 percent of likely voters are undecided and 20 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind before Election Day. Malloy leads among Democrats 89 - 5 percent, while Foley wins 85 - 12 percent among Republicans and edges Malloy 46 - 42 percent among independent voters.

Men back Foley 49 - 44 percent while women back Malloy 55 - 35 percent.

"Tom Foley's 42 percent share of the vote for Connecticut governor has not moved in two weeks. With less than three weeks to go, the Republican better start moving soon," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.

"Democrat Dan Malloy has moved ahead slightly and given himself some breathing room, but there are a lot of undecided voters and voters who could change their mind - and there are almost three weeks for them to decide.

"After the debates and the latest ads, both candidates are better known, but Malloy is better liked. Both candidates have been on the attack, yet interestingly neither candidate's overall image has been damaged."

"As in the Senate race, the support of women for the Democrat is making the difference in the race," Dr. Schwartz added.

By a 47 - 29 percent margin, Connecticut likely voters have a favorable opinion of Malloy, compared to 39 - 27 percent September 29.

Foley gets a 41 - 33 percent favorability, compared to 34 - 25 percent two weeks ago.

A total of 86 percent of Connecticut likely voters say the state's economy is "not so good" or "poor" and 28 percent say it is getting worse, while 14 percent say it is getting better and 56 percent say it is the same.

Foley leads 57 - 33 percent among voters who say the economy is getting worse. Malloy leads 78 - 12 percent among likely voters who say the economy is getting better and 50 - 43 percent among those who say it is the same.

As her term winds down, Connecticut Gov. Jodi Rell still enjoys a 59 - 33 percent approval rating.

From October 7 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,119 Connecticut likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582- 5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Malloy or Foley? (This table includes Leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Malloy               49%    12%    89%    42%    44%    55%
Foley                42     85      5     46     49     35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      3      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 7      3      5      9      6      8
 
                     RATING ECONOMY Q13
                     Better Worse  Same
 
Malloy               78%    33%    50%
Foley                12     57     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -
DK/NA                 8      8      6
 
TREND: If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Malloy or Foley? (This table includes Leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 15  Sep 29  Sep 15
                     2010    2010    2010
 
Malloy               49      45      50
Foley                42      42      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       -       -
DK/NA                 7      12       8
 
 
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS........
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    DM     TF
 
Made up              79%    78%    80%
Might change         20     21     19
DK/NA                 1      1      -
 
 
2. Is your opinion of - Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            47%    23%    76%    41%    46%    48%
Unfavorable          29     54      5     32     32     26
Hvn't hrd enough     21     18     17     25     20     22
REFUSED               3      5      2      1      2      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 15  Sep 29  Sep 15
                     2010    2010    2010
 
Favorable            47      39      46
Unfavorable          29      27      21
Hvn't hrd enough     21      31      30
REFUSED               3       3       3
 
 
3. Is your opinion of - Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            41%    77%    16%    39%    46%    35%
Unfavorable          33      7     61     28     32     34
Hvn't hrd enough     22     14     20     28     19     26
REFUSED               4      2      4      5      3      5
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 15  Sep 29  Sep 15
                     2010    2010    2010
 
Favorable            41      34      34
Unfavorable          33      25      24
Hvn't hrd enough     22      36      39
REFUSED               4       6       2
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling her job as Governor?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              59%    71%    44%    63%    56%    62%
Disapprove           33     24     47     30     38     28
DK/NA                 7      5      9      7      6      9
 
                     RATING ECONOMY Q13
                     Better Worse  Same
 
Approve              63%    53%    61%
Disapprove           27     41     31
DK/NA                10      6      8
 
 
12. Would you describe the state of Connecticut's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Excellent             1%     -      2%     -      -     1%
Good                 12     13     14     11     11     14
Not so good          51     42     58     51     51     51
Poor                 35     43     25     37     37     33
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      2      1
 
 
13. Do you think Connecticut's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Better               14%    12%    21%    10%    15%    12%
Worse                28     31     20     31     27     30
The same             56     54     57     57     57     55
DK/NA                 2      3      2      1      2      2