June 15, 2011 - Connecticut Budget Takes Toll On Malloy, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Approve Of Sick Leave Law 3-1

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Connecticut voters give Gov. Dannel Malloy a negative 38 - 44 percent approval rating, apparently driven by 43 percent who are "dissatisfied" with the new state budget and another 16 percent who are "angry" with the budget, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Only 36 percent described themselves as "enthusiastic" or "satisfied" with the budget.

Today's results compare with a negative 35 - 40 percent approval rating for Gov. Malloy in a March 9 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll.

While voters dislike Malloy's policies 50 - 37 percent, they like him as a person 48 - 18 percent. Jodi Rell was a better governor, 32 percent say, while 20 percent say Malloy is better and 37 percent say they are about the same.

Voters disapprove 52 - 36 percent of the way Malloy is handling the state budget. Voters also disapprove 50 - 35 percent of the new state budget.

Only 17 percent of voters say the new state budget spreads tax increases fairly across income groups while 67 percent say taxes should be higher on those with higher incomes.

"Gov. Dannel Malloy should be doing better in a blue state like Connecticut, but he gets only a 52 percent approval rating among his base of Democrats," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.

"His low approval rating is a reflection of how voters feel about his budget. Many voters are dissatisfied and some even say they are angry. They think the budget relies too much on tax increases and not enough on spending cuts. They also think the middle class is paying more than its fair share while those with higher incomes aren't paying their fair share."

"Gov. Malloy might be jealous of New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo's high 61 percent job approval rating, but Cuomo is the exception. Malloy can take some solace from the fact that other new governors who also are dealing with big budget deficits have similar low job approval ratings," Dr. Schwartz added.

Connecticut state employees are making less than their fair share of sacrifices under the new budget, 36 percent of voters say, while 21 percent say workers are doing more than their fair share and 35 percent say they are doing about their fair share.

Public employee wages and benefits are too high, 46 percent of voters say, with 8 percent saying too low and 39 percent saying wages and benefits are about right.

Connecticut voters approve 53 - 44 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, up slightly from 49 - 47 percent in a March 8, 2011, Quinnipiac University poll. President Obama deserves reelection, voters say 51 - 43 percent, and they would vote for Obama 46 - 35 percent over an unnamed Republican in 2012.

U.S. Sen. Richard Blumenthal gets a 54 - 25 percent approval rating while voters disapprove 45 - 41 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Joe Lieberman is doing.

Connecticut voters support 72 - 25 percent a new law that requires large companies to offer five days of paid sick leave per year to employees. Support is 84 - 14 percent among Democrats, 50 - 44 percent among Republicans and 72 - 26 percent among independent voters. Men support the measure 63 - 34 percent while women back it 79 - 17 percent.

Voters also support 66 - 31 percent a law to de-criminalize possession of small amounts of marijuana. Support is 77 - 21 percent among Democrats, 49 - 45 percent among Republicans and 66 - 31 percent among independent voters. Support is slightly stronger among men, 69 - 28 percent, than among women, 64 - 33 percent.

From June 8 - 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,311 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              38%    17%    52%    37%    37%    39%
Disapprove           44     68     29     44     47     41
DK/NA                18     14     18     18     16     20
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor?
                     Jun 15  Mar 09
                     2011    2011
 
Approve              38      35
Disapprove           44      40
DK/NA                18      25
 
 
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              33%    14%    47%    32%    32%    35%
Disapprove           50     72     35     53     55     45
DK/NA                17     14     18     15     13     20
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? (*Low also 28% Mar 2010)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 15  Jul 16  Jun 10  Mar 18  Jan 14  Jun 3   Jul 16
                     2011    2010    2010    2010    2010    2004    2010*
 
Approve              33      28      29      28      30      48      28
Disapprove           50      58      57      59      58      33      58
DK/NA                17      14      14      13      13      19      14
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              41%    48%    35%    44%    41%    40%
Disapprove           45     42     49     42     47     43
DK/NA                14     10     16     14     11     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator? (*Low also 38% Dec 2008)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 15  Mar 09  Jul 16  Jun 10  Mar 17  Sep 21  Mar 09
                     2011    2011    2010    2010    2010    2000    2011*
 
Approve              41      38      40      41      39      80      38
Disapprove           45      45      50      50      54      14      45
DK/NA                14      17       9       9       7       6      17
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              54%    38%    72%    50%    50%    58%
Disapprove           25     43      8     28     29     21
DK/NA                21     19     20     22     20     21
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Jun 15  Mar 09
                     2011    2011
 
Approve              54      49
Disapprove           25      25
DK/NA                21      26
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              53%    12%    82%    47%    48%    56%
Disapprove           44     86     14     48     50     39
DK/NA                 3      1      3      4      1      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (*High also 71% Apr 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 15  Mar 09  Jul 16  Jun 10  Mar 17  May 27  Mar 09
                     2011    2011    2010    2010    2010    2009*   2011
 
Approve              53      49      50      53      54      71      49
Disapprove           44      47      44      42      42      22      47
DK/NA                 3       4       6       5       4       7       4
 
 
6. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very satisfied        4%     -      5%     4%     3%     4%
Smwht satisfied      30     17     44     24     33     27
Smwht dissatisfied   32     30     30     36     28     35
Very dissatisfied    35     53     21     36     36     33
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 15  Mar 09  Jul 15  Jun 10  Mar 18  Oct 21  Mar 09
                     2011    2011    2010    2010    2010    1998    2011
 
Very satisfied        4       2       3       2       1      21       2
Smwht satisfied      30      29      38      42      39      62      29
Smwht dissatisfied   32      35      37      36      38      14      35
Very dissatisfied    35      33      22      19      20       3      33
DK/NA                 -       1       1       1       1       -       1	
 
 
7. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Obama                46%     8%    79%    38%    43%    49%
Republican           35     81      6     38     40     30
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 11      9      8     14     10     11
DK/NA                 8      2      8      9      7      9
 
 
8. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes/Deserves         51%    12%    82%    45%    46%    55%
No/Does not          43     85     10     49     49     38
DK/NA                 6      4      8      7      5      7
 
 
9. Do you think Dannel Malloy has been a better governor than Jodi Rell, a worse governor, or about the same?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Better               20%     8%    35%    14%    20%    20%
Worse                32     54     16     34     32     32
About the same       37     28     38     41     37     37
DK/NA                11     10     10     12     11     11
 
 
10. Regardless of how you feel about Dannel Malloy's policies, would you say you like or don't like Dannel Malloy as a person?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Like                 48%    35%    59%    45%    47%    48%
Don't Like           18     24     14     18     21     15
DK/NA                34     41     27     37     32     36
 
 
11. And regardless of how you feel about Dannel Malloy as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of Dannel Malloy's policies?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Like                 37%    16%    53%    35%    36%    38%
Don't Like           50     75     32     53     53     47
DK/NA                13      9     15     12     11     15
 
 
12. Would you describe the state of Connecticut's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Excellent             -      -      1%     -      -      -
Good                 15     11     19     14     19     13
Not so good          48     44     55     46     44     53
Poor                 35     45     25     40     37     34
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -	
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of Connecticut's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                             EXCLNT+GOOD...
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 15  Jul 23  Feb 10  Dec 17  Jul 1   Dec 20  Feb 10
                     2011    2009    2009    2008    2008    2001    2009
                             
Excellent             -       -       -       -       1       3       -
Good                 15      13       6      11      29      51       6
Not so good          48      57      53      62      48      38      53
Poor                 35      28      39      26      22       7      39
DK/NA                 -       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
13. During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in Connecticut will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Get better           25%    13%    36%    24%    25%    25%
Get worse            28     43     16     30     30     27
Stay the same        44     41     46     44     44     43
DK/NA                 3      2      3      3      1      5
 
TREND: During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in Connecticut will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                                                             GET BETTER...
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 15  Jul 23  Jul 1   Apr 7   Nov 24  Nov 21  Jul 1
                     2011    2009    2008    2005    2004    2003    2008
 
Get better           25      31      12      22      31      38      12
Get worse            28      20      44      23      14      13      44
Stay the same        44      46      39      51      52      47      39
DK/NA                 3       3       5       4       3       2       5
 
 
14. Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Excellent             7%     9%     5%     7%     8%     5%
Good                 53     52     46     59     58     49
Not so good          27     28     32     24     23     31
Poor                 12     10     17      9     10     14
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as- excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Jun 15  Jul 23  Feb 11  Dec 17  Dec 20  Apr 23
                     2011    2009    2009    2008    2001    2001
 
Excellent             7       4       4       5      11      10
Good                 53      52      44      48      65      63
Not so good          27      32      35      34      18      20
Poor                 12      11      15      12       5       6
DK/NA                 1       1       2       1       1       1
 
 
15. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Better off           32%    28%    37%    29%    37%    28%
Worse off            45     49     41     46     42     48
SAME(VOL)            22     22     20     25     20     24
DK/NA                 1      2      1      -      1      1
 
TREND: Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
                                                             BETTER OFF....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 15  Jul 23  Feb 11  Dec 17  Jul 1   Nov 24  Feb 11
                     2011    2009    2009    2008    2008    2004    2009
 
Better off           32      20      18      22      25      40      18
Worse off            45      56      60      58      60      32      60
Same                 22      23      21      18      14      26      21
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
16. During the next 12 months, do you think your own personal finances will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Get better           27%    22%    36%    22%    28%    25%
Get worse            19     26     13     20     18     20
Stay the same        52     51     49     56     52     52
DK/NA                 2      1      2      2      2      3
 
TREND: During the next 12 months, do you think your own personal finances will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     Jun 15  Jul 23  Feb 11  Dec 17  Dec 20
                     2011    2009    2009    2008    2001
 
Get better           27      27      24      25      33
Get worse            19      16      20      18       7
Stay the same        52      54      51      53      58
DK/NA                 2       2       5       4       2
 
 
17. Turning to Connecticut's state budget... Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling the budget?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              36%    20%    48%    36%    36%    36%
Disapprove           52     72     36     54     54     50
DK/NA                13      8     17     10     11     14
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling the budget?
                     Jun 15  Mar 09
                     2011    2011
 
Approve              36      32
Disapprove           52      51
DK/NA                13      16	
 
 
18. How much have you heard or read about the new state budget agreed to by Governor Malloy and the state legislature? A lot, some, not much, or nothing at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
A lot                28%    35%    24%    28%    33%    23%
Some                 52     45     50     56     49     55
Not much             15     14     19     12     12     17
Nothing at all        6      6      7      4      6      5
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the state budget agreed to by Governor Malloy and the state legislature?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              35%    17%    51%    33%    37%    34%
Disapprove           50     74     33     53     53     48
DK/NA                14      9     15     14     10     18
 
 
20. I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel about the new state budget. Do you feel - enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Enthusiastic          2%     -      2%     1%     2%     1%
Satisfied not enthus 34     17     47     33     34     33
Dissat not angry     43     49     38     45     40     47
Angry                16     30      8     17     20     13
DK/NA                 5      3      5      4      4      6
 
 
21. Do you think the new state budget has the right mix of tax increases and spending cuts or should there have been bigger spending cuts and smaller tax increases?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Right mix            20%     5%    34%    18%    22%    18%
Bigger spending cuts 65     87     49     68     66     64
BIGTAX INCREASES(VOL) 4      2      4      4      4      4
DK/NA                11      7     13     11      8     14
 
 
22. Do you think the new state budget spreads the tax increases fairly among different income groups or do you think that there should have been bigger tax increases for those with higher incomes and smaller tax increases for the middle class?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Taxes fairly         17%    27%    10%    19%    23%    13%
Shld have higher
 tax for wealthy     67     49     83     65     59     75
DK/NA                15     24      7     16     19     12
 
 
23. To help eliminate the budget deficit, do you think the new state budget has the middle class making financial sacrifices that are more than their fair share less than their fair share, or about their fair share?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More than fair share 59%    66%    56%    59%    56%    61%
Less than fair share  3      2      4      3      3      3
About fair share     33     29     34     33     37     29
DK/NA                 5      3      7      5      4      7
 
 
24. To help eliminate the budget deficit, do you think the new state budget has those with higher incomes making financial sacrifices that are more than their fair share, less than their fair share, or about their fair share?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More than fair share 12%    22%     5%    14%    13%    12%
Less than fair share 54     33     65     54     48     58
About fair share     28     40     23     26     33     23
DK/NA                 6      5      6      6      6      7
 
 
25. To help eliminate the budget deficit, do you think the new state budget has state public employees making financial sacrifices that are more than their fair share, less than their fair share, or about their fair share?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More than fair share 21%    14%    27%    18%    18%    23%
Less than fair share 36     51     22     42     40     32
About fair share     35     24     41     33     33     36
DK/NA                 9     11      9      7      8      9
 
 
26. Do you think this new state budget will improve Connecticut's economy, hurt Connecticut's economy, or not make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Improve economy      22%     9%    32%    21%    21%    22%
Hurt economy         35     60     18     37     37     33
Not make difference  36     26     43     36     37     36
DK/NA                 7      5      7      5      4      9
 
 
27. Some people say that if the new budget raised taxes more on the wealthy that it would make Connecticut less economically competitive with nearby states. Do you agree or disagree?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Agree                39%    60%    27%    40%    42%    35%
Disagree             57     37     69     56     55     59
DK/NA                 4      3      4      5      3      6
 
 
28. Do you think the wages and benefits for state public employees are too high, too low, or about right?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Too high             46%    63%    28%    53%    52%    40%
Too low               8      5     13      5      5     11
About right          39     24     52     35     39     40
DK/NA                 7      8      7      7      4     10
 
 
29. Both Governor Rell and Governor Malloy have promised the state public employee unions no layoffs for a total of six years in return for concessions. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Good idea            46%    35%    54%    44%    44%    48%
Bad idea             48     60     39     50     53     43
DK/NA                 6      4      7      6      3      9
 
 
30. As you may know, Connecticut will have a new law that requires large companies to offer five days of paid sick leave to service workers. Do you support or oppose this new law?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Support              72%    50%    84%    72%    63%    79%
Oppose               25     44     14     26     34     17
DK/NA                 3      5      3      2      3      4
 
 
31. As you may know, Connecticut will have a new law that decriminalizes possession of small amounts of marijuana. Low-level marijuana users would be punished with a fine, instead of a criminal charge. Do you support or oppose this new law?
              
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Support              66%    49%    77%    66%    69%    64%
Oppose               31     45     21     31     28     33
DK/NA                 3      6      1      3      3      3