October 4, 2012 - Connecticut Senate Race Is Tied, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Widens Lead Over Romney To 12 Points

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The Connecticut U.S. Senate race is essentially tied up, with 48 percent of likely voters for Republican Linda McMahon and 47 percent for Democratic U.S. Rep. Christopher Murphy, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters have about the same low opinion of professional wrestling and the U.S. Congress.

Today's results compare to the too-close-to-call results of an August 28 likely voter survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ac) University, showing McMahon with 49 percent and Murphy with 46 percent.

In today's survey, 50 percent of McMahon backers are "very enthusiastic," while 39 percent are "somewhat enthusiastic." For Murphy, 27 percent are "very enthusiastic" and 55 percent are "somewhat enthusiastic."

Men back McMahon 52 - 45 percent, while women back Murphy 50 - 44 percent. Independent voters go Republican 52 - 43 percent.

By a 45 - 41 percent margin, Connecticut voters have a favorable opinion of McMahon, compared to 47 - 35 percent August 28. Murphy gets a negative 36 - 40 percent favorability rating, down from a 38 - 30 percent positive score in August.

"Connecticut voters like Linda McMahon more than U.S. Rep. Christopher Murphy. But the Democrat seems to be holding his own against the onslaught of negative advertising," said Douglas Schwartz, PhD, director of the Quinnipiac University poll.

"McMahon voters are much more likely to say they are very enthusiastic about their choice than Murphy voters, by about 2-1. While the horserace has barely changed, the images of both candidates have declined since August, as the campaign attacks have increased."

"Murphy's negatives are up 10 points and McMahon's are up 6 points. McMahon has done a good job defining Murphy, who was not well known statewide, in a negative way," Dr. Schwartz added.

Among Connecticut likely voters, 5 percent have a very positive opinion of professional wrestling, with 18 percent somewhat positive, 31 percent somewhat negative and 30 percent very negative. Only 2 percent of voters have a very positive opinion of the U.S. Congress, with 24 percent somewhat positive, 37 percent somewhat negative and 34 percent very negative.

"There is so much that could be said about the U.S. Congress and professional wrestling, but we probably shouldn't say it," Schwartz said.

A total of 84 percent of voters have seen McMahon campaign ads "very often" or "somewhat often," compared to 64 percent for Murphy. McMahon's ads are "very effective" or "somewhat effective," 66 percent of voters say, compared to 51 percent for Murphy.

"McMahon's blanketing the airwaves with TV ads appears to be working. More voters have seen her ads than Murphy's and more voters think they are effective," said Schwartz.

Presidential Race

With a 22-point lead among women, President Barack Obama leads Gov. Mitt Romney 54 - 42 percent among Connecticut likely voters, compared to 52 - 45 percent August 28.

Women back the president 59 - 37 percent, while men are divided, with 49 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama. Independent voters also are divided, with 48 percent for Obama and 45 percent for Romney.

Obama cares about their needs and problems, voters say 62 - 36 percent. Romney doesn't care, voters say 52 - 44 percent.

"President Barack Obama's lead has jumped into double digits, where it is expected to be in blue Connecticut," Schwartz said.

From September 28 - October 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,696 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Obama                54%     7%    93%    48%    47%    59%
Romney               42     92      6     45     49     37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 4      1      1      6      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                59%    50%    61%    56%    55%    51%    57%    54%    52%
Romney               38     45     31     40     41     46     40     41     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      -      1      -      1      -
DK/NA                 2      5      8      3      4      2      3      4      3
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Obama                54      52
Romney               42      45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -       -
DK/NA                 4       2
 
 
2. (If Obama q1) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     OBAMA Q1.........
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Very enthusiastic    56%    49%    62%
Somewht enthusiastic 36     40     34
Not so enthusiastic   5      8      3
Not enthus at all     2      4      1
DK/NA                 -      -      1
 
 
3. (If Romney q1) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     ROMNEY Q1........
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Very enthusiastic    52%    54%    51%
Somewht enthusiastic 38     37     39
Not so enthusiastic   6      6      6
Not enthus at all     3      3      4
DK/NA                 -      -      -
 
 
4. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1
                     Tot    Obama  Romney
 
Mind made up         91%    90%    91%
Might change          9      9      9
DK/NA                 1      1      -
 
TREND: (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS......
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Mind made up         91      87
Might change          9      12
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            42%    87%     8%    44%    48%    36%
Unfavorable          47      6     82     44     43     52
Hvn't hrd enough      9      6      9     11      8     11
REFUSED               2      -      2      2      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Favorable            42      41
Unfavorable          47      44
Hvn't hrd enough      9      14
REFUSED               2       2
 
 
5a. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly Fav         28%    64%     4%    28%    31%    26%
Somewhat Fav         13     23      4     16     17     10
Somewhat Unfav        9      3     11     10      8      9
Strongly Unfav       39      4     71     33     35     42
Hvn't hrd enough      9      6      9     11      8     11
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      -      2      2      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Strongly Fav         25%    31%    19%    28%    26%    32%    20%    27%    33%
Somewhat Fav         14     12     10     11     13     14     16     14     11
Somewhat Unfav       13      6      9     10     10      9     17      9      6
Strongly Unfav       41     37     48     37     42     35     38     38     40
Hvn't hrd enough      6     12     10     12      7      9      7     11      9
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      2      4      1      2      1      1      2      2
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            54%    11%    91%    49%    47%    59%
Unfavorable          43     87      7     47     49     37
Hvn't hrd enough      2      2      1      1      2      2
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Favorable            54      51
Unfavorable          43      46
Hvn't hrd enough      2       2
REFUSED               2       2
 
 
6a. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly Fav         40%     3%    76%    32%    32%    47%
Somewhat Fav         14      8     15     17     15     13
Somewhat Unfav        7      7      3      9      7      6
Strongly Unfav       36     80      4     39     42     31
Hvn't hrd enough      2      2      1      1      2      2
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      1      1      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Strongly Fav         42%    39%    47%    45%    39%    38%    39%    38%    41%
Somewhat Fav         19     11     13     16     16     14     17     16     10
Somewhat Unfav        7      6      8      4      5      8      9      7      6
Strongly Unfav       31     40     26     34     37     38     33     35     39
Hvn't hrd enough      -      3      5      -      1      1      -      2      2
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      2      1      1      2      1      3      1      1
 
7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Chris Murphy the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Murphy or McMahon?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Murphy               47%     6%    82%    43%    45%    50%
McMahon              48     91     13     52     52     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 4      2      5      5      3      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Murphy               52%    44%    52%    51%    50%    43%    47%    48%    48%
McMahon              43     51     40     45     45     53     48     48     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 4      5      8      4      4      3      5      4      4
 
                                                        Toll,Wndm
                     Farfld Hrtfrd Lchfld MdlSex NewHvn NewLon
 
Murphy               49%    51%    45%    41%    50%    37%
McMahon              48     44     49     50     45     58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 3      4      6      9      5      5
 
TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Chris Murphy the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Murphy or McMahon? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Murphy               47      46
McMahon              48      49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -       -
DK/NA                 4       4
 
 
8. (If Murphy q7) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Murphy, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     MURPHY Q7........
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Very enthusiastic    27%    25%    28%
Somewht enthusiastic 55     54     55
Not so enthusiastic  13     15     12
Not enthus at all     5      6      4
DK/NA                 -      -      1
 
 
9. (If McMahon q7) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting McMahon, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     MCMAHON Q7.......
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Very enthusiastic    50%    50%    49%
Somewht enthusiastic 39     38     41
Not so enthusiastic   9      9      9
Not enthus at all     2      3      2
DK/NA                 -      -      -
 
 
10. (If Senate candidate chosen q7) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS........
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q7..
                     Tot    Murphy McMahon
 
Mind made up         85%    83%    87%
Might change         14     16     13
DK/NA                 1      1      -
 
TREND: (If Senate candidate chosen) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS......
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q4
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Mind made up         85      79
Might change         14      20
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY VOTERS...............................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            45%    84%    14%    48%    49%    42%
Unfavorable          41      8     67     40     38     44
Hvn't hrd enough     12      7     17     11     12     13
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      2
 
                                                        Toll,Wndm
                     Farfld Hrtfrd Lchfld MdlSex NewHvn NewLon
 
Favorable            46%    43%    48%    42%    41%    53%
Unfavorable          42     43     45     40     40     37
Hvn't hrd enough     11     13      5     14     16      9
REFUSED               1      -      2      4      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Favorable            45      47
Unfavorable          41      35
Hvn't hrd enough     12      18
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
11a. Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly Fav         27%    59%     6%    27%    29%    25%
Somewhat Fav         18     24      8     21     19     16
Somewhat Unfav        9      3     11     10      9      9
Strongly Unfav       32      5     56     30     29     35
Hvn't hrd enough     12      7     17     11     12     13
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      2      2      1      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Strongly Fav         21%    31%    24%    23%    24%    31%    22%    27%    28%
Somewhat Fav         18     18     15     22     18     18     19     16     19
Somewhat Unfav       12      7      8     10     10     10      9     12      7
Strongly Unfav       36     29     39     27     36     30     20     31     38
Hvn't hrd enough     12     13     12     17     12     10     30     12      7
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      2      2      1      1      1      -      2      1
 
 
12. Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            36%     7%    64%    31%    33%    39%
Unfavorable          40     74     10     46     45     36
Hvn't hrd enough     23     19     25     22     22     23
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      -      2
 
                                                       Toll,Wndm
                     Farfld Hrtfrd Lchfld MdlSex NewHvn NewLon
 
Favorable            36%    40%    37%    31%    37%    31%
Unfavorable          40     36     52     42     34     51
Hvn't hrd enough     23     23      9     24     28     17
REFUSED               2      1      2      3      -      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Favorable            36      38
Unfavorable          40      30
Hvn't hrd enough     23      32
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
12a. Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly Fav         17%     4%    35%     9%    14%    19%
Somewhat Fav         19      3     29     22     19     20
Somewhat Unfav       12     18      4     16     13     12
Strongly Unfav       28     56      5     30     32     24
Hvn't hrd enough     23     19     25     22     22     23
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      1      1      1      -      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Strongly Fav         15%    18%    23%    18%    17%    13%     9%    15%    20%
Somewhat Fav         24     16     14     17     25     20     25     20     18
Somewhat Unfav       13     12      8     11     12     16     12     14     11
Strongly Unfav       24     30     25     25     25     30     17     26     31
Hvn't hrd enough     23     23     28     27     19     21     36     23     19
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      1      3      2      1      1      -      1      2
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              52%     8%    89%    47%    44%    58%
Disapprove           46     91      8     51     54     38
DK/NA                 3      1      3      2      2      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Approve              52      49
Disapprove           46      48
DK/NA                 3       2
 
 
13a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly App         32%     3%    62%    24%    25%    38%
Somewhat App         20      5     27     23     19     20
Somewhat Disapp       8     11      3     10     11      5
Strongly Disapp      38     80      4     41     43     33
DK/NA                 3      1      4      2      2      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Strongly App         32%    32%    39%    34%    32%    28%    31%    32%    31%
Somewhat App         26     16     19     24     22     20     23     22     18
Somewhat Disapp       7      8      8      7      7      8     10      9      6
Strongly Disapp      32     41     31     35     37     41     34     35     42
DK/NA                 3      3      3      1      2      2      2      3      3
 
 
14. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very satisfied        5%     2%    10%     3%     5%     5%
Smwht satisfied      35     15     54     33     32     39
Smwht dissatisfied   27     27     24     30     25     29
Very dissatisfied    32     57     11     33     37     26
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      1
 
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Very satisfied        5       3
Smwht satisfied      35      37
Smwht dissatisfied   27      32
Very dissatisfied    32      27
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
15. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Excellent             -      -      -      1%     -      1%
Good                 15      3     31     10     14     17
Not so good          44     30     53     45     40     47
Poor                 40     66     14     45     45     35
DK/NA                 1      1      2      -      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Excellent             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1%
Good                 16     15     22     14     14     16     16     13     17
Not so good          49     41     43     44     48     44     51     46     39
Poor                 34     43     32     41     37     40     33     40     42
DK/NA                 -      1      2      -      1      -      -      1      1
 
 
16. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Better               34%     6%    60%    29%    31%    37%
Worse                31     55     10     34     32     29
The same             35     39     30     36     37     33
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Better               40%    30%    33%    29%    37%    36%    32%    34%    34%
Worse                23     36     26     31     27     31     24     29     34
The same             37     34     39     39     36     32     45     36     31
DK/NA                 -      1      2      1      -      -      -      -      1
 
 
17. Would you describe the state of Connecticut's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Excellent             -      -      1%     1%     1%     -
Good                 24      7     40     20     21     27
Not so good          45     41     46     47     43     47
Poor                 29     50     11     31     35     25
DK/NA                 1      2      1      -      -      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Excellent             -      1%     1%     1%     -      -      1%     -      1%
Good                 27     22     27     17     24     29     35     23     21
Not so good          48     43     41     48     45     43     41     45     46
Poor                 24     33     29     33     29     27     21     32     30
DK/NA                 1      1      2      -      2      -      1      -      2
 
 
18. Do you think Connecticut's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Better               17%     3%    34%    13%    17%    18%
Worse                34     55     16     35     35     33
The same             47     40     48     51     48     47
DK/NA                 2      2      3      1      1      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Better               21%    15%    21%    13%    16%    21%    15%    16%    19%
Worse                29     37     23     31     36     33     19     36     36
The same             48     46     53     53     46     46     64     48     42
DK/NA                 2      2      3      4      2      1      2      1      3
 
 
19. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            49%     6%    89%    41%    43%    54%
Unfavorable          41     87      6     44     49     34
Hvn't hrd enough      8      5      5     11      7      9
REFUSED               2      1      1      4      1      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Favorable            49      41
Unfavorable          41      48
Hvn't hrd enough      8       9
REFUSED               2       2
 
 
19a. Is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly Fav         25%     1%    55%    14%    19%    30%
Somewhat Fav         24      6     33     27     24     24
Somewhat Unfav       10     15      2     15     13      8
Strongly Unfav       31     72      4     29     36     26
Hvn't hrd enough      8      5      5     11      7      9
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      1      1      4      1      3
 
 
20. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            38%    87%     6%    38%    43%    33%
Unfavorable          49      8     83     45     47     51
Hvn't hrd enough     11      5     10     14      9     13
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      1      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Favorable            38      36
Unfavorable          49      53
Hvn't hrd enough     11       9
REFUSED               2       2
 
 
20a. Is your opinion of the Republican party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly Fav         21%    59%     3%    15%    21%    21%
Somewhat Fav         17     28      3     23     22     13
Somewhat Unfav       11      4     10     15     11     10
Strongly Unfav       39      4     74     30     36     41
Hvn't hrd enough     11      5     10     14      9     13
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      1      1      3      1      3
 
 
21. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Obama                51%     5%    90%    46%    44%    57%
Romney               45     93      7     50     51     39
DK/NA                 4      2      3      5      5      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                56%    47%    58%    55%    53%    47%    55%    51%    49%
Romney               41     48     36     42     43     51     44     45     47
DK/NA                 3      5      6      3      5      2      1      4      4
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Obama                51      44
Romney               45      49
DK/NA                 4       8
 
 
22. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  62%    25%    93%    58%    57%    66%
No                   36     73      6     39     41     32
DK/NA                 2      2      1      3      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  67%    59%    68%    67%    61%    61%    67%    63%    59%
No                   32     39     30     32     36     38     33     35     38
DK/NA                 2      2      2      1      3      1      1      2      2
 
TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Yes                  62      57
No                   36      40
DK/NA                 2       2
 
 
23. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  44%    84%    14%    46%    49%    39%
No                   52     13     83     50     48     56
DK/NA                 4      3      3      4      3      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  42%    44%    37%    39%    40%    50%    45%    41%    46%
No                   54     52     56     58     56     48     53     55     51
DK/NA                 4      4      7      3      3      3      1      5      4
 
TREND: Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 04  Aug 28
                     2012    2012
 
Yes                  44      43
No                   52      49
DK/NA                 4       8
 
 
24. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Barack Obama is running his presidential campaign?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            54%    15%    85%    52%    50%    58%
Unfavorable          39     80      8     42     45     34
DK/NA                 6      5      7      6      5      7
 
 
24a. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Barack Obama is running his presidential campaign? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly Fav         31%     4%    60%    22%    25%    36%
Somewhat Fav         24     11     25     30     25     22
Somewhat Unfav        9     15      4     10     11      8
Strongly Unfav       30     65      4     31     33     27
DK/NA                 6      5      7      6      5      8
 
 
25. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Mitt Romney is running his presidential campaign?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            38%    74%    11%    40%    41%    35%
Unfavorable          54     22     79     52     53     55
DK/NA                 8      4     11      8      6     10
 
 
25a. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Mitt Romney is running his presidential campaign? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly Fav         17%    38%     3%    16%    15%    18%
Somewhat Fav         21     36      8     23     26     17
Somewhat Unfav       15     14     15     15     15     15
Strongly Unfav       39      8     63     37     38     40
DK/NA                 8      4     11      8      6     10
 
 
26. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Romney's recent comments about people who don't pay income taxes?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            29%    59%     6%    31%    37%    21%
Unfavorable          52     18     79     50     48     56
DK/NA                19     23     15     20     14     23
 
 
26a. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Romney's recent comments about people who don't pay income taxes? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly Fav         20%    43%     4%    20%    27%    14%
Somewhat Fav          8     15      2     10     11      7
Somewhat Unfav        9     10      7      9      8      9
Strongly Unfav       44      8     72     40     40     47
DK/NA                19     23     15     20     14     24
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Strongly Fav         18%    22%    14%    15%    20%    22%    15%    18%    23%
Somewhat Fav          7      9      9      9      8     10     14      8      8
Somewhat Unfav       11      7     10      7      9      9      7      9      8
Strongly Unfav       50     39     44     45     45     45     39     45     45
DK/NA                14     23     23     24     18     14     24     20     16
 
 
27. Generally speaking, what do you think is the better qualification for being a U.S. senator, previous experience in business, or previous experience in politics?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Business             53%    84%    23%    59%    57%    48%
Politics             36      6     62     32     33     39
NEITHER (VOL)         4      3      5      3      4      5
DK/NA                 7      6     10      5      6      8
 
 
27a. Generally speaking, what do you think is the better qualification for being a U.S. senator, previous experience in business, or previous experience in politics? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly Business    38%    67%    11%    43%    43%    33%
Somewhat Business    15     17     12     17     14     16
Somewhat Politics    19      3     30     18     17     20
Strongly Politics    18      3     32     14     16     19
NEITHER (VOL)         4      3      5      3      4      5
DK/NA                 7      6     10      5      6      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Strongly Business    33%    40%    33%    36%    35%    42%    34%    38%    39%
Somewhat Business    15     15     14     18     16     14     20     17     11
Somewhat Politics    25     14     16     20     21     20     21     21     16
Strongly Politics    16     19     26     19     17     15     16     15     20
NEITHER (VOL)         5      3      2      2      5      5      4      4      5
DK/NA                 6      8     10      6      7      4      5      6      8
 
 
28. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in Connecticut are having, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Murphy               45%     8%    75%    41%    41%    48%
McMahon              46     83     14     50     52     40
DK/NA                10      8     11      9      8     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Murphy               48%    42%    52%    47%    46%    43%    42%    46%    45%
McMahon              41     48     38     43     42     52     41     46     47
DK/NA                11      9      9     10     13      5     17      8      8
 
 
29. Now thinking of Linda McMahon, how often would you say you've been seeing her campaign advertisements on television recently, very often, somewhat often, just occasionally or rarely?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very often           64%    55%    70%    63%    58%    70%
Somewhat often       20     28     14     23     25     16
Just occasionally     7      9      7      7      8      7
Rarely                4      5      4      3      5      3
NEVER(VOL)            -      1      -      1      -      1
DON'T WATCH TV(VOL)   3      3      3      2      3      3
DK/NA                 1      -      2      1      -      1
 
 
30. Now thinking of Chris Murphy, how often would you say you've been seeing his campaign advertisements on television recently, very often, somewhat often, just occasionally or rarely?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very often           35%    37%    32%    37%    33%    37%
Somewhat often       29     29     30     30     30     28
Just occasionally    21     18     24     19     21     20
Rarely               11     13      9     11     13     10
NEVER(VOL)            1      1      -      1      1      1
DON'T WATCH TV(VOL)   3      2      3      2      2      3
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      1
 
 
31. From what you've seen, would you say Linda McMahon's ads are very effective at making their point, somewhat effective, not so effective or not effective at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very effective       26%    44%    15%    26%    25%    28%
Somewhat effective   40     40     36     42     41     38
Not so effective     13      6     19     13     14     12
Not effective at all 16      5     23     16     16     17
DK/NA                 5      5      6      3      4      5
 
 
32. From what you've seen, would you say Chris Murphy's ads are very effective at making their point, somewhat effective, not so effective or not effective at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very effective        8%     4%    14%     6%     6%    10%
Somewhat effective   43     27     55     42     40     45
Not so effective     22     29     14     25     26     18
Not effective at all 20     31      9     22     21     19
DK/NA                 7      9      7      6      7      7
 
 
33. In general, would you say your opinion of professional wrestling is very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very positive         5%     8%     2%     4%     6%     4%
Somewhat positive    18     23     17     18     23     14
Somewhat negative    31     31     29     33     31     31
Very negative        30     18     42     28     25     35
DK/NA                16     20     10     18     16     16
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very positive         2%     6%     5%     3%     6%     3%    10%     5%     3%
Somewhat positive    18     19     16     18     18     19     23     20     16
Somewhat negative    34     29     31     32     33     32     38     34     26
Very negative        33     28     32     35     27     30     21     27     36
DK/NA                13     18     16     12     16     15      8     14     18
 
 
34. In general, would you say your opinion of the U.S. Congress is very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very positive         2%     3%     3%     -      2%     2%
Somewhat positive    24     27     29     17     18     29
Somewhat negative    37     37     36     38     36     38
Very negative        34     30     28     40     42     27
DK/NA                 3      3      4      4      2      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very positive         2%     2%     3%     1%     2%     1%     2%     2%     1%
Somewhat positive    20     27     32     32     22     18     29     24     22
Somewhat negative    39     36     34     31     39     39     29     41     35
Very negative        38     31     24     33     34     39     36     31     37
DK/NA                 2      5      7      3      2      2      4      2      5
 
 
35. Thinking about McMahon's work as a professional wrestling executive would you say you approve strongly, approve somewhat, disapprove somewhat or disapprove strongly?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve strongly     20%    38%     7%    19%    25%    16%
Approve somewhat     30     38     24     33     30     31
Disapprove somewhat  18      9     23     18     16     19
Disapprove strongly  19      3     33     16     17     21
DK/NA                13     11     13     14     12     13
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve strongly     16%    23%    18%    18%    18%    22%    25%    20%    19%
Approve somewhat     32     30     19     36     30     35     40     34     24
Disapprove somewhat  18     18     25     17     20     16     14     19     19
Disapprove strongly  21     17     24     19     17     16     14     16     23
DK/NA                12     13     14     10     14     11      7     12     15
 
 
36. Thinking about Murphy's work as a member of Congress would you say you approve strongly, approve somewhat, disapprove somewhat or disapprove strongly?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve strongly     10%     1%    23%     5%     9%    12%
Approve somewhat     35     11     51     37     33     37
Disapprove somewhat  25     32     13     30     24     25
Disapprove strongly  23     48      5     22     29     17
DK/NA                 7      8      7      6      5      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve strongly     11%    10%    12%    14%    11%     9%     7%    11%    11%
Approve somewhat     39     33     31     35     38     37     38     38     33
Disapprove somewhat  22     27     30     24     24     23     27     24     24
Disapprove strongly  20     24     19     21     21     25     20     21     25
DK/NA                 7      6      8      7      7      6      8      6      7
 
 
37. As far as you've heard, do you think Chris Murphy has handled his personal finances appropriately or inappropriately?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Appropriately        30%    11%    47%    27%    31%    30%
Inappropriately      49     70     30     53     52     46
DK/NA                21     19     23     21     18     24
 
 
37a. As far as you've heard, do you think Chris Murphy has handled his personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approp Strongly       9%     1%    16%     6%    10%     8%
Approp Somewhat      21     10     31     21     21     21
Inapprop Somewhat    21     20     18     24     22     19
Inapprop Strongly    28     49     12     29     29     27
DK/NA                21     19     23     21     18     25
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approp Strongly       7%    10%    13%    10%     8%     8%     9%     9%     9%
Approp Somewhat      23     20     22     24     23     22     35     23     16
Inapprop Somewhat    22     20     18     17     23     22     11     23     22
Inapprop Strongly    25     30     23     27     27     31     23     26     31
DK/NA                23     20     24     22     19     18     23     18     23
 
 
38. As far as you've heard, do you think Linda McMahon has handled her personal finances appropriately or inappropriately?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Appropriately        49%    76%    30%    49%    57%    42%
Inappropriately      34     13     51     34     30     38
DK/NA                16     11     19     17     12     20
 
 
38a. As far as you've heard, do you think Linda McMahon has handled her personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approp Strongly      23%    47%     9%    21%    28%    19%
Approp Somewhat      26     30     21     28     29     23
Inapprop Somewhat    15      8     17     17     14     15
Inapprop Strongly    19      5     33     17     16     22
DK/NA                17     11     19     17     12     20
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approp Strongly      20%    25%    20%    20%    25%    24%    25%    23%    23%
Approp Somewhat      29     24     24     25     26     29     34     28     22
Inapprop Somewhat    15     15     16     17     15     16     12     17     14
Inapprop Strongly    18     21     23     20     20     17      9     17     26
DK/NA                18     16     18     18     15     15     20     15     16
 
 
39. How concerned are you, if at all, about the amount of her own money that McMahon is spending on her election campaign; are you very concerned about this, somewhat concerned, not so concerned or not concerned at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very concerned       18%     2%    29%    18%    17%    18%
Somewhat concerned   14      9     19     14     15     14
Not so concerned     15     15     14     15     15     15
Not concerned at all 52     73     37     52     52     51
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very concerned       23%    14%    18%    13%    19%    19%    13%    15%    22%
Somewhat concerned   16     13     14     16     17     13     15     14     14
Not so concerned     15     15     19     14     14     16     14     17     13
Not concerned at all 44     57     48     57     49     51     58     53     49
DK/NA                 2      1      1      1      1      1      -      1      2
 
 
40. Do you think the McMahon campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Saying true things   46%    76%    26%    46%    50%    43%
Misleading people    44     16     64     45     43     45
DK/NA                 9      8     10      9      7     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Saying true things   45%    47%    43%    45%    44%    51%    57%    48%    42%
Misleading people    47     43     45     46     46     43     37     46     45
DK/NA                 9     10     12      9     10      6      6      7     13
 
 
41. Do you think the Murphy campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Saying true things   39%    15%    61%    35%    37%    41%
Misleading people    47     70     26     52     52     42
DK/NA                14     15     14     14     11     17
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Saying true things   44%    36%    40%    38%    43%    40%    45%    42%    35%
Misleading people    42     50     44     49     44     48     44     45     48
DK/NA                14     14     16     13     14     12     11     12     17
 
 
42. Do you plan on watching any of the upcoming senate debates between Chris Murphy and Linda McMahon or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  70%    75%    68%    69%    69%    71%
No                   25     20     27     26     28     23
DK/NA                 5      4      5      4      3      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  67%    72%    72%    69%    72%    69%    67%    68%    73%
No                   28     24     22     25     25     27     30     27     23
DK/NA                 5      4      6      6      3      4      3      5      5
 
 
43. Do you think the candidates are likely to do or say anything during the debates that would make you change your mind about who to vote for or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  22%    16%    20%    26%    21%    24%
No                   72     79     74     69     76     69
DK/NA                 5      5      6      5      4      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  22%    23%    20%    24%    25%    23%    32%    26%    17%
No                   74     71     71     72     72     74     65     70     77
DK/NA                 4      6      9      5      4      3      3      5      6
 
 
44. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will win the debates, Murphy or McMahon?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Murphy               35%    12%    58%    31%    36%    35%
McMahon              41     68     18     43     43     38
DK/NA                24     20     24     26     21     27
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Murphy               39%    33%    37%    33%    39%    35%    43%    40%    29%
McMahon              37     43     35     38     40     46     42     40     41
DK/NA                25     24     28     29     21     20     14     21     30
 
 

Demographic Summary