March 14, 2003 - Unnamed Democrat Beats Bush In Connecticut, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Lieberman-Clinton Is A Dead Heat For Dems
Connecticut voters would back the Democratic Party nominee - as yet unnamed - over Republican incumbent George W. Bush 51 - 37 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.

If Sen. Joseph Lieberman is the Democratic candidate, he edges President Bush 48 - 45 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

In the unnamed Democrat scenario, Republicans back Bush 82 - 10 percent, while Democrats go with the party 87 - 9 percent and independent voters go Democratic 49 -34 percent.

In the Bush-Lieberman matchup, Republicans support Bush 84 - 12 percent, while Democrats go with the native son 77 - 15 percent and independent voters split 46 - 44 percent, with the edge to Lieberman.

"Connecticut voters feel just fine about Joseph Lieberman being their Senator, but they are not so sure they want him to be President. When the state's favorite son is put up against Hillary Clinton in a democratic primary or against George Bush in a general election matchup, Connecticut is up for grabs. Lieberman does blow away the field when matched against the current Democratic contenders," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D.

"Public anxiety over the economy and the threat of war are taking their toll on Bush's job approval rating which is at its lowest of his Presidency," Dr. Schwartz added.

Connecticut voters approve 49 - 45 percent of the job President Bush is doing. Lieberman gets a 60 - 28 percent approval, while Sen. Christopher Dodd gets a 57 - 22 percent approval. Democratic Primary

If New York Sen. Hillary Clinton seeks the Democratic nomination, she gets 30 percent to Lieberman's 31 percent - a dead heat - among Connecticut Democrats, followed by:
  • Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry with 13 percent;
  • Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt and former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean with 5 percent each;
  • North Carolina Sen. John Edwards with 4 percent;
  • Former Illinois Sen. Carol Moseley-Braun with 2 percent;
  • Rev. Al Sharpton, Florida Sen. Robert Graham and Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich with 1 percent each.
With Clinton out of the running, Lieberman is the odds-on favorite with 41 percent, followed by Kerry with 18 percent and
  • Gephardt with 8 percent;
  • Edwards with 6 percent;
  • Dean with 5 percent;
  • Moseley-Braun with 4 percent;
  • Sharpton and Graham with 2 percent each;
  • Kucinich with 1 percent.
From March 5 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,056 Connecticut voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The survey includes 319 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 5.5 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and the nation as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 49% 85% 22% 48% 57% 42% 49% Disapprove 45 13 70 45 39 51 43 DK/NA 6 3 8 7 4 8 8



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 60% 55% 66% 60% 59% 61% 65% Disapprove 28 39 22 26 34 23 24 DK/NA 12 6 12 14 7 16 11



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Dodd is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 57% 48% 68% 55% 58% 56% 57% Disapprove 22 38 11 20 27 17 21 DK/NA 21 14 21 25 15 26 22



5. If Christopher Dodd runs for re-election to the Senate in 2004, in general are you more likely to vote for Dodd or for the Republican party's candidate for Senator?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Dodd 51% 19% 82% 47% 46% 56% 61% Republican 26 63 4 22 31 21 20 OTHER(VOL) 3 3 2 5 4 3 3 DK/NA 20 16 11 26 20 19 17



6. Now I'm going to name nine Democrats who might run for president in 2004. After I read all nine names, tell me which one you would most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004. Here are the choices... Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, the Reverend Al Sharpton, Florida Senator Bob Graham, former Illinois Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, or Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich.
                             
                          Dem


Lieberman 41% Kerry 18 Gephardt 8 Edwards 6 Dean 5 Sharpton 2 Graham 2 Moseley-Braun 4 Kucinich 1 DK/NA 12



7. Suppose New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decides to run for president in 2004. Who would you most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004? -- New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, the Reverend Al Sharpton, Florida Senator Bob Graham, former Illinois Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, or Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich.

                          Dem


Clinton 30% Lieberman 31 Kerry 13 Gephardt 5 Edwards 4 Dean 5 Sharpton 1 Graham 1 Moseley-Braun 2 Kucinich 1 DK/NA 8



8. If George W. Bush runs for re-election in 2004, in general are you more likely to vote for Bush or for the Democratic Party's candidate for president?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Bush 37% 82% 9% 34% 46% 29% 33% Democrat 51 10 87 49 42 59 56

OTHER(VOL) 2 - - 3 2 1 - DK/NA 11 7 4 14 11 11 10



9. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Lieberman the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Lieberman 48% 12% 77% 46% 37% 56% 50% Bush 45 84 15 44 56 35 43

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 2 2 1 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 3 4 4