July 31, 2003 - Budget, Integrity Problems Sink Rowland Approval, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Bush-Lieberman Race Would Be Close In Connecticut
Plagued by low ratings for his handling of Connecticut's budget problems and ethical questions, Gov. John Rowland's approval rating has sunk to 31 - 58 percent, the lowest rating ever measured for a governor in Quinnipiac University's 10 years of polling.

For years Gov. Rowland routinely topped 60 percent, frequently with the highest approval among governors in Connecticut, New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania, as measured by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Connecticut voters also give the State Legislature a 29 - 57 percent approval rating, a 2 -1 negative, and 92 percent say the state's failure to enact a budget is a "somewhat serious" or "very serious" problem.

Connecticut voters say 50 - 44 percent that their Governor has strong leadership qualities, but they say 58 - 36 percent that he does not care about their needs and problems. Rowland does not have high ethical standards, voters say 51 - 36 percent.

"Has Gov. Rowland signed a long-term lease in the public opinion basement? He can take some comfort from the fact that the State Legislature is in the basement as well. The problem for all of them is the state budget - or lack of budget," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D.

"Rowland also is plagued by voter concern about his ethics."

Rowland gets negative ratings for his handling of key issues:
  • 24 - 71 percent for handling the state budget;
  • 39 - 50 percent for handling education;
  • 27 - 68 percent for handling the economy and jobs;
  • 28 - 68 percent for handling taxes;
  • 28 - 46 percent for handling appointments to high level positions. Presidential Race
Among Democrats, Sen. Joseph Lieberman leads the presidential pack with 37 percent, but former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean has jumped to 17 percent, tying Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry. Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt has 8 percent. No other Democratic contender breaks 4 percent, with 10 percent undecided.

If New York Sen. Hillary Clinton changes her mind and throws her hat into the presidential ring, she leads among Democrats with 33 percent, bumping Lieberman to 23 percent. Kerry has 11 percent, followed by Dean with 10 percent and Gephardt with 6 percent. No other Democrat breaks 3 percent and undecided gets 8 percent.

Bush edges Lieberman 47 - 44 percent. Against other Democrats, Bush leads:
  • 53 - 38 percent over Clinton;
  • 49 - 43 percent over Kerry;
  • 53 - 39 percent over Gephardt;
  • 53 - 38 percent over Dean.
"Sen. Lieberman's job approval rating used to consistently hover around 70 percent. Now it is at an all time low of 51 percent. His drop has been especially dramatic among Democrats. Although Lieberman still leads the field in the Democratic primary, he has lost some ground, and Gov. Dean has moved up," Dr. Schwartz added.

From July 23 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,384 Connecticut voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent. The survey includes 427 Democrats with a margin of error of 4.7 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and the nation as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks


TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Rowland is handling his job as Governor of Connecticut? ((LV)Likely Voters)

                          App     Dis     DK/NA
                          
Jul 31, 2003              31%     58%     11%
Apr 30, 2003              33      54      13 
Mar 13,2003               33      57      10
Oct 17, 2002              62      29       9 
Oct 2, 2002               58      31      11
Jul 31, 2002              54      32      14
May 23, 2002              63      24      13
Feb 14, 2002              65      21      14
Dec 19, 2001              78      14       8
Apr 19, 2001              70      20      10
Feb 21, 2001              66      20      14
Sep 21, 2000(LV)          67      21      13
Jul 20, 2000              68      23      10
Jun 21, 2000              66      23      10
Apr 13, 2000              66      23      11
Feb 18, 2000              67      22      11
Oct 14, 1999              63      25      12
Jun 24, 1999              67      26       7
May 4, 1999               63      26      11
Nov 2, 1998(LV)           77      19       4
Oct 21, 1998              76      17       7
Oct 1, 1998               75      17       9
Jun 24, 1998              69      23       8
Apr 1, 1998               69      23       8
Feb 18, 1998              71      21       7
Nov 19, 1997              61      30       8
Oct 8, 1997               61      32       8
Jul 16, 1997              56      34      10
Feb 25, 1997              63      28       8
Nov 1, 1996               60      26      14
Oct 6, 1996               61      25      14
Jul 3, 1996               56      30      14
Mar 27, 1996              51      34      15
                          


TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling h is job as President? ((LV)Likely Voters)

                          App     Dis     DK/NA
                          
Jul 31, 2003              54%     41%      5%
May 1, 2003               64      29       7
March 14, 2003            49      45       6
October 17, 2002(LV)      64      29       7 
October 2, 2002           61      32       7
August 1, 2002            59      34       7
July 31, 2002             59      34       7
May 23, 2002              70      24       6
February 14, 2002         79      16       6
December 19, 2001         87      10       2
April 19, 2001            55      33      12
February 21, 2001         49      30      21




TREND: Do you approve or diapprove of the way Christopher Dodd is handling his job as United States Senator? ((LV)Likely Voters)

                          App     Dis     DK/NA
                          
Jul 31, 2003              58%     20%     22%
May 1, 2003               52      16      31 
March 14, 2003            57      22      21 
October 2, 2002           58      21      21
August 1, 2002            61      20      19
July 31, 2002             61      20      19
May 23, 2002              61      18      21
February 14, 2002         52      17      31
December 19, 2001         63      20      18
April 19, 2001            71      16      13
February 21, 2001         68      15      16
September 21, 2000(LV)    66      20      14
July 20, 2000             64      24      12
June  21, 2000            64      21      14
April 13, 2000            63      22      15
February 18, 2000         64      21      16
October 14, 1999          70      22       8
June 24, 1999             65      25      10
May 5, 1999               61      25      14
November 2, 1998(LV)      62      31       7
October 22, 1998          62      27      11
October 2, 1998           60      27      12
June 25, 1998             61      27      11
April 2, 1998             60      27      13
February 19, 1998         59      30      11
November 19, 1997         57      31      12
October 9, 1997           56      34      10
July 15, 1997             62      27      12
February 25, 1997         54      30      16
July 3, 1996              56      26      18
March 27, 1996            58      30      13
April 20, 1995            60      26      15
August 22, 1994           56      27      17




TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator? ((LV)Likely Voters)

                          App     Dis     DK/NA
                             
Jul 31, 2003              51%     33%     17%
May 1, 2003               53      25      22
March 14, 2003            60      28      12
October 2, 2002           58      29      13
August 1, 2002            64      26      10
July 31, 2002             64      26      10
May 23, 2002              65      23      12
February 14, 2002         64      21      15
December 19, 2001         71      19      10
April 19, 2001            71      22       7
February 21, 2001         71      20       9
September 21, 2000(LV)    80      14       6
July 20, 2000             74      15      11
June 21, 2000             72      14      14
April 13, 2000            71      14      14
February 18, 2000         73      14      13
October 14, 1999          73      16      11
June 24, 1999             71      19      10
May 5, 1999               67      19      14
October 22, 1998          70      16      14
October 2, 1998           71      17      12
June 25, 1998             68      16      16
April 2, 1998             69      16      15
February 19, 1998         69      16      15
November 19, 1997         69      17      13
October 9, 1997           71      18      11
July 15, 1997             72      14      15
February 25, 1997         66      18      16
July 3, 1996              68      18      14
March 27, 1996            66      17      17
April 20, 1995            63      19      18
August 22, 1994           55      23      22
July 19, 1994             58      16      26




TREND: Now I'am going to name nine Democrats who might run for president in 2004. After I read all nine names, tell me which one would you most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004. Here are the choices... Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, the Reverand Al Sharpton, Florida Senator Bob Graham, former Illinois Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, or Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich.

                          Democrats..........
                          Jul     May     Mar
                          2003    2003    2003
                          
Lieberman                 37%     46%     41%
Kerry                     17      18      18 
Gephardt                   8       9       8 
Edwards                    3       3       6 
Dean                      17       6       5 
Sharpton                   3       5       2 
Graham                     2       1       2 
Moseley-Braun              4       1       4 
Kucinich                   -       -       1 
DK/NA                     10      11      12


TREND: Suppose New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decides to run for president in 2004. Who would you most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004? -- New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton,Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, the Reverand Al Sharpton, Florida Senator Bob Graham, former Illinois Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, or Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich.

                          Democrats..........
                          Jul     May     Mar
                          2003    2003    2003
                          
Clinton                   33%     31%     30%
Lieberman                 23      35      31 
Kerry                     11      11      13 
Gephardt                   6       6       5 
Edwards                    3       1       4 
Dean                      10       6       5 
Sharpton                   1       1       1 
Graham                     2       1       1 
Moseley-Braun              2       1       2 
Kucinich                   2       -       1 
DK/NA                      8       8       8 




1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Rowland is handling his job as Governor?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Approve 31% 55% 13% 30% 36% 26% 19% Disapprove 58 34 77 59 55 60 74 DK/NA 11 12 10 10 8 13 7



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Approve 54% 89% 25% 53% 60% 50% 53% Disapprove 41 10 70 41 37 45 44 DK/NA 5 1 6 6 4 6 4



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Approve 51% 41% 59% 53% 48% 54% 56% Disapprove 33 43 23 32 38 28 31 DK/NA 17 16 18 15 15 18 13



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Dodd is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Approve 58% 45% 75% 57% 56% 60% 65% Disapprove 20 30 10 20 24 16 18 DK/NA 22 25 14 23 20 24 18



5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Approve 29% 28% 32% 27% 25% 32% 28% Disapprove 57 60 56 58 64 51 61 DK/NA 14 12 12 15 11 16 11



6. Now I'm going to name nine Democrats who might run for president in 2004. After I read all nine names, tell me which one you would most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004. Here are the choices -- Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, the Reverend Al Sharpton, Florida Senator Bob Graham, former Illinois Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, or Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich.

                              
                          Dem 


Lieberman 37% Kerry 17 Gephardt 8 Edwards 3 Dean 17 Sharpton 3 Graham 2 Moseley-Braun 4 Kucinich - DK/NA 10



7. Suppose New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decides to run for president in 2004. Who would you most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004? -- New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, the Reverend Al Sharpton, Florida Senator Bob Graham, former Illinois Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, or Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich.

                              
                          Dem 


Clinton 33% Lieberman 23 Kerry 11 Gephardt 6 Edwards 3 Dean 10 Sharpton 1 Graham 2 Moseley-Braun 2 Kucinich 2 DK/NA 8



8. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Clinton 38% 5% 74% 34% 29% 46% 49% Bush 53 92 17 56 62 45 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 3 3 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 4 4 3 4 3 DK/NA 3 1 3 3 3 3 3



9. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Lieberman the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Lieberman 44% 7% 78% 44% 37% 50% 54% Bush 47 91 12 45 53 41 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 3 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 5 2 3 2 2 DK/NA 5 1 5 6 5 5 3



10. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Kerry 43% 8% 78% 39% 40% 45% 53% Bush 49 89 15 50 55 45 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 2 1 DK/NA 6 3 5 7 4 7 3



11. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Dick Gephardt the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Gephardt 39% 5% 75% 36% 34% 43% 47% Bush 53 93 16 55 58 49 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 - DK/NA 6 2 6 6 6 5 7



12. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Howard Dean the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Dean 38% 6% 71% 35% 34% 41% 45% Bush 53 92 19 52 58 48 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 2 1 2 1 DK/NA 7 2 7 9 6 8 4



13. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Very satisfied 4% 6% 2% 4% 5% 2% 1% Smwht satisfied 34 49 25 32 34 33 26 Smwht dissatisfied 37 32 40 39 37 38 39 Very dissatisfied 24 13 32 25 21 27 33 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1 1



14. Would you say that John Rowland has strong leadership qualities or not?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Yes 50% 66% 36% 52% 56% 46% 41% No 44 28 58 45 40 49 55 DK/NA 5 6 6 4 4 6 4



15. Would you say that John Rowland is honest and trustworthy or not?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Yes 37% 59% 21% 35% 41% 33% 24% No 51 29 66 52 48 53 67 DK/NA 13 12 13 12 11 14 9



16. Would you say that John Rowland cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Yes 36% 62% 16% 34% 42% 30% 24% No 58 31 78 60 53 62 72 DK/NA 7 7 6 7 5 8 4



17. Would you say that John Rowland has high ethical standards or not?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Yes 36% 53% 22% 37% 41% 33% 23% No 51 33 66 51 48 54 69 DK/NA 13 14 12 12 12 14 9



18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Rowland is handling -- the state budget?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Approve 24% 48% 7% 21% 29% 19% 16% Disapprove 71 45 88 73 65 76 81 DK/NA 5 7 4 6 5 6 3



19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Rowland is handling -- education?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Approve 39% 58% 23% 40% 45% 33% 34% Disapprove 50 30 66 49 42 57 58 DK/NA 11 12 11 11 12 10 8



20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Rowland is handling the -- economy and jobs?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Approve 27% 47% 11% 26% 33% 21% 17% Disapprove 68 44 84 70 62 72 79 DK/NA 6 10 5 4 5 6 3



21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Rowland is handling -- taxes?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Approve 28% 49% 15% 26% 36% 21% 21% Disapprove 68 45 80 71 61 73 76 DK/NA 4 7 5 3 3 6 3



22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Rowland is handling -- appointments to high level positions?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Approve 28% 43% 18% 27% 33% 25% 22% Disapprove 46 30 60 46 43 49 60 DK/NA 25 26 22 27 24 26 18



23. Would you describe the state of Connecticut's economy these days as: Excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Excellent 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% - Good 28 46 18 24 33 24 22 Not so good 47 39 52 50 45 49 52 Poor 23 13 29 24 20 25 26 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 -



24. During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in Connecticut will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Get better 29% 46% 19% 28% 35% 24% 18% Get worse 18 8 23 21 14 21 24 Stay the same 50 46 53 49 48 51 55 DK/NA 3 - 5 2 2 3 4



25. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Better off 35% 45% 24% 36% 40% 30% 36% Worse off 42 29 54 42 36 48 42 SAME(VOL) 22 23 20 21 22 21 21 DK/NA 1 2 2 1 1 2 1



26.Connecticut has not had a budget since July first, the start of the fiscal year. Do you think that the state's failure to pass a budget is a very serious problem, somewhat serious, not very serious, or not serious at all?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Very serious problem 58% 50% 60% 60% 52% 63% 60% Smwht serious 34 37 34 32 37 30 36 Not very serious 5 9 5 4 7 4 3 Not serious at all 2 2 1 2 3 1 1 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 1 2 -



27. Who do you think is most responsible for the state's failure to pass a budget - Governor Rowland, the State Legislature, or are they both equally to blame?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Rowland 14% 5% 26% 12% 12% 16% 25% State Legislature 20 40 6 18 28 12 16 Equally to blame 63 51 64 69 58 68 58 DK/NA 3 3 4 1 2 3 1



29. (If "State Leg" or "Equally" on q28 ask) Is it mainly the Republicans in the State Legislature or the Democrats, who are mainly responsible for the failure to pass a budget?

                          STATE LEG. OR EQUALLY TO BLAME Q28....................
                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Republicans 20% 4% 41% 18% 17% 23% 26% Democrats 30 60 9 24 38 22 21 BOTH(VOL) 27 20 25 31 28 27 29 DK/NA 23 16 24 27 18 28 23



30. To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHlds


Raising taxes 43% 28% 58% 41% 38% 46% 54% Cutting services 43 63 26 43 50 37 33 DK/NA 15 10 16 16 12 17 12