February 17, 2000 - McCain Is Top Gun In Connecticut, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; Gore Tops Bradley Among Democrats
Arizona Sen. John McCain has a 52 - 39 percent lead over Texas Gov. George W. Bush among Connecticut likely Republican primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac College Poll released today. Among all registered voters, McCain is the top vote-getter in November.

Among likely Democratic primary voters, Vice President Al Gore is ahead of former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley 49 - 41 percent.

Among all Connecticut registered voters, the Presidential Election in November shows:
  • McCain over Gore 55 - 33 percent;
  • McCain over Bradley 50 - 34 percent;
  • Gore over Bush 45 - 42 percent, too close to call but a big bounce for Gore, who trailed Bush 52 - 36 percent in an October 13 Quinnipiac College Poll;
  • Bradley over Bush 48 - 38 percent;
From February 9 - 15, Quinnipiac College surveyed 1,365 Connecticut registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent. The survey includes 426 likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percent, and 333 likely Republican primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 5.4 percent.

"John McCain has become the favorite among all voters in Connecticut. Despite Gov. Rowland's early backing of George W. Bush, rank and file Republican voters are picking John McCain," said Quinnipiac College Poll Director Douglas Schwartz.

"McCain clearly got a big bounce out of New Hampshire. Not only does he lead Bush in the primary, but he easily beats Gore and Bradley in the general election. McCain has unusually strong appeal to Democrats who give him a 41-12 percent favorability rating.

"On the Democratic side, Vice President Gore has taken an 8-point lead over Sen. Bradley. The race is close enough that Bradley still has a chance in Connecticut. Half of the Democratic voters say they might change their minds before the election," Schwartz added.

"Bradley is now trailing in Connecticut and New York. These two state's are critical for Bradley. If he can't win here with the built in advantage of being a former New York Knick star and former New Jersey Senator, it is doubtful he can win anywhere else."

Looking at Gore and Bradley's characteristics, Connecticut Democrats say:
  • 64 - 22 percent that Gore would do a better job getting things done in Washington;
  • 62 - 26 percent that Gore has a better chance of winning in November;
  • 42 - 42 percent on who has a better vision for the country's future;
  • 50 - 25 percent that Gore will do a better job keeping the economy strong;
  • 50 - 35 percent that Bradley is more in touch with the average American than Gore;
  • 42 - 36 percent that Bradley is someone you can trust more than Gore;
  • 31 - 25 percent, with 41 percent undecided, that Gore has a better health care plan.
Looking at Bush and McCain's characteristics, Connecticut Republicans say:
  • 43 - 42 percent, a tie on who would do a better job getting things done in Washington;
  • 57 - 33 percent that Bush has a better chance of winning in November;
  • 50 - 35 percent that McCain has a better vision for the country's future;
  • 43 - 31 percent that Bush will do a better job keeping the economy strong;
  • 57 - 26 percent that McCain is more in touch with the average American than Bush;
  • 49 - 31 percent that McCain is someone your can trust more than Bush;
  • 44 - 36 percent that Bush is better prepared to be President;
  • 53 - 25 percent that McCain is closer to their view on campaign finance reform;
  • 31 - 29 percent, a tie, with 38 percent undecided, on who has a better tax plan.
The Quinnipiac College Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 59% 27% 83% 62% 55% 63%

Disapprove 36 69 14 32 41 32

DK/NA 4 3 3 6 3 5



7. Is your opinion of Al Gore favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 25% 7% 47% 22% 22% 29%

Unfavorable 37 70 16 33 44 30

Mixed 30 19 30 35 28 31

Haven't hrd enough 7 3 6 8 5 8

REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1



8. Is your opinion of Bill Bradley favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 35% 35% 37% 34% 40% 30%

Unfavorable 14 18 11 13 17 10

Mixed 28 28 30 28 27 30

Haven't hrd enough 22 18 21 24 15 29

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1



9. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 26% 54% 10% 22% 30% 22%

Unfavorable 40 13 62 42 37 43

Mixed 27 30 22 29 27 27

Haven't hrd enough 6 3 6 6 5 7

REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1



10. Is your opinion of Alan Keyes favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 11% 21% 5% 10% 15% 8%

Unfavorable 19 15 28 17 23 16

Mixed 9 12 7 9 11 8

Haven't hrd enough 58 50 60 61 49 67

REFUSED 2 2 - 2 2 1



11. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 49% 57% 41% 50% 55% 43%

Unfavorable 9 7 12 8 8 9

Mixed 24 26 26 23 24 25

Haven't hrd enough 18 10 21 18 13 22

REFUSED - - - 1 - 0



12. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Gore 45% 9% 81% 42% 40% 50% Bush 42 84 11 40 50 35

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 4 6 4 5 DK/NA 6 2 3 9 4 7



13. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Bill Bradley the Democrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Bradley 48% 18% 77% 47% 47% 50% Bush 38 76 12 35 43 34

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 3 4 2 4 DK/NA 8 4 6 12 7 10



14. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat, and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Gore 33% 7% 63% 29% 28% 39% McCain 55 88 25 57 65 45

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 1 3 DK/NA 9 3 9 11 6 12



15. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Bill Bradley the Democrat, and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Bradley 34% 13% 62% 28% 31% 36% McCain 50 79 24 51 57 43

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 3 5 3 5 DK/NA 12 6 10 14 8 15



17. If the Democratic Primary for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore and Bill Bradley, for whom would you vote?

                        Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

Gore 49% 38% 56% Bradley 41 54 32 DK/NA 9 7 12



18. If the Republican Primary for President were being held today and the candidates were George W. Bush, Alan Keyes, and John McCain, for whom would you vote?

                        Likely Republican Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

Bush 39% 40% 37% Keyes 3 3 3 McCain 52 54 49 DK/NA 6 3 11



19a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?

                        Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Gore Bradley Tot Vtrs Vtrs

Made up 48% 47% 48% Might change 52 52 51 DK/NA 1 - 1



19b. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?

                        Likely Republican Primary Voters


Bush McCain Tot Vtrs Vtrs

Made up 43% 40% 45% Might change 56 58 53 DK/NA 2 2 2



21a. Next I'm going to read a list of characteristics a president might have. For each one please tell me, regardless of which candidate you support, whether you think it applies more to Al Gore or Bill Bradley? Can get things done in Washington...

                        Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

Al Gore 64% 62% 65% Bill Bradley 22 28 19

SAME(VOL) 6 3 8 DK/NA 8 8 8



22a. (INTRO Q21a) Has a better chance of beating the Republican nominee in the November general election...

                        Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

Al Gore 62% 56% 66% Bill Bradley 26 36 20

SAME(VOL) 1 1 1 DK/NA 11 7 13



23a. (INTRO Q21a)Has a vision for the country's future...

                        Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

Al Gore 42% 33% 47% Bill Bradley 42 54 35

SAME(VOL) 8 7 9 DK/NA 8 6 10



24a. (INTRO Q21a)Is in touch with the average American...

                        Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

Al Gore 35% 28% 39% Bill Bradley 50 62 42

SAME(VOL) 7 5 8 DK/NA 8 4 11



25a. (INTRO Q21a)Is someone you can trust...

                        Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

Al Gore 36% 28% 41% Bill Bradley 42 54 34

SAME(VOL) 10 9 11 DK/NA 12 9 14



26a. (INTRO Q21a)Will keep the economy strong...

                        Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

Al Gore 50% 46% 53% Bill Bradley 25 36 18

SAME(VOL) 9 8 10 DK/NA 16 11 19



27a. (INTRO Q21a)Has a better health care plan...

                        Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

Al Gore 31% 27% 34% Bill Bradley 25 33 19

SAME(VOL) 3 3 3 DK/NA 41 37 44



21b. Next I'm going to read a list of characteristics a president might have. For each one please tell me, regardless of which candidate you support, whether you think it applies more to George W. Bush or John McCain? Can get things done in Washington...

                        Likely Republican Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

George W. Bush 43% 42% 43% John McCain 42 46 37

SAME(VOL) 6 5 7 DK/NA 10 7 13



22b. (INTRO Q21b)Has a better chance of beating the Democratic nominee in

                        Likely Republican Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

George W. Bush 57% 60% 53% John McCain 33 34 32

SAME(VOL) 4 3 5 DK/NA 6 3 9



23b. (INTRO Q21b)Has a vision for the country's future... ...

                        Likely Republican Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

George W. Bush 35% 34% 36% John McCain 50 52 47

SAME(VOL) 7 6 8 DK/NA 8 7 10



24b. (INTRO Q21b)Is in touch with the average American... ...

                        Likely Republican Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

George W. Bush 26% 29% 23% John McCain 57 59 55

SAME(VOL) 7 5 9 DK/NA 10 7 14



25b. (INTRO Q21b)Is someone you can trust... ...

                        Likely Republican Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

George W. Bush 31% 31% 31% John McCain 49 50 48

SAME(VOL) 11 10 12 DK/NA 9 9 10



26b. (INTRO Q21b)Is prepared to be President... ...

                        Likely Republican Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

George W. Bush 44% 44% 42% John McCain 36 39 34

SAME(VOL) 14 11 18 DK/NA 6 6 6



27b. (INTRO Q21b)Will keep the economy strong... ...

                        Likely Republican Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

George W. Bush 43% 46% 39% John McCain 31 32 29

SAME(VOL) 11 9 12 DK/NA 16 13 19



28b. (INTRO Q21b)Has a better tax plan... ...

                        Likely Republican Primary Voters


Tot Men Wom

George W. Bush 29% 34% 23% John McCain 31 32 29

SAME(VOL) 3 4 1 DK/NA 38 31 46



29b. (INTRO Q21b)Comes closer to your view on the issue of campaign
finance reform... ... 


Likely Republican Primary Voters

Tot Men Wom

George W. Bush 25% 25% 25% John McCain 53 57 47

SAME(VOL) 2 1 3 DK/NA 20 17 25