September 12, 2007 - Clinton, Giuliani Deadlocked In Florida, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Candidate Divorces Could Affect Some Voters

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Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and New York Sen. Hillary Clinton are deadlocked 44 - 44 percent in a test of the Florida 2008 presidential front-runners, but have added to their party primary leads, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Sen. Clinton's lead over her nearest Democratic rival, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, is 29 points and Giuliani's margin over second-place GOP candidate, former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson, is 11 points, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

In other possible matchups in the 2008 presidential race in Florida:
  • Giuliani tops Obama 47 - 38 percent and former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards 46 - 42 percent;
  • Clinton beats Arizona Sen. John McCain 45 - 40 percent, Thompson 46 - 40 percent and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 48 - 38 percent;
  • Edwards tops McCain 42 - 39 percent, Thompson 44 - 36 percent and Romney 47 - 33 percent;
  • McCain beats Obama 42 - 39 percent;
  • Obama beats Thompson 43 - 39 percent and Romney 44 - 36 percent.
In response to questions where no candidate names are mentioned, 67 percent of all Florida voters say it would not affect their vote if a candidate has been divorced more than once. But 29 percent, including 31 percent of Republican voters, say they would be less likely to vote for such a candidate.

"At one time, divorce was considered a major roadblock to the presidency, but Ronald Reagan took care of that," said Peter A. Brown assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "These numbers raise the question of whether enough voters see multiple divorces as a major flaw in a potential president."

While 3 percent of voters say they are more likely to vote for a candidate with multiple divorces, 29 percent say they are less likely. Among white evangelical Christians, who make up 45 percent of the Republican sample, 38 percent are less likely to vote for a candidate with several divorces.

Among all voters 39 percent are more likely to vote for a candidate who attends religious services regularly, while 56 percent say that doesn't affect their vote. Among white evangelical Christians, 64 percent are more likely to vote for a church-going candidate.

Seventeen percent of voters say they are less likely to vote for a candidate who has been an actor, while 78 percent say it makes no difference.

Sen. Clinton leads the Democratic primary with 42 percent, followed by Obama with 13 percent, unchanged since an August 8 Quinnipiac University poll. Former Vice President Al Gore has 12 percent with Edwards at 9 percent.

Giuliani gets 28 percent in the GOP contest, with 17 percent for Thompson, 11 percent for Romney and 10 percent for McCain. This compares to a 26 - 19 percent Giuliani lead over Thompson August 8.

"There is nothing to indicate that Clinton has anything to worry about in a Florida primary," said Brown. "While Giuliani has pulled a few points further ahead of Thompson, his primary lead is not nearly as secure as Clinton's."

By a 54 - 28 percent margin, Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Giuliani. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
  • 50 - 43 percent for Clinton;
  • 45 - 45 percent for Gore;
  • 48 - 30 percent for Edwards;
  • 42 - 31 percent for McCain;
  • 46 - 28 percent for Obama;
  • 26 - 21 percent for Romney, and 50 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion;
  • 30 - 18 percent for Thompson, and 50 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion.
Florida voters disapprove 62 - 34 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing.

From September 3 - 9, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,141 Florida voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. The survey includes 438 Republicans, with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points, and 446 Democrats, with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson for whom would you vote?

                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Biden 1% 2% - Clinton 42 36 46 Dodd 1 - 2 Edwards 9 10 8 Gore 12 13 12 Gravel - - - Kucinich 1 1 - Obama 13 12 14 Richardson 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 6 2 DK/NA 15 19 12

TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked

                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.................................
                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Biden 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 Clark na na na na - - 1 Clinton 42 43 36 38 34 36 36 Dodd 1 - 1 1 1 - - Edwards 9 8 9 8 11 11 11 Gore 12 11 14 13 13 15 16 Gravel - - - - - - - Kucinich 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 Obama 13 13 14 15 16 13 13 Richardson 1 2 2 2 5 2 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 4 3 3 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 3 4 2 2 2 DK/NA 15 15 14 15 14 14 14



2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo and Fred Thompson for whom would you vote?

                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                                                WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Brownback - - 1% 1% Gingrich 6 4 8 5 Giuliani 28 31 26 27 Huckabee 2 2 1 2 Hunter - - - - McCain 10 12 8 12 Paul 2 4 - 1 Romney 11 11 12 12 Tancredo - - - - Thompson, F. 17 20 14 17 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 5 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 2 DK/NA 18 12 23 17

TREND: (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked

                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................................
                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2 
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007  


Brownback - 2 - - 1 - 1 Gilmore na - - - - - - Gingrich 6 6 5 7 7 6 11 Giuliani 28 26 30 27 31 38 35 Hagel na na na na - - - Huckabee 2 2 1 1 - - - Hunter - - - - 1 - - McCain 10 11 10 13 10 15 15 Pataki na na na na - 1 - Paul 2 - 1 2 - - 1 Romney 11 9 9 6 8 7 5 Tancredo - - 1 1 - 1 - Thompson, F. 17 19 18 21 14 5 6 Thompson, T. na 1 1 1 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 2 2 3 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 2 3 3 2 3 DK/NA 18 18 19 18 21 21 19



3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 44% 6% 86% 44% 36% 52% 22% Giuliani 44 85 9 39 49 39 66 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 4 3 1 3 DK/NA 8 6 4 10 9 6 6

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Clinton 44 46 44 42 42 41 40 Giuliani 44 44 46 48 47 49 50 SMONE ELSE 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE 2 3 3 3 4 3 2 DK/NA 8 5 5 5 6 7 7



4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Obama 38% 7% 70% 40% 32% 43% 17% Giuliani 47 83 17 39 52 43 67 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 3 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 4 5 4 4 5 DK/NA 10 8 8 13 11 9 9

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Obama 38 41 39 39 40 38 36 Giuliani 47 44 47 47 44 49 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 2 2 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 DK/NA 10 8 7 8 11 10 10



5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Edwards 42% 7% 76% 46% 35% 47% 24% Giuliani 46 85 15 36 52 40 65 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 3 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 DK/NA 8 6 6 11 8 8 7

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Apr 2   Mar 7
                        2007    2007    2007


Edwards 42 40 40 Giuliani 46 50 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 DK/NA 8 8 10



6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 45% 8% 88% 42% 38% 52% 26% McCain 40 79 7 37 47 35 61 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 1 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 - 5 5 3 3 DK/NA 9 7 4 12 10 8 9

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Aug 26  Apr 2   Mar 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Clinton 45 46 44 45 45 44 44 McCain 40 40 43 42 45 45 44 SMONE ELSE 2 3 2 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 DK/NA 9 7 6 7 6 7 8



7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Obama 39% 6% 71% 41% 33% 45% 18% McCain 42 77 14 35 48 37 64 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 3 1 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 5 6 7 4 4 DK/NA 11 10 8 14 12 10 12

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2   Mar 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Obama 39 42 42 40 41 39 39 McCain 42 38 42 41 41 45 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 6 4 5 3 3 3 DK/NA 11 11 10 11 13 11 14



8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Edwards 42% 8% 75% 43% 36% 47% 26% McCain 39 77 10 31 43 36 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 5 2 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 6 5 8 3 4 DK/NA 11 9 7 15 11 11 9

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Apr 2   Mar 7   Feb 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Edwards 42 43 41 42 McCain 39 41 43 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 3 2 DK/NA 11 12 12 11



9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 46% 7% 86% 47% 39% 52% 24% Thompson 40 82 7 33 45 36 63 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 - 4 3 1 1 DK/NA 10 7 6 13 11 9 9

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Clinton 46 49 48 46 43 48 Thompson 40 40 39 41 40 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 5 5 4 3 DK/NA 10 7 7 6 10 9



10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Obama 43% 12% 76% 45% 38% 48% 21% Thompson 39 76 10 28 45 33 60 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 5 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 3 5 3 4 4 DK/NA 12 9 9 18 12 12 13

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Obama 43 43 42 43 41 42 Thompson 39 37 39 41 36 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 5 5 6 4 DK/NA 12 12 12 11 14 17



11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Edwards 44% 12% 76% 47% 37% 50% 28% Thompson 36 74 10 27 43 30 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 6 5 3 3 DK/NA 13 10 11 17 13 14 12



12. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 48% 9% 90% 46% 41% 54% 26% Romney 38 79 4 31 42 34 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 4 2 2 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 - 5 4 2 4 DK/NA 9 7 5 15 11 7 9

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Apr 2   Mar 7   Feb 7   May 30
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2006


Clinton 48 45 48 52 50 Romney 38 39 36 34 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 2 2 DK/NA 9 10 12 9 8



13. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Obama 44% 12% 76% 44% 38% 49% 21% Romney 36 72 7 29 42 31 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 2 5 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 5 6 5 5 5 DK/NA 13 11 10 17 13 13 15

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Apr 2   Mar 7
                        2007    2007    2007


Obama 44 42 43 Romney 36 35 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 4 DK/NA 13 17 18



14. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Edwards 47% 12% 80% 51% 40% 53% 30% Romney 33 72 3 26 38 29 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 2 4 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 5 3 5 2 3 DK/NA 13 12 10 15 13 13 13

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Sep 12  Apr 2   Mar 7
                        2007    2007    2007


Edwards 47 50 48 Romney 33 31 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 DK/NA 13 14 15



TREND:. Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her?

Score = %Favorable (%Haven't heard enough)

                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2 
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007  


Clinton, Hillary 50( 3) 50( 5) 49( 5) 47( 4) 44( 8) 47( 6) 47( 5) Edwards, John 48(20) 42(24) 40(26) 37(29) 40(28) 44(29) 50(24) Giuliani, Rudy 54(15) 53(19) 56(15) 54(16) 52(18) 58(15) 59(19) Gore, Al 45( 7) 42( 9) 52( 8) 47(12) 49( 8) 50(10) na McCain, John 42(22) 34(24) 40(23) 44(23) 41(25) 47(23) 48(24) Obama, Barack 46(23) 44(27) 45(28) 44(35) 42(30) 42(39) 42(37) Romney, Mitt 26(50) 21(54) 20(56) 21(60) 20(58) 17(66) 19(65) Thompson, Fred 30(50) 33(48) 33(49) 32(54) 27(58) 25(63) 16(74)



15. Is your opinion of - Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 50% 13% 89% 51% 45% 55% 31% Unfavorable 43 81 7 40 49 38 62 Hvn't hrd enough 3 4 3 3 3 4 2 REFUSED 3 3 1 6 3 3 4

TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Favorable 50 50 49 47 44 47 47 Unfavorable 43 42 44 47 45 44 45 Hvn't hrd enough 3 5 5 4 8 6 5 REFUSED 3 2 2 2 3 3 3



16. Is your opinion of - John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 48% 24% 67% 53% 42% 52% 39% Unfavorable 30 57 11 23 36 25 39 Hvn't hrd enough 20 17 20 21 20 19 19 REFUSED 3 2 3 3 1 4 3

TREND: Is your opinion of John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Favorable 48 42 40 37 40 44 50 Unfavorable 30 32 32 32 29 24 25 Hvn't hrd enough 20 24 26 29 28 29 24 REFUSED 3 3 3 2 3 3 2



17. Is your opinion of - Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 54% 79% 31% 51% 56% 52% 62% Unfavorable 28 8 45 34 26 30 19 Hvn't hrd enough 15 10 23 13 16 15 14 REFUSED 2 3 1 2 2 3 5

TREND: Is your opinion of Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Favorable 54 53 56 54 52 58 59 Unfavorable 28 26 27 28 27 24 19 Hvn't hrd enough 15 19 15 16 18 15 19 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 3 3



18. Is your opinion of - Al Gore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 45% 15% 77% 45% 42% 48% 26% Unfavorable 45 77 14 44 50 41 64 Hvn't hrd enough 7 5 8 7 5 9 7 REFUSED 2 3 1 3 3 2 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Al Gore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Feb 7  
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 45 42 52 47 49 50 46 Unfavorable 45 46 39 40 40 38 47 Hvn't hrd enough 7 9 8 12 8 10 6 REFUSED 2 3 2 1 2 3 1



19. Is your opinion of - John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 42% 57% 30% 40% 48% 38% 44% Unfavorable 31 23 40 31 31 30 24 Hvn't hrd enough 22 17 27 24 16 28 27 REFUSED 5 3 3 5 5 4 5

TREND: Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Favorable 42 34 40 44 41 47 48 Unfavorable 31 39 34 29 30 27 25 Hvn't hrd enough 22 24 23 23 25 23 24 REFUSED 5 3 3 3 4 3 3



20. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 46% 28% 64% 49% 43% 48% 33% Unfavorable 28 49 12 22 32 25 45 Hvn't hrd enough 23 20 22 27 22 25 21 REFUSED 3 4 2 2 3 3 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Sep 12  Jul 23  Jun 07  Apr 02  Feb 07
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 46 45 42 42 37 Unfavorable 28 25 26 20 18 Hvn't hrd enough 23 28 30 37 44 REFUSED 3 2 2 1 1



21. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 26% 49% 7% 23% 28% 24% 31% Unfavorable 21 11 31 22 23 20 12 Hvn't hrd enough 50 39 60 52 47 53 54 REFUSED 3 2 2 4 2 3 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Sep 12  Jul 23  Jun 07  Apr 02  Feb 07
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 26 20 20 19 13 Unfavorable 21 22 19 15 11 Hvn't hrd enough 50 56 58 65 75 REFUSED 3 2 2 2 1



22. Is your opinion of - Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 30% 50% 15% 26% 35% 26% 42% Unfavorable 18 6 25 23 19 17 8 Hvn't hrd enough 50 42 58 48 44 55 49 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 2 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26  Apr 2
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 30 33 33 32 27 25 16 Unfavorable 18 17 15 12 12 10 9 Hvn't hrd enough 50 48 49 54 58 63 74 REFUSED 2 3 2 2 2 2 1



23. Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate - from New York, less likely to vote for a candidate from New York, or wouldn't it make a difference?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


More likely 9% 11% 10% 8% 9% 9% 6% Less likely 7 8 6 7 9 5 8 No Difference 82 79 84 84 81 84 84 DK/NA 2 3 1 1 1 2 2



24. Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate - - from Massachusetts, less likely to vote for a candidate from Massachusetts, or wouldn't it make a difference?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


More likely 6% 7% 8% 3% 5% 7% 3% Less likely 10 16 6 7 11 8 16 No Difference 83 76 85 89 82 84 80 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 - 1



25. Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate - - from the South, less likely to vote for a candidate from the South, or wouldn't it make a difference?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


More likely 12% 14% 12% 8% 12% 12% 16% Less likely 6 3 11 4 6 6 2 No Difference 81 82 76 86 81 81 80 DK/NA 1 1 - 2 1 1 2



26. Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate - - who has been divorced, less likely to vote for a candidate who has been divorced, or wouldn't it make a difference?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


More likely 3% 4% 3% 1% 4% 2% 2% Less likely 11 13 11 7 10 11 15 No Difference 86 82 84 91 85 86 83 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1



27. Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate - - who has been divorced more than once, less likely to vote for a candidate who has been divorced more than once, or wouldn't it make a difference?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


More likely 3% 4% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% Less likely 29 31 29 28 29 29 38 No Difference 67 64 67 70 68 67 60 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 - 2 1



28. Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate - - who attends religious services regularly, less likely to vote for a candidate who attends religious services regularly, or wouldn't it make a difference?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


More likely 39% 53% 31% 35% 36% 41% 64% Less likely 4 2 5 3 4 4 1 No Difference 56 44 62 60 58 53 33 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 1 3



29. Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate - - who does not attend religious services regularly, less likely to vote for a candidate who does not attend religious services regularly, or wouldn't it make a difference?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


More likely 5% 3% 9% 5% 5% 6% 4% Less likely 30 45 22 22 27 32 53 No Difference 63 50 68 70 66 60 37 DK/NA 2 3 1 3 1 3 6



30. Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate - - who has been an actor, less likely to vote for a candidate who has been an actor, or wouldn't it make a difference?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


More likely 4% 5% 3% 3% 4% 3% 5% Less likely 17 10 22 19 17 17 13 No Difference 78 84 74 76 77 78 79 DK/NA 2 1 1 2 2 2 3



35. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Approve 34% 74% 4% 22% 37% 32% 56% Disapprove 62 21 94 74 59 65 41 DK/NA 3 5 1 4 4 3 3

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Sep 12  Jul 23  Jun 7   Apr 2   Feb 7   Sep 23  Jun 7 
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2004    2007  


Approve 34 33 32 37 35 50 32 Disapprove 62 63 63 58 60 47 63 DK/NA 3 4 5 5 5 3 5