August 23, 2010 - Meek, McCollum Lead One Day Before Florida Primaries, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; But Many Likely Primary Voters Remain Undecided

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U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek holds a 39 - 29 percent lead over Jeff Greene in the Florida race for the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate, while Attorney General Bill McCollum holds a slight 39 - 35 percent lead over Rick Scott in the contest for the Republican nomination for governor, according to a Quinnipiac University poll of likely primary voters released today.

With 22 percent of Republican likely voters and 28 percent of Democratic likely voters undecided, any verdict is possible. Former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre gets 3 percent in the Democratic Senate primary, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

In the GOP race, 39 percent of Scott supporters and 27 percent of McCollum backers say they still could change their mind. In the Democratic race, 43 percent of Greene supporters, but only 27 percent of Meek's backers say they might change their minds.

In the GOP race, the vicious and omnipresent television ads from both camps have hurt both men's ratings with voters. By 40 - 31 percent, GOP voters hold an unfavorable view of Scott, and by a narrow 39 - 37 percent, they have a favorable view of McCollum. Meek is viewed favorably 42 - 22 percent by Democratic voters, while Greene is seen unfavorably 38 - 29 percent.

"With one in five GOP voters and more than one in four Democrats undecided, anything is possible, but the internals of the poll are consistent with McCollum and Meek being ahead. They are more favorably viewed than their opponents and fewer of their backers say they might change their minds," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

From August 21 - 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 771 Republican likely primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points and 757 Democratic likely primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points. These likely voters were selected from lists of people who have voted in past elections.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE BASED ON A POLL OF 771 LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

1R. If the Republican primary for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Bill McCollum or Rick Scott? (If already voted) Did you vote for Bill McCollum or Rick Scott? (If undecided) As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward McCollum or Scott? This table includes Leaners.
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
McCollum             39%    40%    39%
Scott                35     38     33
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4      4      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -
DK/NA                22     19     24
 
 
1aR. (If express choice q1R and did not already vote) Is your mind made up, or o you think you might change your mind before the primary?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    BM     RS
Made up              65%    72%    57%
Might change         33     27     39
DK/NA                 2      -      4
 
 
2R. Is your opinion of - Rick Scott favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Favorable            31%    34%    29%
Unfavorable          40     40     40
Hvn't hrd enough     22     21     22
REFUSED               6      5      8
 
 
3R. Is your opinion of - Bill McCollum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Favorable            39%    40%    39%
Unfavorable          37     39     36
Hvn't hrd enough     16     15     17
REFUSED               8      7      8
 
 
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE BASED ON A POLL OF 757 LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS 1D. If the Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today, would you vote for Kendrick Meek, Maurice Ferre, or Jeff Greene? (If already voted) Did you vote for Kendrick Meek, Maurice Ferre, or Jeff Greene? (If undecided) As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward Meek, Ferre, or Greene? This table includes Leaners.
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Meek                 39%    38%    39%
Ferre                 3      3      3
Greene               29     32     27
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -
DK/NA                28     26     29
 
 
1aD. (If express choice q1D and did not already vote) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    KM     JG
Made up              63%    73%    53%
Might change         35     27     43
DK/NA                 2      -      4
 
 
2D. Is your opinion of - Kendrick Meek favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Favorable            42%    43%    41%
Unfavorable          22     24     21
Hvn't hrd enough     29     25     31
REFUSED               8      8      7
 
 
3D. Is your opinion of - Jeff Greene favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Favorable            29%    29%    28%
Unfavorable          38     37     38
Hvn't hrd enough     27     27     27
REFUSED               6      7      6
 
 
4D. Is your opinion of - Maurice Ferre favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Favorable             8%    11%     6%
Unfavorable          10     10     11
Hvn't hrd enough     77     75     78
REFUSED               5      5      5