April 7, 2011 - Obama Hits Losing Trifecta In Florida, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Increased Support For Offshore Drilling

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President Barack Obama hits a losing trifecta with Florida voters: They disapprove 52 - 44 percent of the job he is doing; they prefer an unnamed Republican challenger by a too-close-to- call 41 - 38 percent in the 2012 presidential election and say 51 - 42 percent that the president does not deserve a second term, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Today's numbers compare to results of a February 3 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, when the President was almost dead even in the trifecta:
  • 47 percent job approval, with 49 percent disapproving;
  • 40 percent for Obama, compared to 42 percent for an unnamed GOP challenger;
  • 45 percent saying four more years compared to 48 percent saying no.
Democratic U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson, who like Obama is on the 2012 ballot, is in better shape, with a 47 - 26 percent approval rating, a 43 - 39 percent lead over an unidentified Republican and voters saying 43 - 35 percent that he deserves another term in the Senate.

Florida voters support 51 - 44 percent a proposal before the Legislature that would require a woman seeking an abortion to first undergo an ultrasound procedure and be offered a chance to view the results. Women support the measure 53 - 43 percent, while men support it 48 - 46 percent.

"With President Barack Obama formally announcing his re-election campaign this week, one can expect that his team will be focusing on Florida, one of the nation's preeminent swing states and one that the president carried in 2008," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "He has some work to do in the Sunshine State. On job approval, re-election and the matchup against an unnamed republican he does a good deal better among women than he does among men."

"Despite questions about his policies, the president is personally popular with Floridians," said Brown. Given four choices to describe their feelings about Obama:
  • 40 percent like him personally and like his policies;
  • 30 percent like him personally but not his policies;
  • 1 percent like his policies but not him;
  • 24 percent don't like him or his policies.
Taken together, 70 percent of voters like Obama, but only 41 percent like his policies.

By comparison, when voters are asked the same questions about Gov. Rick Scott, whose overall 48 - 35 percent disapproval rating makes him less popular than Obama, only 40 percent like him personally, while 34 percent like his policies.

Although by 65 - 30 percent, Florida voters back the U.S. Supreme Court decision establishing a woman's right to have an abortion, their support for requiring an ultrasound reflects strong Republican support and more modest opposition from Democrats and independents. Republicans approve of the ultrasound requirement 68 - 28 percent, while opposition is 54 - 41 percent among Democrats and 52 - 43 percent among independent voters.

On energy matters, voters support 60 - 35 percent increasing the amount of offshore drilling for oil and natural gas, with Republicans and independent voters behind the idea 82 - 16 percent and 58 - 38 percent respectively. Democrats are opposed 52 - 43 percent.

The public attitudes on building new nuclear plants in the state reflect the "Not In My Backyard" view. Voters split 48 - 47 percent on support for new nuclear plants in Florida, but they oppose 58 - 39 percent building nuclear plants in their city or town.

Support for the war in Afghanistan continues to deteriorate, as Florida voters say 59 - 36 percent the United States should not be involved in the war there.

Voters are divided 46 - 46 percent on whether they approve of the president's handling of the situation in Libya.

Support for Congress repealing the "health care law" that passed last year is 49 - 41 percent, and 54 - 40 percent when the question is phrased "health care reform law."

From March 29 - April 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,499 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              47%    73%    26%    44%    50%    45%    65%
Disapprove           23      8     39     21     25     22     12
DK/NA                30     19     35     35     25     34     23
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Approve              47%    47%    51%    46%    45%
Disapprove           27     23     19     23     25
DK/NA                26     31     30     31     30
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Apr 7   Feb 3
                     2011    2011
 
Approve              47      42
Disapprove           23      20
DK/NA                30      37
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States senator?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              47%    33%    64%    46%    42%    51%    36%
Disapprove           26     41     11     26     34     20     36
DK/NA                27     26     25     28     24     30     28
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Approve              51%    48%    49%    35%    44%
Disapprove           30     26     27     31     22
DK/NA                19     26     24     34     34
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS....
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Apr 7   Feb 03  Aug 19  Jul 30  Feb 06  Aug 12  Aug 19
                     2011    2011    2010    2010    2007    2004    2010
 
Approve              47      45      45      46      54      42      45
Disapprove           26      21      33      30      18      18      33
DK/NA                27      34      22      24      28      40      22
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              44%    13%    79%    39%    38%    49%    19%
Disapprove           52     84     16     55     58     46     76
DK/NA                 4      3      5      6      4      5      5
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Approve              41%    40%    40%    35%    54%
Disapprove           57     53     55     63     41
DK/NA                 2      6      6      2      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 7  Feb 03  Aug 19  Jul 30  Jun 09   Feb 19  Jun 09
                     2011    2011    2010    2010    2010    2009    2010
 
Approve              44      47      47      46      40      64      40
Disapprove           52      49      47      50      54      23      54
DK/NA                 4       4       5       4       6      13       6
 
 
7. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Obama                38%     4%    76%    34%    33%    41%    14%
Republican           41     82      7     37     46     36     64
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 13      8      9     20     11     14     11
DK/NA                 9      6      7     10      9      9     12
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Obama                39%    35%    36%    34%    41%
Republican           43     46     42     48     32
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 10     11     14      7     16
DK/NA                 8      8      7     12     11
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                       Apr 7   Feb 3
                       2011    2011
 
Obama                  38      40
Republican             41      42
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)   13      12
DK/NA                   9       6
 
 
8. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Yes/Deserves         42%     9%    79%    39%    35%    47%    17%
No/Does not          51     87     14     51     58     44     77
DK/NA                 8      5      7     10      7      9      6
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Yes/Deserves         38%    37%    38%    38%    52%
No/Does not          52     53     53     57     43
DK/NA                10      9      9      5      5
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Apr 7   Feb 3
                     2011    2011
 
Yes/Deserves         42      45
No/Does not          51      48
DK/NA                 8       8
 
 
9. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bill Nelson the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                                                                WtBrnAgn
                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Nelson                43%     7%    80%    42%    38%    48%    24%
Republican            39     81      4     35     45     33     59
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)   8      8      4     10      8      7      8
DK/NA                 10      4     12     12      9     12      9
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Nelson               45%    41%    42%    38%    47%
Republican           38     45     39     45     32
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  4      8     10      9      7
DK/NA                12      6      9      8     13
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator...If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bill Nelson the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                     Apr 7   Feb 3
                     2011    2011
 
Nelson               43      41
Republican           39      36
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  8      10
DK/NA                10      13
 
 
10. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... Do you feel that Bill Nelson deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Yes/Deserves         43%    19%    69%    43%    41%    45%    29%
No/Does not          35     61     14     34     41     31     52
DK/NA                21     20     17     23     18     24     19
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Yes/Deserves         39%    46%    40%    37%    49%
No/Does not          40     35     37     42     29
DK/NA                21     19     22     21     22
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for U.S. Senate... Do you feel that Bill Nelson deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Apr 7   Feb 3
                     2011    2011
 
Yes/Deserves         43      43
No/Does not          35      33
DK/NA                21      25
 
 
11. Which one of the following statements comes closest to the way you feel about Barack Obama - A. I like Barack Obama as a person and I also like most of his policies B. I like Barack Obama as a person but I don't like most of his policies C. I don't like Barack Obama as a person but I DO like most of his policies D. I don't like Barack Obama as a person and I also don't like most of his policies
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Person/Policies      40%     9%    74%    35%    36%    43%    19%
Person/Not policies  30     41     18     34     31     30     37
Policies/Not person   1      2      -      1      1      1      1
Not Pol/Not person   24     45      4     24     27     22     38
DK/NA                 4      2      3      5      4      4      5
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Person/Policies      37%    40%    37%    35%    45%
Person/Not policies  32     33     29     24     30
Policies/Not person   2      2      1      2      1
Not Pol/Not person   24     23     26     35     21
DK/NA                 5      2      7      5      3
 
 
12. Which one of the following statements comes closest to the way you feel about Rick Scott - A. I like Rick Scott as a person and I also like most of his policies B. I like Rick Scott as a person but I don't like most of his policies C. I don't like Rick Scott as a person but I DO like most of his policies D. I don't like Rick Scott as a person and I also don't like most of his policies
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Person/Policies      24%    40%     7%    22%    28%    20%    37%
Person/Not policies  16     17     18     14     13     19     17
Policies/Not person  10     13      4     11     13      6     11
Not Pol/Not person   40     21     60     39     36     43     22
DK/NA                11      9     10     13     11     12     13
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Person/Policies      23%    24%    27%    29%    19%
Person/Not policies  24     13     13     15     15
Policies/Not person  10     10      9     14      8
Not Pol/Not person   33     43     39     29     44
DK/NA                10      9     12     12     13
 
 
29. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Legal all cases      26%    15%    35%    28%    26%    27%     7%
Legal most cases     32     27     35     37     34     31     23
Illegal most cases   22     34     11     19     22     21     40
Illegal all cases    13     21     10     10     10     16     26
DK/NA                 7      3      8      6      8      5      4
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Legal all cases      20%    25%    25%    22%    35%
Legal most cases     34     35     30     31     32
Illegal most cases   21     21     23     27     19
Illegal all cases    16     12     15     12     10
DK/NA                 9      7      7      7      3
 
 
30. In general, do you agree or disagree with the 1973 Roe versus Wade Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Agree                65%    43%    80%    71%    63%    67%    37%
Disagree             30     52     14     25     31     29     56
DK/NA                 5      5      6      4      6      4      7
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Agree                65%    62%    63%    67%    69%
Disagree             30     32     31     32     27
DK/NA                 6      7      6      1      5
 
 
31. The legislature is considering legislation that would require that a woman seeking an abortion first undergo an ultrasound procedure and be offered a chance to view the results. Do you approve or disapprove of this proposal?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              51%    68%    41%    43%    48%    53%    77%
Disapprove           44     28     54     52     46     43     20
DK/NA                 5      4      5      5      5      5      3
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Approve              61%    44%    53%    46%    48%
Disapprove           35     51     43     51     46
DK/NA                 5      5      4      3      6
 
 
32. In general, do you support or oppose the United States increasing the amount of drilling for oil and natural gas in offshore waters?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Support              60%    82%    43%    58%    67%    55%    70%
Oppose               35     16     52     38     31     39     27
DK/NA                 4      2      5      4      2      6      3
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Support              54%    62%    64%    65%    59%
Oppose               41     35     31     32     36
DK/NA                 5      2      5      3      5
 
 
TREND: In general, do you support or oppose the United States increasing the amount of drilling for oil and natural gas in offshore waters?
                     Apr 7   Jul 30  Jun 9   Apr 19  Jan 27
                     2011    2010    2010    2010    2010
 
Support              60      42      42      66      63
Oppose               35      51      51      27      33
DK/NA                 4       7       6       8       4
 
33. Would you support or oppose the construction of a new nuclear power plant in Florida?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Support              48%    55%    36%    54%    60%    37%    50%
Oppose               47     38     60     42     36     56     44
DK/NA                 5      7      3      4      3      6      6
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Support              46%    45%    54%    49%    46%
Oppose               49     49     42     48     48
DK/NA                 5      5      4      3      5
 
TREND: Would you support or oppose the construction of a new nuclear power plant in Florida?
                      Apr 7   May 25
                      2011    2006
 
Support               48      48
Oppose                47      45
DK/NA                  5       7
 
 
34. Would you support or oppose the construction of a new nuclear power plant in your city or town?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Support              39%    47%    25%    45%    51%    28%    44%
Oppose               58     49     73     53     47     69     54
DK/NA                 3      4      2      2      2      3      2
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Support              38%    38%    45%    42%    33%
Oppose               59     59     52     55     65
DK/NA                 3      3      3      3      2
 
 
TREND: Would you support or oppose the construction of a new nuclear power plant in your city or town?
                      Apr 7   May 25
                      2011    2006
 
Support               39      36
Oppose                58      60
DK/NA                  3       4
 
 
35. Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Right thing          36%    50%    24%    36%    42%    30%    48%
Shld't be invl       59     45     70     60     54     63     45
DK/NA                 6      5      6      4      4      7      7
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Right thing          33%    33%    38%    38%    37%
Shld't be invl       62     63     55     56     56
DK/NA                 5      4      7      6      6
 
TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
                     Apr 7   Feb 03  Aug 19
                     2011    2011    2010
 
Right thing          36      38      43
Shld't be invl       59      54      49
DK/NA                 6       7       7
 
 
36. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Libya?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              46%    27%    69%    44%    45%    47%    31%
Disapprove           46     66     21     48     49     42     63
DK/NA                 8      7     10      8      6     11      6
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Approve              47%    43%    42%    44%    52%
Disapprove           45     49     50     49     38
DK/NA                 9      8      8      7     10
 
 
37.(Split Sample A) Do you think Congress should repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Repeal it            49%    78%    21%    50%    51%    48%    67%
Let it stand         41     16     67     39     42     39     23
DK/NA                10      6     12     11      7     12     10
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Repeal it            56%    48%    54%    54%    39%
Let it stand         34     42     37     36     51
DK/NA                10     11      9     10     10
 
TREND: Do you think Congress should repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand?
                     Apr 7    Feb 3
                     2011     2011
 
Repeal it            49       50
Let it stand         41       43
DK/NA                10        7
 
 
38. (Split Sample B) Do you think Congress should repeal the new health care reform law, or should they let it stand?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Repeal it            54%    78%    30%    53%    57%    51%    69%
Let it stand         40     17     66     40     39     42     23
DK/NA                 6      5      4      7      4      7      9
 
                     North/
                     PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Repeal it            60%    50%    54%    57%    52%
Let it stand         35     44     40     32     44
DK/NA                 4      6      6     11      4