June 20, 2012 - Florida Voters Back Voter Purge, Stand Your Ground, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gov. Scott's Job Approval Still Very Low

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With wide partisan and racial division, and a small gender gap, Florida voters support 60 - 35 percent Gov. Rick Scott's effort to purge non-citizens from the state's voter rolls, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

There are similar partisan and racial divisions, and a wider gender gap, as Sunshine State voters support 56 - 37 percent the state's "Stand Your Ground" law, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Gov. Scott, however, is still unpopular with the state's electorate, who disapprove 49 - 39 percent of the job he is doing, compared to a 46 - 41 percent disapproval May 24, Scott's best score in his 18 months in office.

Support for the attempted voter purges is 90 - 8 percent among Republicans and 59 - 37 percent among independent voters, while Democrats are opposed 60 - 33 percent.

But unlike the gender split on many major political issues, there is little disagreement among the sexes on the purge: Men support it 63 - 33 percent while women back it 58 - 37 percent. White voters back the purge 67 - 29 percent, while black voters oppose it 56 - 38 percent and Hispanic voters support it 49 - 42 percent.

"Gov. Rick Scott may be a lot less popular in Florida these days than President Barack Obama, but on the face-off between the two on the purge issue, Floridians seem to be solidly in Scott's corner," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Whether this voter purge becomes a big deal issue in the campaign or not is not clear at this point."

Support for Florida's "Stand Your Ground" law is 81 - 12 percent among Republicans and 55 - 39 percent among independent voters, with Democrats opposed 60 - 30 percent.

Men back the law 63 - 33 percent, while women back it 50 - 40 percent. White voters support it 60 - 33 percent, while black voters oppose it 59 - 31 percent. Hispanic voters support the law 58 - 32 percent.

"There is solid support for 'Stand Your Ground' among Florida voters, especially Republicans," said Brown. "Republican lawmakers, who dominate the State Legislature, would be taking on their own base if they were to change the law."

Scott's job approval among Republicans is 71 - 19 percent. Independent voters give him 52 - 36 percent thumbs down, while Democrats disapprove overwhelmingly, 75 - 14 percent. Men disapprove 47 - 42 percent, while women disapprove 50 - 35 percent.

Florida voters split 37 - 35 percent when asked if they like Scott as a person and, despite support for the voter purge, voters don't like the governor's policies 49 - 37 percent.

"Florida voters don't approve of the job Gov. Scott is doing. They don't like his policies, and they are mixed on whether they like him as a person," said Brown. "Women especially disapprove and dislike their governor. He has some work to do here."

U.S. Senators Bill Nelson and Marco Rubio are doing just OK in the eyes of the state's voters: Nelson has a 47 - 32 percent approval rating, while Rubio's is 51 - 31 percent.

Voters disapprove 50 - 31 percent of the job the State Legislature is doing.

From June 12 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,697 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              39%    71%    14%    36%    42%    35%    43%    16%    34%
Disapprove           49     19     75     52     47     50     44     76     54
DK/NA                13     10     12     12     11     14     13      9     12
 
                     North/
                     Panhd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Approve              46%    36%    39%    50%    30%
Disapprove           43     53     48     32     58
DK/NA                11     11     13     18     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 20  May 24  Mar 28  Jan 26  Jan 10  May 24  May 25
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011
 
Approve              39      41      36      36      38      41      29
Disapprove           49      46      52      49      50      46      57
DK/NA                13      13      13      15      13      13      14
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              31%    48%    16%    28%    34%    28%    32%    23%    29%
Disapprove           50     27     70     53     51     49     47     65     52
DK/NA                19     25     14     18     15     23     21     12     19
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 20  May 24  Jan 26  Jan 10  Aug 05  Sep 23  May 25
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2004    2011
 
Approve              31      31      31      33      32      51      27
Disapprove           50      48      49      49      51      34      56
DK/NA                19      21      20      18      17      15      17
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              51%    84%    23%    48%    55%    47%    55%    30%    53%
Disapprove           31      6     55     32     31     32     28     45     31
DK/NA                18     10     22     20     15     21     17     25     15
 
                     North/
                     Panhd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Approve              57%    52%    50%    60%    42%
Disapprove           23     32     32     22     40
DK/NA                20     16     19     18     18
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 20  May 23  Jan 26  Jan 10  Nov 11  May 23  Feb 03
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012    2011
 
Approve              51      54      48      50      49      54      42
Disapprove           31      27      33      29      29      27      20
DK/NA                18      19      20      21      22      19      37
 
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              47%    25%    71%    47%    47%    47%    43%    66%    55%
Disapprove           32     54     11     32     35     29     36     16     22
DK/NA                21     21     18     22     19     24     22     18     23
 
                     North/
                     Panhd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Approve              43%    48%    47%    37%    53%
Disapprove           39     30     34     41     21
DK/NA                18     22     19     23     26
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States Senator? (*Low also 42% Aug 2004)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 20  May 24  Jan 26  Jan 10  Nov 11  Feb 06  Aug 04
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2007    2011*
 
Approve              47      44      43      47      47      54      42
Disapprove           32      35      30      30      27      18      35
DK/NA                21      21      27      23      26      28      23
 
 
20. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Florida today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Very satisfied        5%     8%     3%     3%     7%     3%     5%     4%     4%
Smwht satisfied      36     46     29     33     38     34     37     34     33
Smwht dissatisfied   34     27     36     38     33     35     34     33     36
Very dissatisfied    25     18     30     25     22     27     23     27     27
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      -      1      1      2      -
 
                     North/
                     Panhd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Very satisfied        7%     3%     5%     6%     3%
Smwht satisfied      39     37     37     43     29
Smwht dissatisfied   34     30     33     25     40
Very dissatisfied    19     29     24     23     27
DK/NA                 1      1      -      2      -
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Florida today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied? (*combined High also 63% Sep 2004)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 20  May 24  Jan 10  Sep 22  Aug 05  Feb 24  Sep 22
                     2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2005*   2011
 
Very satisfied        5       4       4       4       4      15       4
Smwht satisfied      36      39      38      31      33      48      31
Smwht dissatisfied   34      30      32      29      28      22      29
Very dissatisfied    25      25      24      34      33      15      34
DK/NA                 1       2       2       2       1       1       2
 
 
23. Regardless of how you feel about Rick Scott's policies, would you say you like or don't like Rick Scott as a person?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Like                 37%    62%    19%    34%    42%    32%    38%    34%    37%
Don't Like           35     14     52     38     34     36     34     35     38
DK/NA                29     24     29     28     25     32     28     32     26
 
TREND: Regardless of how you feel about Rick Scott's policies, would you say you like or don't like Rick Scott as a person?
                     Jun 20  Jan 10  Sep 21  Aug 05
                     2012    2012    2011    2011
 
Like                 37      39      37      34
Don't Like           35      34      37      45
DK/NA                29      27      26      21
 
 
24. And regardless of how you feel about Rick Scott as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of Rick Scott's policies?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Like                 37%    69%    10%    35%    41%    34%    43%    14%    33%
Don't Like           49     17     76     52     46     51     44     76     48
DK/NA                14     13     13     13     13     15     13     11     19
 
TREND: And regardless of how you feel about Rick Scott as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of Rick Scott's policies?
                     Jun 20  Jan 10  Sep 21  Aug 05
                     2012    2012    2011    2011
 
Like                 37      37      35      34
Don't Like           49      50      53      54
DK/NA                14      13      12      12
 
 
31. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling the state budget?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              38%    64%    16%    36%    41%    34%    42%    18%    32%
Disapprove           48     22     73     49     45     50     43     72     49
DK/NA                14     14     11     15     13     15     15     10     19
 
                     North/                             ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME..
                     Panhd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE   <30K   30-50  50-100 >100
                                                                                 
Approve              46%    35%    40%    53%    25%    32%    34%    40%    47% 
Disapprove           43     52     48     28     56     51     49     49     44  
DK/NA                11     13     12     19     19     17     17     11      9  
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling the state budget?
                     Jun 20  May 24  Jan 10  Sep 21  Aug 05  May 25  Apr 06
                     2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2011    2011
 
Approve              38      37      36      36      32      30      36
Disapprove           48      48      51      53      57      59      55
DK/NA                14      14      13      11      11      11       9
 
 
32. Do you think the state budget is fair or unfair to people like you?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Fair                 40%    64%    20%    38%    48%    33%    46%    17%    26%
Unfair               48     25     71     47     41     54     40     74     64
DK/NA                13     12      9     15     12     14     14     10      9
 
                     North/                             ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME..
                     Panhd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE   <30K   30-50  50-100 >100
                                                                                 
Fair                 44%    43%    39%    55%    30%    28%    35%    50%    56% 
Unfair               45     48     50     30     54     60     53     39     37  
DK/NA                11      9     11     16     17     12     12     11      7  
 
TREND: Do you think the state budget is fair or unfair to people like you? (* "new state budget")
                     Jun 20  Jan 10  Sep 21  Aug 05  May 25
                     2012    2012    2011    2011*   2011*
 
Fair                 40      39      41      33      29
Unfair               48      48      48      51      54
DK/NA                13      14      11      16      16
 
 
33. Do you think that Florida's economy has gotten better, worse or stayed about the same since Rick Scott took office?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Better               22%    36%    10%    21%    25%    19%    25%    13%    16%
Worse                31     17     44     32     23     38     27     47     33
The same             43     45     40     44     49     38     44     38     47
DK/NA                 4      2      6      3      4      5      5      2      5
 
                     North/                             ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME..
                     Panhd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE   <30K   30-50  50-100 >100
                                                                                 
Better               25%    23%    22%    30%    15%    17%    24%    20%    32% 
Worse                27     30     33     15     38     35     33     31     21  
The same             46     42     41     51     42     43     39     46     43  
DK/NA                 3      4      4      4      5      5      4      3      4
 
TREND: Do you think that Florida's economy has gotten better, worse or stayed about the same since Rick Scott took office?
                     Jun 20  May 24  Jan 10
                     2012    2012    2012
 
Better               22      24      16
Worse                31      29      34
The same             43      42      45
DK/NA                 4       5       4
 
 
34a. (If economy better q33) Do you credit Barack Obama or Rick Scott more for this change?
                     ECONOMY BETTER Q33
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Obama                15%    11%    20%
Scott                76     81     71 
NEITHER (VOL)         3      4      2 
BOTH (VOL)            1      1      1 
DK/NA                 4      3      5 
 
TREND: (If economy better) Do you credit Barack Obama or Rick Scott more for this change?
                     ECONOMY BETTER........
                     Jun 20  May 24  Jan 10
                     2012    2012    2012
 
Obama                15      16      13
Scott                76      76      81
NEITHER (VOL)         3       3       2
BOTH (VOL)            1       3       1
DK/NA                 4       3       3
 
 
34b. (If economy worse q33) Do you blame Barack Obama or Rick Scott more for this change?
                     ECONOMY WORSE Q33
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Obama                16%    17%    16%
Scott                66     67     65 
NEITHER (VOL)        11     11     11 
BOTH (VOL)            5      5      5 
DK/NA                 2      1      3 
 
TREND: (If economy worse) Do you blame Barack Obama or Rick Scott more for this change?
                     ECONOMY WORSE.........
                     Jun 20  May 24  Jan 10
                     2012    2012    2012
 
Obama                16      20      19
Scott                66      61      65
NEITHER (VOL)        11       6       7
BOTH (VOL)            5       8       4
DK/NA                 2       4       4
 
 
35. Florida has a law that says a person is legally entitled to fight back with deadly force if they feel threatened, even if they could retreat instead. Do you support or oppose that law?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              56%    81%    30%    55%    63%    50%    60%    31%    58%
Oppose               37     12     60     39     33     40     33     59     32
DK/NA                 8      6     10      6      4     11      7      9     10
 
                     North/
                     Panhd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Support              64%    56%    56%    66%    45%
Oppose               27     35     37     28     48
DK/NA                 8      9      8      6      7
 
TREND: Florida has a law that says a person is legally entitled to fight back with deadly force if they feel threatened, even if they could retreat instead. Do you support or oppose that law?
                     Jun 20  May 24
                     2012    2012
 
Support              56      56
Oppose               37      35
DK/NA                 8       8
 
 
36. As you may know, there has been an effort by Governor Scott to remove people from the state's voter rolls who are suspected of not being U.S. citizens. Some people say this effort is needed to prevent voter fraud. Others say this effort is intended to suppress turnout by low-income people and minorities. Do you support or oppose Governor Scott's effort to remove potential non-citizens from the registered voter rolls?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              60%    90%    33%    59%    63%    58%    67%    38%    49%
Oppose               35      8     60     37     33     37     29     56     42
DK/NA                 5      2      7      5      4      5      4      6      9
 
                     North/
                     Panhd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Support              64%    62%    57%    71%    56%
Oppose               32     35     38     23     38
DK/NA                 4      4      5      6      6
 
 

Demographic Summary