February 24, 2006 - Clinton, Giuliani Lead Presidential Pack In Florida, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Nelson Has 22-Point Lead Over Harris In Senate Race
New York Sen. Hillary Clinton and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani top the list of 2008 presidential candidates, Florida voters say in a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Giuliani, who some have speculated might not run well among the socially conservative southern GOP, is the 2008 presidential choice of 47 percent of Florida Republicans, followed by Arizona Sen. John McCain with 29 percent. No other GOP contender tops 10 percent in this survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University poll.

Sen. Hillary Clinton is the leader among Democrats, with 41 percent, followed by Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry and former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards at 14 percent each, and Delaware Sen. Joseph Biden at 8 percent.

In a general election matchup, Sen. McCain beats Sen. Clinton 53 - 38 percent, while Giuliani would beat the Democrat 50 - 41 percent.

"Rank and file Florida Republicans either don't know or don't care about Mayor Giuliani's support for abortion rights and gay rights as they make him the clear presidential choice over John McCain," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Less surprising is Sen. Clinton's 27-point lead over any other candidate when Florida Democrats are asked about their choice for president. Even in Red America Clinton is the apple of Democrats' eye," Brown said.

"McCain runs better against Clinton than does Giuliani. She loses among independents by 12 points to Giuliani, but by 26 points to McCain." U.S. Senate Race

In Florida's U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Bill Nelson leads U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris, his likely Republican challenger, 53 - 31 percent, similar to his lead in August 31, 2005, and November 15, 2005, Quinnipiac University polls. Republicans back Harris 62 - 22 percent, while Democrats back Nelson 82 - 7 percent and independent voters go with the Democrat 55 - 23 percent.

"U.S. Rep. Harris has gained no ground against Sen. Nelson, who has a lukewarm 49 - 20 percent approval rating for the third poll in a row," Brown said.

Florida voters disapprove 50 - 46 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing, compared to 61 - 37 percent disapproval November 16, his lowest score ever in Florida. Voters disapprove 54 - 41 percent of the President's handling of the war in Iraq and say 51 - 42 percent that going to war in Iraq was the wrong thing to do.

"Although President Bush still doesn't have a net positive job approval among Floridians, his numbers have increased significantly since November," Brown said.

From February 15 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,076 Florida registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. The survey includes 429 Democratic voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points and 443 Republican voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and the nation as a public service and for research. For additional data-www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States Senator?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 49% 42% 54% 52% 49% 48% Disapprove 20 26 14 19 24 17 DK/NA 32 32 31 29 27 36

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Approve 41% 55% 44% 47% 53% Disapprove 19 17 29 19 15 DK/NA 40 29 27 34 32

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States Senator? (*Also hit 50% on Feb 25, 2005)

                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Feb 24  Nov 15  Aug 31  Jun 29  Apr 14  Apr 14  Aug 12
                        2006    2005    2005    2005    2005    2005*   2004


Approve 49 49 49 46 50 50 42 Disapprove 20 18 20 23 17 17 18 DK/NA 32 33 30 31 33 33 40



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mel Martinez is handling his job as United States Senator?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 46% 66% 32% 40% 47% 45% Disapprove 30 15 41 36 34 26 DK/NA 25 19 27 24 20 29

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Approve 62% 47% 44% 45% 36% Disapprove 19 33 31 19 36 DK/NA 19 20 25 37 29

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mel Martinez is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Feb 24  Nov 15  Aug 31  Jun 29  Apr 14  Feb 24  Nov 15
                        2006    2005    2005    2005    2005    2006    2005  
                                                                              
Approve                 46      41      45      45      43      46      41    
Disapprove              30      29      29      29      29      30      29    
DK/NA                   25      29      26      26      28      25      29    




5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 46% 85% 13% 40% 50% 42% Disapprove 50 12 83 55 47 52 DK/NA 4 3 3 5 3 5

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Approve 57% 48% 46% 48% 37% Disapprove 37 47 51 51 58 DK/NA 6 5 3 1 5

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                                                                 Highest Lowest
                                                                 Approve Approve
                        Feb 24   Nov 16  Aug 31  Jun 30  Apr 13  Sep 23  Nov 16
                        2006     2005    2005    2005    2005    2004    2005  


Approve 46 37 42 45 46 50 37 Disapprove 50 61 54 51 51 47 61 DK/NA 4 2 4 4 3 3 2



14. Is your opinion of United States Senator Bill Nelson favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 37% 32% 41% 40% 37% 37% Unfavorable 11 17 6 8 14 7 Mixed 17 19 15 18 17 17 Hvn't hrd enough 34 32 37 32 31 37 REFUSED 2 1 - 2 1 2

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Favorable 33% 41% 37% 27% 40% Unfavorable 9 11 17 9 6 Mixed 20 17 16 17 16 Hvn't hrd enough 36 30 30 44 35 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2

TREND: Is your opinion of United States Senator Bill Nelson favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Feb 24  Aug 31
                        2006    2005


Favorable 37 35 Unfavorable 11 8 Mixed 17 24 Hvn't hrd enough 34 31 REFUSED 2 1



15. Is your opinion of Congresswoman Katherine Harris favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 26% 41% 15% 19% 28% 24% Unfavorable 27 12 42 32 28 27 Mixed 13 17 9 15 13 13 Hvn't hrd enough 32 31 34 30 30 34 REFUSED 1 - - 4 - 2

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Favorable 31% 27% 25% 33% 20% Unfavorable 18 29 27 32 31 Mixed 10 15 15 13 13 Hvn't hrd enough 40 28 32 22 33 REFUSED - 2 - - 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Congresswoman Katherine Harris favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        Feb 24  Aug 31
                        2006    2005


Favorable 26 22 Unfavorable 27 30 Mixed 13 15 Hvn't hrd enough 32 32 REFUSED 1 1



16. If the 2006 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat and Katherine Harris the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Nelson 53% 22% 82% 55% 53% 53% Harris 31 62 7 23 34 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 2 1 DK/NA 14 13 9 20 11 17

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Nelson 44% 46% 55% 47% 62% Harris 37 39 28 37 22 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 3 3 - DK/NA 17 13 13 13 15



TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat and Katherine Harris the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Feb 24  Nov 15  Aug 31  Jun 29
                        2006    2005    2005    2005


Nelson 53 55 57 50 Harris 31 31 33 38 SMONE ELSE 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 14 12 9 10



17. Who would you most like to see the Democrats nominate for President in 2008 if the candidates were; New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold, former Virginia Governor Mark Warner, Delaware Senator Joseph Biden, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards?

                        Registered
                        Democrats


Clinton 41% Feingold 2 Warner 5 Biden 8 Kerry 14 Edwards 14 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 DK/NA 12



18. Who would you most like to see the Republicans nominate for President in 2008 if the candidates were Arizona Senator John McCain, Virginia Senator George Allen, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani?

                        Registered 
                        Republicans


McCain 29% Allen 6 Frist 8 Giuliani 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - DK/NA 9



19. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Rudolph Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 41% 9% 75% 38% 35% 47% Giuliani 50 87 16 50 57 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 5 2 5 6 3 7

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Clinton 34% 40% 41% 28% 50% Giuliani 57 51 50 64 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 3 1 DK/NA 5 3 5 4 6



20. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 38% 8% 74% 31% 32% 44% McCain 53 86 20 57 61 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 2 1 DK/NA 7 3 5 9 5 9

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Clinton 33% 41% 39% 28% 42% McCain 58 51 52 65 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 - 1 DK/NA 6 5 6 6 9



31. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 41% 80% 9% 37% 46% 37% Disapprove 54 16 86 59 51 57 DK/NA 5 4 5 4 4 6

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Approve 52% 47% 39% 42% 31% Disapprove 42 49 54 56 65 DK/NA 6 4 7 2 4



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?

                        Feb 24  Nov 16  Aug 31
                        2006    2005    2005


Approve 41 31 39 Disapprove 54 64 55 DK/NA 5 5 6



32. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Right thing 42% 79% 10% 39% 47% 38% Wrong thing 51 16 82 57 50 52 DK/NA 6 5 8 5 3 9

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Right thing 51% 45% 43% 43% 34% Wrong thing 39 48 52 53 61 DK/NA 11 6 6 4 5

TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                        Feb 24  Aug 31  Oct 28  Oct 21  Oct 7   Sep 23  Aug 12
                        2006    2005    2004    2004    2004    2004    2004


Right thing 42 41 48 48 46 46 45 Wrong thing 51 53 44 45 49 49 49 DK/NA 6 6 8 7 5 5 6