July 19, 2013 - Iowa Voters Like Gov. Branstad, But Say It's Time To Go, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Possible 2014 Challengers Are Largely Unknown

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Iowa voters like Gov. Terry Branstad: they give him a 50 - 37 percent favorability rating and a 51 - 33 percent job approval, but they say 46 - 43 percent he does not deserve another term, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Asked another way, 54 percent of voters say Gov. Branstad has been in office long enough, while 37 percent say he should seek another term, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Working to Branstad's advantage should he seek another term is that the field of potential challengers is composed of unknowns about whom four out of five voters don't know enough to have an opinion.

"Iowans have a nuanced opinion about their off and on-again governor, who has spent a total of 19 years in office. But by the barest of majorities - 50 percent - they like Gov. Terry Branstad and think he does a good job, but at the same they time think he has been in office long enough," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The question, should the governor seek another term, is whether their support for Branstad will in the end supersede voters' view that it's time for him to go."

Branstad's 51 - 33 percent approval includes the expected partisan splits but almost no gender gap. His score compares to a 49 - 31 percent rating in Quinnipiac University's May 23 survey.

Approval is 77 - 8 percent among Republicans and 50 - 33 percent among independent voters. Democrats disapprove 57 - 25 percent. Men approve 53 - 31 percent and women agree 48 - 34 percent.

Republicans say 68 - 21 percent that Branstad deserves four more years, a drop from his 77 - 8 percent approval rating. Democrats say 72 - 18 percent he doesn't deserve another term while independent voters are divided 43 - 44 percent. Men also are divided 45 - 45 percent, while 46 percent of women say no to four more years as 41 percent say yes.

"Clearly there are some Republicans that like Gov. Branstad and think he has done a good job who also think he has been in power too long, but most of them are probably going to vote for him in the 2014 election should he be matched up against a Democrat," Brown said.

Although by 26 - 14 percent voters say Branstad's length of time in office makes them less likely rather than more like to vote for him, 58 percent say it does not matter to their vote.

The three Democrats who are potential 2014 candidates for governor all face substantial efforts to introduce themselves to Iowa voters. The number of voters who don't know enough to form an opinion of Jack Hatch, Tyler Olson or Mike Gronstal ranges from 77 percent to 92 percent.

"Not being well-known is a problem for candidates because in addition to having to sell their policy agenda they need to introduce themselves to the voters and that will require lots of money," said Brown.

Iowans are happy with their elected officials. The State Legislature has a 46 - 34 percent approval rating, the highest for the legislature in any of the nine states surveyed by Quinnipiac University. U.S. Sen. Charles Grassley gets a 59 - 29 percent approval, while U.S. Sen. Tom Harkin scores a 50 - 35 percent approval.

From July 15 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,256 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Terry Branstad is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Approve              51%    77%    25%    50%    53%    48%    52%
Disapprove           33      8     57     33     31     34     33
DK/NA                16     14     18     16     15     17     16
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              54%    50%    42%    59%    60%    42%    57%    53%    47%
Disapprove           36     32     38     27     32     25     26     35     42
DK/NA                10     18     20     14      8     34     17     12     11
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Terry Branstad is handling his job as Governor?
                     Jul 19  May 23
                     2013    2013
                              
Approve              51      49
Disapprove           33      31 
DK/NA                16      20 
 
 
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Approve              46%    56%    37%    45%    50%    42%    46%
Disapprove           34     23     42     36     35     34     34
DK/NA                20     20     21     19     16     25     20
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              50%    44%    40%    55%    50%    50%    51%    45%    38%
Disapprove           35     34     36     30     36     23     28     39     39
DK/NA                16     22     23     15     14     27     21     15     23
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Jul 19  May 23
                     2013    2013
                              
Approve              46      38
Disapprove           34      41 
DK/NA                20      21 
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chuck Grassley is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Approve              59%    77%    43%    58%    58%    60%    60%
Disapprove           29     13     43     31     30     28     29
DK/NA                12     10     13     11     11     12     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              54%    61%    57%    60%    59%    53%    63%    60%    58%
Disapprove           38     26     29     30     32     27     22     32     33
DK/NA                 9     13     14     10      9     21     15      9      8
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chuck Grassley is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Jul 19  May 23
                     2013    2013
                             
Approve              59      52
Disapprove           29      33 
DK/NA                12      15 
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Harkin is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Approve              50%    33%    74%    47%    43%    57%    50%
Disapprove           35     49     12     40     43     28     35
DK/NA                15     17     15     14     14     16     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              54%    49%    50%    51%    50%    46%    48%    51%    53%
Disapprove           36     35     32     36     41     28     37     37     35
DK/NA                 9     17     18     13      9     26     15     12     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Harkin is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Jul 19  May 23
                     2013    2013
                              
Approve              50      47
Disapprove           35      35 
DK/NA                15      18 
 
 
6. Do you feel that Terry Branstad deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Yes/Deserves         43%    68%    18%    43%    45%    41%    44%
No/Does not          46     21     72     44     45     46     45
DK/NA                12     11     10     13     10     13     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes/Deserves         48%    41%    36%    49%    55%    41%    48%    44%    37%
No/Does not          44     46     50     43     39     43     38     47     53
DK/NA                 8     13     14      9      6     15     14      9     10
 
TREND: Do you feel that Terry Branstad deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Jul 19  May 23
                     2013    2013
                              
Yes/Deserves         43      42
No/Does not          46      43 
DK/NA                12      16 
 
 
7. Do you think Governor Branstad has been in office long enough or do you think he should seek another term?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Long enough          54%    29%    79%    55%    51%    58%    54%
Another term         37     61     15     34     40     33     37
DK/NA                 9     10      6     11      9      9      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Long enough          51%    56%    58%    52%    48%    53%    48%    55%    62%
Another term         42     35     32     39     47     33     40     38     32
DK/NA                 8      9     10      9      6     14     11      7      6
 
 
8. Does Governor Branstad's length of time as Governor make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
More likely          14%    27%     8%    11%    16%    12%    14%
Less likely          26     12     38     26     24     28     26
No difference        58     59     51     60     58     57     57
DK/NA                 3      3      3      2      2      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
More likely          14%    14%    15%    14%    15%    16%    13%    14%    14%
Less likely          23     27     30     22     22     13     24     26     36
No difference        60     57     52     62     62     68     63     58     44
DK/NA                 2      3      3      2      1      3      -      2      6
 
 
17. Is your opinion of Terry Branstad favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Favorable            50%    80%    23%    49%    51%    50%    52%
Unfavorable          37     10     62     37     35     38     36
Hvn't hrd enough     11      9     12     12     12     10     10
REFUSED               2      1      3      1      2      2      2
 
 
18. Is your opinion of Jack Hatch favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Favorable             6%     3%     8%     6%     7%     5%     6%
Unfavorable           7      8      5      9      9      5      7
Hvn't hrd enough     85     88     85     83     82     88     86
REFUSED               1      -      2      2      1      2      1
 
 
19. Is your opinion of Tyler Olson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Favorable             4%     1%     6%     5%     4%     4%     4%
Unfavorable           4      4      1      5      6      2      3
Hvn't hrd enough     92     94     93     90     90     94     92
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
20. Is your opinion of Mike Gronstal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Favorable            11%     6%    16%    10%    12%     9%    11%
Unfavorable          12     17      4     13     16      7     11
Hvn't hrd enough     77     77     79     77     72     83     77
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      -      1      1
 
 
27. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Iowa today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Very satisfied        8%    10%     7%     7%     8%     9%     8%
Smwht satisfied      59     67     55     58     62     57     60
Smwht dissatisfied   24     18     27     25     21     26     24
Very dissatisfied     7      3      9      9      7      7      6
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      2      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Very satisfied        7%     9%     8%     7%    13%     7%     9%     7%    10%
Smwht satisfied      68     56     54     69     62     61     64     57     57
Smwht dissatisfied   19     26     26     20     20     19     23     27     24
Very dissatisfied     5      8     11      3      4     11      4      7      7
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      -      1      1      1      2
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Iowa today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Jul 19  May 23
                     2013    2013
                              
Very satisfied        8       8
Smwht satisfied      59      58 
Smwht dissatisfied   24      25 
Very dissatisfied     7       7 
DK/NA                 1       2 
 
 
 

Demographic Summary