December 17, 2013 - Iowa Gov's Approval, Reelection Prospects Improve, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Christie Tops Clinton By 5 Points In 2016 Race
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Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad's reelection prospects are improving as voters approve 58 - 32 percent of the job he is doing, and say 50 - 41 percent that he deserves to be reelected, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

A July 19 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showed job approval at 51 - 33 percent while voters said 46 - 43 percent that he did not deserve four more years.

Backing another term for Gov. Branstad are Republicans 81 - 11 percent and independent voters 50 - 40 percent, with Democrats opposed 72 - 19 percent. There is a large gender gap as men say four more years 58 - 36 percent while 43 percent of women say yes and 45 percent say no.

There is also a gender gap on the governor's job approval as men approve 65 - 29 percent while women approve 52 - 35 percent. Approval is 88 - 7 percent among Republicans and 57 - 31 percent among independent voters, while Democrats disapprove 61 - 29 percent.

Branstad is close to 50 percent in races against three possible Democratic challengers:
  • 49 - 33 percent over State Sen. Jack Hatch;
  • 50 - 32 percent over State Rep. Tyler Olson;
  • 49 - 31 percent over former State Rep. Bob Krause.
"Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad enters his re-election year in better shape than when we looked five months ago. He defeats his three potential Democratic opponents by 16 points or more and has the kind of job approval that usually goes along with comfortable reelections," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Of course anything is possible with 11 months until Election Day."

"But with 71 percent of Iowa voters satisfied with the way things are going in the state, and more than six in 10 seeing the governor as honest and a strong leader, whoever emerges from the Democratic field will face an uphill climb to the governor's mansion," Brown added.

Iowa voters give Gov. Branstad high marks for character, saying:
  • 61 - 29 percent that he is honest and trustworthy;
  • 67 - 27 percent that he is a strong leader;
  • 56 - 37 percent that he cares about their needs and problems.
Voters say 30 - 14 percent that Branstad's time in office makes them less likely rather than more likely to vote for him, while 54 percent say it makes no difference. 2016 President Race

In an early look at the 2016 presidential race, New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie leads former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton 45 - 40 percent.

There is a large gender gap as women back Clinton 49 - 39 percent while men back Christie 51 - 30 percent. Independent voters back the Republican 44 - 35 percent.

In another matchup, Clinton gets 45 percent to 44 percent for U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky. She tops U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas 48 - 41 percent and leads former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush 47 - 40 percent.

Christie would make a good president, Iowa voters say 46 - 30 percent and say the same about Clinton 53 - 42 percent. Paul gets a negative 38 - 42 percent on whether he would make a good president. Cruz, Bush and Vice President Joseph Biden all get bigger negative scores on how they would do in the Oval Office.

"New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie pulls ahead of Secretary Hillary Clinton among Iowa voters. The change from the last time Quinnipiac University polled Iowa, July 22 when they were tied 41 - 41 percent, reflects a general improvement for Republicans, almost certainly related to the controversy over 'Obamacare,'" Brown said.

From December 10 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,617 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Jack Hatch the Democrat and Terry Branstad the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Hatch                33%     3%    78%    25%    27%    38%
Branstad             49     91      9     47     56     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      2      4      3      2
DK/NA                14      4     10     23     12     15
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Hatch                73%    37%    13%    30%    27%    40%    36%
Branstad             12     39     77     48     53     45     49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      2      3      6      1      1
DK/NA                12     19      7     16     14     13     13
 
 
2. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Tyler Olson the Democrat and Terry Branstad the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Olson                32%     3%    75%    25%    26%    37%
Branstad             50     92     11     46     57     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      -      2      5      4      2
DK/NA                14      4     11     23     11     16
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Olson                72%    37%    11%    32%    27%    38%    32%
Branstad             12     39     79     49     54     45     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      2      5      5      2      1
DK/NA                13     19      7     12     14     14     15
 
 
3. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Bob Krause the Democrat and Terry Branstad the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Krause               31%     3%    76%    24%    25%    37%
Branstad             49     91      9     46     56     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      -      3      5      5      2
DK/NA                15      5     12     23     12     17
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Krause               70%    36%    12%    30%    27%    38%    31%
Branstad             11     39     77     50     53     44     49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      2      5      6      2      2
DK/NA                14     20      8     12     14     14     17
 
 
10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Clinton              40%     5%    85%    35%    30%    49%
Christie             45     83      8     44     51     39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      1      4      5      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      1      6      5      2
DK/NA                 8      6      5     12      9      7
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              76%    49%    15%    41%    34%    46%    42%
Christie              9     40     68     45     47     41     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      4      3      5      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      6      3      5      3      3
DK/NA                10      8      7      7      9      9      7
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Dec 17  Jul 22
                     2013    2013
 
Clinton              40      41
Christie             45      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       4
DK/NA                 8      11
 
 
11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Clinton              45%     7%    92%    43%    34%    56%
Paul                 44     86      4     40     53     35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      1      4      3      2
DK/NA                 7      6      3     11      8      6
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              83%    59%    15%    43%    40%    53%    48%
Paul                 10     29     75     47     48     37     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      -      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      3      1      3      2      2
DK/NA                 4      8      6      9      7      6      6
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Dec 17  May 24
                     2013    2013
 
Clinton              45      46
Paul                 44      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       3
DK/NA                 7       7
 
 
12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Clinton              48%     8%    94%    47%    38%    57%
Cruz                 41     87      3     33     48     34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      -      6      4      2
DK/NA                 7      4      2     11      7      6
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              85%    62%    17%    47%    43%    54%    50%
Cruz                  6     25     74     43     44     36     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      1      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      3      4      3      3      3
DK/NA                 5      8      5      5      8      6      6
 
 
13. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Clinton              47%     8%    94%    43%    35%    57%
Bush                 40     81      2     37     49     33
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      1      4      5      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      -      5      4      2
DK/NA                 7      5      2     11      7      7
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              87%    59%    17%    47%    41%    52%    49%
Bush                  4     28     70     37     42     37     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      3      5      4      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      4      2      5      3      2
DK/NA                 4      9      6      9      7      6      6
 
 
14. Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  46%    61%    33%    46%    50%    42%
No                   30     21     40     29     31     29
DK/NA                24     19     28     25     19     28
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  35%    46%    52%    35%    46%    48%    50%
No                   39     27     30     26     33     35     24
DK/NA                26     27     18     39     21     17     27
 
 
15. Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  53%    19%    92%    52%    43%    62%
No                   42     77      6     39     50     34
DK/NA                 5      4      2      9      6      5
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  86%    67%    24%    55%    50%    56%    52%
No                   11     27     71     35     45     39     43
DK/NA                 3      6      5     10      5      4      4
 
 
16. Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  29%     9%    55%    25%    26%    31%
No                   62     86     33     64     67     58
DK/NA                 9      5     12     10      7     11
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  59%    32%    13%    38%    24%    31%    29%
No                   32     56     83     53     69     60     60
DK/NA                 9     12      4     10      7      9     12
 
 
17. Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  38%    66%     8%    38%    46%    31%
No                   42     17     73     40     37     47
DK/NA                20     18     19     22     17     23
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  10%    26%    63%    42%    40%    35%    35%
No                   71     51     21     30     41     49     45
DK/NA                19     23     16     28     19     17     20
 
 
18. Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  28%    55%     2%    25%    35%    20%
No                   42     16     69     43     40     44
DK/NA                30     29     29     32     24     36
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                   7%    12%    54%    28%    30%    25%    25%
No                   68     55     19     32     41     50     44
DK/NA                26     32     27     40     30     25     31
 
 
19. Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  36%    67%    10%    31%    42%    29%
No                   47     18     79     45     41     52
DK/NA                18     15     11     24     17     19
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  10%    28%    54%    30%    36%    34%    39%
No                   77     52     29     42     48     52     44
DK/NA                13     20     17     28     16     14     17
 
 
20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Terry Branstad is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              58%    88%    29%    57%    65%    52%
Disapprove           32      7     61     31     29     35
DK/NA                10      5     10     12      6     13
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              24%    51%    82%    61%    61%    54%    56%
Disapprove           67     38     13     22     30     40     35
DK/NA                 9     11      6     17     10      6      9
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Terry Branstad is handling his job as Governor?
                     Dec 17  Jul 19  May 23
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              58      51      49
Disapprove           32      33      31
DK/NA                10      16      20
 
 
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              48%    54%    39%    52%    54%    43%
Disapprove           35     29     40     35     33     37
DK/NA                17     17     21     14     14     20
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              38%    48%    55%    50%    52%    43%    49%
Disapprove           47     36     31     36     33     40     31
DK/NA                16     16     14     15     15     16     20
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Dec 17  Jul 19  May 23
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              48      46      38
Disapprove           35      34      41
DK/NA                17      20      21
 
 
25. Do you feel that Terry Branstad deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes/Deserves         50%    81%    19%    50%    58%    43%
No/Does not          41     11     72     40     36     45
DK/NA                 9      8      9     10      7     12
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes/Deserves         14%    44%    73%    55%    55%    43%    48%
No/Does not          78     47     19     34     36     50     43
DK/NA                 8      9      7     11     10      7      9
 
TREND: Do you feel that Terry Branstad deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Dec 17  Jul 19  May 23
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Yes/Deserves         50      43      42
No/Does not          41      46      43
DK/NA                 9      12      16
 
 
26. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Iowa today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very satisfied       11%    16%     7%    11%    13%    10%
Smwht satisfied      60     67     57     59     62     59
Smwht dissatisfied   21     13     28     21     20     23
Very dissatisfied     6      3      7      8      6      7
DK/NA                 1      -      1      2      1      1
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Very satisfied        8%    10%    14%    13%    10%    11%    11%
Smwht satisfied      51     61     65     55     65     55     65
Smwht dissatisfied   30     23     16     26     19     25     18
Very dissatisfied    11      6      4      5      5      9      5
DK/NA                 -      1      1      1      -      1      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Iowa today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Dec 17  Jul 19  May 23
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Very satisfied       11       8       8
Smwht satisfied      60      59      58
Smwht dissatisfied   21      24      25
Very dissatisfied     6       7       7
DK/NA                 1       1       2
 
 
27. Would you say that Terry Branstad - is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  61%    86%    38%    59%    65%    58%
No                   29      7     51     28     27     31
DK/NA                10      6     11     12      8     12
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  39%    53%    81%    66%    59%    58%    66%
No                   54     35     13     22     31     34     26
DK/NA                 7     12      6     12     11      9      9
 
 
28. Would you say that Terry Branstad - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  67%    89%    43%    66%    72%    62%
No                   27      6     50     28     24     30
DK/NA                 6      5      6      6      4      8
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  45%    61%    85%    73%    72%    61%    62%
No                   51     33     12     16     23     36     32
DK/NA                 4      6      4     11      5      4      6
 
 
29. Would you say that Terry Branstad - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  56%    84%    31%    54%    62%    51%
No                   37      8     63     38     32     41
DK/NA                 7      7      7      8      6      9
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  30%    48%    78%    59%    58%    52%    56%
No                   65     44     17     32     33     44     37
DK/NA                 5      8      5      9      9      4      7
 
 
30. Do you think Terry Branstad is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Liberal               9%     9%     7%     8%    10%     9%
Conservative         27      8     50     25     26     27
About right          52     77     27     54     57     48
DK/NA                12      6     16     13      7     16
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Liberal               2%     9%    14%     8%    10%    10%     7%
Conservative         66     31      8     21     25     33     26
About right          23     49     70     56     54     47     53
DK/NA                 9     12      8     14     11     11     13
 
 
31. Does Governor Branstad's length of time as Governor make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More likely          14%    23%     8%    12%    15%    14%
Less likely          30      9     55     27     25     34
No difference        54     65     36     58     60     48
DK/NA                 2      3      1      3      1      3
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY   AGE IN YRS..............
                     Lib    Mod    Con    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
More likely           7%    12%    19%    15%    12%    13%    17%
Less likely          50     34     16     17     29     35     34
No difference        42     51     62     64     59     50     46
DK/NA                 -      2      2      3      1      2      3
 
TREND: Does Governor Branstad's length of time as Governor make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Dec 17  Jul 19
                     2013    2013
 
More likely          14      14
Less likely          30      26
No difference        54      58
DK/NA                 2       3
 
 

Demographic Summary