February 21, 2007 - Giuliani Tops Clinton In 2008 Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Republican Runs Strong In Red, Blue And Purple States
Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani leads Sen. Hillary Clinton 48 - 43 percent among American voters in a 2008 national presidential poll released by Quinnipiac University today. Arizona Sen. John McCain edges Sen. Clinton 46 - 44 percent.

Giuliani tops Clinton 55 - 38 percent in Red states, which voted Republican in the 2004 presidential election, and ties her 46 - 46 percent in Blue states, which went Democratic in 2004. He gets 44 percent to Clinton's 45 percent in Purple states, where the margin in 2004 was less than 7 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. In other possible presidential matchups:
  • Clinton tops former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 49 - 37 percent;
  • Giuliani beats Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 47 - 40 percent;
  • Giuliani tops 2004 vice presidential candidate John Edwards 48 - 40 percent;
  • McCain ties Obama 43 - 43 percent;
  • McCain gets 43 percent to Edward's 42 percent, a tie;
  • Obama tops Romney 49 - 29 percent;
  • Edwards beats Romney 48 - 32 percent.
"After 9/11, Rudolph Giuliani earned the title 'America's Mayor.' After the 2008 election, he could be America's President," said Maurice Carroll, Director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "But we vote in November 2008, not February 2007 - and lots of things can happen. Let's watch the state-by-state breakdown and the Electoral College. Remember 2000?"

"When we look at the Red, Blue and Purple state matchups, we see Giuliani running strong in any color, while Sen. Clinton outpoints Sen. McCain in Blue and Purple states. Sen. Obama and John Edwards are in the middle somewhere and Mitt Romney is nowhere, actually losing to Obama and Edwards in Red states, where voters probably just don't know the former Massachusetts governor."

Clinton gets 38 percent of Democratic primary voters, followed by Obama with 23 percent, former Vice President Al Gore with 11 percent and Edwards with 6 percent.

Giuliani gets 40 percent of Republicans, followed by McCain with 18 percent, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 10 percent and Romney at 7 percent.

American voters give Giuliani a 57 - 21 percent favorability rating. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
  • 46 - 45 percent for Clinton;
  • 51 - 22 percent for McCain;
  • 44 - 14 percent for Obama, with 40 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion;
  • 44 - 27 percent for Edwards;
  • 44 - 47 percent for Gore;
  • 22 - 47 percent for Gingrich;
  • For Romney, 67 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion.



President Bush's Approval

American voters disapprove 60 - 34 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing. Voters disapprove 64 - 30 percent of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq and oppose 62 - 33 percent the President's plan to send 22,000 more troops to Iraq.

From February 13 - 19 Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,536 American voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent, including 578 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percent, and 684 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data - www.quinnipiac.edu and click on Institutes and Centers, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. (If Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore, Tom Vilsack, Joe Biden, John Edwards, Bill Richardson, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Chris Dodd, Wesley Clark and Dennis Kucinich for whom would you vote?

                        DEMOCRATS..........
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Gore 11% 14% 8% Vilsack - - - Biden 1 2 1 Edwards 6 7 6 Richardson 2 1 2 Clinton 38 33 42 Obama 23 25 21 Dodd - - - Clark 2 3 1 Kucinich 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 DK/NA 13 11 14



2. (If Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Tommy Thompson, Jim Gilmore, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, George Pataki, Tom Tancredo and Ron Paul for whom would you vote?

                        REPUBLICANS........
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Giuliani 40% 42% 38% McCain 18 19 16 Romney 7 6 9 Gingrich 10 12 7 Hunter 2 2 2 Brownback 1 - 1 Thompson 1 1 1 Gilmore - - - Hagel - - - Huckabee 2 2 1 Pataki 1 2 1 Tancredo 1 - 1 Paul 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 - DK/NA 15 11 21



3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Clinton 43% 4% 80% 35% 35% 50% 26% Giuliani 48 88 14 55 56 42 63 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 3 2 3 DK/NA 5 5 4 6 5 6 6

Red Blue Purple

Clinton 38% 46% 45% Giuliani 55 46 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 4 DK/NA 5 6 5

TREND: If the 2008 election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Rudolph Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Feb 21  Mar 10  Feb 2   Dec 16
                        2007    2005    2005    2004


Clinton 43 43 43 43 Giuliani 48 44 45 45 SMONE ELSE 1 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE 2 1 2 2 DK/NA 5 10 7 6



4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Obama 40% 6% 72% 33% 33% 46% 24% Giuliani 47 83 19 50 54 40 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 DK/NA 10 7 6 13 8 11 12

Red Blue Purple

Obama 39% 37% 43% Giuliani 49 50 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 4 DK/NA 9 9 11



5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Edwards 40% 8% 75% 28% 34% 45% 29% Giuliani 48 83 17 57 55 42 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 2 2 3 3 DK/NA 8 6 5 11 6 10 8

Red Blue Purple

Edwards 36% 37% 46% Giuliani 51 51 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 3 DK/NA 10 8 6



6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Clinton 44% 6% 81% 35% 35% 53% 25% McCain 46 87 14 50 55 38 63 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 4 3 2 4 DK/NA 6 5 4 9 6 6 6

Red Blue Purple

Clinton 39% 48% 47% McCain 51 43 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 DK/NA 7 6 5

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Feb 21  Dec 6   Mar 10
                        2007    2005    2005


Clinton 44 40 41 McCain 46 44 43 SMONE ELSE 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE 3 3 1 DK/NA 6 11 13



7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Obama 43% 9% 73% 39% 36% 49% 27% McCain 43 80 17 42 51 35 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 3 3 4 4 DK/NA 10 8 7 14 8 12 11

Red Blue Purple

Obama 39% 44% 46% McCain 46 41 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 DK/NA 10 10 9



8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Edwards 42% 8% 76% 32% 35% 48% 29% McCain 43 81 15 50 52 36 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 3 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 1 3 3 4 3 DK/NA 9 8 5 13 6 12 10

Red Blue Purple

Edwards 37% 43% 47% McCain 47 41 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 5 3 DK/NA 11 9 7



9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Clinton 49% 6% 87% 42% 42% 55% 31% Romney 37 79 7 37 42 32 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 3 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 2 5 5 3 5 DK/NA 9 9 4 13 8 10 8

Red Blue Purple

Clinton 43% 53% 50% Romney 41 34 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 5 DK/NA 10 8 8
10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Obama 49% 15% 80% 48% 46% 53% 31% Romney 29 63 6 26 34 24 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 4 3 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 2 4 6 4 6 DK/NA 15 17 10 18 12 19 19

Red Blue Purple

Obama 45% 53% 50% Romney 32 26 28 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 5 DK/NA 17 14 14



11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Edwards 48% 11% 84% 40% 43% 53% 38% Romney 32 69 5 32 39 25 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 5 5 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 2 6 5 5 5 DK/NA 12 12 6 17 9 15 12

Red Blue Purple

Edwards 44% 49% 52% Romney 35 28 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 6 4 DK/NA 13 14 10



12. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Favorable 46% 10% 77% 42% 36% 54% 32% Unfavorable 45 87 13 45 54 37 62 Hvn't hrd enough 7 2 8 9 7 7 5 REFUSED 2 1 2 3 3 1 1

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 42% 52% 43% Unfavorable 51 41 43 Hvn't hrd enough 5 5 11 REFUSED 2 2 3



13. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Favorable 44% 25% 60% 45% 40% 48% 31% Unfavorable 14 27 6 12 16 12 23 Hvn't hrd enough 40 47 33 40 42 38 45 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 42% 48% 43% Unfavorable 16 11 15 Hvn't hrd enough 41 39 41 REFUSED 2 2 1



14. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Favorable 51% 67% 36% 60% 61% 42% 53% Unfavorable 22 14 32 16 23 22 24 Hvn't hrd enough 25 17 30 22 14 34 22 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 51% 53% 49% Unfavorable 19 22 25 Hvn't hrd enough 27 23 24 REFUSED 3 2 2



15. Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Favorable 57% 81% 38% 62% 62% 53% 62% Unfavorable 21 10 34 16 22 20 16 Hvn't hrd enough 21 9 26 22 16 25 21 REFUSED 1 - 2 1 - 1 1

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 57% 60% 54% Unfavorable 19 22 22 Hvn't hrd enough 23 17 23 REFUSED 1 1 1



16. Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Favorable 17% 35% 5% 15% 20% 14% 21% Unfavorable 15 7 20 14 16 13 11 Hvn't hrd enough 67 58 73 68 63 72 68 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 0

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 18% 14% 19% Unfavorable 12 16 15 Hvn't hrd enough 69 68 65 REFUSED 1 2 1



17. Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Favorable 44% 25% 66% 38% 44% 44% 36% Unfavorable 27 49 9 31 33 22 33 Hvn't hrd enough 26 25 24 30 20 32 31 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 1

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 39% 45% 49% Unfavorable 27 28 27 Hvn't hrd enough 30 25 23 REFUSED 3 1 1



18. Is your opinion of -- Al Gore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Favorable 44% 12% 74% 40% 40% 48% 29% Unfavorable 47 81 17 52 53 41 64 Hvn't hrd enough 7 5 7 7 5 10 6 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 1 1

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 44% 48% 40% Unfavorable 49 43 48 Hvn't hrd enough 7 7 8 REFUSED - 2 3



19. Is your opinion of -- Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Favorable 22% 45% 7% 18% 27% 18% 32% Unfavorable 47 26 61 54 48 46 35 Hvn't hrd enough 30 27 31 27 24 34 32 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 1 2 1

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 28% 19% 19% Unfavorable 39 51 51 Hvn't hrd enough 32 28 29 REFUSED 2 2 1



20. Is your opinion of -- Harry Reid favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Favorable 7% 3% 12% 5% 9% 6% 5% Unfavorable 17 28 11 15 24 10 20 Hvn't hrd enough 75 69 77 77 66 83 74 REFUSED 1 1 1 3 1 1 1

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 5% 9% 7% Unfavorable 16 14 21 Hvn't hrd enough 77 76 71 REFUSED 2 1 1



21. Is your opinion of -- Nancy Pelosi favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Favorable 25% 7% 41% 25% 23% 26% 13% Unfavorable 31 62 10 28 38 24 42 Hvn't hrd enough 43 30 49 45 37 49 44 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 2 1 1

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 21% 31% 23% Unfavorable 32 30 31 Hvn't hrd enough 47 37 45 REFUSED 1 2 2



22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Approve 34% 72% 9% 32% 38% 31% 52% Disapprove 60 20 87 63 57 62 43 DK/NA 6 7 4 5 5 7 5

Red Blue Purple

Approve 39% 32% 32% Disapprove 53 64 63 DK/NA 7 4 6

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Feb 21  Nov 22  Aug 29  Jun 1   Mar 2   Dec 11  Feb 21
                        2007    2006    2006    2006    2006    2001    2007


Approve 34 35 39 35 36 83 34 Disapprove 60 58 53 58 58 11 60 DK/NA 6 7 8 7 6 6 6



27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Approve 30% 67% 7% 24% 33% 27% 50% Disapprove 64 25 89 71 62 66 45 DK/NA 6 7 3 5 5 6 5

Red Blue Purple

Approve 34% 27% 29% Disapprove 59 69 64 DK/NA 6 4 6

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?

                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Feb 21  Nov 22  Jun 1   Mar 2   Dec 6   Jul 24  Feb 21
                        2007    2006    2006    2006    2005    2003    2007


Approve 30 30 35 36 36 52 30 Disapprove 64 66 61 60 60 43 64 DK/NA 6 4 4 4 3 5 6



28. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Right thing 37% 72% 12% 37% 42% 33% 52% Wrong thing 56 21 83 57 52 60 39 DK/NA 7 7 5 5 7 7 9

Red Blue Purple

Right thing 45% 31% 35% Wrong thing 48 64 57 DK/NA 7 5 9

TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                        Feb 21  Nov 22  Jun 1   Mar 2   Dec 6   Mar 10  Feb 2
                        2007    2006    2006    2006    2005    2005    2005 


Right 37 40 39 40 41 42 44 Wrong 56 56 56 56 54 51 50 DK/NA 7 4 5 4 5 6 6



29. Do you support or oppose Bush's plan to send approximately 22,000 additional U.S. military forces to Iraq?

                                                                        Wht Evan
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     BrnAgain


Support 33% 68% 10% 30% 42% 25% 48% Oppose 62 27 88 63 54 70 45 DK/NA 5 5 2 6 4 6 7

Red Blue Purple

Support 37% 31% 30% Oppose 58 66 64 DK/NA 5 3 6