June 13, 2007 - Top Dems Catch Giuliani In '08 Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Thompson Ties McCain Among Republicans

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The top three Democratic presidential contenders all have caught up with former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, the Republican leader: New York Sen. Hillary Clinton gets 45 percent to Giuliani's 44 percent; Illinois Sen. Barack Obama ties Giuliani 42 - 42 percent and former Vice President Al Gore gets 45 percent to Giuliani's 43 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

Giuliani, leading in national and statewide polls by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pe-ack) University for several months, had a 49 - 40 percent lead over Clinton in a May 3 national poll, where he also topped Gore 48 - 41 percent and Obama 44 - 41 percent.

In a Republican primary, Giuliani leads with 27 percent, unchanged from May 3. Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson who has 15 percent, followed by Arizona Sen. John McCain, down from 19 percent to 15 percent. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney gets 10 percent.

Clinton leads among Democrats with 35 percent, followed by Obama with 21 percent, Gore with 18 percent and 2004 vice presidential candidate John Edwards with 9 percent.

In the first in a series of more in-depth questioning on leading candidates, the poll found that among Republicans definitely or likely to vote for Giuliani in a primary, 35 percent cite his handling of 9/11 as the main reason they back Giuliani, while 30 percent cite his position on the issues and 25 percent point to his record as mayor.

"Mayor Rudolph Giuliani's support erodes against the leading Democrats, but he holds steady as the front-runner on the Republican side," said Maurice Carroll, Director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"But here's a surprise: Almost as many Republicans say they like America's Mayor for his stands on issues as for how he handled 9/11," Carroll added. "Do the numbers mean that all the hoo-hah in the media is over-heated about how his stands on abortion and gun control are supposed to alienate a lot of Republicans? Giuliani's support is broader than just 9/11.

"Most of the Republicans who don't support Giuliani say it's not that they're against him; they just prefer one of the others. But 30 percent do cite his positions on issues.

"It's still early, but Sen. Hillary Clinton just keeps rolling along. Either something - like Iowa - will dislodge her or else she's the nominee. Should we start asking about vice-presidents?

"If someone slips, the non-candidates, or not-yet candidates - Sen. Fred Thompson for the Republicans, Vice President Gore for the Democrats - are hanging in there."

In other presidential matchups:
  • Clinton gets 44 percent to McCain's 42 percent, while Obama edges McCain 43 - 41 percent and Gore tops McCain 44 - 41 percent.
  • Clinton tops Thompson 46 - 39 percent, as Obama beats Thompson 46 - 34 percent and Gore beats Thompson 49 - 37 percent.
American voters give Giuliani a 51 - 27 percent favorability rating. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
  • 47 - 45 percent for Clinton;
  • 50 - 40 percent for Gore;
  • 45 - 28 percent for McCain;
  • 48 - 21 percent for Obama;
  • 41 - 28 percent for Edwards;
  • For Thompson, 57 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion;
  • For Romney, 60 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion. President Bush's Approval
American voters disapprove 65 - 28 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing, his lowest score ever in a Quinnipiac University national poll.

"It will be interesting to see how low President Bush's numbers can drop," Carroll said.

From June 5 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,711 American voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percent, including 663 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percent, and 789 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. (If Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson for whom would you vote?

                          DEMOCRATS...........
                          Tot     Men     Wom


Biden 1% 3% - Clinton 35 25 41 Dodd - - - Edwards 9 10 9 Gore 18 24 13 Gravel - 1 - Kucinich 1 1 1 Obama 21 23 19 Richardson 2 3 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - DK/NA 11 9 13

TREND: (If Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked

                                           
                        DEMOCRATS............
                        Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                        2007    2007    2007
                                           
Biden                    1%      2       1
Clinton                 35      32      38
Dodd                     -       1       -
Edwards                  9      12       6
Gore                    18      14      11
Gravel                   -       -      na
Kucinich                 1       2       1
Obama                   21      18      23
Richardson               2       3       2
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         1       -       1
DK/NA                   11      15      13




2. (If Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote?

                          REPUBLICANS............
                          Tot     Men     Wom


Brownback 1% - 1% Gilmore - - 1 Gingrich 5 6 5 Giuliani 27 30 24 Huckabee 2 2 2 Hunter 1 - 1 McCain 15 17 14 Paul 1 1 1 Romney 10 8 12 Tancredo 1 1 1 Thompson, F. 15 17 13 Thompson, T. 1 - 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 DK/NA 17 13 21

TREND: (If Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson and Tommy Thompson, whom would you vote? na = not asked

                        REPUBLICANS...........
                        Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                        2007    2007    2007


Brownback 1% 1 1 Gilmore - - - Gingrich 5 8 10 Giuliani 27 27 40 Huckabee 2 2 2 Hunter 1 1 2 McCain 15 19 18 Paul 1 - 1 Romney 10 8 7 Tancredo 1 - 1 Thompson, F. 15 14 na Thompson, T. 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - DK/NA 17 16 15



3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican,for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 45% 7% 83% 38% 38% 50% Giuliani 44 84 12 44 51 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 - 5 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 1 6 4 3 DK/NA 6 3 4 7 5 6

Red Blue Purple

Clinton 41% 45% 47% Giuliani 47 43 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 2 DK/NA 5 6 6

TREND: If the 2008 election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudolph Giuliani the Republican for whom would you vote?

                        Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21  Mar 10  Feb 2   Dec 16
                        2007    2007    2007    2005    2005    2004


Clinton 45% 40 43 43 43 43 Giuliani 44 49 48 44 45 45 SMONE ELSE 2 1 1 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE 3 2 2 1 2 2 DK/NA 6 7 5 10 7 6



4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Obama 42% 8% 75% 39% 39% 45% Giuliani 42 81 14 39 48 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 5 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 4 4 4 DK/NA 9 5 6 13 6 12

Red Blue Purple

Obama 38% 45% 44% Giuliani 45 40 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 3 3 DK/NA 10 9 8

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                          2007    2007    2007
                          
Obama                     42%     41      40
Giuliani                  42      44      47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)            3       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)           4       3       3
DK/NA                      9      11      10




5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Gore 45% 9% 79% 43% 42% 48% Giuliani 43 83 12 42 48 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 5 4 4 DK/NA 6 2 5 6 4 8

Red Blue Purple

Gore 41% 46% 48% Giuliani 45 42 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 3 DK/NA 7 5 6

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Jun 13  May 3
                          2007    2007
                          
Gore                      45%     41
Giuliani                  43      48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)            2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)           4       3
DK/NA                      6       7




6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 44% 7% 82% 37% 38% 49% McCain 42 83 12 40 48 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 8 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 1 7 5 3 DK/NA 7 3 4 8 6 8

Red Blue Purple

Clinton 41% 45% 46% McCain 45 40 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 3 DK/NA 8 5 7

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21  Dec 6   Mar 10
                          2007    2007    2007    2005    2005
                          
Clinton                   44%     41      44      40      41
McCain                    42      46      46      44      43
SMONE ELSE                 3       2       1       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE                4       3       3       3       1
DK/NA                      7       8       6      11      13




7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Obama 43% 11% 75% 40% 41% 44% McCain 41 77 15 39 45 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 5 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 6 4 4 DK/NA 10 6 7 10 7 12

Red Blue Purple

Obama 38% 46% 45% McCain 45 38 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 4 DK/NA 10 9 10

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                          2007    2007    2007
                          
Obama                     43%     42      43
McCain                    41      42      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)            3       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)           4       2       4
DK/NA                     10      12      10




8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Gore 44% 6% 78% 45% 43% 46% McCain 41 85 13 34 43 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 7 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 2 7 5 4 DK/NA 7 4 5 7 5 9

Red Blue Purple

Gore 38% 45% 50% McCain 46 41 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 4 DK/NA 9 5 7

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Jun 13  May 3
                          2007    2007
                          
Gore                      44%     41
McCain                    41      47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)            3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)           5       3
DK/NA                      7       8




9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 46% 9% 85% 41% 41% 51% Thompson 39 79 9 37 47 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 7 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 5 3 3 DK/NA 9 9 4 10 6 11

Red Blue Purple

Clinton 42% 47% 50% Thompson 41 38 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 DK/NA 11 8 8

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Jun 13  May 3
                          2007    2007
                          
Clinton                   46%     46
Thompson                  39      39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)            2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)           3       3
DK/NA                      9      10




10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Obama 46% 15% 78% 43% 45% 48% Thompson 34 70 9 29 37 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 7 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 5 3 3 DK/NA 14 14 9 15 11 17

Red Blue Purple

Obama 39% 52% 49% Thompson 40 29 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 DK/NA 16 12 14

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Jun 13  May 3
                          2007    2007
                          
Obama                     46%     47
Thompson                  34      34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)            2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)           3       3
DK/NA                     14      15




11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Gore 49% 10% 84% 48% 46% 51% Thompson 37 78 6 33 43 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 7 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 4 3 3 DK/NA 9 9 6 8 6 13

Red Blue Purple

Gore 42% 53% 52% Thompson 43 32 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 2 DK/NA 10 9 9

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                          Jun 13  May 3
                          2007    2007
                          
Gore                      49%     47
Thompson                  37      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)            2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)           3       4
DK/NA                      9      11




12. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 47% 12% 80% 43% 42% 51% Unfavorable 45 82 12 49 52 39 Hvn't hrd enough 6 5 6 6 5 7 REFUSED 2 - 2 1 1 2

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 44% 48% 50% Unfavorable 48 43 44 Hvn't hrd enough 6 7 4 REFUSED 2 1 2

TREND: Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                          Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                          2007    2007    2007
                          
Favorable                 47%     44      46
Unfavorable               45      46      45
Hvn't hrd enough           6       7       7
REFUSED                    2       3       2




13. Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 41% 24% 62% 37% 42% 41% Unfavorable 28 47 12 30 34 23 Hvn't hrd enough 28 27 24 29 21 34 REFUSED 3 2 2 4 2 3

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 39% 41% 45% Unfavorable 30 26 30 Hvn't hrd enough 29 31 23 REFUSED 3 2 2

TREND: Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                          2007    2007    2007
                          
Favorable                 41%     46      44
Unfavorable               28      25      27
Hvn't hrd enough          28      27      26
REFUSED                    3       2       2




14. Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 51% 75% 33% 48% 56% 46% Unfavorable 27 12 40 29 28 26 Hvn't hrd enough 21 12 25 20 14 27 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 47% 53% 52% Unfavorable 23 30 29 Hvn't hrd enough 28 15 17 REFUSED 2 1 2

TREND: Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                          2007    2007    2007
                          
Favorable                 51%     53      57
Unfavorable               27      24      21
Hvn't hrd enough          21      20      21
REFUSED                    2       3       1




15. Is your opinion of -- Al Gore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 50% 18% 79% 51% 50% 50% Unfavorable 40 75 13 39 44 37 Hvn't hrd enough 8 6 7 9 5 11 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 1 2

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 43% 53% 54% Unfavorable 45 34 41 Hvn't hrd enough 10 10 4 REFUSED 2 2 1

TREND: Is your opinion of -- Al Gore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                          2007    2007    2007
                          
Favorable                 50%     49      44
Unfavorable               40      41      47
Hvn't hrd enough           8       8       7
REFUSED                    2       3       2




16. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 45% 64% 32% 49% 50% 41% Unfavorable 28 18 38 25 31 26 Hvn't hrd enough 24 17 29 23 17 30 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 2

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 46% 45% 46% Unfavorable 27 30 29 Hvn't hrd enough 25 24 23 REFUSED 2 2 3

TREND: Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                          2007    2007    2007
                          
Favorable                 45%     49      51
Unfavorable               28      26      22
Hvn't hrd enough          24      21      25
REFUSED                    2       4       2




17. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 48% 28% 66% 48% 48% 48% Unfavorable 21 39 9 19 25 18 Hvn't hrd enough 29 32 25 31 26 33 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 42% 52% 50% Unfavorable 24 17 23 Hvn't hrd enough 32 30 26 REFUSED 2 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                          2007    2007    2007
                          
Favorable                 48%     46      44
Unfavorable               21      18      14
Hvn't hrd enough          29      34      40
REFUSED                    2       2       1




18. Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 18% 34% 8% 18% 23% 14% Unfavorable 20 11 26 22 23 17 Hvn't hrd enough 60 54 65 58 52 68 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 2

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 19% 18% 18% Unfavorable 15 25 19 Hvn't hrd enough 63 55 61 REFUSED 2 2 1

TREND: Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21
                          2007    2007    2007
                          
Favorable                 18%     17      17
Unfavorable               20      16      15
Hvn't hrd enough          60      65      67
REFUSED                    2       2       1




19. Is your opinion of -- Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 28% 45% 15% 25% 33% 23% Unfavorable 13 4 23 11 15 11 Hvn't hrd enough 57 49 60 61 49 64 REFUSED 2 2 2 3 2 3

Red Blue Purple

Favorable 34% 21% 26% Unfavorable 11 15 12 Hvn't hrd enough 52 61 59 REFUSED 2 2 2

TREND: Is your opinion of -- Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Jun 13  May 3
                          2007    2007
                          
Favorable                 28%     26
Unfavorable               13       9
Hvn't hrd enough          57      63
REFUSED                    2       2




20. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for the democratic candidate or the republican candidate?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Democrat 47% 9% 87% 41% 43% 51% Republican 32 78 2 26 35 30 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 15 11 9 24 17 14 DK/NA 5 3 1 10 6 5

Red Blue Purple

Democrat 43% 50% 49% Republican 35 29 32 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 14 15 16 DK/NA 7 6 4

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?

                          Jun 13  May 3
                          2007    2007


Democrat 47% 43 Republican 32 34 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 15 15 DK/NA 5 7



21. (If Republican) I'm going to ask you again about Rudy Giuliani, who is running for the Republican nomination for President.

Please tell me whether you will definitely vote for him in the Republican primary, whether you will consider voting for him in the Republican primary, or whether you will definitely not vote for him in the Republican primary?

IF "CONSIDER": Do you think it is likely or unlikely that you will vote for Rudy Giuliani in the Republican primary for President?

                          REPUBLICANS........
                          Tot     Men     Wom


Definitely will 20% 23% 17% Likely to vote 32 31 32 Not likely to 16 15 16 Definitely will not 14 13 16 DK/NA 18 17 19

Red Blue Purple

Definitely will 14% 29% 20% Likely to vote 31 31 33 Not likely to 21 10 15 Definitely will not 18 14 11 DK/NA 16 17 22



22. (Republicans who will definitely vote for or likely to vote for Giuliani in q21) What is the main reason you would vote for Rudy Giuliani in the Republican primary for President? A) Because of his record as New York City Mayor. B) Because of his position on issues important to you. C) Because of the way he handled the 9/11 terrorist attack on New York City.

                          REPUBLICANS WHO WILL VOTE FOR OR LIKELY TO VOTE Q21
                          Tot     Men     Wom


A) Record as Mayor 25% 28% 21% B) Position on issues 30 27 33 C) Handled 9/11 35 32 38 SOMETHING ELSE (VOL) 8 10 5 DK/NA 3 2 4



23. (Republicans who definitely will not vote for or not likely to vote for Giuliani in q21) What is the main reason you would not vote for Rudy Giuliani in the Republican primary for President? A) Because you disagree with him on issues important to you. B) Because of his personal life. C) Because you prefer another candidate.

REPUBLICANS WHO WILL NOT VOTE FOR OR NOT LIKELY TO VOTE Q21
                          Tot     Men     Wom


A) Disagree with issues 30% 21% 37% B) Personal life 4 3 4 C) Prefer another cand 53 61 45 SOMETHING ELSE (VOL) 10 10 9 DK/NA 4 4 4



24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 28% 61% 5% 24% 29% 28% Disapprove 65 31 92 69 65 65 DK/NA 7 8 3 7 6 7

Red Blue Purple

Approve 32% 24% 29% Disapprove 59 72 64 DK/NA 9 5 6

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21  Nov 22  Aug 29  Dec 11  Jun 13
                        2007    2007    2007    2006    2006    2001    2007 


Approve 28 35 34 35 39 83 28 Disapprove 65 60 60 58 53 11 65 DK/NA 7 6 6 7 8 6 7



25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 23% 22% 28% 19% 22% 24% Disapprove 66 70 60 70 70 62 DK/NA 11 7 11 11 7 13

Red Blue Purple

Approve 24% 26% 20% Disapprove 63 66 69 DK/NA 13 8 11

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?

                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jun 13  May 3   Mar 2   Dec 6   Jul 27  Mar 6   Jun 13
                        2007    2007    2006    2005    2005    2003    2007 


Approve 23% 39 25 27 30 42 23 Disapprove 66 52 63 61 60 46 66 DK/NA 11 9 11 11 10 12 11



26. Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Right direction 18% 35% 7% 12% 20% 16% Wrong track 74 56 89 78 73 75 DK/NA 8 10 4 9 8 9

Red Blue Purple

Right direction 19% 15% 19% Wrong track 71 77 75 DK/NA 10 8 6

TREND: Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?



                          Jun 13  Feb 22
                          2007    2007
                          
Right direction           18%     26
Wrong track               74      68
DK/NA                      8       6




27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 25% 56% 4% 18% 26% 24% Disapprove 70 35 94 76 69 70 DK/NA 6 9 2 6 5 6

Red Blue Purple

Approve 29% 19% 25% Disapprove 65 76 68 DK/NA 6 5 6

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?

                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21  Nov 22  Jun 1   Jul 24  Jun 13
                        2007    2007    2007    2006    2006    2003    2007 


Approve 25% 31 30 30 35 52 25 Disapprove 70 64 64 66 61 43 70 DK/NA 6 5 6 4 4 5 6



28. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Right thing 37% 70% 12% 32% 39% 34% Wrong thing 57 23 83 62 56 57 DK/NA 7 7 5 6 5 8

Red Blue Purple

Right thing 41% 30% 40% Wrong thing 52 65 54 DK/NA 8 6 7

TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                        Jun 13  May 3   Feb 21  Nov 22  Jun 1   Mar 2   Dec 6
                        2007    2007    2007    2006    2006    2006    2005 


Right 37% 39 37 40 39 40 41 Wrong 57 55 56 56 56 56 54 DK/NA 7 6 7 4 5 4 5



29. Do you support or oppose Congress setting a time-table for withdrawing United States troops from Iraq?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Support 54% 27% 73% 55% 50% 57% Oppose 39 68 19 38 46 33 DK/NA 7 5 7 7 4 9

Red Blue Purple

Support 50% 60% 52% Oppose 42 35 42 DK/NA 8 6 7

TREND: Do you support or oppose Congress setting a time-table for withdrawing United States troops from Iraq? * wording included ..."all" United States troops...

                        Jun 13  May 3
                        2007    2007*


Support 54% 51 Oppose 39 45 DK/NA 7 4