June 1, 2010 - More U.S. Voters Want Arizona-Like Immigration Law, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Support For Offshore Drilling Drops

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American voters say 48 - 35 percent they want their state to pass an immigration law similar to Arizona's and by an overwhelming 76 - 12 percent they say that plans by those opposed to the law to boycott Arizona are a bad idea, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters approve 51 - 31 percent of the Arizona law; think 45 - 36 percent it will reduce illegal immigration and want 66 - 26 percent immigration reform to move in the direction of stricter enforcement rather than integrating immigrants into American society, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey finds.

While voters say 49 - 44 percent that the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico does not make them less likely to support offshore drilling, support for offshore drilling to help America become less dependent on foreign oil is at 53 - 40 percent, down from 62 - 32 percent in an August 20, 2008, Quinnipiac University survey.

"The Arizona immigration law has emerged as a major divide in the country, but the numbers are on the side of those supporting it," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The strong plurality who says they would like a similar law in their own state probably portends the law will be an issue in many, many campaigns this November across the country. Depending on how those elections and court challenges come out, copy cat Arizona laws could be a hot issue in state capitals after November."

The support for the Arizona law comes despite the 45 - 40 percent belief by voters that it will lead to discrimination against Hispanics.

Support for the Arizona law and the desire to have a similar statute in their own state follows a similar demographic pattern: More than two-thirds of Republicans; more than half of independents and less than a third of Democrats are in favor.

On the desire to have a similar law in their own state, men agree 55 - 35 percent, while women agree 42 - 36 percent. The biggest gaps come along generational lines: Voters 18 to 34 years old oppose such a law in their state 43 - 36 percent, but voters 35 to 54 years old support such a law 52 - 33 percent and voters over 55 support such laws 55 - 32 percent.

White voters back the idea 53 - 32 percent, while black voters oppose it 43 - 26 percent and Hispanic voters oppose it 52 - 37 percent.

"Support for the Arizona law and its extension divides along political and racial lines, with much stronger support from men than women," Brown said. "While young voters are split on the law in Arizona, they don't want it in their state.

"And no group believes a boycott is a good idea."

On offshore drilling, there is a clear partisan hue to the data. Although 53 percent overall support new exploration, that breaks down to 78 percent of Republicans, 49 percent of independent voters and only 41 percent of Democrats. Republican voters say 72 - 25 percent that the Gulf oil spill has not reduced their support for offshore drilling. But Democrats are having second thoughts 54 - 38 percent, as are independent voters 48 - 45 percent.

"Despite their support for continued offshore drilling, voters disapprove 42 - 39 percent of President Barack Obama's handling of the oil spill," said Brown. "Given that Democrats are generally preferred on issues like the environment; these numbers are a warning sign to the White House that the oil spill could become a political problem."

From May 19 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,914 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              39%    23%    55%    39%    37%    41%    33%    69%    50%
Disapprove           42     58     29     44     47     39     47     21     24
DK/NA                19     19     16     17     17     21     20     10     26
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Approve              46%    38%    34%    38%    39%    43%    57%    43%    25%
Disapprove           35     46     44     41     43     45     29     37     57
DK/NA                18     16     22     21     17     13     15     20     18
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Approve              38%    41%    25%    31%    37%
Disapprove           42     42     54     48     49
DK/NA                19     17     21     21     15
 
 
27. In general, how serious a problem do you think illegal immigration is in the United States? A very serious problem, somewhat serious, not very serious, or not a problem at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Very serious         59%    77%    44%    59%    62%    57%    62%    50%    44%
Smwht serious        26     18     34     26     23     29     26     27     30
Not very serious     10      3     14     11     11      9      9     10     15
Not a problem at all  4      2      6      2      3      4      2      9     11
DK/NA                 1      -      1      2      1      2      1      4      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Very serious         45%    62%    68%    61%    62%    49%    36%    55%    76%
Smwht serious        31     27     23     24     26     32     38     32     16
Not very serious     16      8      6     10      8     12     21      9      5
Not a problem at all  7      3      1      4      2      6      6      4      1
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      -      1      2
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Very serious problem 64%    47%    75%    68%    66%
Smwht serious        24     33     22     25     26
Not very serious      8     15      3      7      5
Not a problem at all  3      5      -      -      1
DK/NA                 1      -      -      -      1
 
TREND: How serious a problem is illegal immigration into the United States - a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, not too serious a problem or not a problem at all?
                     Jun 1   Mar 3
                     2010    2006
Very serious         59      57
Smwht serious        26      31
Not too serious      10       9
Not a problem at all  4       2
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
28. Do you think immigration reform should primarily move in the direction of integrating illegal immigrants into American society or in the direction of stricter enforcement of laws against illegal immigration?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Integration          26%    10%    41%    21%    24%    28%    22%    32%    47%
Stricter enforcement 66     85     50     70     70     63     71     54     44
DK/NA                 8      5      9      9      6      9      7     14      9
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Integration          39%    24%    18%    25%    29%    30%    52%    25%    11%
Stricter enforcement 56     70     71     67     65     63     42     67     83
DK/NA                 5      6     11      7      6      6      7      7      7
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Integration          23%    35%    12%    17%    24%
Stricter enforcement 69     59     83     77     70
DK/NA                 8      7      5      6      6
 
 
29. Based on what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of Arizona's new immigration law?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              51%    75%    28%    57%    59%    45%    58%    25%    34%
Disapprove           31     12     49     26     30     31     26     40     54
DK/NA                18     13     23     16     11     24     16     35     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Approve              39%    55%    58%    46%    57%    59%    28%    48%    71%
Disapprove           38     29     26     30     31     33     55     33     14
DK/NA                23     16     17     24     12      8     17     19     14
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Approve              52%    49%    68%    66%    59%
Disapprove           26     42     15     19     27
DK/NA                21      9     17     15     14
 
 
30. Would you want your state to pass a law similar to Arizona's new immigration law or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Yes                  48%    71%    29%    51%    55%    42%    53%    26%    37%
No                   35     16     51     33     35     36     32     43     52
DK/NA                17     13     20     15     11     22     15     31     11
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Yes                  36%    52%    55%    44%    54%    51%    23%    46%    68%
No                   43     33     32     35     34     40     62     37     17
DK/NA                21     15     14     20     12      9     16     16     14
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Yes                  50%    42%    64%    61%    54%
No                   31     48     19     25     33
DK/NA                19     10     16     14     13
 
 
31. Do you think Arizona's new immigration law will or will not reduce illegal immigration?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Will                 45%    63%    35%    47%    51%    40%    48%    30%    37%
Will not             36     21     44     36     36     36     34     38     49
DK/NA                19     16     22     17     12     24     17     32     15
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Will                 39%    50%    45%    39%    52%    54%    34%    41%    60%
Will not             37     35     38     37     34     38     51     40     23
DK/NA                24     16     17     23     14      8     15     19     17
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Will                 45%    46%    57%    52%    50%
Will not             34     42     25     31     35
DK/NA                21     12     18     17     15
 
 
32. Do you think Arizona's new immigration law will or will not lead to discrimination against Hispanics?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Will                 45%    26%    63%    41%    45%    45%    40%    57%    68%
Will not             40     63     20     44     46     36     46     16     21
DK/NA                15     11     17     15      9     19     14     27     11
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Will                 57%    45%    35%    45%    42%    53%    71%    51%    24%
Will not             23     43     52     37     46     40     18     35     60
DK/NA                20     12     13     18     11      7     10     14     15
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Will                 42%    54%    31%    35%    41%
Will not             41     38     58     54     48
DK/NA                17      8     11     11     11
 
 
33. Some have suggested that Arizona should be boycotted because of its new immigration law. Do you think a boycott of Arizona is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Good idea            12%     5%    21%     7%    16%     9%     9%    22%    24%
Bad idea             76     90     62     82     78     75     82     52     70
DK/NA                12      5     17     11      7     16     10     26      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Good idea            15%    12%     9%    12%     8%    16%    19%    15%     4%
Bad idea             69     79     81     74     85     79     69     75     86
DK/NA                16      9     10     14      8      5     11     10      9
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Good idea            10%    17%     5%     6%     8%
Bad idea             77     76     86     87     82
DK/NA                13      7      9      7     10
 
 
34. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Support              53%    78%    41%    49%    59%    49%    53%    55%    58%
Oppose               40     18     52     45     37     42     42     33     31
DK/NA                 7      5      7      6      4      9      5     11     11
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Support              50%    56%    55%    53%    58%    53%    31%    51%    72%
Oppose               44     39     36     41     36     44     66     43     21
DK/NA                 5      5      9      6      6      3      3      6      7
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Support              56%    45%    67%    61%    57%
Oppose               36     51     27     33     40
DK/NA                 8      4      7      6      4
 
TREND: To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore?
                     Jun 1   Aug 20
                     2010    2008
Support              53      62
Oppose               40      32
DK/NA                 7       6
 
 
35. Does the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico make you less likely to support drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Yes                  44%    25%    54%    48%    43%    45%    44%    42%    52%
No                   49     72     38     45     53     47     51     43     40
DK/NA                 7      3      7      7      5      8      5     15      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Yes                  48%    45%    42%    45%    43%    45%    62%    52%    25%
No                   46     51     50     47     53     53     34     43     68
DK/NA                 6      4      8      7      4      1      4      6      6
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn               Support
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   DrillQ34
Yes                  42%    52%    32%    35%    45%    19%
No                   51     45     62     59     53     76
DK/NA                 8      3      6      6      2      5