July 21, 2010 - Obama Approval Drops To Lowest Point Ever, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Independent Voters Turn On President Since Honeymoon

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A year after President Barack Obama's political honeymoon ended, his job approval rating has dropped to a negative 44 - 48 percent, his worst net score ever, and American voters say by a narrow 39 - 36 percent margin that they would vote for an unnamed Republican rather than President Obama in 2012, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 48 - 43 percent approval for Obama in a May 26 national poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and a 57 - 33 percent approval last July, just before the political firestorm created by opposition to his health care plan galvanized political opponents and turned independent voters against him.

In this latest survey of more than 2,000 voters, independent voters disapprove of Obama 52 - 38 percent and say 37 - 27 percent they would vote for a Republican contender in 2012.

American voters also say 48 - 40 percent Obama does not deserve reelection in 2012.

Anti-incumbent sentiment slams both parties as voters disapprove 59 - 31 percent of the job Democrats are doing, and disapprove 59 - 29 percent of Republicans in Congress. But voters say 43 - 38 percent they would vote for a Republican in a generic Congressional race.

American voters say 42 - 32 percent that Obama has been a better president than George W. Bush, similar to the 43 - 30 percent who felt that way in January of 2010.

"It was a year ago, during the summer of 2009 that America's love affair with President Barack Obama began to wane. In July of 2009, the President had a 57 - 33 percent approval rating. Today, his support among Democrats remains strong, but the disillusionment among independent voters, who dropped from 52 - 37 percent approval to 52 - 38 percent disapproval in the last 12 months, is what leads to his weakness overall when voters start thinking about 2012," said Peter A. Brown., assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"In politics a month is a lifetime and we have 28 months until November of 2012. But politicians with re-elect numbers at 40 percent bear watching," Brown added.

American voters like Obama more than Sarah Palin, giving him a 49 - 45 percent favorability, while she gets a negative 35 - 49 percent.

Michelle Obama does much better, with a 55 - 19 percent favorability.

Twelve percent of voters say they are more likely to support a candidate for office, if Obama campaigns for the candidate, compared to 16 percent if Palin campaigns.

The country would be better off if John McCain had won the 2008 election, 37 percent of voters say, while 35 percent say the U.S. would be worse off. This compares to 37 - 35 percent who thought in January the U.S. would be worse off under McCain.

Asked to describe their feelings toward the President, 17 percent say they admire him; 33 percent are satisfied; 33 percent are dissatisfied and 15 percent are angry with him.

"The Republican tilt of the electorate little more than 100 days before the 2010 election is evident, but not overwhelming. Republicans hold a 43 - 38 percent lead on the 'generic ballot,' compared to a 42 - 34 percent Democratic lead in July 2009," said Brown. "What a difference a year makes."

Voter approval of the President's handling of some of the nation's problems shows:
  • Disapprove 56 - 39 percent of his handling of the economy;
  • Disapprove 46 - 43 percent of his handling of foreign policy;
  • Disapprove 51 - 41 percent of his handling of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill;
  • Disapprove 58 - 30 percent of his handling of illegal immigration;
  • Approve 46 - 34 percent of his nomination of Elena Kagan to the Supreme Court.
"The massive disapproval of his handling of illegal immigration stems from voter opposition to his decision to have the government ask the federal courts to throw out the Arizona law. They say 60 - 28 percent the lawsuit is a bad idea," said Brown.

Support for the war in Afghanistan hit a new low with 48 percent saying it was the right thing to do and 43 percent saying America should not be involved. That's not much different from May's 49 - 42 percent support, but markedly down from 56 - 36 percent in April.

From July 13 - 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,181 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Obama                36%     4%    79%    27%    31%    40%    28%    87%    49%
Republican           39     82      7     37     43     35     46      2     26
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 13      8      6     21     14     13     14      3     13
DK/NA                12      5      8     16     12     12     12      8     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Obama                34%    40%    33%    40%    36%    31%    76%    43%    12%
Republican           37     36     43     33     44     43     10     28     64
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 15     12     13     14     11     15      6     15     13
DK/NA                14     11     11     13      9     11      7     14     11
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Obama                35%    39%    15%    21%    25%
Republican           41     35     66     53     47
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 13     14     13     14     15
DK/NA                12     12      7     11     13
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                     Jul 21  Mar 25
                     2010    2010
Obama                36      40
Republican           39      41
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 13       9
DK/NA                12       9
 
 
2. If the 2010 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Republican           43%    89%     5%    44%    48%    39%    50%     3%    27%
Democrat             38      3     84     29     35     41     31     83     55
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      2      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -      1      1      -      1      -      1
DK/NA                16      7     10     24     14     18     17     13     16
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Republican           42%    42%    45%    37%    52%    48%     9%    33%    70%
Democrat             41     40     37     42     39     35     76     46     15
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      2      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      1      -      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                15     16     15     19      8     14     13     18     14
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Republican           44%    42%    68%    60%    52%
Democrat             37     42     16     24     28
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      -      1      -
DK/NA                17     14     14     14     19
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?
                     Jul 21  May 26  Mar 24  Jul 2   Jun 4   Apr 29
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009
Republican           43      36      44      34      32      34
Democrat             38      42      39      42      42      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       3       1       2       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1       1       1       1       1
DK/NA                16      18      16      21      22      22
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              44%    12%    78%    38%    39%    48%    37%    91%    52%
Disapprove           48     82     13     52     53     43     55      2     37
DK/NA                 8      6      9     10      8      9      8      7     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Approve              48%    46%    39%    49%    41%    41%    79%    55%    16%
Disapprove           44     44     54     42     51     54     14     36     76
DK/NA                 8     10      7     10      8      5      7      9      8
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Approve              41%    50%    19%    28%    37%
Disapprove           49     44     73     64     58
DK/NA                 9      6      8      8      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (*High also 59% Mar 2009 / **Low also 44% Apr 2010)
                                             PstHlth PreHlth APPROVE.......
                                             VtPoll  VtPoll  High    Low
                     Jul 21  May 26  Apr 21  Mar 25  Mar 25  Jun 4   Jul 21
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009*   2010**
Approve              44      48      44      45      46      59      44
Disapprove           48      43      46      46      49      31      48
DK/NA                 8       9      10       9       6      10       8
 
                     INDEPENDENTS..........................................
                                             PstHlth PreHlth APPROVE.......
                                             VtPoll  VtPoll  High    Low
                     Jul 21  May 26  Apr 21  Mar 25  Mar 25  Jun 4   Dec 9
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009    2009
Approve              38      43      38      40      40      57      37
Disapprove           52      48      50      44      53      30      51
DK/NA                10       9      12      15       7      13      11
 
                     INDEPENDENTS FULL TREND TABLE........
                     App     Dis     DK/NA
Jul 21, 2010         38      52      10
May 26, 2010         43      48       9
Apr 21, 2010         38      50      12
Mar 25, 2010         40      44      15 Post Hlthcare vote
Mar 25, 2010         40      53       7 Pre Hlthcare vote
Feb 11, 2010         40      49      10
Jan 13, 2010         42      48      10
Dec 23, 2009         41      46      13
Dec 09, 2009         37      51      11
Nov 18, 2009         43      46      11
Oct 08, 2009         45      44      11
Aug 06, 2009         45      45      10
Jul 02, 2009         52      37      11
Jun 04, 2009         57      30      13
Apr 29, 2009         53      33      14
Apr 01, 2009         56      32      12
Mar 04, 2009         53      26      20
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              31%    11%    62%    21%    26%    35%    26%    65%    36%
Disapprove           59     82     28     69     68     52     65     22     45
DK/NA                10      7      9     10      6     13      8     13     20
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                                     PstHlth PreHlth         APPROVE.......
                                     VtPoll  VtPoll          High    Low
                     Jul 21  May 26  Mar 25  Mar 25  Feb 11  Mar 4   Mar 25
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009    2010
Approve              31      34      36      30      28      45      30
Disapprove           59      57      55      62      63      45      62
DK/NA                10       9       9       8       9      10       8
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              29%    52%    19%    24%    28%    30%    29%    27%    32%
Disapprove           59     35     72     65     64     55     60     58     54
DK/NA                12     13      9     11      8     15     11     16     14
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                                     PstHlth PreHlth         APPROVE.......
                                     VtPoll  VtPoll          High    Low
                     Jul 21  May 26  Mar 25  Mar 25  Feb 11  Mar 25  Oct 8
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009
Approve              29      26      34      31      28      34      25
Disapprove           59      62      58      60      61      58      64
DK/NA                12      11       8       9      11       8      11
 
 
6. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Yes/deserves         40%     7%    78%    34%    35%    44%    33%    86%    50%
No/does not          48     85     10     52     54     42     55      3     36
DK/NA                12      9     12     13     11     14     12     11     14
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Yes/deserves         42%    43%    36%    46%    39%    33%    80%    48%    15%
No/does not          46     43     54     43     52     52     13     36     76
DK/NA                12     13     11     12      9     15      7     16     10
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
 
Yes/deserves         37%    46%    18%    25%    29%
No/does not          50     42     73     63     57
DK/NA                13     12      9     12     13
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Jul 21  Mar 25
                     2010    2010
Yes/deserves         40      40
No/does not          48      48
DK/NA                12      11
 
 
7. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Very satisfied        3%     1%     7%     2%     4%     3%     2%    11%     4%
Smwht satisfied      24      9     45     20     22     26     21     50     32
Smwht dissatisfied   29     26     30     29     28     29     29     24     27
Very dissatisfied    42     63     16     49     45     40     47     11     35
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      1      2      1      3      2
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 21  May 26  Apr 21  Mar 25  Mar 24  Dec 11  Nov 13
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2001    2008
Very satisfied        3       3       3       4       3      21       2
Smwht satisfied      24      26      28      25      26      47      14
Smwht dissatisfied   29      31      29      28      29      19      38
Very dissatisfied    42      39      40      41      41      10      44
DK/NA                 1       1       -       2       1       3       2
 
 
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              39%    10%    74%    34%    36%    42%    33%    79%    55%
Disapprove           56     87     22     61     59     53     62     12     43
DK/NA                 5      3      4      6      5      5      5      9      1
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? (*Low also 39% Mar 2010)
                                                             APPROVE......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 21  May 26  Apr 21  Mar 25  Feb 11  Mar 4   Jul 21
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009    2010*
Approve              39      44      40      39      41      57      39
Disapprove           56      50      55      57      54      33      56
DK/NA                 5       6       5       5       5      10       5
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              43%    14%    76%    37%    40%    45%    38%    72%    54%
Disapprove           46     72     15     52     52     40     52     10     30
DK/NA                12     13      9     11      8     15     10     18     16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 21  May 26  Apr 22  Mar 25  Feb 10  Apr 29  Jul 21
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009    2010
Approve              43      48      48      46      46      57      43
Disapprove           46      43      42      43      43      32      46
DK/NA                12       9      10      12      11      11      12
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation in Afghanistan?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              43%    24%    62%    43%    44%    42%    40%    68%    49%
Disapprove           46     66     27     47     47     45     51     16     37
DK/NA                11     10     11     10      9     14     10     16     14
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Afghanistan?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 21  May 26  Apr 22  Mar 25  Feb 10  Mar 25  Nov 18
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009
Approve              43      45      49      52      51      52      38
Disapprove           46      40      39      36      39      36      49
DK/NA                11      14      12      12      10      12      12
 
 
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              41%    20%    67%    35%    39%    42%    37%    72%    41%
Disapprove           51     72     26     56     53     50     55     17     54
DK/NA                 8      8      7      9      8      8      8     11      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico?
                     Jul 21  Jun 1
                     2010    2010
Approve              41      39
Disapprove           51      42
DK/NA                 8      19
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - illegal immigration?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              30%    12%    57%    23%    27%    33%    25%    67%    38%
Disapprove           58     82     28     65     64     53     65     14     44
DK/NA                12      7     14     12      9     14     10     19     18
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama's nomination of Elena Kagan to the Supreme Court?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Approve              46%    21%    74%    43%    44%    48%    44%    64%    52%
Disapprove           34     57     10     35     38     30     37      9     26
DK/NA                20     21     16     23     18     23     20     27     22
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama's nomination of Elena Kagan to the Supreme Court?
                     Jul 21  May 26
                     2010    2010
 
Approve              46      48
Disapprove           34      30
DK/NA                20      22
 
 
14. Is your opinion of - the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Favorable            33%    73%    10%    28%    35%    32%    37%     9%    29%
Unfavorable          42     15     62     44     44     40     42     45     36
Hvn't hrd enough     21     10     26     23     17     24     17     40     32
REFUSED               4      2      2      6      4      4      4      6      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
 
Favorable            38%    31%    33%    28%    39%    37%    11%    25%    52%
Unfavorable          34     46     43     38     43     52     68     49     23
Hvn't hrd enough     27     19     19     29     14      8     19     22     20
REFUSED               1      4      6      4      3      3      3      4      5
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
 
Favorable            34%    31%    49%    41%    41%
Unfavorable          37     56     30     39     36
Hvn't hrd enough     25      9     17     15     19
REFUSED               4      4      5      5      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? (*Low also 25% Jul 2009)
                                                             FAVORABLE....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 21  Apr 21  Mar 24  Nov 19  Oct 8   Nov 12  Oct 8
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2008    2009*
Favorable            33      33      33      28      25      36      25
Unfavorable          42      47      42      53      53      52      53
Hvn't hrd enough     21      15      21      16      18       7      18
REFUSED               4       4       4       4       4       5       4
 
 
15. Is your opinion of - the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Favorable            34%     7%    72%    24%    29%    38%    30%    63%    40%
Unfavorable          49     81     12     55     57     41     55     11     34
Hvn't hrd enough     14     11     14     15     11     18     12     24     24
REFUSED               3      1      2      5      3      4      3      3      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Favorable            37%    35%    32%    36%    35%    32%    66%    44%     9%
Unfavorable          41     49     52     40     54     60     19     40     72
Hvn't hrd enough     20     13     12     21      7      5     12     13     16
REFUSED               2      3      4      3      3      3      3      3      3
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Favorable            32%    38%    17%    23%    27%
Unfavorable          48     52     69     62     60
Hvn't hrd enough     17      7     11     12     11
REFUSED               3      4      3      4      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 21  Apr 21  Mar 24  Nov 19  Oct 8   Nov 12  Mar 24
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2008    2010
Favorable            34      32      33      39      38      55      33
Unfavorable          49      52      48      46      46      35      48
Hvn't hrd enough     14      12      17      13      13       6      17
REFUSED               3       3       2       2       3       4       2
 
 
16. Is your opinion of - the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Favorable            33%    53%     8%    39%    39%    27%    36%     8%    29%
Unfavorable          31     12     50     28     31     31     30     39     27
Hvn't hrd enough     35     34     41     31     29     41     32     53     43
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      2      2      -      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Favorable            26%    33%    35%    29%    35%    31%     8%    22%    55%
Unfavorable          28     34     30     28     34     42     57     41     10
Hvn't hrd enough     44     32     34     42     30     26     34     35     33
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      2      1      -      2      1
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Favorable            34%    29%    50%    45%    36%
Unfavorable          25     47     14     24     33
Hvn't hrd enough     40     22     36     30     30
REFUSED               1      2      -      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Jul 21  Apr 21  Mar 24
                     2010    2010    2010
Favorable            33      32      28
Unfavorable          31      31      23
Hvn't hrd enough     35      34      49
REFUSED               1       2       1
 
 
17. Is your opinion of - Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Favorable            35%    66%    13%    33%    37%    33%    38%    21%    22%
Unfavorable          49     18     73     50     47     52     48     57     57
Hvn't hrd enough     14     15     13     14     15     13     12     21     20
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      2      2      2      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Favorable            30%    35%    39%    34%    36%    31%    16%    21%    57%
Unfavorable          55     51     44     48     54     57     73     65     24
Hvn't hrd enough     14     13     14     17      8     10     10     12     17
REFUSED               1      2      3      1      1      2      1      1      2
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Favorable            38%    26%    56%    45%    38%
Unfavorable          44     64     29     39     46
Hvn't hrd enough     16      8     13     13     14
REFUSED               2      2      2      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Jul 21  Mar 24  Sep 18
                     2010    2010    2008
Favorable            35      33      37
Unfavorable          49      51      30
Hvn't hrd enough     14      14      31
REFUSED               2       2       2
 
 
18. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Favorable            49%    15%    86%    44%    44%    53%    42%    92%    58%
Unfavorable          45     82      9     48     51     40     52      2     37
Hvn't hrd enough      4      2      3      5      4      5      4      5      3
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      2      2      2      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Favorable            54%    52%    42%    55%    48%    46%    84%    61%    21%
Unfavorable          42     42     51     39     49     51     11     32     75
Hvn't hrd enough      4      4      5      5      3      1      4      5      3
REFUSED               -      2      2      1      1      2      1      2      2
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Favorable            46%    56%    23%    33%    41%
Unfavorable          47     41     70     61     55
Hvn't hrd enough      5      2      5      5      3
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 21  Mar 25  Nov 19  Oct 8   Jul 2   Nov 12  Feb 21
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2008    2007
Favorable            49      47      50      53      58      67      44
Unfavorable          45      47      38      37      30      19      14
Hvn't hrd enough      4       4       9       8      10      11      40
REFUSED               2       1       2       2       2       3       1
 
 
19. Is your opinion of - Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Favorable            55%    30%    82%    52%    48%    61%    52%    86%    54%
Unfavorable          19     37      4     19     22     17     22      2     10
Hvn't hrd enough     23     30     13     26     28     19     23     12     34
REFUSED               3      3      1      4      3      3      3      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Favorable            55%    58%    52%    58%    54%    56%    84%    68%    29%
Unfavorable          17     17     21     16     21     17      3     11     34
Hvn't hrd enough     25     23     22     23     22     23     12     19     32
REFUSED               3      2      4      3      3      4      1      3      4
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Favorable            52%    64%    38%    45%    51%
Unfavorable          19     17     29     27     21
Hvn't hrd enough     26     17     29     24     26
REFUSED               3      2      4      4      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Jul 21  Nov 12
                     2010    2008
Favorable            55      50
Unfavorable          19      17
Hvn't hrd enough     23      31
REFUSED               3       3
 
 
20. If Barack Obama campaigns for a candidate running for public office, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
More likely          12%     1%    28%     8%    12%    12%     9%    27%    19%
Less likely          30     57      8     30     35     25     34      5     20
No difference        57     41     62     60     52     60     55     68     58
DK/NA                 2      1      1      2      1      2      2      -      2
 
 
21. If Sarah Palin campaigns for a candidate running for public office, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
More likely          16%    36%     3%    15%    17%    16%    19%     2%    14%
Less likely          34      8     57     31     32     35     32     42     40
No difference        48     54     38     52     50     47     47     53     45
DK/NA                 2      1      2      2      1      2      2      3      2
 
 
24. Do you consider yourself part of the Tea party movement or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Yes                  12%    21%     3%    14%    14%    10%    13%     3%    11%
No                   81     71     87     81     80     81     80     85     81
DK/NA                 7      8     10      4      6      9      7     11      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Yes                   8%    12%    15%    12%    13%     7%     3%     7%    22%
No                   84     80     79     80     79     91     90     86     70
DK/NA                 8      8      6      9      7      2      7      6      8
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Yes                  14%     8%    22%    18%    13%
No                   77     90     69     76     83
DK/NA                 9      3      9      6      5
 
TREND: Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement or not?
                     Jul 21  Apr 21  Mar 24
                     2010    2010    2010
Yes                  12      15      13
No                   81      79      80
DK/NA                 7       6       6
 
 
25. Do you think Barack Obama has been a better President than George W. Bush, worse, or about the same as President Bush?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Better               42%     7%    78%    38%    38%    45%    37%    78%    47%
Worse                32     65      5     33     34     31     37      2     23
About the same       23     27     15     26     26     21     24     18     28
DK/NA                 3      2      2      3      2      4      2      2      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Better               44%    44%    38%    46%    39%    41%    81%    50%    15%
Worse                26     29     38     26     34     37      5     18     59
About the same       28     24     20     25     25     22     12     29     24
DK/NA                 2      2      3      4      1      -      2      3      3
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Better               39%    50%    19%    27%    33%
Worse                34     27     56     45     39
About the same       24     22     22     25     26
DK/NA                 3      2      3      3      2
 
TREND: Do you think Barack Obama has been a better President than George W. Bush, worse, or about the same as President Bush?
                     Jul 21  Jan 13
                     2010    2010
Better               42      43
Worse                32      30
About the same       23      23
DK/NA                 3       4
 
 
26. In the Presidential election of 2008, if John McCain had become President instead of Barack Obama, do you think that, in general, the nation would be better off than it is today or worse off than it is today?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Better off           37%    71%     9%    38%    39%    36%    43%     5%    29%
Worse off            35      6     70     29     33     37     31     66     42
SAME(VOL)            15     10     11     19     17     12     14     15     15
DK/NA                13     13     10     15     10     15     12     14     14
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Better off           36%    36%    40%    32%    41%    42%     9%    27%    61%
Worse off            37     35     35     40     34     34     72     43     11
SAME(VOL)            18     15     11     16     15     14     10     17     15
DK/NA                10     14     13     13     10     10      9     13     13
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Better off           38%    35%    57%    51%    47%
Worse off            33     41     16     22     28
SAME(VOL)            15     13     15     14     11
DK/NA                13     11     11     13     14
 
TREND: In the Presidential election of 2008, if John McCain had become President instead of Barack Obama, do you think that, in general, the nation would be better off than it is today or worse off than it is today?
                     Jul 21  Jan 13
                     2010    2010
Better off           37      35
Worse off            35      37
SAME(VOL)            15      17
DK/NA                13      11
 
 
27. How would you describe your feelings toward President Obama: admire, satisfied, dissatisfied, or angry?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Admire               17%     3%    33%    14%    14%    19%    13%    43%    25%
Satisfied            33     13     54     31     31     36     31     53     35
Dissatisfied         33     54     10     35     36     29     36      2     30
Angry                15     28      2     18     17     14     18      -     10
DK/NA                 2      1      1      3      2      3      2      2      -
 
TREND: How would you describe your feelings toward President Obama: admire, satisfied, dissatisfied, or angry?
                     Jul 21  Jan 13
                     2010    2010
Admire               17      19
Satisfied            33      34
Dissatisfied         33      30
Angry                15      15
DK/NA                 2       2
 
 
40. Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Doing right thing    48%    62%    34%    51%    55%    42%    51%    26%    42%
Shldn't be involved  43     30     59     39     39     47     40     65     52
DK/NA                 9      7      7      9      6     11      9      9      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  POL PHIL.........
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Lib    Mod    Con
Doing right thing    46%    53%    45%    41%    55%    63%    34%    51%    55%
Shldn't be involved  46     40     44     49     39     33     55     43     37
DK/NA                 8      7     11     10      5      4     11      6      8
 
                                   WHITE.............
                     NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                     Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath
Doing right thing    47%    53%    55%    54%    59%
Shldn't be involved  44     41     35     37     34
DK/NA                10      6     10      9      7
 
TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? (*Low also 48% Nov 2009)
                                                             RIGHT THING...
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 21  May 26  Apr 22  Mar 25  Feb 10  Jan 14  Jul 21
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2010    2010*
Right thing          48      49      56      55      56      59      48
Shouldn't be inv     43      42      36      37      37      35      43
DK/NA                 9       9       8       8       7       6       9
 
 
41. Do you think eliminating the threat from terrorists operating from Afghanistan is a worthwhile goal for American troops to fight and possibly die for or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Yes                  59%    72%    47%    62%    65%    53%    63%    44%    47%
No                   34     22     46     32     30     37     31     45     45
DK/NA                 7      6      8      6      5     10      6     11      8
 
TREND: Do you think eliminating the threat from terrorists operating from Afghanistan is a worthwhile goal for American troops to fight and possibly die for or not?
                     Jul 21  Apr 22  Dec 8   Nov 18  Oct 7
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009
Yes                  59      61      64      65      65
No                   34      31      30      29      28
DK/NA                 7       8       6       7       7
 
 
42. Do you think the United States will be successful in eliminating the threat from terrorists operating from Afghanistan or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Yes                  35%    45%    30%    34%    37%    34%    35%    32%    47%
No                   55     46     60     57     56     55     55     58     49
DK/NA                 9      9     10      9      8     11     10      9      3
 
TREND: Do you think the United States will be successful in eliminating the threat from terrorists operating from Afghanistan or not?
                     Jul 21  Dec 8   Nov 18  Oct 7
                     2010    2009    2009    2009
Yes                  35      38      36      38
No                   55      52      53      49
DK/NA                 9      11      11      13
 
 
43. Do you think immigration reform should primarily move in the direction of integrating illegal immigrants into American society or in the direction of stricter enforcement of laws against illegal immigration?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Integrating          22%     8%    36%    22%    20%    24%    19%    24%    59%
Enforcement          69     85     54     71     72     66     73     66     32
DK/NA                 8      7     10      7      7      9      8     10      9
 
TREND: Do you think immigration reform should primarily move in the direction of integrating illegal immigrants into American society or in the direction of stricter enforcement of laws against illegal immigration?
                     Jul 21  Jun 1
                     2010    2010
Integrating          22      26
Enforcement          69      66
DK/NA                 8       8
 
 
44. Based on what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of Arizona's new immigration law?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Approve              55%    72%    33%    60%    62%    48%    61%    29%    27%
Disapprove           30     15     49     26     28     32     24     41     66
DK/NA                15     13     18     14      9     21     15     30      7
 
TREND: Based on what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of Arizona's new immigration law?
                     Jul 21  Jun 1
                     2010    2010
Approve              55      51
Disapprove           30      31
DK/NA                15      18
 
 
45. Would you want your state to pass a law similar to Arizona's new immigration law or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Yes                  51%    71%    30%    55%    59%    44%    58%    24%    24%
No                   35     17     55     33     33     37     30     48     71
DK/NA                14     11     16     12      8     19     13     27      6
 
TREND: Would you want your state to pass a law similar to Arizona's new immigration law or not?
                     Jul 21  Jun 1
                     2010    2010
Yes                  51      48
No                   35      35
DK/NA                14      17
 
 
46. The Obama administration has filed a lawsuit to strike down Arizona's immigration law. Do you think this lawsuit is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
Good idea            28%    11%    48%    25%    26%    29%    22%    49%    62%
Bad idea             60     81     35     65     66     54     68     23     29
DK/NA                12      8     17     10      8     17     11     28      9