August 31, 2011 - Perry Jumps To The Top Of GOP Pack, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Perry, Romney Each Run Neck And Neck With Obama

Word format

Texas Gov. Rick Perry has zoomed to the front of the line of GOP presidential candidates with a 24 - 18 percent lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney among Republican voters, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. Romney and President Barack Obama are in a dead heat while Perry trails the president by 3 points in 2012 matchups.

Republicans and Democrats are tied 38 - 38 percent when the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey asks American voters who they would vote for in the 2012 races for U.S. Congress - the so-called "generic ballot."

The percentage of all registered voters who say President Obama deserves a second term in the Oval Office has fallen to a negative 42 - 51 percent, matching a 41 - 50 percent all-time low reading on whether he deserves another four years in office from a March 30 survey.

"Gov. Rick Perry has sprinted out of the gate as a candidate for the GOP nomination," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Being the new kid on the block has benefitted Perry. But with prominence comes scrutiny and both his Republican competitors and the Democrats are doing their best to convince voters he's not Mr. Wonderful. The next few months will be a race between Perry and his Republican and Democratic opponents to define him for the vast majority of the American people."

Among Republicans and independent voters leaning Republican, Perry gets 24 percent to Romney's 18 percent, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's 11 percent, Minnesota U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann's 10 percent, Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul's 9 percent and businessman Herman Cain's 5 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gets 3 percent, while former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, former Sen. Rick Santorum and Michigan U.S. Rep. Thaddeus McCotter get 1 percent each.

If Palin doesn't run, Perry leads Romney 26 - 20 percent with Bachmann at 12 percent.

Romney is viewed favorably by 36 percent, unfavorably by 27 percent - somewhat better than Perry's split 22 - 23 percent favorable rating, with 55 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion. Among Republicans, however, Perry is 44 - 5 percent favorable, compared to Romney's 57 - 14 favorable rating. Bachmann is 36 - 26 percent unfavorable among all voters and 50 - 14 percent favorable among Republicans.

President Obama has a split 47 - 47 percent favorability rating among all voters.

In the trial November matchups, the president ties Romney 45 - 45 percent. Obama edges Perry 45 - 42 percent and leads Bachmann 48 - 39 percent and Palin 51 - 37 percent.

In the Obama-Romney matchup, the two men do equally well among their own parties, with Romney besting Obama 89 - 5 percent among Republicans and the president carrying Democrats 87 - 7 percent. But Romney holds a 46 - 40 percent lead among independent voters. Romney carries men 47 - 43 percent, while women lean to Obama 46 - 43 percent. Romney leads among whites 54 - 34 percent, while Obama is ahead among blacks 93 - 2 percent and Hispanics 58 - 31 percent.

Obama leads 49 - 42 percent among those with college degrees, while Romney gets 46 percent of those who do not have degrees to Obama's 43 percent. The president does better among the young than the old. He carries voters 18 to 34 years old 49 - 42 percent; splits 35 to 54-year-olds 45 - 45 percent and loses voters over 55 by 46 - 41 percent.

The party breakdowns for the Obama-Perry race are substantially the same, but independent voters split 42 - 40 percent, as do men 44 - 44 percent, while women tip to Obama 45 - 41 percent.

"The president is now dead even with one top Republican and just inches ahead of the other. He needs to improve his standing among men, whites and independents to ensure his re- election," said Brown.

From August 16 - 27, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,730 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary included 1,185 voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the 2012 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Republican           38%    86%     3%    33%    41%    36%    45%     4%    32%
Democratic           38      1     85     30     36     40     30     77     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      1      6      3      2      2      1      5
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      1      2      2      1      2      1      3
DK/NA                19     11     11     29     17     21     21     17     14
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Republican           56%    45%    63%    36%    40%    38%    38%    38%
Democratic           21     30     13     37     39     40     37     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2      4      2      2      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2      3      1      2      2      1
DK/NA                19     20     20     21     19     18     20     17
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Republican           28%    38%    42%    50%    42%
Democratic           46     40     35     33     37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      3      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      1      1      1
DK/NA                21     19     19     13     16
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate?
                     Aug 31  Mar 31
                     2011    2011
 
Republican           38      40
Democrat             38      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       1
DK/NA                19      20
 
2. (Republicans and Republican Leaners) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Herman Cain, and Thaddeus McCotter for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS..............................................
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Perry                24%    27%    22%
Palin                11      9     13
Gingrich              3      4      2
Romney               18     19     18
Bachmann             10      9     11
Santorum              1      2      1
Paul                  9     10      7
Huntsman              1      2      1
Cain                  5      5      6
McCotter              1      1      -
DK/NA                16     12     20
 
                     REPUBLICANS.............................................
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Perry                27%    24%    29%    17%    24%    28%    24%    25%
Palin                10     10     11     18     12      7     14      4
Gingrich              3      4      2      3      3      3      3      4
Romney               17     18     14     17     16     22     16     25
Bachmann             10     11     12      4     12     11     11      7
Santorum              2      3      2      -      2      2      1      2
Paul                  6      8      4     17     10      4      8     11
Huntsman              1      1      -      2      1      1      1      2
Cain                  6      2      7      4      6      5      5      5
McCotter              -      1      -      2      -      -      1      -
DK/NA                18     18     18     17     14     16     16     16
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry  PartOf
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds TeaPrty
 
Perry                18%    26%    23%    29%    28%    32%
Palin                14     17      9      6     10     11
Gingrich              1      4      4      3      2      1
Romney               17     17     17     26     14     12
Bachmann             14      7     10      5     12     15
Santorum              2      2      1      1      2      2
Paul                 10      3     12      9     10      7
Huntsman              1      2      1      2      1      1
Cain                  5      7      5      5      6     10
McCotter              -      3      -      0      2      -
DK/NA                17     13     18     12     13     10
 
TREND: (Republicans and Republican Leaners) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were .... for whom would you vote? (na=not asked in survey reported)
                     REPUBLICANS...........................
                     Aug 31  Jul 13  Jun 08  May 04  Nov 22
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2010
 
Perry                24      10      na      na      na
Palin                11      12      15      15      19
Gingrich              3       5       8       5      15
Romney               18      25      25      18      18
Bachmann             10      14       6       4      na
Santorum              1       1       4       1      na
Paul                  9       5       8       5      na
Huntsman              1       1       1       1      na
Cain                  5       6       9      na      na
McCotter              1       -      na      na      na
Barbour              na      na      na      na       2
Daniels              na      na      na       5       2
Huckabee             na      na      na      15      17
Johnson              na      na       -       1      na
Pawlenty             na       3       5       4       6
Thune                na      na      na      na       2
Trump                na      na      na      12      na
DK/NA                16      18      20      15      17
 
 
2a. (If voting for Palin q2) Who is your second choice? (Recalculated primary vote without Palin using second choice question)
                     WITHOUT PALIN...........................................
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Perry                26%    29%    23%
Gingrich              4      6      2
Romney               20     20     19
Bachmann             12     10     14
Santorum              2      2      2
Paul                 10     11      8
Huntsman              1      2      1
Cain                  5      5      6
McCotter              1      1      -
DK/NA                19     13     25
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Perry                28%    25%    31%    18%    26%    30%    26%    26%
Gingrich              4      4      3      4      5      4      4      4
Romney               18     20     15     18     18     23     17     26
Bachmann             13     15     15     10     14     12     14      8
Santorum              2      3      2      -      2      2      2      2
Paul                  6      9      4     18     11      5      9     11
Huntsman              1      1      -      2      1      1      1      2
Cain                  6      2      8      4      6      5      5      5
McCotter              -      1      -      2      -      -      1      -
DK/NA                21     19     22     24     16     18     20     16
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry  PartOf
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds TeaPrty
 
Perry                19%    27%    25%    32%    31%    36%
Gingrich              2      4      6      4      3      2
Romney               19     21     17     27     15     14
Bachmann             17     13     10      8     15     19
Santorum              2      2      2      1      2      2
Paul                 11      4     14      9     13      7
Huntsman              1      2      1      2      1      1
Cain                  5      7      5      6      6     10
McCotter              -      3      -      0      2      -
DK/NA                23     17     20     12     14     10
 
 
TREND: (If voting for Palin q1) Who is your second choice? (Recalculated primary vote without Palin using second choice question)(na=not asked in survey reported)
                     WITHOUT PALIN
                     Aug 31 Jul 13
                     2011   2011
 
Perry                26     10
Gingrich              4      6
Romney               20     28
Bachmann             12     17
Santorum              2      1
Paul                 10      6
Huntsman              1      1
Cain                  5      6
McCotter              1      -
Pawlenty             na      3
DK/NA                19     22
 
 
3. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were - Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Perry the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                45%     6%    86%    42%    44%    45%    35%    91%    53%
Perry                42     87      6     40     44     41     51      3     35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3      3      1      2      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      2      4      3      2      3      1      2
DK/NA                 8      4      6     11      6     10      9      5      7
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Obama                24%    35%    16%    47%    46%    42%    42%    50%
Perry                61     49     69     38     42     45     44     39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      1      4      2      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      4      1      3      3      3      2
DK/NA                10     10      9      9      7      8      9      7
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                49%    47%    42%    43%    42%
Perry                35     43     47     47     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      1      2      3      2
DK/NA                11      6      8      5      5
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Perry the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Aug 31  Jul 13
                     2011    2011
 
Obama                45      50
Perry                42      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2
DK/NA                 8      10
 
4. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were - Barack Obama the Democrat and Michele Bachmann the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                48%     9%    87%    47%    47%    48%    39%    91%    59%
Bachmann             39     80      6     36     41     37     47      4     31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      1      5      3      3      3      1      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      2      4      3      3      3      1      2
DK/NA                 7      6      3      9      5      8      8      4      4
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Obama                27%    40%    17%    53%    49%    44%    45%    54%
Bachmann             58     43     68     33     39     42     41     35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4      4      2      5      3      2      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      3      2      3      4      3      3
DK/NA                 8      9     10      7      6      7      8      5
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                53%    51%    44%    47%    44%
Bachmann             34     40     43     41     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2      4      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      2      3      4      2
DK/NA                 8      5      8      4      5
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Michele Bachmann the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Aug 31  Jul 13
                     2011    2011
 
Obama                48      50
Bachmann             39      38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                 7       7
 
5. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were - Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                45%     5%    87%    40%    43%    46%    34%    93%    58%
Romney               45     89      7     46     47     43     54      2     31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3      3      2      2      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2      3      2      2      2      1      3
DK/NA                 6      3      4      7      5      8      7      4      5
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Obama                24%    34%    16%    49%    45%    41%    43%    49%
Romney               64     54     71     42     45     46     46     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      2      4      2      2      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      2      1      2      3      3      1
DK/NA                 7      6      8      5      6      7      6      5
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                50%    48%    42%    39%    43%
Romney               36     45     49     53     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      2      2      2
DK/NA                 9      4      5      4      4
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Aug 31  Jul 13  Jun 08  Nov 22
                     2011    2011    2011    2010
 
Obama                45      47      47      44
Romney               45      41      41      45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       2       2
DK/NA                 6       7       6       7
 
 
6. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were - Barack Obama the Democrat and Sarah Palin the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                51%    11%    89%    51%    50%    52%    42%    93%    64%
Palin                37     77      4     35     39     35     44      4     26
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      2      4      4      3      4      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      3      5      3      5      5      1      4
DK/NA                 4      5      2      4      4      5      5      2      3
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Obama                31%    43%    21%    57%    51%    48%    49%    56%
Palin                54     43     63     33     38     39     40     31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4      4      3      5      3      3      3      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      5      6      2      5      5      4      6
DK/NA                 6      5      6      3      3      6      5      4
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                54%    54%    50%    50%    47%
Palin                34     36     40     36     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      4      3      4      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      4      6      3
DK/NA                 6      3      4      3      3
 
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Sarah Palin the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Aug 31  Jul 13  Jun 08  Nov 22
                     2011    2011    2011    2010
 
Obama                51      53      53      48
Palin                37      34      36      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       3       3       4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       4       4       3
DK/NA                 4       6       4       4
 
 
7. Is your opinion of - Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            22%    44%     4%    19%    26%    17%    25%     6%    19%
Unfavorable          23      5     41     22     24     21     21     26     26
Hvn't hrd enough     55     51     55     58     48     61     53     68     52
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      1      1      -      2
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Favorable            31%    25%    35%    16%    21%    25%    21%    22%
Unfavorable          15     19      8     17     23     26     18     34
Hvn't hrd enough     52     55     55     66     55     49     60     43
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      1      1      1
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Favorable            18%    21%    21%    27%    27%
Unfavorable          19     21     22     31     26
Hvn't hrd enough     62     58     56     41     47
REFUSED               1      -      2      1      -
 
 
8. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            36%    57%    17%    39%    42%    31%    41%    16%    29%
Unfavorable          27     14     44     24     29     26     26     41     19
Hvn't hrd enough     35     28     38     35     27     41     31     43     50
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      1      2      2      1      3
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Favorable            46%    45%    43%    34%    34%    40%    32%    44%
Unfavorable          20     24     18     25     28     28     26     31
Hvn't hrd enough     33     29     37     39     36     30     40     22
REFUSED               1      2      2      2      2      2      2      2
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Favorable            25%    37%    39%    49%    41%
Unfavorable          25     28     31     27     31
Hvn't hrd enough     48     33     28     23     27
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Aug 31  Nov 22  Mar 25  Nov 12  Oct 31  Nov 22  May 3
                     2011    2010    2010    2008    2007    2010    2007
 
Favorable            36      38      28      34      28      38      17
Unfavorable          27      26      25      20      25      26      16
Hvn't hrd enough     35      35      45      43      45      35      65
REFUSED               2       2       2       3       2       2       2
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Michele Bachmann favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            26%    50%     7%    23%    28%    24%    30%     8%    23%
Unfavorable          36     14     53     38     38     34     35     39     28
Hvn't hrd enough     37     34     39     37     33     41     33     53     46
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      1      1      -      2
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Favorable            37%    32%    44%    19%    27%    30%    27%    24%
Unfavorable          26     36     16     38     34     37     29     51
Hvn't hrd enough     35     31     38     41     38     33     43     25
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      1      1      1      1
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Favorable            22%    26%    27%    30%    33%
Unfavorable          32     31     36     48     34
Hvn't hrd enough     44     42     36     22     31
REFUSED               1      -      2      -      1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of - Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            32%    63%     8%    28%    32%    32%    37%     8%    25%
Unfavorable          55     25     80     58     54     55     52     73     54
Hvn't hrd enough     11     10     10     11     12     10      9     18     19
REFUSED               2      2      1      3      2      3      3      1      2
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Favorable            45%    37%    54%    27%    34%    33%    35%    26%
Unfavorable          43     51     30     57     55     54     49     67
Hvn't hrd enough      8      9     12     13      9     11     13      6
REFUSED               4      2      3      3      2      2      3      2
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Favorable            29%    33%    34%    30%    36%
Unfavorable          52     55     58     61     54
Hvn't hrd enough     16     10      7      8      9
REFUSED               3      2      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Aug 31  Nov 22  Sep 09  Jul 21  Mar 24  Sep 18
                     2011    2010    2010    2010    2010    2008
 
Favorable            32      36      31      35      33      37
Unfavorable          55      51      50      49      51      30
Hvn't hrd enough     11      10      15      14      14      31
REFUSED               2       3       3       2       2       2
 
 
11. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            47%     8%    86%    45%    45%    48%    38%    92%    62%
Unfavorable          47     87     10     48     49     45     56      6     31
Hvn't hrd enough      3      3      2      3      2      3      3      1      2
REFUSED               3      2      2      5      3      4      3      1      5
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Favorable            28%    39%    21%    52%    47%    44%    46%    49%
Unfavorable          66     55     72     40     47     50     48     45
Hvn't hrd enough      2      4      4      3      2      3      3      2
REFUSED               3      2      3      4      3      3      3      3
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Favorable            53%    51%    46%    41%    44%
Unfavorable          40     45     49     54     53
Hvn't hrd enough      4      1      2      2      1
REFUSED               3      3      3      3      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Aug 31  Nov 22  Sep 09  Jul 21  Mar 25  Nov 12  Feb 21
                     2011    2010    2010    2010    2010    2008    2007
 
Favorable            47      48      47      49      47      67      44
Unfavorable          47      48      45      45      47      19      14
Hvn't hrd enough      3       2       5       4       4      11      40
REFUSED               3       2       3       2       1       3       1
 
 
15. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/deserves         42%     6%    81%    39%    41%    43%    33%    89%    51%
No/Does not          51     90     12     53     53     49     60      5     44
DK/NA                 7      3      7      8      6      8      7      5      5
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Yes/deserves         24%    32%    16%    45%    44%    40%    41%    46%
No/Does not          70     60     78     48     50     52     52     48
DK/NA                 7      8      7      6      6      8      7      6
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Mltry
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Yes/deserves         46%    46%    41%    38%    40%
No/Does not          46     47     53     56     55
DK/NA                 8      7      6      6      6
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (*Low also 40% Mar 2010)
                                             BIN LADEN DEATH YES DESERVES...
                                             Post    Pre     High    Low
                     Aug 31  Jul 13  Jun 08  May 05  May 05  Jul 13  Jul 21
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2010*
 
Yes/deserves         42      47      46      46      45      47      40
No/does not          51      47      48      42      48      47      48
DK/NA                 7       7       6      11       6       7      12
 
 
 

Demographic Summary