October 5, 2011 - With Christie Out, Romney Is Back On Top Of Gop Pack, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Perry Fades As Cain Surges

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With New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie out of the Republican presidential race, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney jumps to a 22 percent lead, followed by business man Herman Cain with 17 percent and Texas Gov. Rick Perry with 14 percent - a 10-point drop in five weeks, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

This compares to an August 31 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Perry at 24 percent, followed by Romney at 18 percent, with Cain in sixth place with 5 percent.

With Christie in the race, he and Romney are tied among Republicans and Republican leaners at 17 percent each, followed by 12 percent for Cain, 10 percent for Perry and no other candidate above 7 percent.

In possible 2012 general election matchups:
  • Romney has a slight 46 - 42 percent lead over Obama;
  • The president gets 45 percent to Perry's 44 percent.
American voters say 54 - 42 percent that Obama does not deserve a second term, little changed from August 31, when voters said he did not deserve a second term 51 - 42 percent.

"After seeing his lead disappear with the entrance of Rick Perry into the trace, Mitt Romney has regained his position out front as the Texas governor's fortunes have fallen. The GOP race, however, remains quite open, especially with Gov. Christopher Christie's decision to remain on the sidelines," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"A big question now is whether Herman Cain is a serious candidate for the nomination. He has zoomed into second place ahead of Perry. Once the attention shifts from the still-born Christie candidacy, it is likely to focus on Cain, his background and proposals," Brown added.

"That will determine whether his candidacy is the real deal or one that rises and falls once attention focuses on him, as happened to Minnesota U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann," Brown added.

"This survey shows Gov. Christie is walking away from the possibility - at least today - to be elected president of the United States. Whether he would have won the GOP nomination or the election will never be known, but the data indicate he had a serious chance to win it all.

"Gov. Rick Perry, whose numbers have dropped following three debate appearances and a disappointing finish in the Florida straw poll, has gone from front-runner to third place as Herman Cain roars past him - at least for the moment," Brown said.

"With Christie out of the race, Romney has some breathing room. Let's see if the emerging Herman Cain has staying power."

In an Obama-Romney matchup, Democrats go to Obama 84 - 9 percent, while Romney wins Republicans 90 - 4 percent and takes independent voters 45 - 40 percent. Among women, Obama edges Romney 47 - 44 percent while men go Republican 47 - 38 percent. Romney leads among white voters 54 - 34 percent while Obama leads 86 - 6 percent among black voters and 51 - 39 percent among Hispanic voters.

Overall, the president's popularity with voters is negative: 53 percent view him unfavorably and 42 percent view him favorably, compared to 39 - 28 percent favorable for Romney.

From September 27 - October 3, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,118 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 927 voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the 2012 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Republican           39%    86%     3%    35%    41%    38%    46%     7%    31%
Democrat             39      1     85     32     35     43     31     78     52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      4      2      2      2      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      -      2      2      1      1      1      3
DK/NA                19     11     12     27     20     17     19     14     14
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Republican           53%    46%    61%    41%    40%    38%    39%    40%
Democrat             23     32     18     38     39     39     38     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      2      2      2      2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      2
DK/NA                21     20     18     18     17     20     20     16
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Republican           29%    39%    43%    46%    45%
Democrat             46     37     37     37     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      1      2      1
DK/NA                20     20     18     13     16
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?
                    Oct 05  Aug 31  Mar 31
                    2011    2011    2011
 
Republican          39      38      40
Democrat            39      38      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)      2       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)     1       2       1
DK/NA               19      19      20
 
 
2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...........................
                                          PrtOf
                     Tot    Men    Wom    TeaPty
 
Perry                14%    13%    14%    17%
Palin                 9      8     11     13
Gingrich              8     11      6      7
Romney               22     19     24     16
Bachmann              3      4      2      4
Santorum              3      3      2      2
Paul                  6      7      6      4
Huntsman              1      1      -      -
Cain                 17     23     10     25
DK/NA                18     11     25     11
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Perry                16%    10%    17%    12%    16%    12%    14%    13%
Palin                11      8     10      9     11      7     11      4
Gingrich              6      8      6      7      8      9      9      7
Romney               21     20     18     12     24     24     19     28
Bachmann              2      6      3      -      4      3      4      2
Santorum              3      4      3      4      2      3      1      5
Paul                  4      5      4     19      4      3      8      4
Huntsman              1      -      -      -      1      2      1      2
Cain                 17     17     19      8     17     21     13     23
DK/NA                18     21     20     29     14     16     21     13
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Perry                14%    12%    16%    15%    15%
Palin                12      8     11      5      9
Gingrich              9     12      7      7      8
Romney               14     23     19     30     20
Bachmann              5      1      5      2      3
Santorum              2      4      3      2      2
Paul                  8     12      4      4      6
Huntsman              -      -      2      2      2
Cain                 12     19     16     20     21
DK/NA                24      9     17     14     14
 
 
TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner)If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain for whom would you vote? (na=not asked)
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS................
                     Oct 05  Aug 31  Jul 13  Jun 08  May 04  Nov 22
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2010
 
Perry                14      24      10      na      na      na
Palin                 9      11      12      15      15      19
Gingrich              8       3       5       8       5      15
Romney               22      18      25      25      18      18
Bachmann              3      10      14       6       4      na
Santorum              3       1       1       4       1      na
Paul                  6       9       5       8       5      na
Huntsman              1       1       1       1       1      na
Cain                 17       5       6       9      na      na
McCotter             na       1       -      na      na      na
Barbour              na      na      na      na      na       2
Daniels              na      na      na      na       5       2
Huckabee             na      na      na      na      15      17
Johnson              na      na      na       -       1      na
Pawlenty             na      na       3       5       4       6
Thune                na      na      na      na      na       2
Trump                na      na      na      na      12      na
DK/NA                18      16      18      20      15      17
 
 
2b. (If voting for Palin q2) Who is your second choice? (Recalculated primary vote without Palin using second choice question)
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS WITHOUT PALIN..............
                                          PrtOf
                     Tot    Men    Wom    TeaPty
 
Perry                15%    14%    16%    19%
Gingrich              9     12      7      9
Romney               24     21     27     18
Bachmann              5      5      4      6
Santorum              3      3      3      2
Paul                  6      7      6      4
Huntsman              1      1      -      -
Cain                 18     25     11     28
DK/NA                19     12     26     13
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Perry                17%    10%    19%    14%    17%    13%    16%    13%
Gingrich              9      8      9      7     10     10     10      8
Romney               24     24     20     15     27     26     22     29
Bachmann              4      6      5      -      6      5      5      3
Santorum              4      4      3      4      2      3      2      5
Paul                  4      5      4     19      4      3      8      4
Huntsman              1      -      -      -      1      2      1      2
Cain                 18     19     19      8     19     22     15     23
DK/NA                19     23     20     32     14     17     22     14
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Perry                17%    12%    17%    16%    18%
Gingrich             11     12      8      8      9
Romney               17     26     21     31     22
Bachmann              7      3      6      3      4
Santorum              2      4      4      2      2
Paul                  8     12      4      4      6
Huntsman              -      -      2      2      2
Cain                 12     19     19     20     24
DK/NA                26     12     18     14     14
 
TREND: (If voting for Palin) Who is your second choice? (Recalculated primary vote without Palin using second choice question) (na=not asked)
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS
                     WITHOUT PALIN........
                     Oct 05  Aug 31 Jul 13
                     2011    2011   2011
 
Perry                15     26     10
Gingrich              9      4      6
Romney               24     20     28
Bachmann              5     12     17
Santorum              3      2      1
Paul                  6     10      6
Huntsman              1      1      1
Cain                 18      5      6
McCotter             na      1      -
Pawlenty             na     na      3
DK/NA                19     19     22
 
 
3. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose Chris Christie becomes a candidate for President. If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain, for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS
                                          PrtOf
                     Tot    Men    Wom    TeaPt
 
Christie             17%    21%    14%    21%
Perry                10      8     11     12
Palin                 7      6      7     10
Gingrich              7     10      5      5
Romney               17     14     20     13
Bachmann              3      3      3      5
Santorum              2      3      2      3
Paul                  6      7      5      2
Huntsman              1      1      1      1
Cain                 12     18      7     18
DK/NA                18     10     25     11
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Christie             16%    21%    15%    12%    20%    18%    14%    24%
Perry                12      5     13      8     11      9     11      7
Palin                 9      6      7      7      8      5      9      2
Gingrich              5      8      6      7      8      8      8      6
Romney               16     15     14     11     18     19     15     20
Bachmann              2      5      3      2      4      2      4      2
Santorum              3      3      3      4      1      3      1      4
Paul                  3      7      4     21      3      2      7      4
Huntsman              1      1      -      -      1      1      1      1
Cain                 13     13     14      5     14     15     10     16
DK/NA                19     17     20     24     14     18     19     14
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Christie             12%    15%    19%    24%    17%
Perry                12      9     12      7     12
Palin                 7      8      8      5      5
Gingrich              8     12      5      6      8
Romney               14     19     15     18     14
Bachmann              5      1      5      1      3
Santorum              2      4      3      1      1
Paul                 10      9      4      4      6
Huntsman              -      -      2      1      2
Cain                  9     13     12     15     16
DK/NA                22      9     15     17     17
 
4. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Rick Perry and Mitt Romney for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...........................
                                          PrtOf
                     Tot    Men    Wom    TeaPt
 
Perry                34%    35%    32%    41%
Romney               48     48     47     44
DK/NA                18     16     21     15
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Perry                35%    33%    40%    43%    32%    32%    35%    33%
Romney               46     50     42     38     52     49     45     53
DK/NA                20     17     18     19     16     19     21     14
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Perry                38%    28%    44%    25%    38%
Romney               41     57     39     59     42
DK/NA                21     15     17     16     20
 
5. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Perry the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Obama                45%     6%    86%    43%    41%    49%    37%    90%    49%
Perry                44     88      7     42     46     42     51      6     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      1      4      4      1      3      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      1      2      4      2      3      1      1
DK/NA                 7      3      5      9      6      7      6      2     10
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Obama                28%    37%    21%    47%    43%    46%    43%    48%
Perry                60     52     70     43     44     44     44     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      3      1      3      3      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      2      3      3      2      3      2
DK/NA                 7      7      4      6      7      6      7      5
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Obama                54%    48%    38%    44%    40%
Perry                34     42     52     47     52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      3      3      2      3
DK/NA                 9      5      5      4      3
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Perry the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Oct 05  Aug 31  Jul 13
                     2011    2011    2011
 
Obama                45      45      50
Perry                44      42      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       2       2
DK/NA                 7       8      10
 
6. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Obama                42%     4%    84%    40%    38%    47%    34%    86%    51%
Romney               46     90      9     45     47     44     54      6     39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      1      4      4      2      3      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1      1      3      1      2      1      -
DK/NA                 7      3      6     10      8      7      7      6     10
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Obama                26%    34%    20%    47%    41%    42%    41%    45%
Romney               63     56     70     39     47     48     45     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      3      2      3      3      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      2      2      2      1      2      2
DK/NA                 7      7      5      9      7      6      8      5
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Obama                52%    43%    38%    41%    36%
Romney               35     44     52     53     54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      3      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      3      2      3
DK/NA                 9      9      4      4      4
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Oct 05  Aug 31  Jul 13  Jun 08  Nov 22
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2010
 
Obama                42      45      47      47      44
Romney               46      45      41      41      45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2       2       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       2       2       2
DK/NA                 7       6       7       6       7
 
 
7. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Chris Christie the Republican for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Obama                42%     5%    86%    37%    38%    46%    34%    87%    49%
Christie             45     87      8     45     46     43     52      6     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3      2      2      3      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      1      2      3      1      3      1      1
DK/NA                 8      4      5     13     10      7      8      5     14
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Obama                26%    33%    19%    45%    40%    43%    41%    45%
Christie             59     56     69     41     47     44     45     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      3      2      2      2      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      2      4      2      2      2      3
DK/NA                 9      7      7      8      8      9      9      7
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Obama                50%    47%    37%    41%    39%
Christie             37     40     52     49     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      3      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      3      2      3      3
DK/NA                10      8      7      6      5
 
 
8. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2012 presidential election next year - are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
More                 30%    48%    23%    26%    31%    30%    31%    31%    26%
Less                 22     12     24     28     22     23     21     18     34
About the same       46     39     53     45     46     47     47     50     40
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
More                 35%    30%    39%    26%    30%    33%    28%    34%
Less                 18     22     16     22     22     22     21     25
About the same       45     48     45     51     46     44     49     41
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      2      1      1      1
 
                     Annual household income     PrtOf  Military
                     <30K  30-50 50-100 >100K    TeaPty HsHlds
 
More                 23%    33%    31%    36%    55%    34%
Less                 22     20     20     27      8     19
About the same       54     46     49     36     37     45
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      1      2
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Favorable            23%    37%     9%    23%    27%    18%    26%     6%    20%
Unfavorable          17      6     28     15     17     16     14     28     17
Hvn't hrd enough     59     57     61     60     55     64     59     65     62
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      1      2      1      2      1
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Favorable            27%    29%    30%    19%    24%    23%    20%    27%
Unfavorable          10     15      6     14     18     17     13     23
Hvn't hrd enough     62     55     63     65     57     59     65     48
REFUSED               1      1      -      2      1      1      1      2
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Favorable            16%    17%    25%    32%    24%
Unfavorable          15     15     17     23     16
Hvn't hrd enough     67     67     57     44     60
REFUSED               2      2      1      1      1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of - Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Favorable            22%    44%     7%    19%    25%    19%    25%     8%    24%
Unfavorable          35     13     52     37     35     34     34     43     24
Hvn't hrd enough     42     41     40     43     39     45     41     47     52
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      1      1      1      2      1
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Favorable            32%    22%    38%    22%    22%    22%    21%    24%
Unfavorable          27     30     21     29     35     38     28     47
Hvn't hrd enough     40     47     41     49     42     39     50     27
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1      1      1      2
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Favorable            17%    19%    27%    25%    30%
Unfavorable          27     32     38     45     36
Hvn't hrd enough     54     48     34     29     33
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Oct 05  Aug 31
                     2011    2011
 
Favorable            22      22
Unfavorable          35      23
Hvn't hrd enough     42      55
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
11. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Favorable            39%    64%    19%    37%    41%    36%    43%    15%    35%
Unfavorable          28     12     44     27     29     27     27     41     21
Hvn't hrd enough     31     23     36     32     28     34     28     42     43
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      2      2      2      2      1
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Favorable            48%    45%    48%    36%    36%    42%    35%    45%
Unfavorable          21     23     18     23     31     27     25     34
Hvn't hrd enough     28     32     31     37     31     29     37     19
REFUSED               3      1      3      4      1      2      3      2
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Favorable            26%    39%    42%    51%    45%
Unfavorable          26     23     32     32     26
Hvn't hrd enough     44     37     25     15     27
REFUSED               4      1      2      3      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE....
                                                             High    Low
                     Oct 05  Aug 31  Nov 22  Mar 25  Nov 12  Oct 05  May 03
                     2011    2011    2010    2010    2008    2011    2007
 
Favorable            39      36      38      28      34      39      17
Unfavorable          28      27      26      25      20      28      16
Hvn't hrd enough     31      35      35      45      43      31      65
REFUSED               2       2       2       2       3       2       2
 
 
12. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Favorable            42%     6%    81%    39%    35%    48%    35%    84%    49%
Unfavorable          53     92     14     53     58     48     60      9     43
Hvn't hrd enough      3      1      3      4      4      2      2      4      7
REFUSED               3      1      2      3      3      2      2      4      1
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Favorable            26%    36%    20%    38%    42%    44%    40%    46%
Unfavorable          69     59     77     53     53     52     54     51
Hvn't hrd enough      2      2      1      5      3      1      4      1
REFUSED               2      2      2      4      2      2      3      2
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Favorable            48%    46%    38%    40%    36%
Unfavorable          44     48     58     57     59
Hvn't hrd enough      4      4      2      1      3
REFUSED               3      2      2      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Oct 05  Aug 31  Nov 22  Sep 09  Jul 21  Nov 12  Oct 05
                     2011    2011    2010    2010    2010    2008    2011
 
Favorable            42      47      48      47      49      67      42
Unfavorable          53      47      48      45      45      19      53
Hvn't hrd enough      3       3       2       5       4      11       3
REFUSED               3       3       2       3       2       3       3
 
 
16. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Yes/Deserves         42%     5%    81%    38%    37%    46%    34%    88%    52%
No/Does not          54     93     15     56     58     50     62      9     47
DK/NA                 4      2      4      7      5      4      5      3      1
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Yes/Deserves         26%    34%    19%    46%    38%    44%    41%    44%
No/Does not          70     61     78     51     58     52     56     51
DK/NA                 4      5      3      3      5      5      4      6
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Yes/Deserves         52%    46%    37%    36%    36%
No/Does not          45     51     58     59     60
DK/NA                 3      3      5      5      4
 
TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (*Low also 40% Mar 2010)
                                                     YES DESERVES..
                                                     High    Low
                     Oct 05  Aug 31  Jul 13  Jun 08  Jul 13  Jul 21
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2010*
 
Yes/Deserves         42      42      47      46      47      40
No/Does not          54      51      47      48      47      48
DK/NA                 4       7       7       6       7      12
 
 
18. Would you say that Barack Obama - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Yes                  49%    22%    82%    44%    43%    55%    42%    90%    61%
No                   49     77     16     53     54     43     55      8     39
DK/NA                 2      1      2      3      2      2      3      2      -
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Yes                  37%    43%    34%    59%    50%    44%    49%    49%
No                   61     55     64     38     48     54     49     48
DK/NA                 2      3      1      3      2      2      2      3
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Yes                  59%    51%    46%    44%    40%
No                   40     45     52     55     57
DK/NA                 1      3      2      2      3
 
TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Oct 05  Sep 01  Jan 13  Sep 09  Jan 13
                     2011    2011    2011    2010    2010
 
Yes                  49      50      64      59      66
No                   49      48      33      38      32
DK/NA                 2       3       3       3       2
 
 
19. Would you say that Barack Obama - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Yes                  54%    24%    86%    54%    50%    58%    49%    86%    57%
No                   43     73     12     44     47     40     49     10     37
DK/NA                 3      2      2      3      3      2      2      4      5
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Yes                  43%    50%    35%    57%    56%    52%    52%    58%
No                   55     48     64     38     42     46     45     39
DK/NA                 2      2      1      5      1      3      3      2
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Yes                  60%    57%    52%    54%    47%
No                   37     39     47     45     52
DK/NA                 3      4      1      1      1
 
TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Oct 05  Sep 01  Nov 12
                     2011    2011    2008
 
Yes                  54      54      70
No                   43      42      22
DK/NA                 3       3       7
 
 
20. Would you say that Mitt Romney - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Yes                  55%    73%    35%    58%    57%    52%    60%    33%    38%
No                   24     10     40     24     24     24     20     40     35
DK/NA                21     17     26     18     18     24     20     27     27
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Yes                  62%    62%    66%    58%    55%    53%    51%    62%
No                   16     19     14     18     26     25     24     25
DK/NA                22     19     19     23     19     21     25     13
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Yes                  50%    53%    58%    65%    58%
No                   26     20     26     24     25
DK/NA                24     27     16     12     17
 
 
21. Would you say that Mitt Romney - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Yes                  43%    69%    24%    41%    42%    43%    49%    18%    27%
No                   35     12     55     36     36     33     30     61     43
DK/NA                22     19     21     23     22     23     21     22     31
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Yes                  53%    51%    57%    40%    43%    44%    41%    47%
No                   23     29     21     31     36     36     33     38
DK/NA                24     19     23     29     20     20     26     15
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Yes                  36%    41%    47%    52%    47%
No                   36     35     36     34     34
DK/NA                28     24     17     14     18
 
 
22. Would you say that Rick Perry - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Yes                  39%    64%    18%    40%    43%    35%    43%    18%    41%
No                   32     10     53     31     32     33     29     49     29
DK/NA                29     26     29     29     25     32     28     33     30
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Yes                  49%    43%    58%    42%    40%    37%    37%    42%
No                   23     26     18     25     32     36     31     35
DK/NA                27     31     24     33     28     27     32     23
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Yes                  34%    38%    44%    43%    46%
No                   35     31     31     35     33
DK/NA                32     31     25     22     21
 
 
23. Would you say that Rick Perry - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Yes                  31%    62%    10%    27%    35%    27%    35%     9%    38%
No                   41     13     64     42     39     42     37     62     38
DK/NA                28     25     26     30     25     30     28     29     24
 
                     WHITE............... AGE IN YRS.......    EDUCATION.....
                                   BrnAgn                      No col College
                     Prot   Cath   Evngl  18-34  35-54  55+    degree degree
 
Yes                  42%    35%    51%    30%    32%    31%    31%    31%
No                   29     35     26     37     41     43     38     48
DK/NA                28     30     24     33     27     26     31     22
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHolds
 
Yes                  26%    28%    36%    35%    37%
No                   41     41     41     44     40
DK/NA                32     31     23     22     23
 

Demographic Summary