November 21, 2011 - U.S. Voters Say Almost 3-1 Super Committee Will Fail, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; More Blame Republicans

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American voters say 69 - 24 percent that President Barack Obama and the Super Committee will fail to agree on a plan to reduce the federal deficit, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

Expecting failure are Democrats 54 - 36 percent, Republicans 84 - 14 percent and independent voters 71 -22 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

A debt-reduction plan should include spending cuts only, 49 percent of voters say, while 39 percent want a mix of tax hikes and spending cuts. Support for spending cuts only is 73 - 21 percent among Republicans and 45 - 41 percent among independent voters, while Democrats want a mix of cuts and tax hikes 56 - 33 percent. Support for cuts only is 52 - 32 percent among voters making less than $30,000 per year, dropping to 51 - 41 percent among voters making more than $100,000 per year. White voters with a college degree support a mix of cuts and tax hikes 52 - 41 percent while white voters with no college degree want cuts only 55 - 33 percent.

Voters blame Republicans in Congress more than President Obama and congressional Democrats 44 - 38 percent. Independent voters blame Republicans more 44 - 35 percent.

"American voters are way ahead of the politicians. They knew the Super Committee had little chance of success. Watch for those job approval ratings to sink even lower, although the data indicate that at least for now voters hold the Republicans a bit more responsible," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

From November 14 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,552 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

40. The debt ceiling agreement reached by President Obama and Congress in August created a new Congressional committee, sometimes referred to as the 'Super Committee', to recommend a deficit-reduction proposal. This committee must make its recommendations by late November. From what you know so far, do you think the deficit-reduction proposal should include some increases in tax revenue or should it include only cuts in government spending?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Some tax increases   39%    21%    56%    41%    40%    39%    39%    46%    37%
Spending cuts only   49     73     33     45     50     49     50     38     52
DK/NA                11      6     11     14     10     13     10     16     10
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Some tax increases   35%    36%    26%    42%    52%    33%    41%    39%    39%
Spending cuts only   55     55     64     49     41     55     45     53     48
DK/NA                11      9     10     10      7     12     13      8     13
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Some tax increases   32%    40%    41%    49%    37%
Spending cuts only   52     51     51     43     51
DK/NA                15     10      8      7     12
 
TREND: The debt ceiling agreement reached by President Obama and Congress in August created a new Congressional committee, sometimes referred to as the 'Super Committee', to recommend a deficit-reduction proposal. This committee must make its recommendations by late November. From what you know so far, do you think the deficit-reduction proposal should include some increases in tax revenue or should it include only cuts in government spending?
                     Nov 21  Nov 03
                     2011    2011
                             
Some tax increases   39      39
Spending cuts only   49      48 
DK/NA                11      13 
 
 
41. Do you think that the Super Committee and President Obama will be able to agree on a plan to reduce the federal budget deficit or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  24%    14%    36%    22%    21%    26%    21%    38%    31%
No                   69     84     54     71     74     65     72     54     62
DK/NA                 7      2      9      7      5      9      7      9      7
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  20%    23%    18%    23%    22%    21%    28%    24%    23%
No                   74     70     76     70     73     71     67     71     67
DK/NA                 6      7      6      7      6      8      5      4     10
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Yes                  27%    25%    21%    23%    19%
No                   63     69     73     73     73
DK/NA                10      6      5      4      7
 
TREND: Do you think that the Super Committee and President Obama will be able to agree on a plan to reduce the federal budget deficit or not?
                     Nov 21  Nov 03
                     2011    2011
                             
Yes                  24      24
No                   69      67 
DK/NA                 7       8 
 
 
42. Who do you think would be mostly to blame if the Committee and the President are not able to agree on a plan to reduce the deficit, President Obama and the Democrats in Congress, or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama/Democrats      38%    73%    14%    35%    40%    36%    42%    19%    33%
Republicans          44     14     72     44     43     45     40     66     48
DK/NA                18     13     14     22     17     19     18     15     20
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama/Democrats      49%    43%    57%    40%    37%    44%    36%    39%    38%
Republicans          33     40     27     40     46     37     45     46     44
DK/NA                18     18     16     20     17     18     19     16     18
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama/Democrats      34%    38%    38%    42%    43%
Republicans          45     49     47     42     39
DK/NA                22     14     15     16     18
 
TREND: Who do you think would be mostly to blame if the Committee and the President are not able to agree on a plan to reduce the deficit, President Obama and the Democrats in Congress, or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Nov 21  Nov 03
                     2011    2011
                             
Obama/Democrats      38      36
Republicans          44      46 
DK/NA                18      17