October 2, 2012 - Women Give Obama An Edge Over Romney, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds Likely Voters Pick President To Win Debate 2-1

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An 18 point lead among women puts President Barack Obama ahead of Gov. Mitt Romney 49 - 45 percent among likely voters nationwide, and voters expect 54 - 28 percent that the president will win the debates, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

The president leads 56 - 38 percent among women and 94 - 2 percent among black voters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Men back Romney 52 - 42 percent while white voters back the Republican 53 - 42 percent.

Independent voters are divided with 47 percent for Romney and 45 percent for Obama.

American likely voters say 60 - 25 percent that the federal government would make progress addressing the nation's problems if one party controls the White House, the Senate and the House of Representatives.

Voters dislike the Democratic Party less than they dislike the Republican Party, giving the Democrats a negative 45 - 49 percent favorability rating, compared to a negative 41 - 52 percent for the Republicans.

"President Barack Obama won only about 43 percent of the white vote in 2008, so his current standing among whites tracks his earlier winning performance," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "If the president can match or exceed his 2008 showing among whites it will be difficult to impossible for Romney to win.

"It is also very difficult to win an election when you are getting shellacked among women, the group that makes up about half the electorate."

"Historically, voters have preferred divided government in the belief that one side can keep the other in line, but these numbers may indicate that the public is fed up with gridlock in Washington," said Brown.

The economy is the most important issue in this election, 50 percent of American likely voters say, while 17 percent list health care, followed by 13 percent who cite the budget deficit and 7 percent who point to national security.

The candidates are even on who would do a better job on the economy, with 48 percent of voters betting on Obama and 47 percent picking Romney.

Romney would do a better job on the budget deficit, voters say 52 - 42 percent.

Obama leads on every other issue: 50 - 45 percent on health care, 50 - 44 percent on national security, 52 - 43 percent on handling an international crisis.

If they or a family member were at risk of violence in a foreign country, American likely voters say 50 - 45 percent they would want Obama in the White House.

"Some critical keys to the president's lead are that Romney has not convinced voters that he would do a better job on the economy," Brown said. "Romney is more trusted to address the budget deficit, but Obama is the choice to handle other major problems - and the go-to guy if you or a family member is in danger overseas."

Obama cares about their needs and problems, voters say 60 - 38 percent. Romney doesn't care, voters say 51 - 46 percent.

Among likely voters, 93 percent say they plan to watch the presidential debates, but 86 percent say they do not expect the candidates to say anything that would change their mind.

"Voters clearly are interested in the debates but skeptical that the events will make them reconsider their voting preference," said Brown.

"The best news for Romney going into the debates is that voters have very low expectations for him and therefore the bar for him to change some minds is set lower than it is for the president."

From September 25 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,912 likely voters nationwide, with margin of error of +/- 2.2 percent. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For individual statewide crosstabs and trends visit - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2881.xml or call (203) 582-5201.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
                                                                         
Obama                49%     7%    94%    45%    42%    56%    42%    94%
Romney               45     91      5     47     52     38     53      2 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      -      4      3      1      2      1 
DK/NA                 4      2      2      5      3      5      3      3 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                50%    36%    32%    36%    35%    49%    18%    43%
Romney               45     57     63     60     59     46     77     53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      2      1      3      1      2      1
DK/NA                 3      4      4      4      3      4      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                54%    46%    56%    49%    48%    48%    62%    49%    46%
Romney               41     48     37     44     48     49     30     46     51
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      3      3      2      2      6      2      1
DK/NA                 3      4      4      3      3      1      3      3      3
 
 
1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1
                     Tot    Obama  Romney
 
Mind made up         95%    94%    95%
Might change          5      5      4 
DK/NA                 1      -      1 
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
                                                                         
Favorable            45%    88%     6%    46%    51%    38%    52%     5%
Unfavorable          48      7     88     45     42     55     42     83  
Hvn't hrd enough      5      3      5      7      5      5      4     10  
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      2      2      2      2 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            48%    55%    62%    57%    58%    46%    74%    53%
Unfavorable          47     38     32     36     36     49     20     40
Hvn't hrd enough      3      5      4      6      5      4      4      5
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      2      2      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            43%    46%    35%    45%    48%    48%    32%    44%    50%
Unfavorable          51     46     57     47     46     48     61     48     44
Hvn't hrd enough      4      6      7      7      5      2      6      6      5
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      1      2      1      2      2
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk 
                                                                          
Favorable            50%     7%    94%    46%    43%    57%    42%    96% 
Unfavorable          47     90      5     49     54     40     55      4  
Hvn't hrd enough      1      1      -      2      1      1      1      -  
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      2      2      2      -  
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            51%    37%    33%    37%    36%    50%    18%    44%
Unfavorable          47     59     63     60     61     47     78     54
Hvn't hrd enough      1      1      1      1      1      1      2      1
REFUSED               2      2      2      2      2      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            54%    47%    57%    49%    48%    48%    63%    49%    46%
Unfavorable          43     49     39     47     50     50     34     47     51
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      2      3      1      -      2      1      1
REFUSED               2      2      3      1      1      3      -      3      2
 
 
4. (If Obama q1) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     OBAMA Q1.........
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Strongly favor       74%    68%    79%
Like/Reservations    21     25     17 
Dislike Romney        5      6      4 
DK/NA                 -      -      - 
 
 
5. (If Romney q1) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     ROMNEY Q1........
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Strongly favor       60%    57%    65%
Like/Reservations    21     22     20 
Dislike Obama        17     20     12 
DK/NA                 2      1      2 
 
 
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   
                                                                            
Approve              48%     7%    93%    44%    42%    55%    41%    94%   
Disapprove           49     92      5     52     56     41     56      4    
DK/NA                 3      1      2      5      3      4      3      2    
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              48%    36%    33%    36%    34%    48%    19%    43%
Disapprove           48     61     64     61     63     48     78     55
DK/NA                 4      3      3      3      3      4      3      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              52%    47%    55%    48%    46%    47%    60%    48%    45%
Disapprove           44     51     41     47     52     51     36     50     52
DK/NA                 4      3      4      4      1      2      4      2      3
 
 
7. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied        9%     4%    19%     6%     8%    10%     6%    30%
Smwht satisfied      28      4     53     26     24     33     25     48
Smwht dissatisfied   18     14     18     23     18     18     19     18
Very dissatisfied    43     77      9     45     48     38     49      4
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      1      1      1      -
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied        5%     6%     4%     7%     4%     7%     4%     7%
Smwht satisfied      32     21     20     23     21     29      9     26
Smwht dissatisfied   21     18     18     17     19     20     15     20
Very dissatisfied    41     53     57     52     54     43     71     46
DK/NA                 1      1      2      -      2      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very satisfied        5%    11%    11%    10%     8%     6%    11%     9%     9%
Smwht satisfied      34     25     32     27     28     30     38     27     26
Smwht dissatisfied   20     17     18     20     19     19     26     19     15
Very dissatisfied    40     45     38     42     45     44     24     44     49
DK/NA                 1      1      2      2      -      1      1      1      1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            41%    89%     5%    38%    45%    37%    47%     8%
Unfavorable          52      9     90     53     49     55     47     85
Hvn't hrd enough      4      1      4      4      3      5      3      5
REFUSED               3      1      1      4      3      3      3      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            41%    52%    55%    56%    52%    43%    68%    49%
Unfavorable          55     42     37     39     43     51     24     46
Hvn't hrd enough      1      4      3      3      2      3      4      3
REFUSED               2      3      4      2      3      2      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            38%    44%    34%    41%    45%    43%    31%    41%    45%
Unfavorable          56     49     59     51     51     52     63     53     49
Hvn't hrd enough      4      4      6      4      3      2      5      3      3
REFUSED               2      3      2      3      2      3      2      3      3
 
 
9. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            45%     7%    91%    37%    38%    52%    38%    88%
Unfavorable          49     89      7     53     56     42     56      9
Hvn't hrd enough      3      3      1      4      3      3      2      2
REFUSED               3      1      1      5      3      3      3      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            45%    34%    31%    34%    31%    46%    18%    40%
Unfavorable          50     61     64     62     63     49     79     56
Hvn't hrd enough      2      3      1      2      2      2      2      2
REFUSED               3      3      4      2      3      3      2      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            48%    43%    52%    45%    43%    43%    50%    43%    45%
Unfavorable          46     51     41     51     53     50     44     50     50
Hvn't hrd enough      3      3      3      2      3      2      5      3      2
REFUSED               3      3      4      2      1      4      2      4      3
 
 
10. Thinking about the major problems facing this country today do you think Washington is more likely to make progress on them after the 2012 election if one party controls the White House, the Senate and the House of Representatives, or if control of the White House, the Senate, and the House and Representatives is divided between the parties?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
One party controls   60%    68%    61%    57%    64%    56%    63%    50%
Control divided      25     20     26     25     23     27     23     31
DK/NA                15     12     13     17     13     17     14     20
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
One party controls   68%    59%    62%    62%    66%    58%    61%    61%
Control divided      20     25     24     25     21     26     24     27
DK/NA                12     16     14     12     13     16     15     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
One party controls   67%    56%    50%    63%    64%    68%    57%    62%    61%
Control divided      22     27     32     24     23     24     30     25     22
DK/NA                11     17     19     14     12      8     12     13     16
 
 
11. In deciding who you would like to see elected President this year, which one of the following issues will be most important to you, national security, the economy, health care, the budget deficit, taxes, immigration, or something else?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
National security     7%     8%     3%     7%     6%     7%     7%     3%
The economy          50     55     47     49     53     47     51     45
Health care          17      7     30     14     14     20     15     33
The budget deficit   13     17      5     17     15     10     14      5
Taxes                 3      2      6      1      2      4      3      7
Immigration           1      2      -      1      1      2      1      -
Something else        7      6      7      7      7      7      7      2
DK/NA                 2      3      2      2      1      3      2      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
National security     5%     8%     8%     7%     6%     7%     8%     7%
The economy          52     51     48     57     55     48     49     54
Health care          15     16     14     14     11     20     12     14
The budget deficit   16     12     18     10     16     11     19     12
Taxes                 3      3      3      2      2      3      2      4
Immigration           1      1      1      2      -      2      1      1
Something else        8      7      6      7      8      6      8      5
DK/NA                 1      2      2      2      1      3      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
National security     5%     8%     7%     7%     6%     4%     7%     6%     7%
The economy          52     49     42     53     54     55     45     53     50
Health care          15     19     27     17     13     12     19     14     20
The budget deficit   15     12     10     11     13     16     13     13     13
Taxes                 3      3      4      4      3      3      3      3      3
Immigration           1      1      1      2      2      -      1      1      1
Something else        8      6      8      4      7      8     13      8      5
DK/NA                 2      2      2      2      1      1      -      2      3
 
 
12. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More                 44%    55%    41%    39%    47%    41%    42%    58%
Less                 14     12     10     20     13     16     15     11
About the same       41     33     49     40     39     43     43     31
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      -      1      -
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More                 38%    44%    42%    45%    46%    38%    48%    41%
Less                 15     14     16     13     14     16     17     13
About the same       46     41     41     42     40     46     35     45
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      1      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More                 38%    47%    45%    48%    42%    39%    41%    45%    44%
Less                 16     14     15     14     15     15     16     15     14
About the same       45     39     39     38     43     45     41     40     42
DK/NA                 -      1      1      -      -      1      1      1      -
 
 
13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                48%     6%    92%    43%    42%    54%    40%    93%
Romney               47     91      4     51     54     40     55      2
DK/NA                 5      2      3      7      4      7      5      5
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                48%    35%    31%    35%    35%    46%    17%    40%
Romney               48     59     64     61     61     48     79     55
DK/NA                 4      6      5      4      4      6      4      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                52%    45%    56%    47%    46%    47%    60%    47%    44%
Romney               44     49     37     50     49     51     34     48     51
DK/NA                 4      6      8      3      5      2      5      5      5
 
 
14. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                50%     8%    93%    48%    45%    56%    44%    93%
Romney               45     88      4     46     50     39     51      6
DK/NA                 5      4      2      6      5      5      5      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                52%    39%    34%    38%    38%    50%    19%    44%
Romney               44     55     60     58     56     45     75     52
DK/NA                 4      6      6      4      6      5      6      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                55%    48%    59%    51%    48%    49%    67%    50%    46%
Romney               41     47     35     44     50     48     30     47     48
DK/NA                 4      5      7      5      3      3      3      3      5
 
 
15. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - national security, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                50%     7%    92%    48%    43%    57%    43%    91%
Romney               44     87      4     46     51     37     51      3
DK/NA                 6      6      4      6      6      6      6      5
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                51%    38%    33%    39%    37%    50%    21%    43%
Romney               44     56     61     58     58     44     72     53
DK/NA                 5      6      7      4      6      6      7      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                54%    48%    60%    50%    47%    49%    63%    51%    46%
Romney               40     47     33     46     48     48     32     44     48
DK/NA                 5      6      7      4      5      3      5      5      5
 
 
16. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling an international crisis, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                52%    11%    94%    49%    46%    59%    46%    93%
Romney               43     84      4     45     50     35     50      3
DK/NA                 5      5      2      6      5      5      5      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                54%    41%    35%    41%    39%    53%    21%    47%
Romney               43     54     59     56     56     42     74     49
DK/NA                 4      5      6      3      4      5      5      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                57%    50%    60%    52%    52%    51%    71%    50%    48%
Romney               39     45     34     43     46     46     25     45     47
DK/NA                 4      5      6      5      2      3      4      5      4
 
 
17. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                42%     5%    83%    38%    37%    48%    35%    87%
Romney               52     92     11     56     58     45     59     10
DK/NA                 6      3      6      6      5      7      6      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                42%    31%    25%    32%    30%    41%    15%    35%
Romney               54     62     68     63     65     53     80     60
DK/NA                 4      7      7      4      5      7      5      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                44%    41%    50%    41%    41%    40%    54%    41%    40%
Romney               51     53     40     53     56     56     42     54     54
DK/NA                 5      6      9      5      3      4      4      5      6
 
 
18. If you or a family member were at risk of violence in a foreign country, who would you want in the White House Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                50%     7%    93%    46%    44%    56%    43%    90%
Romney               45     90      3     46     51     38     52      4
DK/NA                 6      3      3      8      6      6      6      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                49%    39%    34%    36%    37%    49%    20%    43%
Romney               45     56     60     60     58     45     75     53
DK/NA                 6      6      7      4      6      6      6      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                53%    48%    59%    50%    47%    47%    64%    49%    47%
Romney               41     47     33     46     49     49     32     46     48
DK/NA                 6      5      8      4      3      4      4      5      5
 
 
19. Would you say that - Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  60%    23%    94%    58%    55%    64%    54%    94%
No                   38     73      4     40     43     34     44      5
DK/NA                 2      3      1      2      2      2      2      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  64%    47%    47%    49%    49%    58%    35%    55%
No                   34     51     51     49     48     40     62     44
DK/NA                 2      2      2      2      2      2      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  65%    56%    64%    59%    59%    62%    68%    62%    55%
No                   32     42     33     39     39     37     30     36     43
DK/NA                 3      2      2      1      2      1      1      2      2
 
 
20. Would you say that - Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  46%    85%    11%    47%    50%    41%    53%     5%
No                   51      9     86     51     46     56     44     90
DK/NA                 3      5      3      2      3      3      3      5
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  49%    54%    62%    60%    57%    48%    77%    53%
No                   48     42     35     38     40     50     20     45
DK/NA                 2      4      4      2      3      3      3      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  46%    46%    34%    44%    50%    53%    33%    46%    50%
No                   52     50     63     53     48     46     65     51     46
DK/NA                 3      4      4      3      3      2      2      3      4
 
 
21. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Excellent             -      -      1%     1%     -      1%     -      2%
Good                 17      5     31     17     17     18     13     39
Not so good          38     22     56     36     35     42     37     49
Poor                 43     73     12     46     47     40     49      9
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Excellent             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Good                 16     12     10     11     13     14      7     13
Not so good          44     33     36     37     34     40     27     40
Poor                 40     55     54     51     53     45     66     47
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Excellent             -      1%     -      -      -      -      1%     -      -
Good                 18     17     21     16     18     17     20     17     16
Not so good          43     36     35     41     38     42     51     37     36
Poor                 39     46     44     43     44     41     27     46     47
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1
 
 
22. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Better               39%     7%    75%    36%    37%    42%    33%    79%
Worse                34     62      7     35     35     33     39      6
The same             26     30     18     29     27     24     28     15
DK/NA                 1      -      -      -      -      1      -      -
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Better               41%    28%    25%    29%    31%    36%    14%    35%
Worse                29     45     47     39     40     38     60     36
The same             30     26     28     30     29     26     26     28
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      -      1      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Better               44%    37%    40%    41%    39%    41%    48%    39%    37%
Worse                28     38     34     35     33     32     22     36     37
The same             28     25     25     24     28     26     30     25     25
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      1
 
 
23. Compared with four years ago, is the United States better off today, worse off today, or about the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Better off           40%     7%    75%    36%    35%    44%    34%    76%
Worse off            45     85      7     47     49     40     51      5
About the same       15      8     17     16     15     15     15     17
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      1      -      -      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Better off           43%    28%    24%    28%    30%    38%    14%    32%
Worse off            44     55     59     59     55     46     73     51
About the same       12     17     17     13     15     15     13     16
DK/NA                 1      -      -      -      -      1      1      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Better off           46%    36%    42%    39%    38%    44%    53%    38%    36%
Worse off            41     47     38     45     47     47     27     48     49
About the same       12     17     21     15     15      8     20     13     15
DK/NA                 1      -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -
 
 
24. Compared with four years ago, are you and your family better off today, worse off today, or about the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Better off           25%     6%    40%    26%    23%    27%    20%    50%
Worse off            34     55     11     37     36     32     38      6
About the same       41     39     47     37     41     40     41     43
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      1      1      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Better off           25%    17%    15%    16%    19%    22%    11%    19%
Worse off            28     45     43     41     40     36     51     38
About the same       46     37     41     42     41     40     38     42
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      -      1      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Better off           28%    23%    19%    23%    26%    33%    43%    26%    18%
Worse off            27     38     39     35     33     26     24     34     37
About the same       44     39     40     41     41     41     32     39     45
DK/NA                 -      1      1      -      -      -      1      -      -
 
 
25. If Barack Obama is reelected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Help                 28%     4%    58%    23%    24%    32%    21%    72%
Hurt                 41     77      6     42     46     35     47      3
No difference        30     17     34     33     29     31     30     25
DK/NA                 2      2      2      2      2      2      2      -
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Help                 23%    20%    18%    19%    16%    26%    10%    23%
Hurt                 42     50     55     52     53     40     66     47
No difference        34     28     25     27     29     31     20     29
DK/NA                 1      3      3      2      2      3      4      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Help                 25%    29%    38%    28%    28%    19%    34%    30%    24%
Hurt                 38     42     32     40     43     46     29     44     43
No difference        35     26     29     29     28     34     37     25     31
DK/NA                 1      2      1      2      2      1      1      1      3
 
 
26. If Mitt Romney is elected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Help                 35%    70%     6%    36%    40%    30%    39%     2%
Hurt                 33      4     66     28     30     37     28     64
No difference        29     23     25     34     28     29     29     32
DK/NA                 3      3      3      3      3      4      3      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Help                 35%    42%    45%    46%    44%    34%    51%    42%
Hurt                 33     25     22     25     25     32     13     29
No difference        30     28     29     27     28     30     32     26
DK/NA                 2      4      4      2      3      4      4      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Help                 33%    36%    26%    36%    34%    46%    21%    37%    38%
Hurt                 35     32     40     34     35     26     36     32     34
No difference        30     28     30     27     28     28     41     27     25
DK/NA                 2      4      4      3      3      1      1      4      3
 
 
27. If Barack Obama is re-elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favor the rich        9%    12%     3%    10%    10%     8%    11%     4%
Favor middle class   27      8     48     26     25     30     24     42
Favor the poor       31     59      7     33     35     26     34     10
Treat all the same   26     11     39     23     22     29     23     41
DK/NA                 7     11      2      7      7      7      8      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favor the rich        5%    14%    11%     8%    11%    10%    14%    10%
Favor middle class   31     20     21     22     21     28     13     24
Favor the poor       35     34     37     42     39     29     42     37
Treat all the same   23     24     20     21     20     26     18     22
DK/NA                 6      8     11      7      8      7     13      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favor the rich        6%    11%    12%    13%     7%     6%     9%     9%    10%
Favor middle class   33     24     28     26     28     29     35     29     24
Favor the poor       32     30     19     30     35     37     29     31     32
Treat all the same   23     27     35     23     24     21     27     25     26
DK/NA                 6      8      6      8      6      7      1      7      8
 
 
28. If Mitt Romney is elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favor the rich       55%    14%    93%    54%    51%    60%    50%    91%
Favor middle class    9     20      1      7      9      8     10      2
Favor the poor        1      -      -      1      1      -      1      -
Treat all the same   33     62      4     36     36     29     37      5
DK/NA                 3      3      1      3      3      2      3      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favor the rich       55%    46%    38%    44%    46%    54%    25%    50%
Favor middle class   10      9     10     13      9     10     14      9
Favor the poor        -      1      -      1      1      -      3      -
Treat all the same   32     41     47     40     41     34     53     39
DK/NA                 2      3      4      2      3      2      5      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favor the rich       59%    53%    64%    55%    53%    54%    71%    56%    50%
Favor middle class   10      8      7      8     10     10     11      8      9
Favor the poor        -      1      3      -      1      -      3      1      -
Treat all the same   29     35     23     34     34     35     14     33     38
DK/NA                 2      3      3      3      2      2      1      3      3
 
 
29. Who do you blame more for the current condition of the U.S. economy, former President George W. Bush or President Barack Obama?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Bush                 50%    10%    91%    47%    44%    57%    45%    88%
Obama                42     80      6     44     47     36     47      7
DK/NA                 8     10      4      9      9      8      8      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bush                 51%    41%    34%    40%    38%    52%    22%    45%
Obama                40     51     56     50     53     41     66     48
DK/NA                 9      8     10     10      9      7     11      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Bush                 54%    48%    58%    53%    47%    49%    55%    49%    49%
Obama                37     44     35     41     43     44     32     42     45
DK/NA                 8      8      7      6      9      8     13      9      6
 
 
30. Which comes closer to your view, Government should do more to solve national problems or government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals.
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Should do more       40%    14%    70%    38%    37%    44%    37%    65%
Doing too much       52     83     22     56     58     47     57     23
DK/NA                 7      4      9      6      5      9      6     11
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Should do more       43%    33%    29%    27%    33%    41%    21%    34%
Doing too much       51     61     65     69     61     53     74     61
DK/NA                 6      6      6      4      5      7      5      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Should do more       46%    38%    45%    40%    41%    40%    58%    38%    37%
Doing too much       47     56     45     54     54     56     40     56     54
DK/NA                 7      7     10      5      5      4      2      6      9
 
 
31. Do you plan on watching any of the upcoming presidential debates between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  93%    92%    95%    94%    93%    93%    92%    99%
No                    6      5      4      6      6      5      6      1
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  94%    92%    92%    95%    92%    93%    92%    94%
No                    5      7      6      5      7      5      7      5
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      1      2      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  94%    93%    94%    91%    93%    95%    97%    93%    91%
No                    5      6      5      8      6      3      3      7      6
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      1      -      -      2
 
 
32. Do you think the candidates are likely to do or say anything during the debates that would make you change your mind about who to vote for?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  11%     6%     9%    16%    10%    12%     9%    14%
No                   86     92     89     81     87     85     88     83
DK/NA                 3      2      2      3      3      3      3      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  11%     9%     9%    10%     9%    10%     8%    10%
No                   87     88     88     87     89     87     90     87
DK/NA                 2      3      3      3      3      3      2      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  13%    10%     9%    12%    11%    11%    14%    13%     8%
No                   85     86     85     86     86     88     84     84     89
DK/NA                 2      3      5      2      3      1      2      3      3
 
 
33. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will win the debates, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                54%    20%    87%    52%    49%    59%    49%    88%
Romney               28     59      2     28     32     23     33      3
DK/NA                18     21     11     20     19     18     19     10
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                53%    46%    42%    43%    44%    54%    31%    49%
Romney               29     35     36     39     37     28     46     34
DK/NA                19     19     22     18     19     18     24     17
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                56%    53%    64%    53%    52%    53%    74%    54%    48%
Romney               26     29     18     27     31     34     21     32     27
DK/NA                18     18     19     20     17     13      5     14     25
 

Demographic Summary