April 4, 2013 - Background Checks Could Lead To Gun Confiscation, Many Voters Tell Quinnipiac University National Poll; But 91 Percent Want Universal Gun Checks

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American voters say 48 - 38 percent that the government could use the information from universal background checks to confiscate legally-owned guns, but voters still support universal gun background checks 91 - 8 percent, including 88 - 11 percent among voters in households with guns, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Gun owners believe 53 - 34 percent that universal background checks could lead to confiscation of legal guns, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Support for same-sex marriage has reached a 50 percent milestone, with American voters in favor 50 - 41 percent, compared to 47 - 43 percent in a March 8 Quinnipiac University survey and a dramatic shift in public attitudes on the subject from July, 2008, when voters opposed such unions 55 - 36 percent.

Voters say 56 - 36 percent that the legality of same-sex marriage should be based on the U.S. Constitution rather than on laws in each state.

American voters are strongly opposed, 70 - 28 percent, to New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg's plan to limit the size of sugary soft drinks to 16 ounces. Voters do support 59 - 39 percent Bloomberg's idea to require stores to keep cigarettes out of public sight to discourage smoking by young people.

"In every Quinnipiac University poll since the Newtown massacre, nationally and in six states, we find overwhelming support, including among gun owners, for universal background checks," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "American voters agree with the National Rifle Association, however, that these background checks could lead someday to confiscation of legally-owned guns."

"The question is how many of these voters fear confiscation as an abuse of government power and how many are hoping the government uses confiscation to get more guns off the street," Brown added.

Expecting gun confiscation are Republicans 61 - 25 percent and independent voters 51 - 36 percent, while Democrats say 54 - 32 percent there will not be confiscation. Men say confiscation is likely 52 - 37 percent and women agree 45 - 38 percent.

Health Care Reform

Americans voters disapprove 46 - 41 percent of "ObamaCare," the 2010 health care reform act, and say 37 - 15 percent the health care law will hurt rather than help them personally. Another 41 percent say the law won't affect them.

Increasing the number of people in their state eligible for Medicaid is a good idea, voters say 48 - 41 percent. Democrats say good idea 71 - 19 percent while Republicans say bad idea 65 - 24 percent, with independent voters divided 45 - 44 percent.

Immigration

Illegal immigrants should be allowed to stay in the U.S. and eventually apply for citizenship, 59 percent of voters say, while 11 percent say they should be allowed to stay, but not apply for citizenship, and 25 percent say they should be required to leave the U.S.

Opposition to Bloomberg's proposed "Big Gulp Ban" is strong among all groups, except Hispanic voters who are divided 48 - 50 percent.

Support for the hidden cigarette proposal is small among some groups, but no group is opposed. There is a large gender gap as men are divided, with 50 percent in favor and 47 percent opposed, while women support it 66 - 32 percent. Voters 18 to 34 years old support the idea 70 - 28 percent with support dropping to 57 - 41 percent among voters over 55 years old.

"Mayor Michael Bloomberg gets one win and one big loss in his latest public health initiatives," said Brown.

From March 26 - April 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,711 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

21. Do you support or oppose - stricter gun control laws in the United States?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              53%    29%    78%    52%    45%    61%    48%    78%    65%
Oppose               42     67     19     44     51     35     47     19     30
DK/NA                 4      4      3      5      4      5      4      3      5
 
                     REGION...................   DENSITY............ HAVE KIDS..
                     NEast  MWest  South  West   Urban  Suburb Rural <18InPubSch
 
Support              58%    51%    51%    55%    59%    56%    42%    51%    52%
Oppose               37     46     44     41     37     39     55     43     42
DK/NA                 5      3      5      4      4      5      3      6      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......  Gun
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+  HsHld
 
Support              60%    50%    54%    50%    60%    49%    53%    57%    35%
Oppose               36     45     42     46     36     48     43     38     61
DK/NA                 4      4      4      4      3      3      4      5      3
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose stricter gun control laws in the United States?
                     Apr 04  Mar 07  Feb 07  Jul 17
                     2013    2013    2013    2008
 
Support              53      51      52      54
Oppose               42      42      43      40
DK/NA                 4       7       5       5
 
 
22. Do you support or oppose - a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              59%    41%    79%    56%    47%    70%    56%    78%    61%
Oppose               36     55     15     41     50     24     40     17     29
DK/NA                 4      4      6      3      2      6      3      5     10
 
                     REGION...................   DENSITY............ HAVE KIDS..
                     NEast  MWest  South  West   Urban  Suburb Rural <18InPubSch
 
Support              64%    56%    60%    58%    62%    63%    52%    57%    54%
Oppose               31     42     36     36     34     32     44     37     39
DK/NA                 5      2      4      7      4      5      4      6      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......  Gun
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+  HsHld
 
Support              65%    57%    62%    55%    61%    56%    57%    64%    46%
Oppose               32     38     34     40     37     38     40     32     50
DK/NA                 3      5      4      4      2      5      3      4      4
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons?
                     Apr 04  Mar 07  Feb 07
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Support              59      54      56
Oppose               36      41      39
DK/NA                 4       6       5
 
 
23. Do you support or oppose - a nationwide ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition magazines that hold more than 10 bullets?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              58%    40%    78%    55%    48%    67%    56%    73%    55%
Oppose               38     55     18     42     48     28     39     24     38
DK/NA                 4      5      4      3      3      5      4      3      7
 
                     REGION...................   DENSITY............ HAVE KIDS..
                     NEast  MWest  South  West   Urban  Suburb Rural <18InPubSch
 
Support              60%    55%    59%    58%    61%    62%    49%    57%    57%
Oppose               34     40     38     38     35     33     47     39     40
DK/NA                 6      5      3      4      4      5      4      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......  Gun
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+  HsHld
 
Support              66%    54%    59%    58%    62%    52%    58%    62%    46%
Oppose               31     41     37     39     35     46     37     33     51
DK/NA                 3      5      4      3      3      2      4      5      3
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition magazines that hold more than 10 bullets?
                     Apr 04  Mar 07  Feb 07
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Support              58      54      56
Oppose               38      42      40
DK/NA                 4       5       4
 
 
24. Do you support or oppose - requiring background checks for all gun buyers?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              91%    88%    96%    90%    88%    94%    91%    94%    90%
Oppose                8     10      4      9     12      5      8      5      5
DK/NA                 1      2      -      1      1      2      1      1      5
 
                     REGION...................   DENSITY............ HAVE KIDS..
                     NEast  MWest  South  West   Urban  Suburb Rural <18InPubSch
 
Support              92%    91%    90%    91%    92%    93%    88%    91%    89%
Oppose                7      8      8      8      7      6     11      8     10
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......  Gun
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+  HsHld
 
Support              92%    91%    92%    90%    91%    95%    92%    88%    88%
Oppose                7      8      7     10      8      5      8      9     11
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1      -      -      2      1
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose requiring background checks for all gun buyers?
                     Apr 04  Mar 07  Feb 07
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Support              91      88      92
Oppose                8      10       7
DK/NA                 1       2       1
 
 
25. Do you believe that if there are background checks for all gun purchases the government will or will not use that information in the future to confiscate legally-owned guns?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Confiscate           48%    61%    32%    51%    52%    45%    47%    42%    55%
Will not             38     25     54     36     37     38     39     43     28
DK/NA                14     15     14     13     11     17     14     15     17
 
                     REGION...................   DENSITY............ HAVE KIDS..
                     NEast  MWest  South  West   Urban  Suburb Rural <18InPubSch
 
Confiscate           47%    46%    52%    44%    45%    46%    55%    49%    44%
Will not             38     37     37     40     41     40     31     40     42
DK/NA                14     17     11     16     14     14     14     12     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......  Gun
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+  HsHld
 
Confiscate           36%    53%    52%    48%    39%    58%    47%    43%    53%
Will not             52     31     34     39     52     33     40     41     34
DK/NA                11     15     14     13      9      9     13     16     13
 
 
26. In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              50%    24%    69%    52%    47%    52%    51%    43%    50%
Oppose               41     66     24     39     43     40     41     48     41
DK/NA                 9     10      7      9     10      8      8      9      9
 
                     WHITE..............................................  Q28Gay 
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Fam Or
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  Friend
 
Support              58%    47%    36%    55%    47%    54%    24%    54%    57%
Oppose               34     45     55     38     43     39     70     37     34
DK/NA                 8      8      9      6     10      6      6      9      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              58%    46%    48%    50%    60%    69%    50%    38%
Oppose               33     45     44     41     33     28     41     51
DK/NA                 9      9      8      9      7      2     10     11
 
TREND: In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage?
                     Apr 04  Mar 08  Dec 05  Jul 17
                     2013    2013    2012    2008
 
Support              50      47      48      36
Oppose               41      43      46      55
DK/NA                 9      10       7       9
 
 
27. Do you think each state should make its own law on whether same-sex marriage is legal or illegal there, or do you think this should be decided for all states on the basis of the U.S. Constitution?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
States laws          36%    49%    27%    38%    40%    34%    39%    36%    26%
Constitution         56     45     67     56     52     60     55     56     60
DK/NA                 7      6      6      7      8      7      6      9     14
 
                     WHITE..............................................  Q28Gay
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Fam Or
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  Friend
 
States laws          42%    37%    43%    40%    43%    35%    47%    40%    36%
Constitution         53     57     50     55     49     61     48     53     59
DK/NA                 5      7      7      5      8      4      5      7      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
States laws          39%    35%    35%    37%    37%    35%    35%    39%
Constitution         56     56     57     57     58     63     58     50
DK/NA                 5      8      7      6      5      2      7     11
 
 
28. Do you have close friends or close relatives who are gay or lesbian?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  65%    61%    64%    68%    60%    70%    66%    60%    67%
No                   33     38     35     29     38     29     32     40     33
DK/NA                 2      1      2      3      2      1      2      1      -
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   
 
Yes                  72%    63%    64%    64%    59%    72%    62%    66%    
No                   27     35     35     34     39     27     36     32     
DK/NA                 1      2      1      2      2      1      1      2     
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  71%    63%    61%    70%    70%    71%    70%    57%
No                   28     36     37     29     28     28     29     40
DK/NA                 2      2      2      1      1      -      1      2
 
TREND: Do you have close friends or close relatives who are gay or lesbian?
                     Apr 04  Apr 30
                     2013    2009
 
Yes                  65      63
No                   33      34
DK/NA                 2       3
 
 
29. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for US citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S.
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
A) Stay/Citizenship  59%    47%    73%    54%    56%    62%    55%    73%    72%
B) Stay/Not citizen  11     10      9     14     12     10     11     12     10
C) Not stay          25     36     13     27     27     22     28      9     13
DK/NA                 5      7      5      4      5      6      5      5      5
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   
 
A) Stay/Citizenship  65%    51%    51%    57%    53%    58%    48%    54%    
B) Stay/Not citizen  12     11     13     11     12     10     11     13     
C) Not stay          18     33     30     28     31     26     36     27     
DK/NA                 5      5      6      3      4      6      6      5     
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
A) Stay/Citizenship  66%    56%    61%    57%    60%    66%    55%    58%
B) Stay/Not citizen  12     11     10     10     16      9     12     12
C) Not stay          18     28     24     27     21     23     29     23
DK/NA                 4      6      5      6      3      2      4      7
 
TREND: Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for US citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S.
                     Apr 04  Feb 07  Dec 05
                     2013    2013    2012
 
A)Stay/Citizenship   59      56      57
B)Stay/Not citizen   11      10      11
C)Not stay           25      30      26
DK/NA                 5       4       5
 
 
39. From what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of the health care law that was enacted in 2010? IF APPROVE: Do you strongly approve or somewhat approve? IF DISAPPROVE: Do you somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Strongly approve     21%     3%    42%    17%    20%    22%    15%    50%    20%
Somewhat approve     20      5     30     21     18     22     19     24     32
Somewhat disapprove  11     14      7     14     12     10     13      3      6
Strongly disapprove  35     71      7     33     41     29     41      7     22
DK/NA                12      7     14     15      8     16     11     15     19
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   
 
Strongly approve     21%    13%    10%    14%    15%    16%     5%    16%  
Somewhat approve     24     17     16     19     19     19     10     22   
Somewhat disapprove  10     14     14     11     14     12     15     13   
Strongly disapprove  38     43     51     45     45     38     60     39   
DK/NA                 7     13      9     11      7     15     10     10   
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Strongly approve     24%    20%    21%    22%    25%    24%    20%    22%
Somewhat approve     26     18     21     21     21     29     21     14
Somewhat disapprove  10     12     12     12     11     16     10     10
Strongly disapprove  33     35     29     38     36     22     37     39
DK/NA                 7     15     16      7      7      9     12     15
 
 
40. From what you've heard or read, do you think the 2010 health care law will mostly help you personally, will mostly hurt you personally, or don't you think it will have much of an effect on you personally?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Help                 15%     3%    27%    15%    14%    17%    11%    32%    25%
Hurt                 37     68     11     37     40     35     43     11     29
No effect            41     25     55     42     43     40     40     50     30
DK/NA                 7      5      6      7      4      9      5      7     15
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   
 
Help                 10%    12%     6%     9%    11%    12%     5%    10%    
Hurt                 41     44     50     47     43     43     60     40     
No effect            47     37     37     41     42     39     28     44     
DK/NA                 3      7      7      4      4      7      7      5     
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Help                 13%    16%    18%    15%    10%    26%    13%    12%
Hurt                 35     38     33     41     39     27     41     38
No effect            49     38     41     41     46     42     41     40
DK/NA                 3      8      9      3      5      4      5      9
 
 
41. As you may know Medicaid is a government program that pays for health care for low-income people and others with certain disabilities. Do you think that increasing the number of people eligible for Medicaid coverage in your state is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Good idea            48%    24%    71%    45%    47%    49%    41%    77%    59%
Bad idea             41     65     19     44     44     39     47     14     35
DK/NA                11     10     10     11      9     12     11     10      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   
 
Good idea            43%    40%    32%    39%    42%    41%    30%    38%    
Bad idea             45     49     54     52     49     46     55     51     
DK/NA                12     11     14      8     10     13     15     11      
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            49%    48%    56%    42%    44%    62%    47%    43%
Bad idea             40     42     35     48     47     35     44     42
DK/NA                11     10      9     11      9      4      9     15
 
 
42. As you may know, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has a plan to ban large servings of soda and sugary drinks in an effort to help fight obesity in New York City. Bloomberg's proposal would prohibit the sale of soda and other sweetened drinks in containers larger than 16 ounces that are sold in places regulated by the city's health department like restaurants, movie theaters, and food carts. Would you support or oppose Bloomberg's plan for your town or city?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              28%    18%    41%    24%    24%    32%    24%    37%    48%
Oppose               70     81     57     74     75     66     74     62     50
DK/NA                 2      1      2      2      2      2      2      1      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................    Have
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv    Kids
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No    <18
 
Support              26%    23%    23%    23%    22%    26%    20%    25%    28%
Oppose               72     75     75     75     77     72     79     74     71
DK/NA                 2      2      1      2      2      2      1      1      1                      
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              29%    28%    33%    24%    26%    38%    25%    26%
Oppose               69     70     65     75     73     61     74     72
DK/NA                 2      2      2      2      1      1      1      2
 
 
43. As you may know, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has proposed that stores be required to keep cigarettes out of sight to discourage young people from smoking in New York City. Would you support or oppose Bloomberg's proposal for your town or city?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              59%    50%    68%    59%    50%    66%    56%    72%    69%
Oppose               39     47     29     39     47     32     42     27     30
DK/NA                 2      3      2      2      2      2      2      1      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................    Have
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv    Kids
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No    <18
 
Support              63%    52%    58%    52%    48%    63%    55%    56%    63%
Oppose               34     45     40     45     49     35     43     42     35
DK/NA                 3      2      2      3      3      2      2      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              63%    57%    62%    57%    61%    70%    54%    57%
Oppose               34     41     36     41     37     28     43     41
DK/NA                 3      2      2      2      2      1      2      2
 
 

Demographic Summary