May 1, 2013 - Obama, Dems Hope To Avoid 6-Year Jinx In 2014, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Voters Like Dems On Health Care, GOP On Deficit

PDF format

Eighteen months before the 2014 elections, American voters, by a slim margin, say they are more likely to vote Democratic than Republican for Congress, which would violate the historical model of the president's party losing ground in the sixth year of a presidency, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

If elections for Congress were held today, 41 percent of voters say they would vote Democratic for Congress and 37 percent say they would vote Republican, continuing a trend that began after an April 19, 2012, survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Democrats at 40 percent and Republicans at 39 percent.

By small margins, voters trust Democrats on Capitol Hill more than Republicans to handle health care, while they prefer the Republicans on the budget deficit and gun policy, and they see the two about the same on the economy and immigration.

Voters say 48 - 43 percent they would like one party to control both houses of Congress and the White House, which would be the case if the Democrats take the U.S. House and retain the U.S. Senate in next year's elections. Democrats want complete control 64 - 30 percent, while Republicans are for split control 50 - 44 percent. Independent voters favor splitting control 53 - 35 percent

"The 1998 elections, during President Bill Clinton's second term, is the last recent exception to the rule that the sixth year of a president's term in office produces electoral gains for the opposition party," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The Democratic edge in the so-called congressional ballot is small at this point in the cycle, but there has been a consistent Democratic edge for several months."

"The question, of course, is whether that margin will be there in 18 months when voters go to the polls," Brown added. "It is worth noting that in April of 2009, almost exactly four years ago, Democrats held a 41 - 34 percent lead in the generic ballot, according to a Quinnipiac University poll. That probably was influenced by President Barack Obama's 58 - 30 percent approval rating then. Eighteen months later, however, Republicans won a historic landslide, picking up 63 House seats. Nevertheless, being ahead at this point is certainly bringing smiles to Democratic faces given history.

"The Democratic edge in the generic ballot does not seem to be linked to any strong public affection for the president's party. They are down on both groups, just Democrats a bit less," said Brown. "For instance voters say 62 - 33 percent that Republicans don't care about their needs and problems, but say the same thing about Democrats in Congress 54 - 41 percent. They give congressional Republicans a 67 - 24 percent disapproval rating. Democrats receive a 60 - 31 percent disapproval score.

President Barack Obama is not on the 2014 ballot, but his ratings remain relatively stable with the country closely split on his performance. The president has a 48 - 45 percent job approval rating. Voters disapprove of his handling of the economy 53 - 41 percent, gun policy 52 - 41 percent and immigration 50 - 40 percent. The president gets positive grades 47 - 43 percent for foreign policy, 54 - 29 percent for his handling of North Korea, and 55 - 38 percent for his handling of terrorism.

The Democratic edge in the generic ballot is driven by the same gender gap that affects most political measurements. Men are split as 39 percent say they will vote for Republicans in Congress, while 38 percent back Democrats. Women go Democratic 44 - 35 percent. Democrats say they will vote for their party candidate 86 - 2 percent as Republicans stay loyal 86 - 0 percent. Independent voters are divided 31 - 30 percent with 29 percent undecided

From April 25 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,471 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? (* Hispanic subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error)
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Republican           37%    86%     2%    31%    39%    35%    43%     8%    22%
Democratic           41      -     86     30     38     44     33     76     65 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      1      7      4      1      3      -      3 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      1      2      1      1      1      -      - 
DK/NA                19     12     11     29     18     19     19     16      9 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Republican           40%    45%    53%    47%    47%    41%    63%    45%    44%
Democratic           40     30     25     32     28     37     18     33     32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      4      3      2      4      2      4      2      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2      1      1      2      -      1      2
DK/NA                17     21     17     19     19     19     15     19     18
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Republican           35%    37%    32%    40%    43%    26%    39%    38%    40%
Democratic           44     39     46     38     39     44     36     44     39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      3      4      1      4      2      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2      1      -      -      2      2      -
DK/NA                17     19     18     17     17     26     21     14     19
 
TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, or for the Democratic candidate in your district? (*High also 40% Mar 2011, Feb 2012)
                                                             REPUBLICAN....
                                                             High    Low
                     May 01  Apr 03  Jul 11  Apr 19  Feb 22  Jul 11  Nov 02
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2012*   2011
 
Republican           37      35      40      39      40      40      34
Democratic           41      43      43      40      38      43      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2       1       1       2       1       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       2       1       2       2       1       2
DK/NA                19      18      15      17      18      15      19
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
 
Approve              48%    10%    86%    42%    45%    50%    40%    86%    63%
Disapprove           45     83      8     48     48     41     53      7     27
DK/NA                 8      7      7     10      7      8      7      7     10
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              47%    36%    31%    36%    36%    43%    22%    40%    36%
Disapprove           49     55     63     55     57     50     71     53     55
DK/NA                 4      9      5      9      7      7      7      6      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              51%    46%    51%    44%    50%    60%    46%    47%    40%
Disapprove           44     45     40     49     48     28     47     46     54
DK/NA                 5      9     10      7      2     11      7      7      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (*High also 59% Mar 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 01  Apr 03  Mar 07  Feb 08  Dec 06  Jun 04  Oct 06
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2009*   2011
 
Approve              48      49      45      46      53      59      41
Disapprove           45      45      46      45      40      31      55
DK/NA                 8       6       9       9       8      10       4
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Approve              24%    46%    14%    18%    24%    24%    26%    18%    23%
Disapprove           67     46     79     72     69     66     67     68     66 
DK/NA                 8      8      7     11      6     10      8     14     11 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              21%    28%    31%    25%    27%    25%    35%    25%    23%
Disapprove           75     63     60     68     67     66     55     69     70
DK/NA                 5      9      9      7      6      9     10      7      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              19%    27%    25%    23%    23%    30%    27%    22%    21%
Disapprove           76     63     64     70     75     61     66     72     67
DK/NA                 5     10     11      6      3     10      7      7     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (*High also 34% Mar 3, 2011 & Mar 2010, **Low also 19% Nov 2011, Feb 2013)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 01  Apr 03  Mar 07  Feb 08  Dec 06  Mar 31  Apr 03
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2011*   2013**
 
Approve              24      19      20      19      23      34      19
Disapprove           67      71      71      72      69      55      71
DK/NA                 8      10       9       8       8      11      10
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Approve              31%     8%    60%    22%    29%    33%    25%    55%    54%
Disapprove           60     87     31     67     64     58     67     31     42 
DK/NA                 9      5      9     10      8      9      8     14      4 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              25%    24%    20%    20%    23%    26%    16%    23%    23%
Disapprove           70     66     70     74     70     65     74     69     72
DK/NA                 4     10      9      6      7      9     10      8      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              30%    32%    38%    25%    28%    41%    30%    30%    26%
Disapprove           65     58     51     70     69     46     65     63     63
DK/NA                 5     10     11      6      2     13      6      7     11
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (*Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 01  Apr 03  Mar 07  Feb 08  Dec 06  Mar 4   Nov 23
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2009    2011*
 
Approve              31      34      32      33      37      45      24
Disapprove           60      59      60      59      54      45      69
DK/NA                 9       7       8       9       9      10       7
 
 
6. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
 
Very satisfied        2%     -      3%     2%     2%     1%     1%     4%     7%
Smwht satisfied      25     12     45     17     24     26     21     38     34
Smwht dissatisfied   35     31     37     35     35     35     35     41     32
Very dissatisfied    37     55     14     45     38     36     42     14     26
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      2      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Very satisfied        -      1%     1%     1%     2%     -      1%     1%     1%
Smwht satisfied      21     22     18     21     20     23     15     21     18
Smwht dissatisfied   42     32     31     37     36     34     30     36     32
Very dissatisfied    37     45     49     40     42     42     54     42     48
DK/NA                 1      1      -      -      -      1      -      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Very satisfied        1%     2%     2%     1%     1%     1%     1%     2%     2%
Smwht satisfied      24     26     28     25     23     30     25     25     22
Smwht dissatisfied   39     33     35     34     38     43     38     31     32
Very dissatisfied    35     38     34     39     37     25     35     40     43
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      -      1      2      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     May 01  Apr 03  Mar 07  Feb 08  Dec 06  Dec 11  Nov 13
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2001    2008
 
Very satisfied        2       2       2       3       3      21       2
Smwht satisfied      25      28      23      28      32      47      14
Smwht dissatisfied   35      31      28      28      26      19      38
Very dissatisfied    37      38      46      40      38      10      44
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       3       2
 
 
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Approve              41%     7%    78%    34%    38%    43%    35%    70%    53%
Disapprove           53     90     15     59     55     51     60     20     42 
DK/NA                 6      3      6      8      7      6      6     10      6 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              40%    32%    27%    31%    33%    36%    20%    35%    30%
Disapprove           56     61     69     61     61     58     76     59     62
DK/NA                 4      7      4      8      6      5      4      6      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              45%    39%    42%    41%    41%    50%    37%    42%    36%
Disapprove           51     54     51     54     54     44     58     51     57
DK/NA                 4      7      7      5      5      6      5      7      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? (* Low also 32% Sep 2011)
                                                             APPROVE......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 01  Jul 11  Apr 19  Feb 22  Nov 23  Mar 04  Oct 06
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2011    2009    2011*
 
Approve              41      40      38      41      33      57      32
Disapprove           53      55      56      55      61      33      64
DK/NA                 6       4       6       4       6      10       4
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Approve              47%    19%    78%    42%    45%    48%    41%    71%    58%
Disapprove           43     72     14     47     45     41     49     13     36 
DK/NA                10      9      8     11      9     11     10     16      6 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              52%    36%    34%    43%    41%    42%    25%    44%    40%
Disapprove           44     51     58     46     51     47     62     48     51
DK/NA                 4     13      9     12      8     11     13      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              54%    43%    47%    46%    51%    51%    47%    48%    40%
Disapprove           41     44     40     46     45     33     46     43     48
DK/NA                 5     13     12      8      5     16      7      9     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 01  Jul 11  Apr 19  Feb 23  Nov 23  Apr 29  Mar 30
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2011    2009    2011
 
Approve              47      47      44      46      49      57      41
Disapprove           43      44      47      46      42      32      47
DK/NA                10       9       9       8      10      11      12
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - immigration issues?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
 
Approve              40%    11%    71%    34%    40%    40%    34%    71%    54%
Disapprove           50     79     19     55     52     48     56     17     36
DK/NA                10     10     10     12      8     12     10     11      9
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              45%    28%    27%    27%    34%    33%    17%    34%    29%
Disapprove           49     60     65     59     58     55     74     55     64
DK/NA                 7     12      8     14      9     11     10     11      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              47%    37%    42%    36%    43%    52%    40%    40%    30%
Disapprove           46     52     45     57     51     38     51     51     55
DK/NA                 6     12     13      7      6      9      9      9     14
 
 
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation in North Korea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Approve              54%    37%    75%    53%    56%    53%    51%    67%    55%
Disapprove           29     45     11     31     29     28     31     17     30 
DK/NA                17     18     14     16     15     19     18     17     15 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              61%    47%    43%    48%    56%    48%    39%    50%    52%
Disapprove           25     34     39     34     30     32     41     32     33
DK/NA                14     20     19     18     15     20     20     18     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              62%    51%    52%    56%    61%    61%    55%    55%    47%
Disapprove           24     31     31     27     28     25     31     29     30
DK/NA                14     18     17     18     11     14     14     16     24
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - terrorism?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Approve              55%    31%    83%    49%    53%    55%    50%    75%    72%
Disapprove           38     63     10     42     38     38     43     15     25 
DK/NA                 8      6      7      9      8      7      7     10      3 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              57%    46%    42%    55%    50%    50%    40%    51%    48%
Disapprove           38     46     50     38     44     43     54     42     46
DK/NA                 5      8      7      7      6      8      6      7      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              58%    53%    57%    54%    57%    60%    60%    54%    45%
Disapprove           37     38     35     40     40     31     34     41     43
DK/NA                 5      9      8      6      3      9      6      6     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling terrorism? (* Post Bin Laden Death)
                                                     BinLaden
                                                     Death   APPROVE......
                                                     Post    High    Low
                     May 01  Nov 03  Sep 01  Jun 09  May 05  May 05  Jan 13
                     2013    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011*   2010
 
Approve              55      66      57      63      67      67      48
Disapprove           38      28      34      31      27      27      44
DK/NA                 8       6       9       6       7       7       8
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - gun policy?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Approve              41%    15%    71%    34%    34%    47%    36%    67%    51%
Disapprove           52     79     23     57     60     45     58     21     42 
DK/NA                 7      5      7      9      6      8      6     12      7 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              47%    30%    31%    37%    30%    40%    23%    39%    33%
Disapprove           50     62     64     55     66     52     70     55     62
DK/NA                 3      8      5      8      4      8      7      6      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              49%    37%    42%    40%    45%    41%    40%    42%    40%
Disapprove           48     54     49     57     52     50     57     52     50
DK/NA                 3      8      9      3      3      9      3      6     10
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation in Syria?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Approve              37%    18%    59%    35%    38%    37%    34%    53%    46%
Disapprove           35     56     13     39     39     32     39     18     27 
DK/NA                27     26     28     26     23     31     28     28     27 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              42%    29%    29%    30%    38%    30%    26%    33%    34%
Disapprove           37     40     43     38     41     37     46     39     45
DK/NA                22     31     28     32     22     33     27     28     21
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              45%    34%    38%    35%    47%    41%    38%    39%    33%
Disapprove           35     35     31     41     35     24     35     38     39
DK/NA                20     31     31     25     18     35     27     23     28
 
 
15. Do you think the - Democrats in Congress care about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Yes                  41%    23%    67%    33%    38%    44%    36%    62%    67%
No                   54     74     27     62     57     51     59     32     32 
DK/NA                 5      3      5      5      5      5      5      5      2 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Yes                  41%    33%    29%    37%    34%    38%    27%    36%    36%
No                   56     61     67     58     61     58     68     62     60
DK/NA                 4      5      4      5      5      5      5      3      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  44%    40%    45%    40%    42%    53%    42%    38%    37%
No                   53     55     49     58     55     43     55     57     56
DK/NA                 4      5      5      3      4      4      3      5      7
 
 
16. Do you think the - Republicans in Congress care about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Yes                  33%    59%    19%    26%    33%    34%    36%    19%    32%
No                   62     36     78     70     62     63     60     74     66 
DK/NA                 4      5      3      4      5      3      4      6      2 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Yes                  35%    36%    40%    42%    37%    35%    42%    39%    33%
No                   61     60     56     54     58     62     53     59     63
DK/NA                 4      4      4      4      5      3      5      2      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  33%    34%    32%    35%    38%    40%    35%    32%    30%
No                   63     62     64     61     60     56     62     64     65
DK/NA                 4      4      4      4      2      4      3      4      5
 
 
17. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - the economy, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Democrats            38%     3%    77%    30%    34%    41%    33%    59%    54%
Republicans          40     84      6     40     43     37     46     14     31 
NO DIFF(VOL)         12      8      7     18     13     11     12     12      9 
DK/NA                11      5     10     13     10     11      9     15      5 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democrats            38%    30%    26%    30%    30%    35%    17%    33%    30%
Republicans          45     47     53     49     51     43     62     46     47
NO DIFF(VOL)         10     13     13     10     13     11     13     11     14
DK/NA                 7     10      8     11      6     11      8     10      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Democrats            41%    36%    41%    37%    35%    40%    37%    39%    35%
Republicans          40     41     35     43     49     33     46     40     41
NO DIFF(VOL)         11     12     12     14      8     14      9     11     13
DK/NA                 8     11     12      6      8     13      8     10     12
 
 
18. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - health care, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Democrats            43%     4%    86%    35%    41%    45%    35%    78%    65%
Republicans          38     81      3     39     38     37     45     12     19 
NO DIFF(VOL)         10      8      4     16     11     10     11      4     11 
DK/NA                 9      6      6     10     10      8      8      6      5 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democrats            43%    32%    27%    33%    33%    38%    20%    35%    34%
Republicans          41     47     55     48     48     43     63     45     44
NO DIFF(VOL)         10     12     11     12     12     11      7     13     14
DK/NA                 6     10      8      8      8      9      9      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Democrats            48%    41%    47%    41%    45%    50%    47%    41%    38%
Republicans          36     38     34     40     44     30     40     39     39
NO DIFF(VOL)         10     10      9     12      8      8      9     12     11
DK/NA                 6     10     10      7      3     12      4      9     12
 
 
19. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - the federal budget deficit, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Democrats            34%     4%    69%    26%    32%    36%    30%    53%    45%
Republicans          43     82     12     44     46     41     48     23     37 
NO DIFF(VOL)         13      8      8     19     14     12     13     13     12 
DK/NA                10      6     11     11      8     12      9     12      6 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democrats            33%    28%    21%    23%    29%    31%    17%    27%    26%
Republicans          48     48     55     55     52     45     61     50     49
NO DIFF(VOL)         11     14     14     12     13     13     13     13     20
DK/NA                 8     10     10     10      6     11      8     10      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Democrats            36%    33%    38%    35%    29%    40%    31%    34%    32%
Republicans          43     43     38     44     50     40     46     43     43
NO DIFF(VOL)         12     13     12     15     11     10     11     14     13
DK/NA                10     10     12      6     10     10     12      8     11
 
 
20. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - immigration issues, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Democrats            39%     6%    75%    34%    38%    41%    33%    59%    64%
Republicans          38     77      8     37     40     36     43     19     22 
NO DIFF(VOL)         12      9      7     17     12     11     12     11     10 
DK/NA                11      8     10     13     10     12     12     12      5 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democrats            42%    28%    23%    27%    32%    33%    19%    30%    33%
Republicans          39     46     53     46     46     41     57     45     43
NO DIFF(VOL)         11     13     13     12     12     12     13     11     14
DK/NA                 8     13     12     15      9     14     11     14     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Democrats            46%    36%    43%    35%    43%    49%    38%    38%    34%
Republicans          35     39     33     42     44     27     48     37     36
NO DIFF(VOL)         11     12     12     13      7     11      7     15     12
DK/NA                 8     13     12     10      6     12      8     10     18
 
 
21. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - gun policy, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Democrats            38%     6%    70%    34%    33%    42%    33%    59%    53%
Republicans          42     81     13     38     48     37     47     18     35 
NO DIFF(VOL)         11      5     10     15     11     10     10     13     11 
DK/NA                10      7      8     12      8     11     10     10      1 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democrats            45%    27%    24%    33%    29%    36%    15%    33%    28%
Republicans          42     49     57     45     54     41     66     45     47
NO DIFF(VOL)          7     12      9     10     10     10      9     10     16
DK/NA                 6     12     10     12      7     13     11     12     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Democrats            48%    33%    39%    36%    43%    42%    38%    38%    35%
Republicans          38     44     40     45     44     42     50     39     36
NO DIFF(VOL)          8     12     11     11      8      8      7     12     12
DK/NA                 6     11     10      8      6      8      4     11     16
 
 
22. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - taxes, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Democrats            39%     6%    78%    31%    36%    42%    32%    66%    59%
Republicans          43     85      7     43     47     39     49     20     28 
NO DIFF(VOL)         11      5      7     18     10     12     12      9      8 
DK/NA                 7      5      8      8      7      7      7      5      5 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democrats            37%    30%    25%    27%    31%    34%    19%    32%    32%
Republicans          49     48     58     52     54     45     64     50     46
NO DIFF(VOL)          9     13     10     12     10     13     10     12     16
DK/NA                 5      8      7      9      5      8      7      7      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Democrats            42%    38%    44%    36%    37%    47%    41%    37%    34%
Republicans          44     42     35     49     52     34     49     42     44
NO DIFF(VOL)          9     11     12     10      6      9      5     15     10
DK/NA                 5      9      8      5      4      9      4      6     12
 
 
23. As you may know, the control of the Congress is currently divided, with Democrats controlling the Senate and Republicans controlling the House of Representatives, while a Democrat is President. Which of the following statements is closer to your point of view; I would like to see a Congress and President of the same party because they will get more things done, or I would like to see a Congress and President of different parties because they will balance each other out?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Same party           48%    44%    64%    35%    47%    49%    47%    63%    44%
Different parties    43     50     30     53     46     41     44     31     50 
DK/NA                 9      6      6     12      7     10      9      6      7 
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Same party           50%    45%    45%    43%    45%    48%    39%    50%    39%
Different parties    44     44     47     48     48     41     53     42     52
DK/NA                 6     11      9      9      7     11      8      8      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Same party           50%    47%    48%    48%    51%    48%    49%    50%    45%
Different parties    43     43     43     45     42     46     44     41     43
DK/NA                 7     10      9      7      7      6      6     10     12
 
 

Demographic Summary