QU Poll Release Detail

January 8, 2014 - Obama Approval Plunge Levels Off, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Hike Minimum Wage, Extend Jobless Benefits, Voters Say

PDF format After a plunge which saw his job approval rating drop from 46 - 48 percent in August to a negative 38 - 57 percent December 10, his all-time lowest score, President Barack Obama has stopped the drop, but not started the rebound, with a negative 41 - 53 percent job approval in a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.
Women go negative 44 - 49 percent, unchanged from last month. Men are negative 36 - 58 percent, compared to 31 - 64 percent last month, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Negative approval is 9 - 86 percent among Republicans and 35 - 58 percent among independent voters. Democrats approve 81 - 15 percent.
The 2014 congressional races are tied as 38 percent of American voters say they would back a Republican candidate, while 37 percent would back a Democrat.
Voters want Republicans to take the U.S. Senate 46 - 42 percent, with independent voters going for the GOP 45 - 40 percent. Looking at the House of Representatives, 46 percent want Republicans to keep control and 44 percent want Democratic control.
"The President returns to chilly Washington DC from his Hawaii holidays to a slightly warmer reception from American voters," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"It's too early to call it a comeback, but the 2014 midterm election year begins a bit better than 2013 ended for President Obama. His approval is right above the 40 percent mark - a red line for any president. He still has terrible scores for his handling of healthcare and other issues that mean most to Americans, but the bleeding seems to have stopped."
American voters say 49 - 46 percent that President Obama is not honest and trustworthy and say 51 - 46 percent that he is not a strong leader. They are divided 50 - 48 percent on whether he cares about their needs and problems.
Obama gets a negative 35 - 61 percent approval rating for handling health care. His ratings for handling other issues are:
Negative 39 - 58 percent on the economy; Negative 34 - 60 percent on the federal budget; Positive 52 - 41 percent for handling terrorism; Negative 41 - 51 percent for handling foreign policy.
Minimum Wage and Jobless Benefits
American voters support 71 - 27 percent raising the minimum wage. Republican support is 52 - 45 percent. Given several options:
33 percent of voters say increase the minimum wage to $10.10 per hour; 18 percent say increase it from the current $7.25 per hour to something less than $10.10; 18 percent say increase it to more than $10.10 per hour; 27 percent say don't increase the minimum wage.
Raising the minimum wage will lead businesses to cut jobs, voters say 50 - 45 percent, with Republicans seeing job cuts 68 - 29 percent and Democrats saying no 65 - 29 percent. Independent voters expect job cuts 51 - 45 percent.
Voters also support 58 - 37 percent extending unemployment benefits for three months. Support is 83 - 13 percent among Democrats and 54 - 41 percent among independent voters, with Republicans opposed 54 - 42 percent.
If a candidate for Congress supports extending jobless benefits, 33 percent are more likely to vote for that candidate, with 24 percent less likely and 40 percent who say it won't affect their vote. A candidate who supports raising the minimum wage wins 41 percent "more likely" support, with 18 percent "less likely" and 39 percent saying "no difference.
From January 4 - 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,487 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter
1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Republican 38% 89% 1% 31% 44% 32% 43% 7% 36% Democratic 37 2 87 28 31 42 31 74 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 6 3 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 8 DK/NA 21 8 11 33 20 22 22 16 14 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Republican 7% 29% 67% 30% 43% 48% 27% 40% 42% 38% Democratic 76 37 15 41 36 31 39 36 35 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 4 2 1 5 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 1 2 2 DK/NA 13 30 14 23 18 17 25 21 20 21
TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?
DEMOCRATIC ADVANTAGE High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 13 Oct 01 Aug 02 Oct 01 Dec 10 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 Republican 38 41 39 34 36 34 41 Democratic 37 38 39 43 40 43 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 4 3 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 21 16 18 17 19 17 16
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 41% 9% 81% 35% 36% 44% 32% 87% 48% Disapprove 53 86 15 58 58 49 61 8 43 DK/NA 7 5 3 7 6 7 6 5 9 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 77% 46% 15% 44% 36% 38% 42% 45% 37% 36% Disapprove 17 45 82 49 58 56 43 51 59 58 DK/NA 6 9 2 7 6 6 15 4 3 6
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (* High also 59% Mar 2009)
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 Oct 01 Aug 02 Jun 04 Dec 10 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2009* 2013 Approve 41 38 39 45 46 59 38 Disapprove 53 57 54 49 48 31 57 DK/NA 7 6 7 6 6 10 6
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 19% 37% 12% 13% 22% 17% 19% 17% 27% Disapprove 73 53 85 81 74 73 74 80 70 DK/NA 7 10 3 6 5 10 8 3 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 7% 16% 31% 19% 19% 20% 18% 23% 16% 19% Disapprove 88 76 63 75 74 75 65 71 78 75 DK/NA 5 8 5 7 7 5 16 6 5 7
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (* High also 34% Mar 3 2011, Mar 2010)
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 13 Oct 01 Aug 02 Mar 31 Oct 01 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2011* 2013 Approve 19 19 20 17 19 34 17 Disapprove 73 74 73 74 73 55 74 DK/NA 7 7 8 9 8 11 9
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 29% 6% 64% 24% 26% 32% 24% 62% 32% Disapprove 64 91 30 68 69 59 70 30 61 DK/NA 7 3 6 8 4 9 6 9 6 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 58% 32% 13% 31% 28% 27% 34% 31% 24% 28% Disapprove 34 61 83 61 68 68 52 63 70 66 DK/NA 8 7 4 8 5 5 14 6 6 6
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (* Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011)
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 13 Oct 01 Aug 02 Mar 4 Nov 23 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2009 2011* Approve 29 27 30 32 31 45 24 Disapprove 64 67 62 60 61 45 69 DK/NA 7 6 7 8 7 10 7
5. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very satisfied 1% - 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% Smwht satisfied 24 12 44 18 23 24 19 41 37 Smwht dissatisfied 31 27 31 35 30 33 33 27 28 Very dissatisfied 43 61 19 45 45 41 47 24 35 DK/NA 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 4 1 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Very satisfied 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 2% Smwht satisfied 38 27 10 25 22 20 28 26 19 21 Smwht dissatisfied 35 39 24 26 33 40 37 30 30 30 Very dissatisfied 23 33 64 45 43 38 34 40 49 47 DK/NA 1 - 2 2 1 - 1 2 1 1
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 Oct 01 Aug 02 Dec 11 Nov 13 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2001 2008 Very satisfied 1 2 2 2 2 21 2 Smwht satisfied 24 22 19 23 26 47 14 Smwht dissatisfied 31 30 31 34 29 19 38 Very dissatisfied 43 46 47 41 41 10 44 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 3 2
7. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Republican Party 46% 92% 3% 45% 53% 38% 51% 7% 49% Democratic Party 42 1 91 40 37 48 36 83 45 DK/NA 12 7 5 15 10 14 13 10 7 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Republican Party 9% 39% 74% 36% 53% 57% 34% 48% 50% 47% Democratic Party 82 45 19 49 39 36 43 43 40 42 DK/NA 8 16 7 15 9 7 23 9 10 11
TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?
Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2013 Republican Party 46 47 Democratic Party 42 42 DK/NA 12 11
8. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Republican Party 46% 92% 4% 45% 53% 38% 52% 8% 47% Democratic Party 44 4 93 41 37 51 37 87 46 DK/NA 10 3 3 14 9 11 11 5 8 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Republican Party 9% 37% 76% 36% 50% 58% 39% 45% 52% 46% Democratic Party 85 47 19 51 40 37 41 47 41 46 DK/NA 6 16 5 12 10 4 20 8 8 8
TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?
Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2013 Republican Party 46 47 Democratic Party 44 42 DK/NA 10 11
9. Would you say that Barack Obama - is honest and trustworthy or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 46% 13% 86% 43% 42% 51% 38% 93% 48% No 49 84 10 53 55 44 58 5 41 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 3 5 4 3 11 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 81% 53% 20% 51% 40% 46% 44% 49% 44% 45% No 15 43 77 44 54 53 46 47 54 51 DK/NA 5 4 3 4 6 2 11 4 2 4
TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not? (* Low also 44% Nov 2013)
YES........... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 Oct 01 Jul 11 Jan 13 Dec 10 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2011 2013* Yes 46 44 44 54 50 63 44 No 49 52 52 41 44 31 52 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 5 6 4
10. Would you say that Barack Obama - has strong leadership qualities or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 46% 18% 82% 41% 42% 50% 38% 85% 62% No 51 80 16 56 55 47 59 12 32 DK/NA 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 6 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 77% 53% 21% 51% 42% 42% 55% 51% 40% 40% No 18 44 78 45 56 57 37 48 58 57 DK/NA 5 3 1 5 2 1 8 1 2 3
TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?
YES........... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 Oct 01 Jul 11 Jan 13 Jan 08 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2010 2014 Yes 46 47 48 53 52 66 46 No 51 51 50 45 46 32 51 DK/NA 3 2 2 3 3 2 3
11. Would you say that Barack Obama - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 50% 19% 87% 47% 44% 56% 42% 93% 58% No 48 79 13 51 55 42 56 7 42 DK/NA 2 2 - 2 1 2 2 - - POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 83% 58% 23% 54% 47% 46% 57% 52% 45% 46% No 16 39 76 44 52 53 42 47 53 51 DK/NA 1 2 1 2 1 - 1 1 2 3
TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
YES........... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 Oct 01 Jul 11 Nov 12 Dec 10 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2008 2013 Yes 50 48 49 54 52 70 48 No 48 49 48 42 45 22 49 DK/NA 2 3 3 3 3 7 3
12. Which of the following do you think should be the most important priority for President Obama and Congress in 2014: the economy, the federal budget deficit, health care, taxes, gun policy, immigration issues, or something else?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Economy 39% 42% 41% 39% 41% 37% 40% 38% 32% Deficit 23 28 11 26 25 21 25 8 20 Health care 16 12 23 13 11 20 14 21 21 Taxes 4 3 3 4 5 2 4 4 4 Gun policy 3 1 4 3 2 3 3 2 6 Immigration 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 8 10 Something else 9 8 10 10 10 9 9 13 6 DK/NA 2 1 3 1 - 3 1 5 2 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Economy 39% 42% 37% 43% 38% 36% 31% 40% 39% 44% Deficit 13 22 30 18 27 29 19 24 27 19 Health care 21 16 12 17 12 15 20 13 15 14 Taxes 2 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 Gun policy 5 2 2 2 3 2 2 4 2 3 Immigration 5 5 6 6 5 4 6 6 4 5 Something else 12 7 8 8 9 9 16 8 9 7 DK/NA 3 1 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 3
TREND: Which of the following do you think should be the most important priority for President Obama and Congress in 2014; the economy, the federal budget deficit, health care, taxes, gun policy, immigration issues, or something else?
Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2013 Economy 39 41 Deficit 23 22 Health care 16 14 Taxes 4 4 Gun policy 3 3 Immigration 5 5 Something else 9 8 DK/NA 2 3
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 39% 7% 76% 36% 36% 41% 31% 83% 43% Disapprove 58 89 21 62 61 54 65 16 50 DK/NA 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 1 7 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 75% 41% 16% 43% 33% 36% 42% 41% 35% 37% Disapprove 22 53 83 54 63 60 49 57 63 60 DK/NA 2 6 1 3 4 4 9 2 3 3
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? (* Low also 32% Sep 2011)
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 Oct 01 Aug 02 Mar 04 Oct 06 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2009 2011* Approve 39 37 38 44 42 57 32 Disapprove 58 59 59 52 54 33 64 DK/NA 4 4 3 4 4 10 4
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - health care?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 35% 6% 71% 31% 31% 39% 28% 77% 41% Disapprove 61 93 24 66 66 57 68 22 57 DK/NA 4 1 5 3 3 4 4 1 2 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 67% 41% 12% 38% 33% 32% 38% 36% 35% 33% Disapprove 29 55 86 57 65 66 57 62 62 62 DK/NA 3 4 2 5 2 2 5 3 3 5
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care?
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 Jul 11 Feb 23 Jul 02 Dec 10 2014 2013 2013 2012 2012 2009 2013 Approve 35 34 36 43 40 46 34 Disapprove 61 62 60 52 56 42 62 DK/NA 4 4 4 5 5 13 4
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the federal budget?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 34% 7% 71% 29% 31% 36% 27% 82% 39% Disapprove 60 89 24 66 64 58 69 14 53 DK/NA 6 4 5 5 5 6 5 4 8 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 62% 39% 14% 39% 29% 30% 33% 35% 33% 33% Disapprove 30 54 85 54 67 66 56 61 64 60 DK/NA 8 7 1 7 4 4 11 4 4 7
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the federal budget?
Jan 08 Nov 12 2014 2013 Approve 34 32 Disapprove 60 62 DK/NA 6 6
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - terrorism?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 52% 25% 81% 53% 52% 53% 46% 84% 59% Disapprove 41 69 15 41 44 39 46 13 38 DK/NA 6 6 4 6 5 8 8 3 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 79% 61% 30% 51% 54% 54% 52% 60% 50% 44% Disapprove 16 33 64 42 40 42 34 37 46 47 DK/NA 5 6 6 7 6 4 13 3 4 9
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling terrorism?
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 Oct 01 Aug 02 May 05 Jan 13 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2011 2010 Approve 52 50 52 52 54 67 48 Disapprove 41 41 42 42 39 27 44 DK/NA 6 8 6 6 6 7 8
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 41% 12% 74% 40% 39% 43% 36% 75% 39% Disapprove 51 83 18 52 55 47 56 21 52 DK/NA 8 5 7 7 6 10 8 3 9 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 71% 50% 17% 42% 38% 42% 45% 42% 39% 38% Disapprove 21 41 78 47 53 55 39 52 56 52 DK/NA 8 9 5 11 8 3 16 6 5 9
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy?
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 Oct 01 Aug 02 Apr 29 Nov 12 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2009 2013 Approve 41 42 38 41 44 57 38 Disapprove 51 49 53 53 50 32 53 DK/NA 8 9 9 7 6 11 9
18. Do you think that in general the Obama administration has been competent in running the government, or don't you think so?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 43% 13% 82% 38% 38% 48% 36% 85% 49% No 55 86 17 59 60 50 63 13 46 DK/NA 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 5 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 80% 50% 15% 47% 39% 38% 47% 45% 40% 40% No 19 47 84 51 59 58 52 52 59 58 DK/NA 1 3 1 1 3 3 1 3 1 2
TREND: Do you think that in general the Obama administration has been competent in running the government, or don't you think so?
Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 2014 2013 2013 Yes 43 40 43 No 55 56 53 DK/NA 2 3 3
19. Do you think President Barack Obama is paying enough attention to what his administration is doing, or don't you think so?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 45% 20% 72% 43% 42% 47% 39% 78% 47% No 50 74 24 52 54 46 54 19 51 DK/NA 6 6 5 5 4 7 7 3 2 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 73% 46% 28% 45% 46% 42% 48% 48% 42% 36% No 24 46 68 49 49 54 40 48 52 58 DK/NA 3 8 4 6 5 4 11 4 5 6
TREND: Do you think President Barack Obama is paying enough attention to what his administration is doing, or don't you think so?
Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 2014 2013 2013 Yes 45 41 43 No 50 52 51 DK/NA 6 6 6
20. Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 71% 52% 93% 69% 65% 76% 68% 91% 74% Oppose 27 45 6 28 33 21 29 8 26 DK/NA 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 1 - POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Support 92% 80% 49% 78% 63% 66% 67% 70% 70% 76% Oppose 5 17 48 20 34 31 29 27 29 22 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 3 2 2
TREND: Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour?
Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2013 Support 71 69 Oppose 27 27 DK/NA 3 4
21. (If support q20) Do you think that the minimum wage should be $10.10 an hour, should be less than $10.10 an hour, or should be more than $10.10 an hour? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error)
SUPPORTS INCREASE Q20............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Exactly $10.10 47% 49% 46% 49% 42% 50% 46% 53% 46% Less than $10.10 25 35 15 29 30 22 29 11 23 More than $10.10 26 14 37 20 27 26 23 36 32 DK/NA 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 - - POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29* 30-49 50-64 65+ Exactly $10.10 50% 49% 42% 48% 49% 45% 60% 46% 44% 43% Less than $10.10 13 28 37 25 25 27 23 25 26 26 More than $10.10 36 22 21 27 22 26 14 28 29 28 DK/NA 2 2 1 1 4 1 3 1 1 3
TREND: (If support) Do you think that the minimum wage should be $10.10 an hour, should be less than $10.10 an hour, or should be more than $10.10 an hour?
SUPPORTS INCREASE Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2013 Exactly $10.10 47 42 Less than $10.10 25 23 More than $10.10 26 32 DK/NA 2 3
21a. (COMBINED Q20 & Q21) Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour? IF SUPPORT: Do you think that the minimum wage should be $10.10 an hour, should be less than $10.10 an hour, or should be more than $10.10 an hour?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Increase to $10.10 33% 26% 43% 34% 27% 38% 31% 48% 34% Increase < $10.10 18 18 14 20 19 17 20 10 17 Increase > $10.10 18 7 34 14 17 20 15 33 23 Oppose increase 27 45 6 28 33 21 29 8 26 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 3 5 4 1 - POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Increase to $10.10 46% 39% 21% 37% 31% 30% 40% 32% 31% 32% Increase < $10.10 12 22 18 19 16 18 15 18 18 20 Increase > $10.10 33 17 10 21 14 17 9 19 20 22 Oppose increase 5 17 48 20 34 31 29 27 29 22 DK/NA 4 4 3 3 6 4 6 4 3 4
TREND:(COMBINED) Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour? IF SUPPORT: Do you think that the minimum wage should be $10.10 an hour, should be less than $10.10 an hour, or should be more than $10.10 an hour?
Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2013 Increase to $10.10 33 29 Increase < $10.10 18 16 Increase > $10.10 18 22 Oppose increase 27 27 DK/NA 4 6
22. Do you think raising the minimum wage will lead businesses to cut jobs or don't you think so?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 50% 68% 29% 51% 53% 48% 52% 37% 50% No 45 29 65 45 44 47 43 59 47 DK/NA 4 3 6 5 4 5 4 4 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 33% 44% 65% 47% 55% 50% 49% 54% 50% 48% No 62 50 32 48 41 47 49 43 44 46 DK/NA 5 5 3 5 4 3 2 3 5 6
23. Do you think Congress should or should not approve a 3 month extension of unemployment benefits for people who are currently out of work?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Should 58% 42% 83% 54% 55% 62% 53% 89% 69% Should not 37 54 13 41 42 32 42 9 28 DK/NA 5 4 4 5 3 6 5 2 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Should 80% 62% 44% 67% 55% 46% 58% 55% 58% 65% Should not 17 33 51 29 40 50 38 40 38 30 DK/NA 2 5 5 4 5 4 4 5 4 5
24. Do you support or oppose the health care law passed by Barack Obama and Congress in 2010?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 40% 9% 80% 35% 35% 45% 32% 88% 49% Oppose 56 89 16 61 61 51 63 11 48 DK/NA 4 2 4 4 4 5 5 1 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Support 75% 46% 15% 44% 38% 37% 42% 42% 37% 38% Oppose 21 50 82 51 60 60 53 55 59 55 DK/NA 4 4 3 6 2 3 5 3 3 7
TREND: Do you support or oppose the health care law passed by Barack Obama and Congress in 2010?
Jan 08 Dec 11 Nov 12 Oct 01 2014 2013 2013 2013 Support 40 39 39 45 Oppose 56 57 55 47 DK/NA 4 4 6 8
25. If a candidate for Congress supports - extending unemployment benefits, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 33% 18% 58% 29% 30% 36% 30% 61% 32% Less likely 24 40 6 25 29 19 28 3 17 No difference 40 41 31 44 38 42 40 29 45 DK/NA 3 2 4 2 3 3 2 6 5 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ More likely 57% 35% 19% 43% 27% 25% 30% 29% 32% 45% Less likely 8 17 40 18 28 33 21 25 25 24 No difference 35 45 38 37 43 40 49 43 41 28 DK/NA - 3 3 2 2 2 - 3 2 4
26. If a candidate for Congress supports - the 2010 health care law passed by President Obama and Congress, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 29% 6% 63% 22% 24% 34% 25% 56% 34% Less likely 43 77 8 47 49 37 51 7 35 No difference 26 15 28 29 25 26 22 35 29 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ More likely 61% 32% 8% 30% 29% 27% 29% 28% 29% 30% Less likely 11 37 69 37 49 52 29 43 50 46 No difference 27 29 20 29 21 20 41 26 20 20 DK/NA 1 2 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 4
27. If a candidate for Congress supports - a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 27% 13% 44% 25% 26% 28% 24% 27% 46% Less likely 38 52 22 41 41 35 41 29 18 No difference 31 31 30 30 29 33 31 39 31 DK/NA 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ More likely 49% 28% 13% 25% 29% 32% 33% 28% 24% 26% Less likely 15 35 54 40 37 33 25 33 44 45 No difference 35 33 30 32 30 30 39 36 29 22 DK/NA 1 4 4 3 3 4 4 2 3 7
TREND If a candidate for Congress supports a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? (*for that candidate)
Jan 08 May 31 2014 2013* More likely 27 26 Less likely 38 24 No difference 31 44 DK/NA 4 5
28. If a candidate for Congress supports - raising the national minimum wage, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 41% 22% 64% 38% 37% 44% 36% 68% 47% Less likely 18 35 3 17 25 12 20 4 14 No difference 39 42 30 43 37 41 42 24 37 DK/NA 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ More likely 63% 46% 22% 50% 34% 33% 44% 37% 39% 46% Less likely 3 10 36 13 22 23 19 16 21 18 No difference 33 42 40 34 43 42 37 46 39 31 DK/NA 1 2 2 3 1 2 - 1 1 5
29. If a candidate for Congress - is associated with the Tea Party, would you be more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 21% 39% 4% 20% 26% 16% 24% 7% 19% Less likely 41 14 66 44 39 42 39 58 31 No difference 36 47 25 34 34 38 36 29 46 DK/NA 3 1 4 2 1 4 2 7 4 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ More likely 3% 11% 43% 20% 24% 17% 22% 17% 27% 20% Less likely 73 51 13 38 40 47 34 42 40 43 No difference 24 35 42 38 35 35 43 39 32 32 DK/NA 1 2 3 3 1 - 1 2 1 5
30. If a candidate for Congress - supports President Obama, would you be more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 28% 5% 65% 20% 24% 32% 23% 69% 32% Less likely 43 80 6 44 49 37 51 5 27 No difference 28 14 29 34 27 30 26 26 40 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ More likely 64% 28% 9% 32% 26% 24% 26% 27% 28% 31% Less likely 8 34 74 36 47 50 29 42 49 49 No difference 27 38 17 32 26 27 44 31 23 20 DK/NA - 1 - 1 1 - - - 1 1
TREND: (President George W. Bush) If a candidate for Congress supports President George W. Bush, does that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or doesn't it make a difference?
PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH Aug 29 Mar 2 Dec 6 2006 2006 2005 More likely 21 16 16 Less likely 38 37 37 No difference 41 45 45 DK/NA 1 1 2
33. Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the chances that President Obama and the Republicans in Congress will work together on important issues?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Optimistic 35% 25% 52% 30% 32% 38% 28% 65% 54% Pessimistic 62 73 45 67 66 59 69 29 45 DK/NA 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 6 2 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Optimistic 38% 40% 27% 40% 32% 30% 44% 35% 31% 32% Pessimistic 60 58 71 56 66 69 50 63 66 65 DK/NA 2 2 3 3 3 1 6 2 2 3
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