July 8, 2014 - Clinton Owns Dem 2016 Nod; Tops Top Republicans, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 2014 Generic House Race Tied, But Voters Hate Dems Less
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Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton sweeps the Democratic primary field for the 2016 presidential race, taking 58 percent of the vote, and tops several possible Republican candidates by margins of 7 to 9 percentage points, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.

There is no front-runner in the Republican presidential primary field, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Secretary Clinton leads the Democratic primary with 58 percent, followed by U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts with 11 percent, Vice President Joseph Biden with 9 percent and New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo with 4 percent. No other candidate tops 1 percent and 15 percent are undecided.

The GOP primary shows U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky with 11 percent, New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush with 10 percent each, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin with 8 percent each, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio with 6 percent, no other candidate over 3 percent, with 20 percent undecided.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton takes a ton of heat on wealth, book sales and her legacy at the State Department, but she emerges with no serious Democratic challenger, while the Republican field remains clustered and flustered," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

In the 2016 presidential race, American voters back Hillary Clinton over leading Republican contenders:
  • 47 - 38 percent over Christie;
  • 49 - 40 percent over Paul;
  • 49 - 40 percent over Huckabee;
  • 48 - 41 percent over former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush;
  • 48 - 41 percent over U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin.
In these races, Clinton's lead among women ranges from 16 percentage points to 19 points. The margin among men in each race is too close to call.

By a slim 48 - 43 percent margin, American voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton, but that tops all other contenders who get negative or divided favorability scores or where more than 50 percent of voters don't know enough about them to form an opinion.

2014 Congressional Races

In the 2014 Congressional races, 46 percent of American voters want Republicans to win control of the U.S. Senate while 44 percent want Democratic control of the Senate. The same too-close-to-call 46 - 44 percent margin applies to control of the House of Representatives.

American voters disapprove 73 - 18 percent of the job Republicans in Congress are doing and have a negative 36 - 52 percent opinion of the Republican Party.

Voters disapprove 63 - 29 percent of the job Democrats in Congress are doing, and give the Democratic party a negative 41 - 49 percent favorability rating.

The Tea Party gets a negative 30 - 44 percent favorability rating, compared to a negative 27 - 47 percent score in a November 13 Quinnipiac University poll.

"Americans are split on whether they want Republican or Democratic wins in the midterms, but on one thing they are in complete agreement - Congress as a whole is doing a lousy job," Malloy said.

From June 24 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,446 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. The survey includes 620 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points and 610 Democrats with a margin of error of 4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter

1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Republican           39%    85%     3%    38%    43%    35%    27%    34%    45%    44%
Democratic           41      4     87     32     37     44     47     47     35     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      1      3      2      2      2      3      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      -      3      3      1      3      4      1      -
DK/NA                17     10      9     24     16     17     20     13     18     16
 
TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?
                                                             DEMOCRATIC ADVANTAGE
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 08  Apr 02  Jan 21  Jan 08  Dec 10  Oct 01  Dec 10
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Republican           39      38      38      38      41      34      41
Democratic           41      40      37      37      38      43      38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2       2       2       3       4       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       3       2       2       2       2
DK/NA                17      18      21      21      16      17      16
 
 
2a. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum and Mike Huckabee, for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 10%     9%    10%
Rubio                 6      7      4
Ryan                  8      8      9
Walker                8      9      7
Christie             10      8     11
Jindal                1      2      -
Paul                 11     11     10
Cruz                  8      8      7
Kasich                2      3      1
Perry                 3      4      3
Santorum              2      2      2
Huckabee             10     11     10
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1
DK/NA                20     15     25
 
TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum and Mike Huckabee, for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS........
                     Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Oct 02  Apr 03
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Bush                 10      11      11      11      10
Rubio                 6       8       7      12      19
Ryan                  8      13       9      10      17
Walker                8       6       5       4       2
Christie             10      12      17      13      14
Jindal                1       3       3       3       3
Paul                 11      13      14      17      15
Cruz                  8       9      13      10      na
Kasich                2       2       2      na      na
Perry                 3      na      na      na      na
Santorum              2      na      na      na      na
Huckabee             10      na      na      na      na
McDonnell            na      na      na      na       1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -       -       2       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       1       1       1       -
DK/NA                20      22      17      19      18
 
 
2b. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Elizabeth Warren, Martin O'Malley and Brian Schweitzer, for whom would you vote?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Clinton              58%    57%    59%
Biden                 9     13      6
Cuomo                 4      1      6
Warren               11     13     10
O'Malley              1      1      1
Schweitzer            1      2      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1
DK/NA                15     12     16
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Elizabeth Warren, Martin O'Malley and Brian Schweitzer, for whom would you vote?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
                     Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Oct 02  May 02
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Clinton              58      65      66      61      65
Biden                 9       8       8      11      13
Cuomo                 4       3       3       2       4
Warren               11       7       7       7      na
O'Malley              1       1       -       -       1
Schweitzer            1       1       1      na      na
Dean                 na       2       1      na      na
Patrick              na      na      na      na       1
Warner               na      na      na       1       1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       -       1       2       -
DK/NA                15      13      12      15      14
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              18%    35%     8%    15%    18%    18%    21%    18%    16%    17%
Disapprove           73     56     87     74     74     73     71     73     77     73
DK/NA                 9      9      5     11      8     10      9      9      7      9
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (* High also 34% Mar 3 2011, Mar 2010, ** Low also 17% Oct 2013)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 08  Apr 02  Jan 21  Jan 08  Dec 10  Mar 31  Jan 21
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2013    2011*   2014**
 
Approve              18      18      17      19      19      34      17
Disapprove           73      73      76      73      74      55      76
DK/NA                 9       9       7       7       7      11       7
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              29%     5%    63%    20%    25%    32%    33%    32%    26%    27%
Disapprove           63     91     30     69     69     59     61     59     67     64
DK/NA                 8      4      7     11      6      9      6      9      7      9
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (* Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 08  Apr 02  Jan 21  Jan 08  Dec 10  Mar 4   Nov 23
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2013    2009    2011*
 
Approve              29      30      27      29      27      45      24
Disapprove           63      60      66      64      67      45      69
DK/NA                 8      10       7       7       6      10       7
 
 
6. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Very satisfied        2%     2%     3%     1%     2%     2%     2%     2%     1%     3%
Smwht satisfied      24      8     44     21     21     27     40     22     21     21
Smwht dissatisfied   31     25     35     31     31     31     29     39     26     27
Very dissatisfied    43     66     18     46     47     40     29     37     51     48
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 08  Apr 02  Jan 22  Jan 08  Dec 10  Dec 11  Nov 13
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2013    2001    2008
 
Very satisfied        2       2       2       1       2      21       2
Smwht satisfied      24      24      22      24      22      47      14
Smwht dissatisfied   31      33      32      31      30      19      38
Very dissatisfied    43      40      43      43      46      10      44
DK/NA                 -       1       1       1       -       3       2
 
 
7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              47%    12%    90%    40%    43%    51%    53%    53%    43%    42%
Christie             38     74      5     42     42     35     27     32     44     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      1      3      3      2      2      2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      6      -      8      7      5      5      7      6      6
DK/NA                 7      6      5      7      6      8     12      5      5      7
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Nov 13  Oct 02  Jul 12  Mar 07
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Clinton              47      46      41      42      49      46      45
Christie             38      38      42      43      36      40      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       3       4       3       3       3       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6       5       3       4       3       3       4
DK/NA                 7       9       9       9       9       8      12
 
 
8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              49%    14%    91%    43%    43%    54%    54%    55%    45%    45%
Paul                 40     80      4     43     46     35     31     37     45     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      1      5      4      3      3      4      3      4
DK/NA                 6      4      4      8      6      6     11      3      5      7
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Nov 13  Oct 02  Jul 12  May 31
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Clinton              49      49      48      49      53      50      49
Paul                 40      39      41      40      36      38      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       2       2       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       3       2       3       3       2       2
DK/NA                 6       8       6       7       6       7       6
 
 
9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              49%    12%    92%    44%    44%    53%    55%    57%    44%    44%
Huckabee             40     81      4     41     46     35     30     33     47     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      1      6      4      4      3      5      4      3
DK/NA                 6      4      3      8      5      7     11      4      5      6
 
 
10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              48%    10%    92%    42%    42%    53%    56%    55%    43%    43%
Bush                 41     81      4     43     45     37     31     35     45     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      2      2      1      1      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      5      -      7      5      4      3      6      5      4
DK/NA                 5      4      3      6      6      5      9      3      5      6
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  May 31
                     2014    2014    2013    2013
 
Clinton              48      49      48      48
Bush                 41      38      39      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       3       3       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5       3       3       3
DK/NA                 5       7       6       7
 
 
11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              48%     8%    92%    44%    42%    53%    48%    54%    46%    44%
Ryan                 41     84      4     41     46     37     36     36     44     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      -      7      5      3      3      5      3      3
DK/NA                 6      4      3      8      5      6     12      3      5      5
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 08  Nov 13  Mar 07
                     2014    2013    2013
 
Clinton              48      49      50
Ryan                 41      40      38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       3       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       3       2
DK/NA                 6       5       7
 
 
12. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            48%    12%    88%    41%    43%    52%    52%    54%    44%    44%
Unfavorable          43     78      6     47     49     38     28     39     49     47
Hvn't hrd enough      8      9      4     10      7      8     20      5      5      7
REFUSED               2      -      2      2      1      2      1      2      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Oct 02  Jul 12  Feb 08  May 03
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2007
 
Favorable            48      51      53      56      55      61      44
Unfavorable          43      40      42      36      38      34      46
Hvn't hrd enough      8       7       4       6       5       4       7
REFUSED               2       2       1       2       2       1       3
 
 
13. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            32%    55%    13%    35%    38%    27%
Unfavorable          37     15     61     32     36     38
Hvn't hrd enough     29     30     25     31     25     33
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11  May 31  Feb 08
                     2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            32      31      29      25
Unfavorable          37      38      29      29
Hvn't hrd enough     29      30      42      45
REFUSED               1       1       1       2
 
 
14. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            27%    51%     7%    28%    32%    21%
Unfavorable          25      9     43     23     28     22
Hvn't hrd enough     47     39     50     49     38     56
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11  Feb 08
                     2014    2013    2013
 
Favorable            27      26      27
Unfavorable          25      25      15
Hvn't hrd enough     47      47      57
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
15. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            36%    63%     8%    37%    44%    29%
Unfavorable          33      8     61     27     32     33
Hvn't hrd enough     31     29     30     35     23     37
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11  Feb 08
                     2014    2013    2013
 
Favorable            36      38      34
Unfavorable          33      31      36
Hvn't hrd enough     31      30      29
REFUSED               1       2       1
 
 
16. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            18%    39%     3%    16%    24%    13%
Unfavorable          17      3     33     14     20     15
Hvn't hrd enough     64     58     64     70     55     72
REFUSED               -      -      1      -      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11
                     2014    2013
 
Favorable            18      21
Unfavorable          17      16
Hvn't hrd enough     64      62
REFUSED               -       1
 
 
17. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            37%    47%    20%    47%    37%    36%
Unfavorable          38     28     55     30     40     37
Hvn't hrd enough     23     25     25     21     21     25
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Oct 02  Jul 12  Oct 05
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2011
 
Favorable            37      33      47      40      45      23
Unfavorable          38      30      23      22      18      17
Hvn't hrd enough     23      34      28      36      34      59
REFUSED               1       3       2       2       2       1
 
 
18. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            21%    37%     6%    23%    26%    17%
Unfavorable          19      4     39     14     23     16
Hvn't hrd enough     59     59     55     62     51     67
REFUSED               1      -      -      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11
                     2014    2013
 
Favorable            21      21
Unfavorable          19      15
Hvn't hrd enough     59      63
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
19. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            32%    55%     7%    32%    38%    26%
Unfavorable          32      9     60     27     34     30
Hvn't hrd enough     36     36     33     39     27     44
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11  Oct 02  Jul 12  May 31
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            32      34      30      31      32
Unfavorable          32      31      33      28      24
Hvn't hrd enough     36      33      37      39      42
REFUSED               1       2       1       1       1
 
 
20. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            23%    44%     4%    23%    31%    17%
Unfavorable          26      8     43     26     30     23
Hvn't hrd enough     50     48     53     50     38     60
REFUSED               1      1      -      2      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11  Oct 02
                     2014    2013    2013
 
Favorable            23      27      16
Unfavorable          26      27      25
Hvn't hrd enough     50      44      58
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
21. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            23%    42%     5%    23%    25%    21%
Unfavorable          30     10     49     29     33     27
Hvn't hrd enough     46     46     45     47     40     51
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      2      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Feb 22
                     2014    2012
 
Favorable            23      34
Unfavorable          30      31
Hvn't hrd enough     46      34
REFUSED               1       2
 
 
22. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            38%    69%    12%    39%    42%    33%
Unfavorable          34     17     52     27     33     34
Hvn't hrd enough     28     14     35     34     23     32
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Nov 22  Oct 31
                     2014    2010    2007
 
Favorable            38      41      15
Unfavorable          34      25      13
Hvn't hrd enough     28      33      70
REFUSED               1       2       2
 
 
23. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            23%    50%     5%    19%    29%    18%
Unfavorable          31      9     48     31     39     24
Hvn't hrd enough     45     41     46     49     31     57
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Nov 02  Oct 05  Aug 31
                     2014    2011    2011    2011
 
Favorable            23      18      22      22
Unfavorable          31      45      35      23
Hvn't hrd enough     45      35      42      55
REFUSED               1       1       1       1
 
 
24. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            13%    19%     5%    16%    16%    10%
Unfavorable           9      5     14      6     12      7
Hvn't hrd enough     78     76     80     77     72     83
REFUSED               1      -      -      2      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11
                     2014    2013
 
Favorable            13      12
Unfavorable           9       9
Hvn't hrd enough     78      78
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
25. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            42%    15%    73%    37%    38%    44%
Unfavorable          44     72     18     43     48     40
Hvn't hrd enough     14     12      8     19     13     15
REFUSED               -      -      1      -      -      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11  Jul 12  May 31  Feb 08  Nov 12
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2008
 
Favorable            42      37      38      37      46      50
Unfavorable          44      48      44      44      41      23
Hvn't hrd enough     14      13      16      19      11      25
REFUSED               -       2       2       1       2       2
 
 
26. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            19%    10%    33%    19%    18%    20%
Unfavorable          28     38     16     25     36     20
Hvn't hrd enough     53     51     50     56     45     59
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11
                     2014    2013
 
Favorable            19      19
Unfavorable          28      23
Hvn't hrd enough     53      57
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
27. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             4%     4%     7%     2%     4%     4%
Unfavorable           6      6      5      6      7      4
Hvn't hrd enough     89     89     88     91     86     91
REFUSED               1      1      -      2      3      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11
                     2014    2013
 
Favorable             4       3
Unfavorable           6       9
Hvn't hrd enough     89      87
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
28. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Elizabeth Warren favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            24%     7%    42%    21%    26%    22%
Unfavorable          15     30      5     13     19     11
Hvn't hrd enough     61     63     53     66     54     67
REFUSED               -      -      1      -      -      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Elizabeth Warren favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11
                     2014    2013
 
Favorable            24      17
Unfavorable          15      19
Hvn't hrd enough     61      63
REFUSED               -       1
 
 
29. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Brian Schweitzer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             3%     3%     4%     2%     5%     2%
Unfavorable           6      3      7      6      5      6
Hvn't hrd enough     90     94     88     89     89     91
REFUSED               1      -      -      2      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Brian Schweitzer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 08  Dec 11
                     2014    2013
 
Favorable             3       3
Unfavorable           6       7
Hvn't hrd enough     90      89
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
30. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Republican Party     46%    92%     5%    48%    50%    42%    35%    43%    49%    50%
Democratic Party     44      4     91     38     40     48     51     48     42     42
DK/NA                10      4      5     15     10     10     13      9      9      8
 
TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?
                     Jul 08  Apr 02  Jan 21  Jan 08  Dec 10
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2013
 
Republican Party     46      45      43      46      47
Democratic Party     44      45      44      42      42
DK/NA                10      11      13      12      11
 
 
31. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Republican Party     46%    91%     5%    48%    50%    41%    37%    41%    51%    49%
Democratic Party     44      5     90     38     40     48     50     50     41     41
DK/NA                10      4      5     14      9     10     13      9      8      9
 
TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?
                     Jul 08  Apr 02  Jan 21  Jan 08  Dec 10
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2013
 
Republican Party     46      45      43      46      47
Democratic Party     44      46      45      44      42
DK/NA                10      10      12      10      11
 
 
32. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            41%     6%    84%    33%    35%    46%    47%    44%    39%    38%
Unfavorable          49     85     10     55     56     44     39     46     54     52
Hvn't hrd enough      8      9      5     10      7      9     12      7      6      8
REFUSED               2      -      1      2      2      1      1      2      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 08  Nov 13  May 30  Apr 03  Jul 11  Nov 12  Apr 21
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2012    2008    2010
 
Favorable            41      38      42      38      37      55      32
Unfavorable          49      48      47      44      50      35      52
Hvn't hrd enough      8      11       8      15      11       6      12
REFUSED               2       3       3       3       2       4       3
 
 
33. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            36%    71%     8%    34%    37%    35%    38%    30%    39%    36%
Unfavorable          52     20     81     51     51     52     44     58     52     51
Hvn't hrd enough     11      8     10     11     10     11     18     11      5     11
REFUSED               2      1      -      4      1      2      -      1      3      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? (* Low also 25% Jul 2009)
                                                             FAVORABLE....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 08  Nov 13  May 30  Apr 03  Jul 11  Nov 22  Oct 8
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2012    2010    2009*
 
Favorable            36      31      35      28      33      40      25
Unfavorable          52      54      50      52      50      45      53
Hvn't hrd enough     11      13      11      17      14      13      18
REFUSED               2       3       3       3       3       3       4
 
 
34. Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            30%    53%     7%    32%    34%    27%    23%    28%    34%    31%
Unfavorable          44     19     69     43     45     44     35     48     48     45
Hvn't hrd enough     24     26     23     23     19     28     40     23     17     22
REFUSED               2      2      1      1      2      2      2      1      1      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 08  Nov 13  May 30  Apr 03  Nov 23  Nov 17  Apr 03
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2011    2010    2013
 
Favorable            30      27      28      24      29      34      24
Unfavorable          44      47      38      43      42      38      43
Hvn't hrd enough     24      25      33      32      28      26      32
REFUSED               2       2       1       2       2       1       2
 
 

Demographic Summary

Additional Crosstabs