July 30, 2015 - Trump Tops Republican Pack By Wide Margin, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; But Dems Trump Trump In General Election PDF format Sample and Methodology detail With 20 percent of Republican voters, Donald Trump is the clear leader in the crowded Republican presidential primary field, but he trails any of three leading Democratic contenders by wide margins in general election matchups, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. Trump's 20 percent is the largest tally for a Republican contender in any national poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Behind Trump are Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker with 13 percent and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush with 10 percent. No other Republican tops 6 percent and 12 percent are undecided. Trump also tops the "no way" list as 30 percent of Republican voters say they would definitely not support him. New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie is next at 15 percent with Bush at 14 percent. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton gets 55 percent of Democratic voters nationwide, with 17 percent for U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and 13 percent for Vice President Joseph Biden. No other candidate tops 1 percent with 11 percent undecided. Clinton tops the Democrats' "no way" list with 9 percent, followed by former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley and former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee at 8 percent each. "They love him and they hate him. Donald Trump triumphs on the stump so far, but do voters REALLY want him? Maybe not so much," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "The good news for Secretary Hillary Clinton is that she is over 50 percent among Democrats and has a double-digit lead over Trump." "The not-so-good news is that she is locked in too-close to call races with Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. And Vice President Joseph Biden runs just as well as her against the top Republicans," Malloy added. Matchups among all American voters show: Clinton thumps Trump 48 - 36 percent. She gets 41 percent to Bush's 42 percent and gets 44 percent to Walker's 43 percent. Biden tops Trump 49 - 37 percent. He gets 43 percent to Bush's 42 percent and ties Walker 43 - 43 percent. Sanders beats Trump 45 - 37 percent. Bush edges Sanders 44 - 39 percent and Walker slips past Sanders 42 - 37 percent. Trump has the worst favorability rating of any Republican or Democrat, a negative 27 - 59 percent among all voters, with Clinton getting a negative 40 - 51 percent score, her worst ever. Ratings for other leading contenders are: 43 - 41 percent for Bush, his best score ever; 36 - 27 percent for Walker, also his best ever; 49 - 39 percent for Biden, his best score in seven years; 32 - 25 percent for Sanders, his best score ever. Naming the most important quality in deciding their presidential vote, 37 percent want a candidate who is honest and trustworthy, while 33 percent want someone who cares about their needs and problems and 26 percent want some with strong leadership qualities. Trump and Clinton have the worst scores among top candidates on honesty and caring: Trump is not honest and trustworthy, voters say 58 - 33 percent, and he doesn't care about their needs and problems, voters say 63 - 31 percent. Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, voters say 57 - 37 percent, and doesn't care about their needs and problems, voters say 52 - 45 percent. "Republicans say Trump is honest and Democrats say Clinton is honest, but among all voters, both candidates come up short," Malloy asked. "How can you become a general election front-runner if most voters don't trust you?" From July 23 - 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,644 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 710 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points and 681 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll. 1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Republican 39% 90% 1% 37% 45% 33% Democratic 37 1 86 27 32 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 5 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 2 2 1 DK/NA 20 8 12 30 18 22 TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? DEMOCRATIC ADVANTAGE High Low Jul 30 May 28 Apr 27 Jul 08 Apr 02 Oct 01 Apr 27 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2013 2015 Republican 39 36 40 39 38 34 40 Democratic 37 39 37 41 40 43 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 2 2 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 20 22 20 17 18 17 20 2. If an election for the U.S. Senate were being held in your state today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Republican 40% 90% 2% 36% 46% 34% Democratic 38 1 87 28 33 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 2 1 DK/NA 18 8 10 29 15 21 STATES WITH SENATE ELECTION IN 2016... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Republican 40% 88% 2% 36% 48% 33% Democratic 39 2 87 30 33 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 2 1 DK/NA 19 10 10 30 15 22 TREND: If an election for the US Senate were being held in your state today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 27 2015 2015 2015 Republican 40 36 40 Democratic 38 41 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 DK/NA 18 19 17 3. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 10% 5% 10% 6% 8% 15% 8% 12% Carson 6 6 7 6 6 5 5 7 Christie 3 1 2 1 2 6 2 4 Cruz 5 10 4 10 5 1 6 4 Fiorina 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 Gilmore - - - - - - - - Graham 1 1 1 - - 1 1 - Huckabee 6 6 11 9 5 5 5 7 Jindal 2 3 2 3 - 1 1 2 Kasich 5 4 5 6 5 5 6 4 Pataki 1 - - - 1 1 - 1 Paul 6 8 4 2 6 11 7 5 Perry 2 3 2 2 3 - 1 3 Rubio 6 4 4 8 7 4 6 6 Santorum 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 Trump 20 23 20 20 22 17 24 15 Walker 13 17 14 15 16 8 16 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 2 DK/NA 12 6 10 8 12 16 9 16 TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Geroge Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through Apr 2013) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS........................ Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 Bush 10 10 13 16 11 10 11 Carson 6 10 3 7 8 na na Christie 3 4 7 8 8 10 12 Cruz 5 6 9 6 5 8 9 Fiorina 1 2 1 na na na na Gilmore - na na na na na na Graham 1 1 2 1 na na na Huckabee 6 10 7 8 5 10 na Jindal 2 1 1 2 2 1 3 Kasich 5 2 2 1 2 2 2 Pataki 1 - na na na na na Paul 6 7 8 6 6 11 13 Perry 2 1 3 1 2 3 na Rubio 6 10 15 5 2 6 8 Santorum 1 - 2 2 1 2 na Trump 20 5 na na na na na Walker 13 10 11 18 5 8 6 McDonnell na na na na na na na Portman na na na na - na na Romney na na na na 19 na na Ryan na na na na 5 8 13 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 DK/NA 12 20 14 17 16 20 22 4. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, or Walker? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 14% 22% 15% 20% 12% 10% 13% 16% Carson 3 2 3 4 3 2 2 3 Christie 15 20 16 22 14 8 16 13 Cruz 5 4 3 5 6 4 7 3 Fiorina 2 1 3 4 2 1 3 2 Gilmore 3 2 2 4 3 1 2 3 Graham 9 13 8 11 9 5 10 7 Huckabee 5 5 3 5 6 5 6 3 Jindal 3 1 2 4 2 2 3 3 Kasich 2 1 2 3 3 1 2 3 Pataki 5 3 5 7 7 2 5 6 Paul 6 4 8 9 7 4 5 8 Perry 3 2 2 3 5 2 4 2 Rubio 4 6 3 6 4 2 5 3 Santorum 5 3 4 8 3 4 7 3 Trump 30 19 26 22 29 39 25 37 Walker 2 1 1 3 1 1 3 - No/No one 27 28 29 27 29 25 30 23 DK/NA 12 11 13 12 8 12 10 14 TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner)Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, and Walker? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 2015 2015 2015 2015 Bush 14 17 17 16 Carson 3 3 5 2 Christie 15 15 16 16 Cruz 5 5 8 6 Fiorina 2 5 4 na Gilmore 3 na na na Graham 9 7 9 6 Huckabee 5 8 6 6 Jindal 3 3 3 3 Kasich 2 3 4 2 Pataki 5 4 na na Paul 6 8 10 9 Perry 3 4 5 6 Rubio 4 5 4 3 Santorum 5 5 5 4 Trump 30 21 na na Walker 2 3 3 2 No/No one 27 27 38 36 DK/NA 12 16 18 19 5. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 13% 11% 7% 17% 10% 15% Chafee - - - - 1 - Clinton 55 46 62 55 53 56 O'Malley 1 - - 2 1 1 Sanders 17 31 21 9 22 13 Webb 1 1 - 2 2 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - 1 DK/NA 11 9 9 12 10 12 TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through May 2013) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................... Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 Biden 13 9 10 10 9 9 8 Chafee - 1 - na na na na Clinton 55 57 60 56 57 58 65 O'Malley 1 1 3 - 1 1 1 Sanders 17 15 8 4 4 na na Webb 1 1 1 1 1 na na Cuomo na na na na na 4 3 Schweitzer na na na na na 1 1 Dean na na na na na na 2 Patrick na na na na na na na Warner na na na na na na na Warren na na na 14 13 11 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 3 1 1 1 - DK/NA 11 14 14 14 14 15 13 6. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Biden, Chafee, Clinton, O'Malley, Sanders, or Webb? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% Chafee 8 10 9 6 10 6 Clinton 9 7 4 12 10 8 O'Malley 8 15 6 6 12 5 Sanders 6 3 7 7 8 4 Webb 5 10 3 4 6 5 No/No one 50 57 53 47 51 49 DK/NA 22 13 21 24 15 27 TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Biden, Chafee, Clinton, O'Malley, Sanders, or Webb? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 2015 2015 2015 2015 Biden 6 9 7 10 Chafee 8 5 5 na Clinton 9 9 7 5 O'Malley 8 6 4 8 Sanders 6 5 4 5 Webb 5 5 3 7 Warren na na na 4 No/No one 50 47 48 50 DK/NA 22 27 29 24 11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 41% 3% 86% 36% 35% 48% Bush 42 92 6 39 48 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 5 1 1 8 6 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 2 1 10 6 5 DK/NA 6 1 5 7 5 7 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through May 2013) Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 Clinton 41 47 46 45 46 48 49 Bush 42 37 39 42 41 41 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 5 3 3 3 3 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 7 6 4 3 5 3 DK/NA 6 6 6 6 7 5 7 12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Scott Walker the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 44% 5% 87% 39% 38% 49% Walker 43 89 5 42 51 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 2 2 5 3 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 5 3 3 DK/NA 7 3 4 9 5 10 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Scott Walker the Republican, for whom would you vote? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 2015 2015 2015 2015 Clinton 44 46 46 48 Walker 43 38 41 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 4 DK/NA 7 10 8 8 13. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 48% 8% 90% 45% 42% 54% Trump 36 77 3 35 43 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 2 1 7 4 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 8 10 2 9 8 8 DK/NA 4 3 4 4 3 5 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Clinton 48 50 Trump 36 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 8 9 DK/NA 4 5 14. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Biden 43% 4% 84% 39% 40% 46% Bush 42 89 9 40 48 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 1 1 7 4 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 2 2 8 5 5 DK/NA 6 4 5 7 4 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Jul 30 May 31 2015 2013 Biden 43 38 Bush 42 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 DK/NA 6 9 15. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Scott Walker the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Biden 43% 5% 87% 37% 40% 46% Walker 43 88 6 44 52 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 4 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 2 5 3 4 DK/NA 8 6 5 9 4 12 16. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Biden 49% 12% 88% 47% 46% 53% Trump 37 76 5 36 43 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 - 5 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 7 2 6 5 6 DK/NA 5 4 4 5 3 6 17. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Sanders 39% 3% 76% 37% 35% 43% Bush 44 90 10 41 50 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 - 1 4 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 2 4 7 5 6 DK/NA 9 5 8 10 7 10 18. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Scott Walker the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Sanders 37% 2% 74% 35% 34% 40% Walker 42 86 7 42 49 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 3 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 3 5 8 6 6 DK/NA 12 8 13 12 8 16 19. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Sanders 45% 9% 81% 44% 40% 49% Trump 37 75 7 36 44 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 5 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 8 8 6 9 7 9 DK/NA 7 6 5 7 6 8 Q20-42. Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable - Unfavorable). REGISTERED VOTERS ................ Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav Carson 27 14 59 1 13 Biden 49 39 10 2 10 Walker 36 27 37 1 9 Sanders 32 25 42 1 7 Rubio 32 28 38 1 4 Kasich 16 13 70 1 3 Bush 43 41 15 1 2 Webb 11 10 78 1 1 Fiorina 15 16 68 1 -1 Paul 32 33 34 2 -1 Jindal 20 22 57 1 -2 Cruz 28 31 41 1 -3 Huckabee 34 37 28 1 -3 Gilmore 3 7 89 1 -4 O'Malley 9 14 76 1 -5 Chafee 5 11 83 1 -6 Pataki 12 19 68 1 -7 Santorum 24 33 41 1 -9 Perry 26 36 38 - -10 Clinton 40 51 8 1 -11 Graham 14 31 54 1 -17 Christie 24 48 27 1 -24 Trump 27 59 13 2 -32 REPUBLICANS....................... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav Rubio 65 4 30 - 61 Walker 62 7 31 - 55 Bush 68 18 12 1 50 Carson 52 3 44 2 49 Huckabee 65 16 19 - 49 Cruz 55 8 37 - 47 Perry 53 15 32 - 38 Paul 51 16 31 1 35 Jindal 41 7 52 - 34 Santorum 45 14 40 1 31 Fiorina 29 5 66 - 24 Kasich 30 7 63 - 23 Trump 50 33 15 2 17 Christie 40 37 22 2 3 Gilmore 3 3 92 2 0 Graham 22 25 52 - -3 Pataki 15 19 65 1 -4 DEMOCRATS......................... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav Biden 82 7 10 1 75 Clinton 79 11 9 1 68 Sanders 52 4 43 - 48 O'Malley 16 7 78 - 9 Webb 14 8 77 1 6 Chafee 10 10 79 2 0 20. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 40% 5% 79% 35% 33% 47% Unfavorable 51 91 11 53 59 43 Hvn't hrd enough 8 3 9 10 7 9 REFUSED 1 - 1 3 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Feb 08 Jul 30 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2013 2015 Favorable 40 45 46 48 50 61 40 Unfavorable 51 47 47 45 45 34 51 Hvn't hrd enough 8 5 5 6 3 4 8 REFUSED 1 3 2 1 2 1 1 21. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 27% 50% 8% 26% 34% 20% Unfavorable 59 33 83 56 53 64 Hvn't hrd enough 13 15 8 15 12 13 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 1 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Favorable 27 20 Unfavorable 59 69 Hvn't hrd enough 13 10 REFUSED 2 1 22. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 43% 68% 27% 39% 44% 41% Unfavorable 41 18 58 45 41 42 Hvn't hrd enough 15 12 14 16 14 15 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 30 Feb 08 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2015 2013 Favorable 43 28 30 34 33 43 25 Unfavorable 41 44 43 40 32 41 29 Hvn't hrd enough 15 27 25 24 33 15 45 REFUSED 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 23. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 27% 52% 4% 25% 35% 19% Unfavorable 14 3 20 15 15 13 Hvn't hrd enough 59 44 76 59 49 67 REFUSED 1 2 - 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Favorable 27 23 Unfavorable 14 15 Hvn't hrd enough 59 60 REFUSED 1 2 24. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 24% 40% 15% 23% 28% 21% Unfavorable 48 37 55 48 49 46 Hvn't hrd enough 27 22 30 28 21 32 REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Dec 11 Oct 05 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2013 2011 Favorable 24 28 29 32 38 47 23 Unfavorable 48 46 42 39 33 23 17 Hvn't hrd enough 27 23 28 26 27 28 59 REFUSED 1 3 1 2 2 2 1 25. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 28% 55% 4% 28% 36% 19% Unfavorable 31 8 48 32 31 31 Hvn't hrd enough 41 37 47 40 32 50 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 28% May 2015) FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 30 Oct 02 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2015 2013 Favorable 28 28 25 23 21 28 16 Unfavorable 31 37 30 29 29 31 25 Hvn't hrd enough 41 34 43 46 49 41 58 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 26. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 15% 29% 2% 16% 19% 11% Unfavorable 16 5 26 15 17 15 Hvn't hrd enough 68 66 70 68 63 72 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Favorable 15 12 Unfavorable 16 18 Hvn't hrd enough 68 69 REFUSED 1 2 27. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 1% Unfavorable 7 3 5 10 7 7 Hvn't hrd enough 89 92 91 86 89 89 REFUSED 1 2 - 2 - 2 28. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 14% 22% 9% 15% 17% 12% Unfavorable 31 25 31 33 34 28 Hvn't hrd enough 54 52 60 50 48 60 REFUSED 1 - - 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Favorable 14 12 Unfavorable 31 31 Hvn't hrd enough 54 56 REFUSED 1 1 29. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 34% 65% 7% 38% 39% 30% Unfavorable 37 16 53 35 39 34 Hvn't hrd enough 28 19 40 25 21 35 REFUSED 1 - - 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Nov 22 Oct 31 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2010 2007 Favorable 34 37 33 34 36 41 15 Unfavorable 37 39 33 32 29 25 13 Hvn't hrd enough 28 23 32 33 34 33 70 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 30. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 20% 41% 3% 18% 25% 16% Unfavorable 22 7 34 23 26 19 Hvn't hrd enough 57 52 62 59 50 65 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 Jul 08 Dec 11 2015 2015 2014 2013 Favorable 20 17 21 21 Unfavorable 22 20 19 15 Hvn't hrd enough 57 62 59 63 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 31. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 16% 30% 6% 16% 21% 11% Unfavorable 13 7 16 14 15 12 Hvn't hrd enough 70 63 77 68 64 76 REFUSED 1 - - 2 - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 Jul 08 Dec 11 2015 2015 2014 2013 Favorable 16 12 13 12 Unfavorable 13 12 9 9 Hvn't hrd enough 70 75 78 78 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 32. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 12% 15% 8% 13% 17% 7% Unfavorable 19 19 20 16 20 18 Hvn't hrd enough 68 65 71 70 62 74 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Favorable 12 10 Unfavorable 19 19 Hvn't hrd enough 68 68 REFUSED 1 2 33. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 32% 51% 14% 33% 41% 23% Unfavorable 33 16 48 34 29 36 Hvn't hrd enough 34 31 37 32 29 38 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Nov 26 Oct 02 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2013 Favorable 32 34 33 31 35 35 30 Unfavorable 33 34 33 31 26 26 33 Hvn't hrd enough 34 32 33 37 37 37 37 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 34. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 26% 53% 4% 24% 31% 21% Unfavorable 36 15 57 34 37 35 Hvn't hrd enough 38 32 39 41 31 44 REFUSED - - 1 - 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 Jul 08 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 2015 2015 2014 2011 2011 2011 Favorable 26 21 23 18 22 22 Unfavorable 36 36 31 45 35 23 Hvn't hrd enough 38 42 45 35 42 55 REFUSED - 1 1 1 1 1 35. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 32% 65% 9% 31% 41% 25% Unfavorable 28 4 46 31 27 30 Hvn't hrd enough 38 30 44 38 31 45 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Jul 08 Dec 11 Feb 08 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2013 2013 Favorable 32 28 35 30 27 26 27 Unfavorable 28 24 25 22 25 25 15 Hvn't hrd enough 38 46 40 48 47 47 57 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 36. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 24% 45% 5% 24% 29% 20% Unfavorable 33 14 47 35 34 32 Hvn't hrd enough 41 40 48 40 35 47 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 Jul 08 Feb 22 2015 2015 2014 2012 Favorable 24 22 23 34 Unfavorable 33 32 30 31 Hvn't hrd enough 41 44 46 34 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 37. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 36% 62% 9% 37% 44% 27% Unfavorable 27 7 48 27 29 26 Hvn't hrd enough 37 31 43 34 27 46 REFUSED 1 - - 2 - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Jul 08 Dec 11 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2013 Favorable 36 22 24 23 18 21 Unfavorable 27 25 21 24 17 16 Hvn't hrd enough 37 50 54 52 64 62 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 - 1 38. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 49% 15% 82% 46% 45% 54% Unfavorable 39 71 7 46 47 32 Hvn't hrd enough 10 12 10 6 8 11 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 - 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*Low also 37% May) FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 30 May 28 Jul 08 Dec 11 Jul 12 Nov 12 Dec 11 2015 2015 2014 2013 2013 2008 2013* Favorable 49 43 42 37 38 50 37 Unfavorable 39 41 44 48 44 23 48 Hvn't hrd enough 10 12 14 13 16 25 13 REFUSED 2 3 - 2 2 2 2 39. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lincoln Chafee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 5% 3% 10% 3% 6% 3% Unfavorable 11 13 10 7 13 9 Hvn't hrd enough 83 84 79 88 80 85 REFUSED 1 - 2 2 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Lincoln Chafee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Favorable 5 5 Unfavorable 11 10 Hvn't hrd enough 83 84 REFUSED 1 1 40. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 9% 4% 16% 8% 11% 7% Unfavorable 14 22 7 13 18 11 Hvn't hrd enough 76 73 78 78 71 81 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 Jul 08 Dec 11 2015 2015 2014 2013 Favorable 9 7 4 3 Unfavorable 14 13 6 9 Hvn't hrd enough 76 80 89 87 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 41. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 32% 8% 52% 33% 35% 29% Unfavorable 25 44 4 26 30 21 Hvn't hrd enough 42 47 43 39 35 48 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 - 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Favorable 32 19 Unfavorable 25 18 Hvn't hrd enough 42 62 REFUSED 1 2 42. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Webb favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 11% 7% 14% 12% 14% 9% Unfavorable 10 10 8 10 14 6 Hvn't hrd enough 78 81 77 77 70 85 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 - TREND: Is your opinion of Jim Webb favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Favorable 11 10 Unfavorable 10 12 Hvn't hrd enough 78 76 REFUSED 1 2 43. Which of these is the most important issue in deciding your vote in the 2016 general election for president: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, or taxes? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Economy and jobs 37% 33% 46% 33% 41% 33% Terrorism 12 20 5 14 10 14 Immigration 9 13 4 11 9 9 Federal deficit 6 7 3 5 7 5 Health care 13 7 19 12 9 16 Foreign policy 9 12 8 10 9 9 Climate change 6 2 11 6 5 7 Taxes 3 3 2 5 4 3 DK/NA 4 3 3 5 5 4 48. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 37% 6% 76% 31% 32% 43% No 57 92 19 62 63 51 DK/NA 6 2 5 7 5 6 TREND: Would you say that Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 2015 Yes 37 39 38 No 57 53 54 DK/NA 6 8 8 49. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 33% 57% 14% 33% 42% 26% No 58 32 80 58 51 64 DK/NA 9 10 6 9 7 10 TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Yes 33 26 No 58 62 DK/NA 9 12 50. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 58% 33% 87% 56% 57% 59% No 34 60 5 39 37 32 DK/NA 7 7 8 5 6 9 51. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 52% 72% 45% 47% 57% 47% No 36 14 43 43 34 39 DK/NA 11 13 11 10 9 14 TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 2015 Yes 52 42 43 No 36 39 40 DK/NA 11 20 17 52. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 40% 25% 53% 44% 45% 35% No 22 31 13 21 25 20 DK/NA 38 44 34 35 30 44 53. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Scott Walker is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 38% 66% 15% 36% 48% 29% No 27 2 48 26 27 26 DK/NA 35 31 37 38 25 45 TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker is honest and trustworthy or not? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 2015 Yes 38 28 33 No 27 27 28 DK/NA 35 44 39 54. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 58% 25% 89% 58% 52% 64% No 40 74 9 39 47 33 DK/NA 2 1 2 3 2 3 TREND: Would you say that Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 2015 Yes 58 60 62 No 40 37 34 DK/NA 2 3 4 55. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 58% 80% 35% 61% 64% 52% No 38 18 61 34 34 43 DK/NA 4 2 3 5 3 5 TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Yes 58 56 No 38 37 DK/NA 4 7 56. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 52% 21% 77% 56% 51% 54% No 41 75 15 37 45 37 DK/NA 7 5 9 7 4 9 57. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 57% 76% 49% 53% 65% 49% No 33 11 43 38 28 37 DK/NA 10 13 8 9 6 14 TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 2015 Yes 57 51 52 No 33 34 34 DK/NA 10 14 15 58. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 31% 15% 46% 29% 32% 29% No 30 42 17 30 36 24 DK/NA 40 43 37 41 31 47 59. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Scott Walker has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 43% 65% 24% 43% 52% 34% No 23 6 34 19 24 21 DK/NA 35 29 42 38 24 45 TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker has strong leadership qualities or not? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 2015 Yes 43 35 35 No 23 24 27 DK/NA 35 41 38 60. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 45% 13% 81% 42% 40% 50% No 52 86 16 54 57 46 DK/NA 3 1 4 4 3 4 TREND: Would you say that Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 2015 Yes 45 48 47 No 52 47 47 DK/NA 3 5 6 61. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 31% 58% 9% 30% 35% 26% No 63 35 87 63 60 66 DK/NA 6 8 4 7 5 8 TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Jul 30 May 28 2015 2015 Yes 31 18 No 63 71 DK/NA 6 11 62. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 57% 29% 85% 56% 56% 58% No 35 65 7 34 38 31 DK/NA 8 6 8 10 6 11 63. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 46% 71% 32% 41% 51% 41% No 44 17 58 49 42 46 DK/NA 10 12 10 10 7 13 TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 2015 Yes 46 38 38 No 44 45 47 DK/NA 10 17 16 64. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 38% 16% 55% 41% 40% 36% No 28 43 16 24 32 25 DK/NA 34 41 29 35 28 39 65. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Scott Walker cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 36% 67% 10% 36% 45% 28% No 31 6 53 27 32 29 DK/NA 33 28 36 36 23 42 TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Jul 30 May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 2015 Yes 36 28 31 No 31 33 32 DK/NA 33 39 36 66. Which of these is the most important personal quality in deciding your vote in the 2016 general election for president: is it someone who is honest and trustworthy or is it someone who has strong leadership qualities or is it someone who cares about the needs and problems of people like you? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Honest/Trustworthy 37% 49% 25% 39% 40% 35% Strong leadership 26 32 25 24 27 26 Cares Needs/Problems 33 17 48 33 30 36 DK/NA 3 2 1 3 3 3
