July 5, 2007 - Bloomberg Spoils Giuliani Lead In New Jersey Pres Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Bush Approval Drops To Lowest Ever In Any Poll

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New York Sen. Hillary Clinton has gained some ground on former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani in a 2008 presidential matchup in New Jersey and now trails the Republican front-runner 47 - 44 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to a 49 - 40 percent Giuliani lead April 19.

But if New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg runs as an independent presidential candidate, New Jersey voters give Sen. Clinton 36 percent, with 36 percent for Mayor Giuliani and 18 percent for Mayor Bloomberg, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. In other presidential matchups, without Bloomberg:
  • Clinton tops Arizona Sen. John McCain 47 - 41 percent;
  • Clinton beats former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson 50 - 37 percent;
  • Giuliani beats Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 48 - 40 percent;
  • Giuliani tops former Vice President Al Gore 47 - 44 percent;
  • Obama tops McCain 44 - 40 percent;
  • Obama beats Thompson 49 - 32 percent;
  • Gore tops McCain 48 - 39 percent;
  • Gore tops Thompson 52 - 34 percent.
"Sen. Hillary Clinton is growing stronger in New Jersey, and now trails former Mayor Rudolph Giuliani by just three percent in a head to head matchup, compared with nine points in the last poll. And if Mayor Michael Bloomberg runs as an independent, he takes more votes from Giuliani, making the three-way race too close to call," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

In a Democratic primary matchup, Clinton gets 37 percent, with 18 percent for Gore, 15 percent for Obama and 6 percent for John Edwards.

Giuliani overwhelms the Republican primary field with 46 percent, followed by McCain at 11 percent, Thompson at 9 percent and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney at 7 percent.

"On the Democratic side, Sen. Clinton is dominant, leading 2 - 1 over non-candidate Al Gore, with Sen. Barack Obama slipping into third place and John Edwards struggling for survival. If Gore does not run, Mrs. Clinton inherits half of his votes and is close to a majority in the crowded field," Richards said.

"The Republican field is all Giuliani, who captures nearly a majority anyway you look at the candidate list."

New Jersey voters give Giuliani a 61 - 29 percent favorability rating. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
  • 50 - 42 percent for Clinton;
  • 50 - 20 percent for Bloomberg;
  • 46 - 30 percent for McCain;
  • 55 - 35 percent for Gore;
  • 49 - 21 percent for Obama;
  • 39 - 30 percent for Edwards;
  • For Romney, 63 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion;
  • For Thompson 55 percent haven't heard enough.
Bush Approval

New Jersey voters disapprove 74 - 21 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing, the lowest score for any President in more than 10 years of Quinnipiac University polls.

Voters say 76 - 18 percent that the U.S. is headed in the wrong direction.

They disapprove 75 - 21 percent of the way President Bush is handling the war and say 57 - 38 percent that Congress should set a deadline to withdraw all U.S. troops from Iraq.

"President Bush's approval rating has hit an all time low of just 21 percent - lower than we've ever measured for a President in any state or national poll," Richards said.

From June 26 - July 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,604 New Jersey voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The survey includes 505 Republicans, with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points, and 575 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and nationally as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson for whom would you vote?

                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Biden 2% 1% 2% Clinton 37 29 42 Dodd 1 - 1 Edwards 6 8 6 Gore 18 24 14 Gravel - 1 - Kucinich - 1 - Obama 15 17 14 Richardson 4 7 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 DK/NA 13 7 17

WITHOUT GORE (Based on second choice of Gore supporters)

                        Tot     Men     Wom


Biden 3% 4% 2% Clinton 46 40 50 Dodd 1 - 1 Edwards 8 10 6 Gravel - 1 - Kucinich - 1 - Obama 19 24 16 Richardson 4 7 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 DK/NA 15 8 19

WITHOUT Edwards (Based on second choice of Edwards supporters)

                        Tot     Men     Wom


Biden 2% 2% 2% Clinton 39 31 44 Dodd 1 1 1 Gore 20 27 15 Gravel - 1 - Kucinich 1 1 - Obama 16 18 15 Richardson 4 8 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 DK/NA 13 8 17



2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote?

                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Brownback 1% - 1% Gilmore - - - Gingrich 6 8 3 Giuliani 46 45 47 Huckabee 1 1 1 Hunter - - - McCain 11 12 10 Paul 1 2 - Romney 7 7 7 Tancredo - - - Thompson, F. 9 11 8 Thompson, T. 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 4 DK/NA 12 8 17

WITHOUT McCain (Based on second choice of McCain supporters)

                        Tot     Men     Wom


Brownback 1% - 1% Gilmore - - - Gingrich 6 8 3 Giuliani 54 55 53 Huckabee 1 1 1 Hunter - - - Paul 1 2 - Romney 7 8 7 Tancredo - - - Thompson, F. 10 11 8 Thompson, T. 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 4 DK/NA 13 9 18

WITHOUT Gingrich (Based on second choice of Gingrich supporters)

                        Tot     Men     Wom


Brownback 1% - 1% Gilmore - - - Giuliani 48 49 48 Huckabee 1 1 1 Hunter 1 1 - McCain 12 13 10 Paul 1 2 - Romney 7 7 7 Tancredo - - - Thompson, F. 10 11 9 Thompson, T. 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 4 DK/NA 13 10 17



TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote? (na = not asked)

                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS..........
                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Biden 2 3 3 6 Clark na 1 1 2 Clinton 37 38 41 30 Dodd 1 - - - Edwards 6 9 5 8 Gore 18 12 10 11 Gravel - - na na Kucinich - - 1 - Obama 15 16 19 16 Richardson 4 2 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 1 DK/NA 13 16 15 17



TREND: (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson, and Tommy Thompson, for whom would you vote? (na = not asked)

                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS........
                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Brownback 1 1 - 1 Gilmore - - 1 1 Gingrich 6 4 5 11 Giuliani 46 49 58 39 Hagel na - 1 1 Huckabee 1 - - 1 Hunter - - - 1 McCain 11 18 15 21 Pataki na 2 1 3 Paul 1 - - na Romney 7 5 2 5 Tancredo - 1 1 na Thompson, F. 9 6 na na Thompson, T. 1 1 - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 2 3 DK/NA 12 10 10 13



3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 44% 6% 80% 36% 36% 51% Giuliani 47 90 16 50 56 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 DK/NA 6 2 3 10 4 8

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Clinton 44 40 41 41 Giuliani 47 49 50 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 6 8 6 8



4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Obama 40% 5% 72% 33% 32% 46% Giuliani 48 87 20 51 57 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 4 2 2 DK/NA 7 5 4 10 5 9

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1
                        2007    2007    2007


Obama 40 38 39 Giuliani 48 48 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 DK/NA 7 10 9



5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Gore 44% 8% 80% 37% 38% 49% Giuliani 47 88 15 51 55 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 2 2 DK/NA 5 3 3 6 3 7



6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 47% 9% 84% 38% 39% 53% McCain 41 85 11 41 50 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 5 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 - 6 4 2 DK/NA 7 2 4 11 4 10

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1 Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Clinton 47 45 45 43 McCain 41 41 45 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 7 9 6 10



7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Obama 44% 11% 75% 41% 38% 50% McCain 40 80 15 36 48 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 5 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 7 5 4 DK/NA 9 6 6 11 7 11

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Obama 44 43 45 39 McCain 40 41 41 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 2 2 DK/NA 9 11 10 15



8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Gore 48% 11% 83% 42% 41% 54% McCain 39 82 9 39 47 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 2 6 4 3 DK/NA 7 3 4 9 5 9



9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 50% 10% 88% 41% 42% 56% Thompson 37 82 5 38 46 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 5 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 3 2 DK/NA 9 5 5 12 6 11



10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Obama 49% 15% 81% 43% 42% 55% Thompson 32 71 6 31 43 23 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 5 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 4 4 4 3 DK/NA 13 10 8 17 9 17



11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Gore 52% 13% 88% 46% 47% 57% Thompson 34 78 4 35 42 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 5 4 3 DK/NA 9 5 5 11 6 11



12. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Rudy Giuliani the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 36% 3% 71% 26% 27% 44% Giuliani 36 75 11 34 44 29 Bloomberg 18 18 12 26 20 16 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 2 2 1 DK/NA 8 3 5 12 6 10



TREND: Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? na = not asked

Score = %Favorable (%Haven't heard enough)

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Bloomberg, Michael 50(28) na na na Clinton, Hillary 50( 6) 49( 5) 47( 8) 53( 6) Edwards, John 39(28) 53(21) na 44(30) Giuliani, Rudy 61( 8) 62( 9) 66(12) 63(12) Gore, Al 55( 9) na na na McCain, John 46(21) 52(20) 48(25) 52(21) Obama, Barack 49(29) 48(34) 42(45) 41(49) Romney, Mitt 16(63) 16(65) na 11(76) Thompson, Fred 27(55) 18(71) na na



13. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 50% 12% 84% 43% 42% 57% Unfavorable 42 85 10 48 51 35 Hvn't hrd enough 6 2 5 7 5 6 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 50 49 47 53 Unfavorable 42 43 43 38 Hvn't hrd enough 6 5 8 6 REFUSED 2 3 2 2



14. Is your opinion of -- Michael Bloomberg favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 50% 53% 51% 50% 52% 48% Unfavorable 20 24 19 18 22 18 Hvn't hrd enough 28 22 28 29 23 33 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 3 1



15. Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 39% 23% 54% 39% 37% 41% Unfavorable 30 52 14 31 38 23 Hvn't hrd enough 28 22 31 27 24 33 REFUSED 2 3 1 4 2 3

TREND: Is your opinion of John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007


Favorable 39 53 44 Unfavorable 30 22 23 Hvn't hrd enough 28 21 30 REFUSED 2 3 2



16. Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 61% 91% 40% 63% 65% 58% Unfavorable 29 5 49 28 29 29 Hvn't hrd enough 8 4 9 8 5 10 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 61 62 66 63 Unfavorable 29 27 20 24 Hvn't hrd enough 8 9 12 12 REFUSED 2 3 2 1



17. Is your opinion of -- Al Gore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 55% 22% 83% 52% 51% 59% Unfavorable 35 71 8 38 41 29 Hvn't hrd enough 9 6 9 8 7 10 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2



18. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 46% 67% 34% 45% 51% 41% Unfavorable 30 17 39 31 34 28 Hvn't hrd enough 21 13 25 21 13 29 REFUSED 3 2 2 3 2 3

TREND: Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 46 52 48 52 Unfavorable 30 24 24 24 Hvn't hrd enough 21 20 25 21 REFUSED 3 4 4 2



19. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 49% 32% 69% 47% 46% 53% Unfavorable 21 36 8 23 27 15 Hvn't hrd enough 29 31 22 28 25 31 REFUSED 1 2 1 2 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 49 48 42 41 Unfavorable 21 15 11 9 Hvn't hrd enough 29 34 45 49 REFUSED 1 2 2 1



20. Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 16% 33% 5% 15% 22% 11% Unfavorable 20 12 26 21 24 17 Hvn't hrd enough 63 54 67 62 53 71 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007


Favorable 16 16 11 Unfavorable 20 16 12 Hvn't hrd enough 63 65 76 REFUSED 2 3 1



21. Is your opinion of -- Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 27% 51% 13% 26% 36% 20% Unfavorable 16 5 27 13 17 16 Hvn't hrd enough 55 43 59 59 46 62 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19
                        2007    2007


Favorable 27 18 Unfavorable 16 8 Hvn't hrd enough 55 71 REFUSED 2 3



26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 21% 52% 5% 19% 22% 20% Disapprove 74 43 94 76 74 75 DK/NA 4 6 2 5 4 5

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 16% 20% 26% 20% 23% Disapprove 76 75 71 76 73 DK/NA 8 4 3 5 3

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25  Dec 7   Oct 18  Jul 5
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2006    2001    2007


Approve 21 25 26 26 26 90 21 Disapprove 74 70 70 69 70 7 74 DK/NA 4 5 5 5 4 3 4



30. Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Right direction 18% 38% 10% 15% 23% 13% Wrong track 76 56 86 79 72 80 DK/NA 6 7 5 6 5 7

TREND: Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Right direction 18 19 23 22 Wrong track 76 73 71 71 DK/NA 6 8 6 7



31. What do you think is the most important issue for the next president to deal with?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


War (Iraq) 47 37 56 47 42 51

Immigration 10 15 4 12 11 9

Terrorism Total 10% 25% 4% 9% 14% 7% Terrorism general 6 16 2 5 9 4 Security/Safety 4 9 2 4 5 3

Foreign Affairs Total 6% 4% 7% 5% 7% 6% Foreign affairs/ policy general 4 2 5 3 4 3 Priorities s/b at home, not abroad 1 - 1 1 2 1 Middle East 1 2 1 1 1 2

Healthcare/Costs/ Ins/HMO's 6 3 6 8 6 7

Economy Total 6% 6% 4% 4% 6% 4% Economy general 2 3 2 2 3 2 Unemployment/jobs 2 2 2 1 2 1 Cost of living 1 - - 1 - 1 Business leaving/ Outsourcing 1 1 - - 1 -

Energy Total 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% - Energy costs general 1 1 1 1 1 - Gas prices 1 - - - 1 -

Education general 1 - 2 1 1 1 Environment/Pollution 1 - 3 - 1 1 Budget general 1 1 1 1 1 1 Taxes general 1 1 1 - 1 1 Politicians general 1 - - 3 2 1

Other 1 1 - 1 1 1 DK/NA 3 3 4 2 2 4

TREND: What do you think is the most important issue for the next president to deal with?

                        Jul 5   Apr 19
                        2007    2007


Economy Total 6% 5% Economy general 2 3 Unemployment/jobs 2 1 Cost of living 1 1 Business leaving/ Outsourcing 1 -

Environment/Pollution 1 3%

Foreign Affairs Total 6% 6% Foreign affairs/ policy general 4 3 Priorities s/b at home, not abroad 1 2 Middle East 1 1

Healthcare/Costs/ Ins/HMO's 6% 4%

Immigration 10% 5%

Terrorism Total 10% 8% Terrorism general 6 5 Security/Safety 4 3

War (Iraq) 47% 54%

Other 1 1 DK/NA 3 3



32. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 21% 48% 5% 19% 24% 18% Disapprove 75 46 93 75 74 76 DK/NA 5 6 2 6 3 6

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?

                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25  Dec 7   Jan 25  Jul 5
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2006    2006    2007 


Approve 21 22 22 23 22 34 21 Disapprove 75 74 75 72 75 62 75 DK/NA 5 4 4 5 3 4 5



33. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Right thing 32% 65% 12% 29% 38% 26% Wrong thing 64 28 86 66 59 68 DK/NA 5 7 2 5 4 5

TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Right   Right
                        Jul 5   Apr 19  Mar 1   Jan 25  Dec 7   Oct 19  Jan 25
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2006    2004    2007


Right thing 32 33 32 30 32 44 30 Wrong thing 64 62 64 63 64 51 63 DK/NA 5 5 3 7 4 5 7



34. Do you support or oppose Congress setting a time-table for withdrawing all United States troops from Iraq?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Support 57% 25% 79% 56% 51% 63% Oppose 38 70 15 39 47 30 DK/NA 5 5 6 5 3 7

TREND: Do you support or oppose Congress setting a time-table for withdrawing all United States troops from Iraq? (* - 4/19/07 included the wording "by the end of next year?)

                        Jul 5   Apr 19
                        2007    2007 *


Support 57 57 Oppose 38 38 DK/NA 5 5