October 13, 2011 - 'Jersey Shore' Is Bad For Garden State, Voters Say 4-1, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama's Approval, Reelection Prospects Are Low

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The MTV show "Jersey Shore" is bad for the Garden State, New Jersey voters say 67 - 16 percent, including 67 - 26 percent among voters under 35 years old, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters say 71 - 20 percent that Gov. Christopher Christie did "the right thing" when he blocked a state tax credit for the show's production, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University poll finds. Again, there is little difference among age groups as voters under 35 support the governor 71 - 25 percent. All other groups agree with the funding block.

Voters also agree 78 - 17 percent with Christie's reasoning that taxpayers should not pay $420,000 for a show that "perpetuates misconceptions about the state and its citizens."

By a 69 - 9 percent margin, New Jersey voters have an unfavorable opinion of "Jersey Shore," with 20 percent who haven't heard enough about it to make a decision. The breakdown by age group is:
  • 18 - 34 years: 67 - 20 percent unfavorable with 12 percent who haven't heard enough;
  • 35 - 54 years: 79 - 8 percent unfavorable with 11 percent who haven't heard enough;
  • Over 54: 61 - 6 percent unfavorable, with 30 percent who haven't heard enough.
"Garden State voters agree overwhelmingly with Gov. Christopher Christie's decision to slam the door on Snooki, The Situation and the rest of the 'Jersey Shore' crew," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The show gets heavy negative ratings from New Jerseyans, including the seashore neighbors. They think the Seaside-based show is bad for the state.

"Although there have been legal arguments against his decision, voters agree that Gov. Christie was 'duty bound' to do what he did."

New Jersey voters disapprove 52 - 43 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his lowest score ever in the Garden State. Disapproval is 88 - 10 percent among Republicans and 60 - 34 percent among independent voters. Democrats approve 77 - 19 percent. There is a large gender gap as women approve 50 - 45 percent while men disapprove 60 - 36 percent.

Voters split 47 - 48 percent on whether President Obama deserves reelection.

Obama leads possible Republican challengers in an early look at 2012 presidential election matchups:
  • 47 - 41 percent over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney;
  • 49 - 36 percent over Texas Gov. Rick Perry;
  • 47 - 38 percent over businessman Herman Cain.
"President Barack Obama is in the dumps in traditionally blue New Jersey, but he's doing better than Snooki, and fortunately for the president, he's doing better than this week's crop of Republican contenders," Carroll said.

U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez gets a 42 - 35 percent approval rating, up from a 39 - 42 percent score August 17. Voters split 40 - 38 percent on whether Menendez deserves another six-year term in the Senate. By a narrow 43 - 39 percent, voters say they would vote for Menendez over an unnamed Republican challenger.

"Sen. Robert Menendez doesn't have a 2012 opponent yet, but he ought to be watchful. His job approval and 'deserves reelection' scores are pallid and even Democratic disapprovers are in the double digits," Carroll said.

New Jersey voters approve 46 - 37 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Frank Lautenberg is doing, up from 43 - 45 percent in August.

From October 5 - 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,186 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. (If Registered Republican)If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Perry                 7%    10%     5%
Gingrich              5      8      2
Romney               28     22     36
Bachmann              4      2      6
Santorum              1      2      1
Paul                 11     13      9
Huntsman              2      2      3
Cain                 17     21     13
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      4      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      2
DK/NA                18     15     20
 
 
2. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Obama                47%     8%    87%    39%    42%    52%
Romney               41     86      5     46     46     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      2      3      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      1      4      4      2
DK/NA                 7      4      5      7      5      8
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Obama                60%    50%    47%    50%    33%
Romney               28     39     41     37     55
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      4      -      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      3      1      3
DK/NA                 7      6      4     11      5
 
 
3. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Perry the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Obama                49%     9%    88%    40%    43%    54%
Perry                36     79      4     38     43     29
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      1      4      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      1      7      5      3
DK/NA                 9      6      6     11      6     11
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Obama                59%    49%    49%    54%    36%
Perry                25     33     35     35     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      3      2      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      7      6      -      4
DK/NA                11      9      7      9      6
 
 
4. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Herman Cain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Obama                47%     8%    86%    40%    43%    51%
Cain                 38     79      5     41     43     32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      -      5      4      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      1      5      4      2
DK/NA                 9      8      7      9      6     12
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Obama                60%    49%    48%    52%    31%
Cain                 24     33     41     33     55
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      2      1      5
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      5      3      1      3
DK/NA                13     10      7     11      5
 
 
5. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2012 presidential election next year - are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More                 30%    43%    27%    27%    32%    28%
Less                 28     18     30     33     25     31
About the same       40     38     43     39     41     39
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      2
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
More                 22%    30%    30%    34%    34%
Less                 28     29     29     26     29
About the same       48     40     40     39     35
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      2
 
 
6. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            35%    61%    18%    36%    39%    32%
Unfavorable          31     12     47     31     33     30
Hvn't hrd enough     32     26     35     32     27     36
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      2
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            30%    33%    39%    34%    42%
Unfavorable          32     34     32     33     26
Hvn't hrd enough     37     32     25     32     31
REFUSED               1      2      3      -      1
 
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Oct 13  Sep 26  Jul 5   Apr 19  Jan 25
                     2011    2007    2007    2007    2007
 
Favorable            35      22      16      16      11
Unfavorable          31      27      20      16      12
Hvn't hrd enough     32      49      63      65      76
REFUSED               1       2       2       3       1
 
 
7. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            47%    11%    83%    40%    42%    52%
Unfavorable          47     84     12     54     54     39
Hvn't hrd enough      3      2      3      2      2      4
REFUSED               4      3      2      4      2      5
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            61%    51%    44%    50%    31%
Unfavorable          31     45     49     43     62
Hvn't hrd enough      2      2      2      3      4
REFUSED               6      1      6      4      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Oct 13  Nov 19  Jun 12  Feb 21  Sep 26  Nov 19  Jan 25
                     2011    2008    2008    2008    2007    2008    2007
 
Favorable            47      64      56      58      50      64      41
Unfavorable          47      21      32      21      23      21       9
Hvn't hrd enough      3      11      11      19      25      11      49
REFUSED               4       4       2       3       2       4       1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of - Herman Cain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            25%    46%     8%    27%    29%    21%
Unfavorable          20      4     38     16     19     21
Hvn't hrd enough     54     50     53     56     51     58
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      -
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            20%    24%    28%    19%    33%
Unfavorable          25     21     22     20     14
Hvn't hrd enough     55     55     49     61     51
REFUSED               -      1      1      -      1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            19%    39%     5%    19%    25%    13%
Unfavorable          39     12     61     40     39     39
Hvn't hrd enough     41     48     33     41     35     47
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1      1
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable             8%    19%    22%    22%    21%
Unfavorable          44     42     44     34     31
Hvn't hrd enough     45     38     33     44     46
REFUSED               3      1      1      -      2
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              42%    23%    63%    37%    43%    40%
Disapprove           35     56     13     43     40     31
DK/NA                23     21     24     20     17     29
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Approve              46%    45%    40%    40%    36%
Disapprove           25     35     35     36     43
DK/NA                29     19     25     25     21
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Oct 13  Aug 17  Jun 21  Apr 20  Feb 09  Jun 21  Feb 20
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2008
 
Approve              42      39      45      42      44      45      30
Disapprove           35      42      38      40      36      38      31
DK/NA                23      19      18      18      20      18      39
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              46%    27%    63%    45%    47%    45%
Disapprove           37     56     17     43     41     33
DK/NA                17     17     20     12     12     22
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Approve              56%    48%    43%    45%    39%
Disapprove           24     38     38     35     46
DK/NA                20     14     19     20     15
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High approve also 55% Sep 1999 & Jul 1999)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Oct 13  Aug 17  Jun 21  Apr 20  Feb 09  Jul 27  Feb 20
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2000*   2008
 
Approve              46      43      46      44      45      55      39
Disapprove           37      45      40      42      40      22      31
DK/NA                17      12      14      14      15      23      29
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              43%    10%    77%    34%    36%    50%
Disapprove           52     88     19     60     60     45
DK/NA                 5      2      4      6      4      5
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Approve              54%    45%    39%    51%    29%
Disapprove           38     51     56     45     67
DK/NA                 8      4      5      4      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                            APPROVE.......
                                                            High    Low
                     Oct 13  Aug 17  Jun 21  Apr 20  Feb 09 Jun 10  Oct 13
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2011   2009    2011
 
Approve              43      44      50      51      55     68      43
Disapprove           52      52      46      45      41     25      52
DK/NA                 5       4       4       4       4      7       5
 
 
20. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes/Deserves         47%    12%    86%    37%    40%    54%
No/Does not          48     86     12     55     56     40
DK/NA                 5      2      2      8      5      6
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Yes/Deserves         59%    48%    46%    55%    32%
No/Does not          33     47     50     39     65
DK/NA                 7      6      4      6      4
 
 
TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Oct 13  Aug 17
                     2011    2011
 
Yes/Deserves         47      45
No/Does not          48      49
DK/NA                 5       6
 
 
21. If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Robert Menendez the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Menendez             43%     5%    85%    35%    42%    45%
Republican           39     84      5     42     44     34
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  7      5      5     10      6      8
DK/NA                11      6      4     13      8     13
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Menendez             60%    46%    43%    38%    32%
Republican           22     35     43     42     51
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  6      8      7      7      8
DK/NA                12     11      8     13     10
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Robert Menendez the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?
                     Oct 13  Aug 17
                     2011    2011
 
Menendez             43      45
Republican           39      39
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  7       6
DK/NA                11      10
 
 
22. Do you feel that Robert Menendez deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes/Deserves         40%    12%    72%    35%    38%    42%
No/Does not          38     66     11     45     44     33
DK/NA                21     22     17     21     17     25
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Yes/Deserves         49%    41%    39%    39%    34%
No/Does not          30     40     38     36     44
DK/NA                20     19     23     24     22
 
 
TREND: Do you feel that Robert Menendez deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Oct 13  Aug 17
                     2011    2011
 
Yes/Deserves         40      41
No/Does not          38      43
DK/NA                21      16
 
 
39. Is your opinion of the MTV show Jersey Shore favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             9%    10%    12%     7%    12%     7%
Unfavorable          69     70     67     73     65     72
Hvn't hrd enough     20     17     20     17     21     18
REFUSED               2      3      1      3      2      2
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable             8%    15%     5%     9%     4%
Unfavorable          64     61     82     65     76
Hvn't hrd enough     27     21     11     22     16
REFUSED               2      3      1      3      3
 
                     AGE IN YEARS.....
                     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            20%     8%     6%
Unfavorable          67     79     61
Hvn't hrd enough     12     11     30
REFUSED               2      1      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the MTV show Jersey Shore favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Oct 13  Aug 24
                     2011    2010
 
Favorable             9      11
Unfavorable          69      51
Hvn't hrd enough     20      35
REFUSED               2       2
 
 
40. Do you think the MTV show Jersey Shore is good or bad for New Jersey?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Good                 16%    14%    20%    16%    20%    13%
Bad                  67     71     66     68     61     73
DK/NA                17     15     14     16     19     14
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Good                 16%    22%     8%     9%    21%
Bad                  60     61     79     73     66
DK/NA                24     17     13     17     13
 
                     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good                 26%    16%    12%
Bad                  67     73     62
DK/NA                 6     11     25
 
TREND: Do you think the MTV show Jersey Shore is good or bad for New Jersey?
                     Oct 13  Aug 24
                     2011    2010
 
Good                 16      20
Bad                  67      54
DK/NA                17      26
 
 
41. As you may know, Governor Christie recently blocked a tax credit for the makers of "Jersey Shore". Do you think Governor Christie did the right thing or the wrong thing?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Right thing          71%    81%    64%    74%    72%    71%
Wrong thing          20     12     27     19     20     19
DK/NA                 9      7      9      7      8     10
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Right thing          70%    65%    76%    79%    71%
Wrong thing          19     25     18     14     19
DK/NA                10     10      6      7     10
 
                     AGE IN YEARS.....
                     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Right thing          71%    75%    68%
Wrong thing          25     18     20
DK/NA                 5      7     13
 
 
42. Governor Christie said he was "duty-bound" to see that taxpayers were "not footing a $420,000 bill" for a project which he says "does nothing more than perpetuate misconceptions about the state and its citizens." Do you agree or disagree with Governor Christie's reasoning?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Agree                78%    87%    70%    78%    76%    79%
Disagree             17      9     24     18     19     16
DK/NA                 5      4      6      4      5      5
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Agree                75%    74%    81%    80%    80%
Disagree             18     22     17     10     15
DK/NA                 7      4      2     10      4
 
                     AGE IN YEARS.....
                     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Agree                80%    78%    76%
Disagree             15     20     17
DK/NA                 5      3      7
 
 
43. Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  12%    25%     4%    13%    15%     9%
No                   84     71     93     85     83     86
DK/NA                 3      4      3      2      2      5
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Yes                   9%    13%    13%    10%    15%
No                   84     83     84     89     82
DK/NA                 7      4      3      1      3
 

Demographic Summary