January 19, 2012 - New Jersey Support For Same-Sex Marriage At New High, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Big Gender Gap As Voters Oppose Online Gambling

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New Jersey voters support 52 - 42 percent allowing same-sex couples to marry, the first time support tops 50 percent. There is a strong divide between those who attend religious services weekly and those who attend less frequently, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

The previous high for same-sex marriage was 49 - 43 percent in an April 23, 2009 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In today's survey, support for same-sex marriage is 62 - 33 percent among Democrats and 54 - 38 percent among independent voters. Republicans are opposed 59 - 35 percent. White Catholics support it 50 - 45 percent while white Protestants are opposed 51 - 44 percent. Voters who attend religious services weekly are opposed 58 - 36 percent, while voter who attend services less frequently support same-sex marriage 61 - 33 percent.

On related issues, New Jersey voter opinions are:
  • 65 - 32 percent that same-sex marriage is not a threat to traditional marriage;
  • 53 - 45 percent that denying same-sex marriage is discrimination;
  • 69 - 26 percent support for New Jersey's same-sex civil union law;
  • 66 - 29 percent support allowing same-sex couples to adopt children.
"Legislative Democrats are making same-sex marriage their big opening issue and New Jersey voters support them. There are demographic splits - Catholics are more supportive than Protestants," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"All groups support same-sex civil unions. Most groups support allowing same-sex couples to adopt children, while black voters are divided on that issue."

New Jersey voters oppose 52 - 41 percent legalizing online gambling. There is a big gender gap as men support online gambling 55 - 40 percent while women oppose it 64 - 28 percent. Opposition is 59 - 35 percent among Democrats and 52 - 43 percent among independent voters, while Republicans are divided 47 - 47 percent.

"With women opposed more than 2-1, online gambling comes up craps in New Jersey," Carroll said.

New Jersey voters support 58 - 30 percent the so-called Millionaire's Tax, with 75 - 14 percent support among Democrats and 61 - 29 percent support among independent voters. Republicans oppose the tax 52 - 33 percent.

Voters approve 52 - 42 percent of the way Gov. Christopher Christie is handling the New Jersey budget and support 61 - 36 percent his proposal to eliminate pay for unused sick leave by state employees. Voters also say 56 - 36 percent that public employees are not doing their fair share to ease the state's financial problems.

By a 57 - 23 percent margin, Garden State voters have a favorable opinion of public school teachers, but they give the state's largest teachers union a negative 29 - 44 percent score.

Voters support 66 - 30 percent rewarding good teachers with extra pay, but also support 59 - 33 percent Gov. Christie's proposal to limit teacher tenure.

Voters oppose school vouchers 49 - 44 percent and oppose charter schools 51 - 41 percent.

"Gov. Christopher Christie, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo and New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg all are picking on the teachers union," Carroll said. "New Jerseyans like the people who teach their kids but don't like their union. Merit pay and limits on tenure both win heavy support."

From January 10 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,460 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

12. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied        4%     9%     2%     3%     4%     5%     4%     5%
Smwht satisfied      38     55     27     36     39     37     42     25
Smwht dissatisfied   34     21     40     39     36     32     33     38
Very dissatisfied    24     14     30     23     21     26     19     31
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      -      1      -      1
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Very satisfied        2%     5%     3%     6%     5%
Smwht satisfied      36     33     45     35     43
Smwht dissatisfied   38     36     32     27     34
Very dissatisfied    24     26     19     31     17
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      -
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*High also 71% Feb 1999)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 19  Nov 16  Oct 12  Aug 17  Jun 21  Dec 26  Jun 17
                     2012    2011    2011    2011    2011    2000*   2010
 
Very satisfied        4       5       6       3       3      10       2
Smwht satisfied      38      40      38      31      31      61      22
Smwht dissatisfied   34      33      28      35      34      21      36
Very dissatisfied    24      22      26      31      31       7      39
DK/NA                 1       1       1       -       1       1       1
 
 
23. To help balance the state budget, do you support or oppose the so called millionaires tax?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              58%    33%    75%    61%    57%    58%    57%    63%
Oppose               30     52     14     29     35     26     32     22
DK/NA                12     14     11     10      8     16     11     14
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Support              57%    64%    53%    52%    56%
Oppose               29     26     35     33     34
DK/NA                14     10     12     15     10
 
TREND: To help balance the state budget, do you support or oppose the so called millionaires tax?
                     Jan 19  Nov 17  Apr 21  Feb 10
                     2012    2011    2011    2011
 
Support              58      64      52      55
Oppose               30      28      36      34
DK/NA                12       8      12      11
 
 
24. Do you think New Jersey's public employees are doing their fair share to ease New Jersey's financial problems or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  36%    25%    46%    35%    38%    34%    37%    33%
No                   56     71     44     57     55     57     56     51
DK/NA                 8      4     10      8      7      9      7     15
 
                     Union  KidsIn                      Philly
                     HsHlds PubSch Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Yes                  53%    33%    33%    41%    28%    36%    37%
No                   41     62     58     54     58     57     54
DK/NA                 7      5      9      5     14      7      9
 
 
25. Currently New Jersey government employees get paid for unused sick leave. Governor Christie wants to end this policy. Do you agree or disagree with Governor Christie's proposal to end paid unused sick leave for government employees?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Agree                61%    79%    43%    64%    63%    58%    68%    30%
Disagree             36     19     53     33     34     38     29     65
DK/NA                 3      3      4      3      3      4      3      5
 
                     Union  KidsIn                      Philly
                     HsHlds PubSch Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Agree                45%    58%    54%    64%    64%    58%    61%
Disagree             51     39     44     33     34     35     37
DK/NA                 5      3      3      3      3      7      2
 
 
26. Is your opinion of New Jersey's public school teachers favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about them?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            57%    42%    66%    56%    56%    57%    57%    62%
Unfavorable          23     38     11     24     25     22     26      9
Hvn't hrd enough     17     14     19     18     16     18     14     25
REFUSED               3      5      3      2      3      4      3      5
 
                     Union  KidsIn                      Philly
                     HsHlds PubSch Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            67%    61%    52%    59%    60%    53%    56%
Unfavorable          19     20     18     22     30     24     24
Hvn't hrd enough     11     16     23     17      8     19     17
REFUSED               3      3      7      1      2      4      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of New Jersey's public school teachers favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about them?
                     Jan 19  Apr 21  Feb 10  Dec 21  Nov 11  June 17
                     2012    2011    2011    2010    2010    2010
 
Favorable            57      64      62      57      56      56
Unfavorable          23      16      17      23      24      26
Hvn't hrd enough     17      17      18      18      19      16
REFUSED               3       3       3       2       1       2
 
 
27. Is your opinion of the state's largest teachers union, the New Jersey Education Association, favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            29%    12%    48%    23%    27%    32%    24%    52%
Unfavorable          44     67     18     53     51     37     52     10
Hvn't hrd enough     25     19     32     23     20     30     22     36
REFUSED               1      3      1      1      2      1      1      2
 
                     Union  KidsIn                      Philly
                     HsHlds PubSch Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            44%    32%    35%    35%    25%    22%    26%
Unfavorable          38     42     30     40     56     43     51
Hvn't hrd enough     15     25     33     23     18     34     20
REFUSED               3      2      1      2      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the state's largest teachers union, the New Jersey Education Association, favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Jan 19  Apr 21  Feb 10  Dec 21  Nov 11  Jun 17
                     2012    2011    2011    2010    2010    2010
 
Favorable            29      30      27      27      21      24
Unfavorable          44      45      44      48      46      50
Hvn't hrd enough     25      24      28      25      32      25
REFUSED               1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
28. Some people say that public school teachers who do an outstanding job should be rewarded with additional pay, so called merit pay. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            66%    68%    64%    64%    69%    62%    65%    68%
Bad idea             30     30     31     30     26     33     31     27
DK/NA                 5      2      6      5      4      5      4      6
 
                     Union  KidsIn                      Philly
                     HsHlds PubSch Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Good idea            62%    68%    68%    67%    68%    65%    61%
Bad idea             34     29     28     29     29     28     35
DK/NA                 4      3      4      4      3      7      5
 
TREND: Some people say that public school teachers who do an outstanding job should be rewarded with additional pay, so called merit pay. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Jan 19  Apr 21  Feb 10  Nov 11  Jan 21  
                     2012    2011    2011    2010    2010    
 
Good idea            66      69      68      67      66      
Bad idea             30      27      27      28      31      
DK/NA                 5       4       4       5       3      
 
 
29. Governor Christie wants to limit teacher tenure. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            59%    76%    41%    64%    64%    54%    67%    22%
Bad idea             33     17     50     29     29     37     26     63
DK/NA                 8      7     10      6      7      9      6     15
 
                     Union  KidsIn                      Philly
                     HsHlds PubSch Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Good idea            54%    61%    47%    59%    64%    57%    66%
Bad idea             40     31     44     36     28     29     27
DK/NA                 6      8      9      5      8     14      7
 
TREND: Governor Christie wants to limit teacher tenure. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Jan 19  Apr 21  Feb 10
                     2012    2011    2011
 
Good idea            59      62      62
Bad idea             33      32      30
DK/NA                 8       6       7
 
 
30. Do you favor or oppose providing parents with tax money in the form of school vouchers to help pay for their children to attend private or religious schools?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favor                44%    56%    33%    43%    47%    41%    43%    41%
Oppose               49     37     60     51     46     53     53     47
DK/NA                 7      7      7      6      8      6      5     12
 
                     Union  KidsIn                      Philly
                     HsHlds PubSch Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favor                39%    43%    42%    45%    42%    46%    43%
Oppose               56     48     52     49     53     46     48
DK/NA                 6      9      6      6      5      8      9
 
TREND: Do you favor or oppose providing parents with tax money in the form of school vouchers to help pay for their children to attend private or religious schools?
                     Jan 19  Apr 21  Feb 10  Nov 24  Jul 03
                     2012    2011    2011    2009    2001
 
Favor                44      39      43      43      50
Oppose               49      56      52      54      43
DK/NA                 7       6       5       3       7
 
 
31. As you may know, charter schools are operated by private or non-profit organizations. The schools are paid for with tax dollars. Do you think there should be an expansion of charter schools in New Jersey or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  41%    49%    37%    39%    43%    40%    38%    49%
No                   51     45     57     54     49     52     54     44
DK/NA                 8      7      6      7      8      8      8      7
 
                     Union  KidsIn                      Philly
                     HsHlds PubSch Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Yes                  33%    46%    49%    40%    42%    41%    37%
No                   60     47     45     51     54     49     54
DK/NA                 7      6      6      9      4      9      9
 
TREND: As you may know, charter schools are operated by private or non-profit organizations. The schools are paid for with tax dollars. Do you think there should be an expansion of charter schools in New Jersey or not?
                     Jan 19  Apr 21  Feb 10  Jan 21  Nov 24
                     2012    2011    2011    2010    2009
 
Yes                  41      36      41      40      38
No                   51      56      50      52      55
DK/NA                 8       8       8       8       7
 
 
32. Have you heard or read anything about the recent toll hikes on the New Jersey Turnpike and Garden State Parkway?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  90%    90%    88%    90%    90%    89%    90%    87%
No                   10     10     11     10      9     11      9     13
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Yes                  92%    92%    89%    79%    95%
No                    8      8     11     20      5
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1      -
 
 
33. Who do you think is more responsible for these toll hikes, Governor Chris Christie or former Governor Jon Corzine?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Christie             33%    12%    54%    30%    27%    38%    26%    61%
Corzine              46     69     27     48     52     40     52     20
BOTH(VOL)             4      2      4      5      5      4      3      6
NEITHER(VOL)          4      4      3      4      5      2      5      2
DK/NA                13     13     12     13     11     15     14     11
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Christie             45%    31%    27%    35%    28%
Corzine              31     50     49     39     54
BOTH(VOL)             7      4      3      4      4
NEITHER(VOL)          3      4      5      4      3
DK/NA                14     11     16     18     10
 
 
34. Would you support or oppose a law that would allow same-sex couples to get married?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              52%    35%    62%    54%    49%    55%    55%    45%
Oppose               42     59     33     38     44     40     39     51
DK/NA                 6      5      5      8      8      5      6      4
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Support              54%    56%    54%    47%    49%
Oppose               38     41     40     46     44
DK/NA                 8      3      6      8      7
 
                     WHITE......   ATTEND SERVICES
                     Prot   Cath   Weekly Less
 
Support              44%    50%    36%    61%
Oppose               51     45     58     33
DK/NA                 5      5      6      6
 
TREND: Would you support or oppose a law that would allow same-sex couples to get married?
                     Jan 19  Nov 25  Apr 23  Dec 7   Nov 8
                     2012    2009    2009    2006    2006
 
Support              52      46      49      44      41
Oppose               42      49      43      50      50
DK/NA                 6       6       8       5       9
 
 
35. Do you approve or disapprove of New Jersey's law establishing civil unions for same-sex couples?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              69%    65%    69%    71%    69%    69%    74%    53%
Disapprove           26     30     26     24     25     26     21     43
DK/NA                 5      5      5      5      6      4      5      3
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Approve              64%    69%    76%    69%    69%
Disapprove           30     26     21     29     24
DK/NA                 7      6      3      3      7
 
                     WHITE......   ATTEND SERVICES
                     Prot   Cath   Weekly Less
 
Approve              70%    71%    58%    75%
Disapprove           26     24     38     19
DK/NA                 4      5      4      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of New Jersey's law establishing civil unions for same-sex couples? (*new law)
                     Jan 19  Apr 23
                     2012    2009*
 
Approve              69      63
Disapprove           26      30
DK/NA                 5       7
 
 
36. Do you support or oppose allowing same-sex couples to adopt children?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              66%    59%    71%    69%    64%    68%    71%    48%
Oppose               29     37     26     25     31     27     25     50
DK/NA                 4      4      3      6      4      4      4      3
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Support              62%    70%    74%    61%    64%
Oppose               34     27     21     33     32
DK/NA                 4      3      5      6      5
 
                     WHITE......   ATTEND SERVICES
                     Prot   Cath   Weekly Less
 
Support              60%    71%    53%    74%
Oppose               34     24     41     23
DK/NA                 6      4      6      3
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose allowing same-sex couples to adopt children?
                     Jan 19  Apr 23
                     2012    2009
 
Support              66      60
Oppose               29      32
DK/NA                 4       9
 
 
37. Some people say that same-sex marriage is a threat to traditional marriage between a man and woman. Do you agree or disagree?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Agree                32%    46%    23%    30%    35%    30%    29%    37%
Disagree             65     51     75     67     62     68     68     60
DK/NA                 3      3      2      3      3      2      2      3
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Agree                25%    33%    25%    35%    39%
Disagree             69     66     73     62     59
DK/NA                 6      1      2      3      2
 
                     WHITE......   ATTEND SERVICES
                     Prot   Cath   Weekly Less
 
Agree                36%    35%    46%    25%
Disagree             63     62     51     73
DK/NA                 2      2      3      2
 
TREND: Some people say that same-sex marriage is a threat to traditional marriage between a man and woman. Do you agree or disagree?
                     Jan 19  Apr 23
                     2012    2009
 
Agree                32      30
Disagree             65      66
DK/NA                 3       5
 
 
38. Some people say that not allowing same-sex couples to get married is discrimination. Do you agree or disagree?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Agree                53%    32%    65%    56%    50%    56%    55%    54%
Disagree             45     66     31     42     49     41     43     43
DK/NA                 2      2      4      2      2      3      2      3
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Agree                57%    55%    53%    50%    48%
Disagree             42     43     44     47     49
DK/NA                 1      2      3      3      3
 
                     WHITE......   ATTEND SERVICES
                     Prot   Cath   Weekly Less
 
Agree                42%    50%    43%    58%
Disagree             55     47     55     39
DK/NA                 3      2      2      3
 
TREND: Some people say that not allowing same-sex couples to get married is discrimination. Do you agree or disagree?
                     Jan 19  Apr 23
                     2012    2009
 
Agree                53      50
Disagree             45      45
DK/NA                 2       5
 
 
39. Do you support or oppose legalizing online gambling in New Jersey?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              41%    47%    35%    43%    55%    28%    44%    33%
Oppose               52     47     59     52     40     64     50     60
DK/NA                 7      6      6      5      6      7      7      8
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Support              40%    41%    40%    37%    47%
Oppose               55     53     56     57     43
DK/NA                 5      7      4      6     10
 
                     WHITE......   ATTEND SERVICES
                     Prot   Cath   Weekly Less
 
Support              32%    49%    29%    47%
Oppose               61     45     63     47
DK/NA                 7      6      8      6
 

Demographic Summary