September 5, 2012 - New Jersey Gov. Christie Gets No GOP Convention Bounce, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Most Biased Against Atheists, Muslims

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While 58 percent of New Jersey voters watched Gov. Christopher Christie' keynote speech at the Republican National Convention, only 22 percent of voters say it makes them think more favorably of the governor, whose 53 - 42 percent job approval rating is barely changed, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 54 - 39 percent job approval in a July 17 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In today's survey, men approve of Christie 62 - 34 percent while women are divided with 46 percent approving and 49 percent disapproving. Approval is 87 - 11 percent among Republicans and 57 - 35 percent among independent voters. Democrats disapprove 74 - 22 percent. There is a wide racial gap as white voters approve 60 - 36 percent while black voters disapprove 67 - 24 percent.

Watching Christie's convention speech were 70 percent of Republican voters, 48 percent of Democrats and 58 percent of independent voters. Among all voters, 22 percent think more favorably of Christie while 18 percent think less favorably and 54 percent say the speech did not affect their opinion.

"If Gov. Christopher Christie's speech marked the opening of a 2016 presidential campaign he might want to try again. People who like the governor liked the speech; those who don't didn't. The net result - zero," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Gov. Christie gets OK job-approval numbers overall and a solid plus among men, but he needs to do more work to win women. The racial gap is huge," Carroll added.

Overwhelming majorities of New Jersey voters say they would not vote against a candidate because of the candidate's religion or other qualities, but 39 percent say they are less likely to vote for an atheist and 30 percent are less likely to vote for a Muslim. Other biases are:
  • 17 percent are less likely to vote for a born-again Christian;
  • 15 percent are less likely to vote for an overweight or obese person;
  • 12 percent are less likely to vote for a Mormon;
  • 11 percent are less likely to vote for a gay or lesbian;
  • 3 percent are less likely to vote for a woman;
  • 1 percent is less likely to vote for an African American.
"Of course politics mixes into Quinnipiac University's bias thermometer. Democrats in general are more open-minded than Republicans, but there are obvious exceptions. For example, 17 percent of Democrats and 4 percent of Republicans say they are less likely to vote for a Mormon and 18 percent of Democrats and 8 percent of Republicans are less likely to vote for someone who is overweight or obese," Carroll said.

"Looking ahead to the state vote in 2013, only 3 percent would be less likely to vote for a woman, such as State Sen. Barbara Buono, and only 1 percent is less likely to vote for an African-American like Mayor Corey Booker."

In an early look at the 2013 governor's race, Christie leads Newark Mayor Corey Booker 47 - 40 percent. The governor leads 85 - 7 percent among Republicans and 51 - 35 percent among independent voters while Democrats go to Booker 72 - 13 percent. Men back Christie 55 - 36 percent while women back Booker by a narrow 44 - 40 percent. White voters go Republican 55 - 35 percent while black voters go Democratic 64 - 15 percent.

Christie gets a 52 - 42 percent favorability rating from New Jersey voters, while Booker gets a 49 - 11 percent favorability, with 38 percent who haven't heard enough about him to form an opinion.

From August 27 - September 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,560 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

7. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Cory Booker the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Booker               40%     7%    72%    35%    36%    44%    35%    64%
Christie             47     85     13     51     55     40     55     15
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      -      2      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      2      -      -      2      -      2
DK/NA                11      6     12     12      9     12      9     16
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Booker               50%    42%    31%    44%    32%
Christie             32     44     57     45     59
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      -      -      -
DK/NA                14     11     11     10      6
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Christopher Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            52%    86%    21%    58%    60%    46%    58%    21%
Unfavorable          42     12     70     37     37     47     37     69
Hvn't hrd enough      4      1      7      2      3      5      3      3
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      1      3      2      6
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            35%    52%    64%    49%    61%
Unfavorable          53     44     32     46     35
Hvn't hrd enough      7      4      3      2      3
REFUSED               4      1      2      3      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Christopher Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Sep 05  May 16  Jun 17  Jan 20  Nov 24  May 16  Aug 12
                     2012    2012    2010    2010    2009    2012    2008
                                                                     
Favorable            52      53      42      33      36      53      21
Unfavorable          42      39      40      27      25      39       7
Hvn't hrd enough      4       7      17      38      37       7      69
REFUSED               2       2       1       3       2       2       2
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Cory Booker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            49%    38%    62%    48%    54%    45%    48%    65%
Unfavorable          11     20      5     11     13     10     11     15
Hvn't hrd enough     38     41     32     40     31     44     40     18
REFUSED               1      2      1      2      2      1      1      3
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            62%    55%    50%    29%    48%
Unfavorable          11     11     16      9     10
Hvn't hrd enough     26     33     34     58     41
REFUSED               1      1      1      3      1
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              53%    87%    22%    57%    62%    46%    60%    24%
Disapprove           42     11     74     35     34     49     36     67
DK/NA                 5      2      4      8      4      5      5      9
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Approve              44%    50%    65%    49%    61%
Disapprove           46     47     32     44     35
DK/NA                10      3      2      7      3
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 44% Jun 2010)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Sep 05  Jul 17  May 16  Apr 11  Feb 29  Apr 11  Jun 21
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011*
                             
Approve              53      54      57      59      55      59      44
Disapprove           42      39      38      36      38      36      47
DK/NA                 5       7       6       5       7       5      10
 
 
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Stephen Sweeney is handling his job as State Senate President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              26%    25%    25%    28%    31%    21%    25%    27%
Disapprove           23     24     21     24     27     19     22     30
DK/NA                51     51     54     48     41     60     53     42
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Stephen Sweeney is handling his job as State Senate President? (* Low also 23% Oct 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
 
                     Sep 05  Jul 17  May 16  Apr 11  Feb 29  Feb 29  Nov 16
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011* 
                                                                     
Approve              26      27      25      27      28      28      23    
Disapprove           23      24      25      27      26      26      28    
DK/NA                51      48      49      46      46      46      50    
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheila Oliver is handling her job as Assembly Speaker?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              22%    15%    29%    20%    23%    22%    18%    42%
Disapprove           16     21     11     19     23     10     17     12
DK/NA                61     63     60     61     54     68     66     46
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheila Oliver is handling her job as Assembly Speaker? (*High also 24% Jan 2012, Jun 2011, **Low also 19% Aug 2010, Nov 2010)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Sep 05  Jul 17  May 16  Apr 11  Feb 29  Feb 29  Nov 16
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012*   2011**
                             
Approve              22      22      20      23      24      24      19
Disapprove           16      19      19      19      20      20      21
DK/NA                61      59      61      58      57      57      60
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              44%    20%    67%    41%    44%    43%    40%    58%
Disapprove           36     62     13     39     43     29     40     21
DK/NA                20     19     21     21     13     27     20     20
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 55% Sep 1999 & Jul 1999)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Sep 05  Jul 18  May 16  Apr 12  Feb 29  Jul 27  Feb 20
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2000*   2008
                             
Approve              44      44      46      46      49      55      39
Disapprove           36      36      34      34      36      22      31
DK/NA                20      20      20      20      15      23      29
 
 
16. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied        6%    11%     3%     5%     6%     6%     6%     1%
Smwht satisfied      50     62     43     48     52     49     50     47
Smwht dissatisfied   30     17     38     31     29     31     29     38
Very dissatisfied    13      9     15     15     13     14     14     13
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      1      1      -
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Very satisfied        5%     4%     7%     5%     7%
Smwht satisfied      46     52     52     49     51
Smwht dissatisfied   33     29     31     33     27
Very dissatisfied    14     14     10     13     14
DK/NA                 3      1      1      -      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*High also 71% Feb 1999)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Sep 05  Jul 17  May 16  Apr 11  Feb 29  Dec 26  Jun 17
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2000*   2010
                             
Very satisfied        6       5       5       8       6      10       2
Smwht satisfied      50      43      47      45      44      61      22
Smwht dissatisfied   30      32      29      30      30      21      36
Very dissatisfied    13      19      18      16      20       7      39
DK/NA                 1       1       -       1       1       1       1
 
 
Q48a. (Summary table for ques 48-55/More likely) If a candidate for public office is a/an -attribute- would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter to your vote? (This table reports only those saying an attribute makes them more likely to vote for the candidate.)
                     MORE LIKELY TO VOTER FOR CANDIDATE..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
(Attribute)
  Woman              10      5     15     10      7     13      9     12
  Born-again Christn  7      8     10      5      7      7      5     24
  African American    4      3      7      2      4      4      1     16
  Atheist             3      -      4      4      6      1      4      2
  Gay/Lesbian         2      2      2      2      3      1      2      3
  Mormon              1      1      2      1      1      1      -      3
  Muslim              1      1      1      1      1      1      1      2
  Overweight/Obese    1      1      1      -      1      1      1      2
 
 
Q48b. (Summary table for ques 48-55/Less likely) If a candidate for public office is a/an -attribute- would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter to your vote? (This table reports only those saying an attribute makes them less likely to vote for the candidate.)
                     LESS LIKELY TO VOTER FOR CANDIDATE..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
(Attribute)
  Atheist            39     55     30     37     33     43     39     45
  Muslim             30     47     17     31     30     30     33     17
  Born-again Christn 17      7     23     17     18     15     20      4
  Overweight/Obese   15      8     18     17     15     14     15     15
  Mormon             12      4     17     11     13     11     10     20
  Gay/Lesbian        11     22      6     10     13     10     12      8
  Woman               3      3      2      3      3      2      3      -
  African American    1      4      -      2      2      1      2      -
 
 
48. If a candidate for public office is - a Mormon would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter to your vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely           1%     1%     2%     1%     1%     1%     -      3%
Less likely          12      4     17     11     13     11     10     20
Wouldn't matter      86     95     80     87     86     86     88     75
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      1      1      2
 
 
49. If a candidate for public office is - a woman would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter to your vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely          10%     5%    15%    10%     7%    13%     9%    12%
Less likely           3      3      2      3      3      2      3      -
Wouldn't matter      87     92     83     87     90     84     88     86
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      -      1      -      2
 
 
 
50. If a candidate for public office is - an atheist would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter to your vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely           3%     -      4%     4%     6%     1%     4%     2%
Less likely          39     55     30     37     33     43     39     45
Wouldn't matter      57     44     65     57     59     54     56     49
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      2      1      4
 
 
51. If a candidate for public office is - a born-again Christian would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter to your vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely           7%     8%    10%     5%     7%     7%     5%    24%
Less likely          17      7     23     17     18     15     20      4
Wouldn't matter      75     84     67     77     74     76     74     72
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      -      1      1      -
 
 
52. If a candidate for public office is - gay or lesbian would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter to your vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely           2%     2%     2%     2%     3%     1%     2%     3%
Less likely          11     22      6     10     13     10     12      8
Wouldn't matter      85     75     91     88     82     88     86     86
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      1      1      1      2
 
 
53. If a candidate for public office is - a Muslim would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter to your vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely           1%     1%     1%     1%     1%     1%     1%     2%
Less likely          30     47     17     31     30     30     33     17
Wouldn't matter      66     50     81     65     66     67     63     79
DK/NA                 3      2      1      3      2      3      3      2
 
 
54. If a candidate for public office is - very overweight or obese would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter to your vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely           1%     1%     1%     -      1%     1%     1%     2%
Less likely          15      8     18     17     15     14     15     15
Wouldn't matter      84     91     81     83     84     84     84     82
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      1      1      1
 
 
 
55. If a candidate for public office is - an African American would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter to your vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely           4%     3%     7%     2%     4%     4%     1%    16%
Less likely           1      4      -      2      2      1      2      -
Wouldn't matter      94     94     93     96     94     95     97     83
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1      1      -      -      1
 
 
56. (Post 8/28 speech) Did you watch Christopher Christie's televised speech at the Republican National Convention?
                     WEDNESDAY THRU SUNDAY.................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  58%    70%    48%    58%    60%    55%
No                   42     30     52     42     39     45 
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      -      - 
 
 
57. (Post 8/28 speech) Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, did Christie's speech at the Republican National Convention make you think more favorably of the Republican party, less favorably of the Republican party, OR didn't it affect your opinion of the Republican party?
                     WEDNESDAY THRU SUNDAY.................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More favorably       19%    36%     6%    19%    24%    15%
Less favorably       15      3     30     11     13     17 
Not affect opinion   59     56     57     63     58     59 
DK/NA                 7      5      8      8      5      8 
 
 
58. (Post 8/28 speech) Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, did Christie's speech at the Republican National Convention make you think more favorably of Christie, less favorably of Christie, OR didn't it affect your opinion of Christie?
                     WEDNESDAY THRU SUNDAY.................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More favorably       22%    39%     6%    21%    26%    19%
Less favorably       18      4     33     16     17     19 
Not affect opinion   54     55     54     56     52     56 
DK/NA                 5      2      7      7      5      6 
 
 

Demographic Summary