September 6, 2012 - Obama Tops Romney Among New Jersey Likely Voters, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Menendez Has 10-Point Lead Over Kyrillos

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President Barack Obama tops Gov. Mitt Romney, his Republican challenger, 51 - 44 percent among New Jersey likely voters, who say the president will do a better job on Medicare and health care while Romney will do a better job on the economy, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This is the first measure of New Jersey likely voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and can not be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters.

The gender and racial gaps are wide as Obama leads 57 - 38 percent among women and 92 - 3 percent among blacks. Romney leads 51 - 44 percent among men and 54 - 41 percent among white voters. Romney has a thin 48 - 44 percent lead among independent voters.

New Jersey voters give Obama a 52 - 44 percent favorability, while Romney has a 43 - 41 percent score. Vice President Joseph Biden gets a 44 - 41 percent favorability. U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, Romney's running mate, has a split 33 - 34 percent favorability, with 33 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion.

"Gov. Mitt Romney trails President Barack Obama by 7 points in blue, blue New Jersey. Is it a post-convention bounce for Romney and will the president get his own bounce this week?" asked Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The votes look to be locked in. Almost 90 percent of Obama's New Jersey voters and more than 90 percent of Romney backers say they'll stand by their man."

"U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, Romney's running mate, gets mixed reviews: 33 percent of Garden State voters say he's qualified to be president, while 29 percent say no and 37 percent don't know. Vice President Joseph Biden is qualified to step up, voters say 46 - 37 percent."

New Jersey voters say 59 - 38 percent that Obama cares about their needs and problems. Only 45 percent say Romney cares, while 48 percent say he doesn't care.

Voters list several issues as "extremely important" in their presidential vote:
  • 67 percent say the economy;
  • 54 percent cite health care;
  • 46 percent point to taxes;
  • 45 percent list the budget deficit;
  • 44 percent say Medicare.
Romney would do a better job on the economy, 48 percent of voters say, while 45 percent pick Obama. Obama does a better job on health care, voters say 52 - 43 percent, and on Medicare, voters say 51 - 41 percent.

Government is doing too many things better left to business and individuals, 51 percent of New Jersey voters say, while 43 percent say government should do more.

"The big party split is on government's role: Half of all voters, including 83 percent of Republicans, say government is doing too much; a bit less than half, including 70 percent of Democrats, say government should solve problems," Carroll said. U.S. Senate Race

Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez leads State Sen. Joseph Kyrillos, his Republican challenger, 50 - 40 percent in this first likely voter survey.

Women back Menendez 55 - 33 percent while men are divided with 47 percent for Kyrillos and 44 percent for Menendez. Independent voters go Democratic 46 - 39 percent. White voters back Kyrillos 49 - 41 percent while black voters back Menendez 89 - 5 percent.

New Jersey voters approve 49 - 33 percent of the job Menendez is doing. The incumbent has a 42 - 28 percent favorability. For Kyrillos, 65 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion.

From August 27 - September 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,471 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.


1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                51%     6%    95%    44%    44%    57%    41%    92%
Romney               44     91      3     48     51     38     54      3
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                 4      2      1      6      3      4      3      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                47%    37%    32%    33%    37%    46%    20%    36%
Romney               49     58     64     63     59     49     76     60
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
DK/NA                 3      4      3      4      2      4      3      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                54%    49%    58%    51%    51%    48%    67%    51%    46%
Romney               42     46     33     45     46     49     29     46     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      -      1      1      1      1      1
DK/NA                 4      4      9      3      2      2      3      2      5
 
 
1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1
                     Tot    Obama  Romney
 
Mind made up         89%    86%    92%    
Might change         10     12      7     
DK/NA                 1      2      1     
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            43%    85%     7%    45%    49%    37%    53%     7%
Unfavorable          41      6     77     35     39     43     35     71
Hvn't hrd enough     13      7     14     17      9     17      9     18
REFUSED               3      2      2      4      3      3      2      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            49%    56%    59%    62%    58%    48%    71%    59%
Unfavorable          41     32     29     29     33     37     18     30
Hvn't hrd enough      8     10     10      7      7     12      7      9
REFUSED               2      2      3      2      2      3      4      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            41%    44%    33%    44%    41%    48%    27%    42%    48%
Unfavorable          45     39     44     42     41     40     52     40     39
Hvn't hrd enough     12     14     16     13     14     10     19     15      9
REFUSED               2      3      7      1      3      2      1      2      4
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            52%     8%    93%    48%    46%    58%    43%    93%
Unfavorable          44     89      4     47     52     36     55      2
Hvn't hrd enough      1      1      1      2      -      3      1      1
REFUSED               2      2      1      3      2      3      2      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            49%    38%    32%    36%    39%    47%    19%    37%
Unfavorable          49     59     65     61     60     49     75     60
Hvn't hrd enough      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
REFUSED               2      2      3      2      1      3      4      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            56%    50%    59%    55%    50%    50%    70%    50%    48%
Unfavorable          41     46     33     41     45     49     25     47     48
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      2      2      2      -      3      1      2
REFUSED               2      3      6      2      3      1      2      2      3
 
 
4. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Robert Menendez the Democrat and Joe Kyrillos the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Menendez or Kyrillos? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Menendez             50%     7%    89%    46%    44%    55%    41%    89%
Kyrillos             40     85      5     39     47     33     49      5
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                10      8      6     14      8     11     10      7
 
 
4a. (If Senate candidate chosen q4) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q4...
                     Tot  Menendez Kyrillos
 
Mind made up         80%    77%    83%    
Might change         20     23     17     
DK/NA                 -      -      -     
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Robert Menendez favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            42%    11%    70%    39%    40%    43%    36%    69%
Unfavorable          28     57      5     29     36     21     34      4
Hvn't hrd enough     28     32     25     29     21     35     29     24
REFUSED               1      -      -      3      3      -      1      3
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Joe Kyrillos favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            23%    47%     6%    21%    28%    20%    27%    12%
Unfavorable          10      3     19      8     10     10      9     23
Hvn't hrd enough     65     50     75     69     61     69     64     61
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      -      3
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              49%    17%    78%    45%    46%    51%    43%    71%
Disapprove           33     62      8     33     41     25     38      8
DK/NA                19     22     14     22     12     25     19     21
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              51%     7%    93%    44%    44%    57%    40%    96%
Disapprove           46     91      6     51     54     39     58      1
DK/NA                 3      2      1      5      2      4      2      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              45%    36%    32%    33%    36%    44%    22%    34%
Disapprove           52     62     67     65     63     53     76     63
DK/NA                 2      2      1      3      1      3      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              52%    49%    60%    52%    49%    46%    66%    49%    47%
Disapprove           45     48     34     44     48     53     29     49     50
DK/NA                 3      3      6      3      3      1      5      2      3
 
 
17. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More                 41%    53%    37%    37%    41%    41%    41%    46%
Less                 17     13     14     23     16     19     18      9
About the same       42     34     49     40     44     40     41     46
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More                 36%    45%    46%    44%    40%    42%    49%    44%
Less                 19     17     19     14     17     19     20     16
About the same       45     38     35     41     43     39     32     41
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More                 34%    46%    43%    43%    43%    33%    39%    37%    45%
Less                 18     17     16     16     19     18     16     19     16
About the same       48     37     41     41     39     48     46     44     39
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
18. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            46%     5%    89%    36%    39%    52%    37%    83%
Unfavorable          45     88      7     50     54     38     55      9
Hvn't hrd enough      7      6      4     10      6      8      6      4
REFUSED               2      1      -      4      2      2      2      3
 
 
19. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            39%    83%     4%    37%    43%    34%    46%     6%
Unfavorable          51      9     88     48     47     54     44     80
Hvn't hrd enough      8      6      7     12      7     10      7      9
REFUSED               2      2      -      3      2      2      2      4
 
 
20. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            44%     7%    76%    41%    40%    47%    36%    74%
Unfavorable          41     81      6     44     48     35     51      4
Hvn't hrd enough     14     12     16     13     10     17     12     20
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      2      1      1      2
 
 
21. Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            33%    67%     4%    34%    41%    25%    40%     2%
Unfavorable          34      5     57     34     35     33     32     46
Hvn't hrd enough     33     29     39     31     23     41     28     50
REFUSED               1      -      -      1      1      1      -      2
 
 
22. Does Barack Obama's choice of Joe Biden for Vice President make you more likely to vote for Obama for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely          14%     3%    27%    10%     9%    18%    10%    35%
Less likely          14     27      2     16     17     12     17      1
No difference        71     70     70     73     72     69     73     61
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      -      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More likely           8%    11%     7%     9%     7%    12%     1%     9%
Less likely          16     18     19     20     19     15     21     19
No difference        76     71     74     71     73     73     78     72
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          10%    17%    23%    13%    14%     9%    11%    13%    15%
Less likely          14     15     17     10     13     16     15     12     17
No difference        76     68     56     76     72     75     73     74     68
DK/NA                 1      1      4      -      -      1      1      1      -
 
 
23. Does Mitt Romney's choice of Paul Ryan for Vice President make you more likely to vote for Romney for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely          23%    46%     2%    24%    28%    19%    28%     5%
Less likely          25      6     38     26     23     27     21     36
No difference        51     47     58     49     48     52     50     58
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      1      2      1      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More likely          23%    31%    33%    32%    32%    24%    40%    30%
Less likely          27     17     19     15     20     23     14     18
No difference        49     51     48     52     48     52     45     51
DK/NA                 -      1      -      1      -      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          20%    25%    20%    26%    24%    21%    15%    21%    27%
Less likely          30     21     28     25     26     24     33     22     25
No difference        49     52     46     48     50     54     50     55     47
DK/NA                 1      2      6      1      -      1      1      2      1
 
 
24. Do you think Joe Biden is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Joe Biden to say?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Qualified            46%    16%    72%    44%    47%    45%    41%    67%
Not qualified        37     72      9     38     43     32     45      9
Don't know enough    16     12     18     16      9     21     13     22
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      2      1      3
 
 
25. Do you think Paul Ryan is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Paul Ryan to say?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Qualified            33%    61%     8%    34%    41%    25%    39%    11%
Not qualified        29      5     48     31     28     30     27     41
Don't know enough    37     33     44     34     30     44     34     46
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      1      1      1      2
 
 
Q26a. (Summary table for ques 26-33 & ques 36-43) Will -issue- be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on -issue- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? (This table reports only those saying an issue is extremely important to their vote)
                     LIKELY VOTERS SAYING -ISSUE- IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT TO VOTE
                     IssueExtremely    CAND WHO WOULD BETTER HANDLE ISSUE Q36-43
(Issue)              ImpToVote Q26-33   Obama  Romney DK/NA
 
The economy          67                 40     55      6
Health care          54                 56     40      4
Taxes                46                 40     55      5
Budget deficit       45                 27     68      5
Medicare             44                 59     36      5
Foreign policy       33                 45     49      6
Reproductive health  33                 80     15      5
Abortion             27                 68     26      5
 
 
26. Will - health care be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  54%    51%    64%    48%    51%    58%    53%    67%
Very important       33     34     30     35     33     32     33     30
Somewhat important   11     12      6     14     13      9     11      3
Not important         2      3      1      2      3      2      2      -
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  52%    57%    55%    66%    57%    48%    59%    52%    56%
Very important       32     33     37     24     33     32     31     34     31
Somewhat important   14      8      5     10      7     17      9     11     10
Not important         2      3      3      1      3      3      2      3      2
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
27. Will - taxes be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  46%    57%    40%    43%    47%    46%    46%    50%
Very important       35     33     38     34     33     37     35     31
Somewhat important   15      7     18     18     17     14     16     17
Not important         2      2      2      4      3      2      2      1
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  42%    50%    40%    51%    48%    47%    45%    49%    44%
Very important       36     34     37     30     36     34     30     37     36
Somewhat important   20     12     17     15     14     16     21     11     16
Not important         2      3      4      3      2      3      3      2      3
DK/NA                 -      1      2      1      1      -      -      -      1
 
 
28. Will - the economy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  67%    78%    62%    62%    67%    66%    66%    75%
Very important       28     20     32     31     28     28     29     20
Somewhat important    5      2      6      6      5      5      5      4
Not important         1      -      1      1      -      1      -      -
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  67%    66%    60%    63%    70%    69%    70%    71%    60%
Very important       27     29     35     33     25     26     24     24     34
Somewhat important    6      4      4      3      5      5      4      4      5
Not important         -      1      2      -      -      -      2      -      -
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
29. Will - the budget deficit be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  45%    58%    30%    49%    47%    43%    47%    38%
Very important       32     32     35     29     29     35     32     29
Somewhat important   19      8     30     17     20     18     17     26
Not important         4      1      5      5      3      4      3      6
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  40%    49%    46%    49%    46%    42%    46%    43%    47%
Very important       31     33     35     32     29     33     26     35     32
Somewhat important   24     15     15     16     22     20     22     19     18
Not important         5      3      4      3      2      5      6      3      4
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
30. Will - foreign policy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  33%    36%    26%    37%    35%    31%    35%    34%
Very important       42     44     45     38     43     42     44     24
Somewhat important   22     19     25     22     20     24     19     40
Not important         2      2      3      3      2      3      2      2
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      1      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  32%    34%    37%    33%    34%    30%    29%    29%    38%
Very important       44     41     38     39     43     45     46     43     42
Somewhat important   23     22     19     26     21     23     23     26     18
Not important         1      3      6      2      2      2      2      3      2
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
31. Will - Medicare, which is the government program which pays for health care for seniors be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  44%    40%    53%    41%    39%    49%    42%    63%
Very important       34     32     33     36     32     37     35     27
Somewhat important   18     24     12     18     23     13     21      6
Not important         3      4      2      4      5      1      2      2
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  36%    50%    54%    54%    49%    32%    32%    35%    60%
Very important       35     34     30     31     36     35     41     35     31
Somewhat important   25     12     10     14     13     29     19     27      8
Not important         4      3      5      -      2      4      8      4      -
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      1
 
 
32. Will - women's reproductive health issues be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  33%    18%    48%    30%    26%    39%    28%    55%
Very important       27     22     32     26     27     28     27     29
Somewhat important   23     30     14     27     26     21     25     12
Not important        15     28      3     15     19     11     19      3
DK/NA                 2      2      1      2      1      2      2      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Extremely important  29%    26%    18%    22%    21%    35%    10%    23%
Very important       26     28     30     28     27     27     30     28
Somewhat important   23     26     29     26     27     22     35     26
Not important        20     18     20     22     23     14     22     21
DK/NA                 2      2      2      2      2      2      3      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  32%    32%    36%    40%    30%    28%    52%    28%    29%
Very important       27     28     37     23     28     25     27     26     29
Somewhat important   23     24     14     18     26     28     14     27     23
Not important        17     14     10     17     14     19      6     18     16
DK/NA                 1      2      2      2      2      1      1      1      2
 
 
33. Will - abortion be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  27%    20%    36%    24%    22%    32%    26%    31%
Very important       22     21     24     19     20     23     21     20
Somewhat important   27     29     23     31     31     24     28     28
Not important        22     28     15     24     25     19     23     19
DK/NA                 2      2      2      2      2      2      2      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Extremely important  25%    26%    23%    21%    20%    31%    30%    22%
Very important       20     23     23     22     20     23     22     21
Somewhat important   30     27     28     30     32     24     23     31
Not important        24     22     23     24     25     20     24     23
DK/NA                 1      3      2      2      2      2      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  25%    28%    28%    34%    31%    22%    39%    26%    24%
Very important       21     22     30     20     18     20     17     20     25
Somewhat important   30     25     23     21     30     28     25     27     28
Not important        23     22     14     23     19     29     17     26     21
DK/NA                 1      3      5      2      2      1      2      2      2
 
 
34. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  59%    20%    95%    54%    53%    64%    50%    96%
No                   38     77      4     41     44     33     47      1
DK/NA                 3      3      1      5      3      3      3      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  56%    45%    40%    44%    46%    54%    33%    45%
No                   41     52     58     53     51     44     65     52
DK/NA                 3      3      2      3      3      3      1      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  62%    56%    61%    63%    60%    56%    75%    58%    55%
No                   35     40     34     36     38     42     23     40     42
DK/NA                 3      3      5      1      2      2      2      3      3
 
 
35. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  45%    84%    13%    46%    50%    40%    53%    10%
No                   48     13     79     46     44     52     41     78
DK/NA                 7      3      8      8      6      7      6     12
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  50%    56%    58%    62%    57%    50%    73%    58%
No                   46     38     38     33     39     43     24     37
DK/NA                 5      6      5      5      4      7      3      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  44%    46%    36%    42%    47%    47%    38%    45%    47%
No                   50     47     55     54     46     47     55     49     45
DK/NA                 6      7      9      4      7      5      7      5      8
 
 
36. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                52%     7%    94%    47%    47%    56%    42%    96%
Romney               43     88      3     45     48     37     52      1
DK/NA                 6      5      3      9      5      7      5      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                54%    50%    59%    54%    51%    49%    65%    51%    48%
Romney               40     44     34     42     44     47     27     43     47
DK/NA                 6      5      7      4      5      5      7      6      5
 
                     Health Care Extrmly 
                     Imp To Vote Q26 
                     
Obama                56%    
Romney               40     
DK/NA                 4     
 
 
37. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                46%     7%    85%    40%    39%    52%    37%    87%
Romney               48     90     10     51     57     39     58      5
DK/NA                 6      3      6     10      4      9      5      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                46%    46%    56%    55%    44%    41%    54%    46%    44%
Romney               47     48     35     42     51     53     37     48     50
DK/NA                 7      6      9      3      5      6     10      5      6
 
                     Taxes Extrmly 
                     Imp To Vote Q27    
 
Obama                40%    
Romney               55     
DK/NA                 5     
 
 
38. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                45%     6%    85%    37%    38%    50%    35%    87%
Romney               48     92      6     53     56     41     59      2
DK/NA                 7      2      8     10      6      8      6     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                46%    44%    51%    50%    44%    42%    56%    45%    41%
Romney               47     49     37     45     50     53     30     50     53
DK/NA                 7      7     12      5      6      5     14      5      6
 
                     Economy Extrmly 
                     Imp To Vote Q28    
 
Obama                40%    
Romney               55     
DK/NA                 6     
 
 
39. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                41%     5%    80%    34%    34%    48%    31%    85%
Romney               52     93     12     57     60     44     63      7
DK/NA                 7      2      9      9      5      8      6      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                40%    43%    51%    49%    38%    36%    53%    41%    38%
Romney               53     51     38     47     55     59     36     55     55
DK/NA                 7      7     11      4      7      5     11      5      7
 
                     Deficit Extrmly 
                     Imp To Vote Q29    
 
Obama                27%    
Romney               68     
DK/NA                 5     
 
 
40. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                50%    11%    85%    48%    47%    53%    42%    85%
Romney               41     83      7     41     47     36     51      9
DK/NA                 8      6      8     11      6     11      7      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                55%    47%    59%    47%    49%    51%    61%    50%    47%
Romney               36     45     32     41     43     43     25     44     45
DK/NA                 9      8      9     12      7      6     14      6      8
 
                     Foreign Policy Extrmly 
                     Imp To Vote Q30    
 
Obama                45%    
Romney               49     
DK/NA                 6     
 
 
41. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                51%     9%    89%    48%    47%    55%    43%    93%
Romney               41     86      4     42     48     35     51      1
DK/NA                 8      5      7     11      5     10      6      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                54%    50%    59%    53%    51%    50%    64%    51%    48%
Romney               37     44     31     42     43     44     23     42     47
DK/NA                 9      7     10      5      6      6     13      6      6
 
                     Medicare Extrmly 
                     Imp To Vote Q31    
 
Obama                59%    
Romney               36     
DK/NA                 5     
 
 
42. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - women's reproductive health issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                58%    22%    89%    56%    55%    60%    51%    92%
Romney               27     61      4     25     29     26     33      2
DK/NA                15     17      7     19     16     14     16      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                62%    42%    44%    42%    51%    50%    32%    45%
Romney               24     40     41     40     32     34     55     37
DK/NA                14     18     15     19     16     16     12     19
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                66%    52%    59%    54%    57%    63%    73%    59%    52%
Romney               21     32     26     28     28     27     11     28     33
DK/NA                13     16     15     18     15     10     16     13     16
 
                     Women's rep health Extrmly 
                     Imp To Vote Q32    
 
Obama                80%    
Romney               15     
DK/NA                 5     
 
 
43. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - abortion, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                55%    20%    85%    53%    52%    57%    48%    84%
Romney               29     64      5     27     33     26     36      4
DK/NA                16     17     10     20     15     17     16     12
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                60%    39%    41%    38%    47%    49%    27%    41%
Romney               28     42     44     44     38     33     62     40
DK/NA                13     18     15     19     15     18     11     19
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                63%    48%    55%    49%    54%    60%    70%    55%    49%
Romney               24     33     28     29     31     29     14     30     35
DK/NA                12     19     17     21     15     11     16     14     17
 
                     Abortion Extrmly 
                     Imp To Vote Q33
 
Obama                68%
Romney               26
DK/NA                 5
 
 
44. Which comes closer to your view, Government should do more to solve national problems or government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals.
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Should do more       43%    14%    70%    40%    39%    46%    37%    64%
Doing too much       51     83     21     53     57     45     58     25
DK/NA                 6      4      9      7      3      9      4     11
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Should do more       42%    34%    30%    32%    34%    41%    24%    33%
Doing too much       53     62     64     65     64     53     69     63
DK/NA                 5      4      6      3      2      7      7      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Should do more       48%    39%    51%    47%    42%    40%    58%    39%    41%
Doing too much       46     54     43     42     54     56     34     56     52
DK/NA                 6      7      6     11      4      4      8      6      7
 
 
45. In order to reduce the federal budget deficit, do you support or oppose raising income taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              63%    34%    88%    64%    58%    68%    58%    79%
Oppose               33     62     11     32     39     28     38     18
DK/NA                 4      4      1      4      3      4      4      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Support              60%    57%    55%    52%    52%    65%    46%    55%
Oppose               38     38     39     44     45     32     50     41
DK/NA                 2      5      6      3      3      4      4      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              64%    62%    70%    63%    63%    62%    68%    65%    60%
Oppose               33     33     24     32     33     37     29     33     35
DK/NA                 2      4      6      5      5      1      2      2      5
 
 
46. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Legal all cases      33%    19%    45%    33%    32%    35%    32%    35%
Legal most cases     35     31     35     37     36     35     34     42
Illegal most cases   17     30     10     16     19     15     19      9
Illegal all cases     8     13      6      6      7      9      9      7
DK/NA                 7      7      4      8      7      6      6      8
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Legal all cases      38%    28%    30%    24%    31%    33%    17%    28%
Legal most cases     38     31     36     33     34     33     29     35
Illegal most cases   13     23     21     24     19     18     32     21
Illegal all cases     6     12      6     12      8     10     19      9
DK/NA                 5      7      7      7      7      5      4      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Legal all cases      38%    29%    22%    32%    34%    40%    42%    34%    30%
Legal most cases     39     33     36     35     37     35     33     35     36
Illegal most cases   13     20     18     17     19     14     14     17     18
Illegal all cases     5     10     10     11      7      6      8      7      9
DK/NA                 5      8     13      6      3      4      4      6      8
 
 
47. How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Legal                84%    76%    89%    87%    84%    83%    84%    82%
Illegal               9     16      6      7      8     10     10      9
DK/NA                 7      8      6      6      8      7      6     10
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Legal                90%    80%    82%    81%    85%    84%    63%    84%
Illegal               5     14     13     12      9     12     34      9
DK/NA                 5      6      5      7      6      5      3      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Legal                90%    79%    75%    80%    86%    90%    91%    82%    84%
Illegal               4     12     11     14      9      6      2     10     11
DK/NA                 5      8     14      6      5      3      6      8      5
 
 
59. (Post 8/28 speech) Did you watch Ann Romney's televised speech at the Republican National Convention?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     WEDNESDAY THRU SUNDAY.................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  54%    63%    42%    57%    54%    54%
No                   45     37     57     43     46     45 
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1      -      - 
 
 
60. (Post 8/28 speech) Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, did Ann Romney's speech at the Republican National Convention make you think more favorably of Mitt Romney, less favorably of Mitt Romney, or didn't it affect your opinion of Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     WEDNESDAY THRU SUNDAY.................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More favorably       32%    59%     7%    33%    36%    29%
Less favorably        7      1     10      9      7      8 
Not affect opinion   54     35     75     51     51     57 
DK/NA                 7      5      8      7      6      7 
 
 
61. (Post 8/28 speech) Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, did Ann Romney's speech at the Republican National Convention make you think more favorably of Ann Romney, less favorably of Ann Romney, or didn't it affect your opinion of Ann Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     WEDNESDAY THRU SUNDAY.................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More favorably       37%    63%    17%    34%    41%    33%
Less favorably        8      2     10      9      6      9 
Not affect opinion   49     32     65     50     46     52 
DK/NA                 7      4      8      7      7      6
 
 

Demographic Summary