October 17, 2012 - Booker Is Strongest Dem To Face Christie, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Say Show Me The Money Before Tax Cut Vote

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New Jersey voters approve 56 - 38 percent of the job Gov. Christopher Christie is doing and say 52 - 40 percent that he deserves reelection 12 months from now, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Gov. Christie's approval rating is up from a 53 - 42 percent score in a September 5 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, shortly after he delivered the keynote address at the Republican National Convention, but short of his 59 - 36 percent all- time high score April 11.

In today's survey, men approve of the governor 62 - 33 percent while women approve 50 - 42 percent. White voters approve 61 - 34 percent, but black voters disapprove 69 - 26 percent. Independent voters approve 62 - 32 percent.

In an early look at the 2013 election for governor, Christie leads Newark Mayor Cory Booker, a possible Democratic challenger, by a narrow 46 - 42 percent.

"New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie's job-approval edges up a couple of points, but short of his all-time high. More than half of the state's registered voters think he's earned a second term," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"A sneak peak at the 2013 election for governor shows Newark Mayor Cory Booker could give Gov. Christie a run for his money, if the mayor decides to run."

Christie runs better against other possible Democratic challengers:
  • Topping State Sen. Richard Codey, the frequent fill-in governor, 47 - 41 percent;
  • Beating State Sen. Barbara Buono 49 - 33 percent;
  • Besting Assembly member Lou Greenwald 50 - 31 percent.
"Let's see how the field shapes up if Booker takes a pass. Each of the possible challengers draw 60 to 74 percent of the Democratic vote, in this very blue state, with State Sen. Richard Codey a bit stronger than State Sen. Barbara Buono or Assembly member Lou Greenwald," Carroll said.

Tax Cuts

New Jersey voters say 52 - 39 percent that they support a Democratic plan to delay a vote in the State Legislature for a possible tax cut until they see if tax revenues are strong enough to support such a cut.

Democrats back the delay 83 - 10 percent while Republicans back Christie's call for an immediate vote on a tax cut 76 - 16 percent. Independent voters are divided with 47 percent saying wait and see and 44 percent saying vote now.

Voters with household income of more than $250,000 per year say vote now 53 - 44 percent, while voters in all other income, age and education groups say wait and see.

"It's been obscured by the focus on the presidential election, but taxes remain a live New Jersey issue," Carroll said. "In the tax cut debate, Christie's vote-to-cut-now plan loses to the legislative Democrats' wait-and-see position."

From October 10 - 14, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,405 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

7. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were - Cory Booker the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Booker               42%     7%    74%    34%    39%    46%    37%    77%
Christie             46     88     12     51     52     40     54      8
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      1      1      1      -      1      -
DK/NA                11      4     12     14      8     14      8     15
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Booker               57%    46%    34%    45%    29%
Christie             27     42     54     44     61
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      -      1      -
DK/NA                15     11     10      9     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+   <50K  50-100 100-250 >250
 
Booker               48%    39%    50%    42%    40%    47%    44%    42%    37%
Christie             40     49     37     48     49     39     45     47     55
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      -      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      -      -      1      -      -      1      -
DK/NA                10     12     12      9      9     13     10      9      6
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Cory Booker the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Oct 17  Sep 05
                     2012    2012
 
Booker               42      40
Christie             46      47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1
DK/NA                11      11
 
 
8. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were - Richard Codey the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Codey                41%     8%    74%    29%    36%    44%    36%    75%
Christie             47     88     14     55     56     40     54     11
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      1      1      1      -      -      1
DK/NA                11      4     10     13      6     15      9     13
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Codey                61%    40%    33%    45%    29%
Christie             29     44     55     46     62
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      -      -      -
DK/NA                10     14     10      9      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+   <50K  50-100 100-250 >250
 
Codey                45%    38%    44%    39%    39%    44%    41%    42%    35%
Christie             44     50     42     51     49     40     47     50     56
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      1      1      -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1
DK/NA                10     11     13      8     10     14     12      6      8
 
 
9. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were - Barbara Buono the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Buono                33%     3%    63%    23%    30%    36%    28%    67%
Christie             49     88     16     58     57     42     58     12
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      1      -      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
DK/NA                17      8     20     17     12     21     14     19
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Buono                45%    35%    25%    42%    19%
Christie             33     45     58     46     63
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      -      -      -
DK/NA                21     18     17     11     18
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+   <50K  50-100 100-250 >250
 
Buono                37%    30%    43%    32%    30%    37%    35%    34%    30%
Christie             46     51     44     52     51     41     50     53     58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      -      1      1      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      -      -      1      1      -      -      -
DK/NA                15     18     13     15     17     20     15     12     12
 
 
10. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were - Lou Greenwald the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Greenwald            31%     6%    60%    20%    28%    34%    27%    61%
Christie             50     89     18     58     57     43     58     14
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      2      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      1      1      1      -      1      -
DK/NA                17      5     21     20     12     21     14     24
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Greenwald            50%    30%    22%    41%    18%
Christie             32     46     59     48     64
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      -      1      -
DK/NA                16     21     18     10     17
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+   <50K  50-100 100-250 >250
 
Greenwald            34%    30%    41%    29%    28%    37%    31%    33%    28%
Christie             47     52     45     53     52     43     49     52     58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      1      2      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -      1      1      -      -      1      1
DK/NA                16     17     14     16     18     17     19     14     13
 
 
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              56%    90%    28%    62%    62%    50%    61%    26%
Disapprove           38      7     65     32     33     42     34     69
DK/NA                 7      2      7      7      5      8      5      5
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Approve              39%    53%    64%    55%    67%
Disapprove           52     41     30     39     26
DK/NA                 8      6      6      6      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+   <50K  50-100 100-250 >250
 
Approve              52%    58%    51%    58%    58%    52%    53%    58%    61%
Disapprove           42     35     43     37     36     40     40     39     31
DK/NA                 6      7      5      5      6      8      6      3      8
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 44% Jun 2010)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Oct 17  Sep 05  Jul 17  May 16  Apr 11  Apr 11  Jun 21
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011*
 
Approve              56      53      54      57      59      59      44
Disapprove           38      42      39      38      36      36      47
DK/NA                 7       5       7       6       5       5      10
 
 
14. Do you feel that Christopher Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Deserves         52%    89%    19%    60%    59%    46%    59%    12%
No/Does not          40      7     73     31     35     46     35     76
DK/NA                 8      3      7      9      7      8      6     12
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Yes/Deserves         33%    50%    59%    51%    66%
No/Does not          60     42     33     43     27
DK/NA                 7      9      8      6      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+   <50K  50-100 100-250 >250
 
Yes/Deserves         48%    55%    46%    54%    54%    46%    51%    53%    56%
No/Does not          44     38     49     40     38     47     42     41     37
DK/NA                 8      8      4      6      8      7      7      6      7
 
 
15. As you may know, Governor Christie ordered a special vote on a tax cut. Legislative Democrats want to wait to see if tax revenues are strong enough to support it. Governor Christie wants an immediate vote. Whose position is closer to your point of view, Governor Christie's or legislative Democrats?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Christie's           39%    76%    10%    44%    44%    36%    46%     6%
Democrats'           52     16     83     47     51     53     46     91
DK/NA                 8      7      6      8      5     11      8      3
 
                                          Philly      
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Christie's           21%    37%    45%    39%    53%  
Democrats'           70     56     46     54     36   
DK/NA                 9      7      9      7     11   
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+   <50K  50-100 100-250 >250
 
Christie's           36%    41%    31%    44%    42%    31%    41%    40%    53%
Democrats'           57     49     61     51     48     54     54     55     44
DK/NA                 6     10      8      5     10     14      5      5      2
 
TREND: As you may know, Governor Christie ordered a special vote on a tax cut. Legislative Democrats want to wait to see if tax revenues are strong enough to support it. Governor Christie wants an immediate vote. Whose position is closer to your point of view, Governor Christie's or legislative Democrats'?
                     Oct 17  Jul 17
                     2012    2012
 
Christie's           39      43
Democrats'           52      49
DK/NA                 8       7
 

Demographic Summary