February 20, 2013 - New Jersey Gov Flies High, Buries Unknown Dem, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Christie Close To Clinton, Leads Cuomo In '16 Pres Race

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New Jersey voters today continue Gov. Christopher Christie's record-breaking 74 - 22 percent approval rating, the highest of any New Jersey governor in 17 years of Quinnipiac University surveys. Voters also say 71 - 23 percent that Gov. Christie deserves reelection this year.

Christie's job score is currently the highest of any governor in the seven states surveyed by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Democrats approve of the Republican governor 56 - 38 percent and say 48 - 43 percent he deserves reelection.

Christie leads his likely Democratic challenger, State Sen. Barbara Buono 62 - 25 percent, including 54 - 31 percent among women and 71 - 18 percent among men. Backing the governor are Republicans, 93 - 4 percent, and independent voters, 68 - 18 percent, while Democrats back Buono by a mediocre 51 - 31 percent.

"How high is up? New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie keeps soaring. Most governors would kill for a 56 percent job approval rating. Republican Gov. Christie gets that from Democrats!" said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"State Sen. Barbara Buono is going to have to introduce herself to voters; no one knows her and Christie clobbers her."

New Jersey voters give Christie a 69 - 22 percent favorability rating, including 47 - 38 percent among Democrats.

For Buono, 83 percent don't know enough about her to form an opinion.

Having Buono at the top of the ticket will be bad for other Democratic candidates this year, 13 percent of voters say, while 8 percent say good and 77 percent offer no opinion.

But New Jersey voters say 47 - 40 percent that they want Democrats rather than Republicans to control the State Legislature.

"Coattails? The crystal ball is cloudy. Some voters think Buono would be a drag on Democratic candidates for the legislature," Carroll said.

2016 Presidential Race

In an early look at the 2016 presidential election, New Jersey voters go 49 percent for Hillary Clinton and 45 percent for Christie. Clinton leads 60 - 34 percent among women while Christie leads 58 - 35 percent among men. He leads 90 - 7 percent among Republicans and gets 48 percent of independent voters to Clinton's 44 percent. Democrats go to Clinton 86 - 8 percent.

The Garden State's native son tops New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo 54 - 36 percent. Christie leads 64 - 29 percent among men and wins 45 percent of women to Cuomo's 42 percent. Christie leads 89 - 7 percent among Republicans and 59 - 28 percent among independent voters. Democrats go to Cuomo 68 - 20 percent.

"If the 2016 presidential race shapes up to be the Battle of the Hudson, Native Son Christie tops New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo on the west bank of the river, but is locked in a tight race with the Empire State's favorite adopted daughter, Hillary Clinton," Carroll said.

Minimum Wage

New Jersey voters support raising the minimum wage 76 - 21 percent, including 55 - 41 percent among Republicans. Support among all other party, gender, regional, age, income and education groups tops 68 percent.

The minimum wage issue should be decided by a voter referendum to amend the State Constitution rather than by the State Legislature passing a law, voters say 56 - 38 percent.

From February 13 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,149 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Barbara Buono the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Buono                25%     4%    51%    18%    18%    31%    17%    50%
Christie             62     93     31     68     71     54     72     24
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      -      1      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      1      1      -      1      -      4
DK/NA                12      3     16     13     11     13     10     20
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Buono                24%    25%    34%    23%    22%    29%    27%    20%
Christie             63     61     51     66     63     57     56     70
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      -      -      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      -      1      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                11     13     14      9     13     13     15      9
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Buono                30%    32%    13%    31%    14%
Christie             52     56     75     53     75
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      -      1      2
DK/NA                17     11     11     14      9
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Barbara Buono the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Feb 20  Jan 23  Nov 28  Oct 17
                     2013    2013    2012    2012
 
Buono                25      22      23      33
Christie             62      63      61      49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1       1       1
DK/NA                12      13      14      17
 
 
3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Cuomo                36%     7%    68%    28%    29%    42%    28%    60%
Christie             54     89     20     59     64     45     64     23
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      -      -      1      1      1
DK/NA                 9      3     10     12      7     11      7     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Cuomo                39%    34%    41%    35%    34%    39%    38%    33%
Christie             50     56     49     57     53     50     49     59
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      -      1      1      2      -      -
DK/NA                 9      9     10      7     10      8     11      7
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Cuomo                48%    43%    26%    38%    21%
Christie             37     49     67     50     67
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                15      6      6     11     11
 
 
4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Clinton              49%     7%    86%    44%    35%    60%    37%    88%
Christie             45     90      8     48     58     34     56      6
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      -      -      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      2      1      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                 5      3      5      7      5      5      4      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Clinton              51%    47%    51%    51%    46%    54%    51%    46%
Christie             43     46     41     44     47     38     44     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      -      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      2      2      1      1      3      -      -
DK/NA                 5      5      5      4      6      6      4      3
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Clinton              61%    55%    40%    53%    32%
Christie             31     40     57     39     57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      -      3      2
DK/NA                 7      3      3      5      9
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Christopher Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            69%    93%    47%    72%    76%    63%    78%    42%
Unfavorable          22      5     38     19     17     26     17     37
Hvn't hrd enough      6      1     10      6      5      7      3     18
REFUSED               3      1      5      3      3      4      3      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            69%    69%    53%    74%    71%    63%    68%    75%
Unfavorable          24     20     31     20     20     23     22     20
Hvn't hrd enough      2      8     10      5      4     12      4      2
REFUSED               5      3      5      2      5      2      6      4
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            59%    65%    76%    63%    81%
Unfavorable          24     25     18     26     14
Hvn't hrd enough      9      7      4      8      2
REFUSED               8      3      2      3      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Christopher Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 69% Jan 2013)
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Feb 20  Jan 23  Nov 28  Sep 05  May 16  Feb 20  Aug 12
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2013*   2008
 
Favorable            69      69      67      52      53      69      21
Unfavorable          22      21      22      42      39      22       7
Hvn't hrd enough      6       6       7       4       7       6      69
REFUSED               3       4       4       2       2       3       2
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Barbara Buono favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable             8%     2%    16%     5%     6%    10%     7%    10%
Unfavorable           8     14      2      9     13      5     10      2
Hvn't hrd enough     83     84     81     84     81     84     82     86
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Favorable             8%     8%     9%     6%     9%     9%     8%     6%
Unfavorable           9      8      2      9     11      6      9      9
Hvn't hrd enough     82     83     89     84     78     83     82     84
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      -      1
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable             5%    11%     7%     8%     7%
Unfavorable           5      8     13      5      9
Hvn't hrd enough     89     80     80     85     83
REFUSED               -      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barbara Buono favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Feb 20  Jan 23  Nov 28
                     2013    2013    2012
 
Favorable             8       8       8
Unfavorable           8       9       7
Hvn't hrd enough     83      82      84
REFUSED               1       -       1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            45%    26%    66%    44%    43%    48%    43%    58%
Unfavorable          23     43      8     21     31     16     27      7
Hvn't hrd enough     31     30     26     34     26     35     29     35
REFUSED               1      2      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            55%    39%    41%    48%    45%    41%    45%    48%
Unfavorable          21     24     17     24     24     17     24     29
Hvn't hrd enough     22     36     41     27     29     41     29     22
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      2      1
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            56%    51%    42%    36%    39%
Unfavorable          21     22     33     14     26
Hvn't hrd enough     24     27     24     49     31
REFUSED               -      1      1      -      4
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            67%    32%    94%    67%    57%    74%    60%    97%
Unfavorable          29     63      4     29     37     23     37      1
Hvn't hrd enough      3      2      2      3      3      2      2      2
REFUSED               1      3      -      1      2      1      2      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            68%    66%    68%    70%    64%    69%    66%    65%
Unfavorable          28     30     25     26     33     26     32     30
Hvn't hrd enough      2      3      5      3      1      3      1      4
REFUSED               2      1      2      1      2      1      1      1
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Favorable            76%    67%    65%    72%    54%
Unfavorable          19     29     30     27     40
Hvn't hrd enough      3      2      4      -      4
REFUSED               2      1      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Feb 20  Jun 12  Feb 21  Dec 13  Sep 26  Feb 20  Dec 13
                     2013    2008    2008    2007    2007    2013    2007
                                                                     
Favorable            67      51      50      43      51      67      43
Unfavorable          29      45      43      42      41      29      42
Hvn't hrd enough      3       2       5      11       6       3      11
REFUSED               1       2       3       4       2       1       4
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              74%    94%    56%    77%    82%    67%    82%    48%
Disapprove           22      5     38     19     15     28     14     46
DK/NA                 4      1      6      4      3      5      4      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Approve              74%    74%    61%    77%    77%    68%    73%    80%
Disapprove           22     21     35     20     17     26     23     18
DK/NA                 4      4      4      3      5      6      4      2
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Approve              63%    70%    82%    69%    86%
Disapprove           32     27     15     24     10
DK/NA                 5      3      4      6      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor? (*High also 74% Jan 2013, **Low also 44% Jun 2010)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Feb 20  Jan 23  Nov 27  Oct 17  Sep 05  Feb 20  Jun 21
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2013*   2011**
 
Approve              74      74      72      56      53      74      44
Disapprove           22      21      21      38      42      22      47
DK/NA                 4       5       7       7       5       4      10
 
 
16. Do you feel that Christopher Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Deserves         71%    94%    48%    77%    80%    64%    79%    46%
No/Does not          23      5     43     18     17     28     16     45
DK/NA                 6      1      9      5      3      8      4     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Yes/Deserves         73%    70%    59%    74%    74%    66%    67%    79%
No/Does not          22     23     34     21     20     26     26     17
DK/NA                 5      7      6      4      6      8      7      4
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Yes/Deserves         64%    67%    79%    63%    84%
No/Does not          26     29     16     27     12
DK/NA                10      4      5      9      4
 
TREND: Do you feel that Christopher Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Feb 20  Jan 23  Nov 28  Oct 17
                     2013    2013    2012    2012
 
Yes/Deserves         71      68      67      52
No/Does not          23      24      25      40
DK/NA                 6       7       9       8
 
 
17. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied        8%    19%     4%     6%     9%     8%    10%     3%
Smwht satisfied      53     54     50     54     54     53     56     48
Smwht dissatisfied   28     18     38     27     27     28     24     38
Very dissatisfied    10      9      8     13     10     11      9     12
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Very satisfied        8%     9%     8%     7%     9%     7%     6%    10%
Smwht satisfied      55     52     58     50     54     53     52     54
Smwht dissatisfied   28     27     22     36     24     28     29     29
Very dissatisfied     9     11     12      7     12     11     13      6
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      1      1      -      -
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Very satisfied        6%     9%    10%     8%     8%
Smwht satisfied      51     55     55     47     56
Smwht dissatisfied   34     25     29     30     24
Very dissatisfied     8     10      6     14     13
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      -
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*High also 71% Feb 1999)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Feb 20  Jan 23  Nov 27  Sep 05  Jul 17  Dec 26  Jun 17
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2000*   2010
 
Very satisfied        8       6       8       6       5      10       2
Smwht satisfied      53      52      57      50      43      61      22
Smwht dissatisfied   28      30      26      30      32      21      36
Very dissatisfied    10      11       9      13      19       7      39
DK/NA                 -       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
18. Which party would you like to see control the New Jersey State Legislature after the elections in November 2013, the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Democratic Party     47%     4%    93%    36%    38%    55%    37%    82%
Republican Party     40     94      2     39     50     32     50      5
DK/NA                13      2      5     25     12     14     12     13
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Democratic Party     48%    46%    61%    47%    41%    53%    50%    42%
Republican Party     41     39     30     42     43     32     39     49
DK/NA                11     15      9     11     16     16     11      9
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Democratic Party     62%    50%    37%    54%    34%
Republican Party     28     36     53     34     49
DK/NA                10     14     10     13     17
 
TREND: Which party would you like to see control the New Jersey State Legislature after the elections in November 2013, the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?
                     Feb 20  Jan 23  Nov 28
                     2013    2013    2012
 
Democratic Party     47      48      45
Republican Party     40      39      38
DK/NA                13      13      17
 
 
19. Do you think that having Barbara Buono as the Democratic nominee for Governor will be good or bad for Democratic legislative candidates running for office this year, or don't you have an opinion on that?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good                  8%     8%    16%     3%     8%     9%     7%    16%
Bad                  13     16      9     15     16     11     15      7
No opinion           77     74     74     79     73     79     77     76
NO DIFF(VOL)          1      2      1      2      2      1      2      -
REFUSED               -      -      -      1      1      -      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Good                  7%     9%    15%     8%     7%    11%     7%     6%
Bad                  15     12      9     15     13     11     14     15
No opinion           75     78     74     76     78     77     76     77
NO DIFF(VOL)          3      -      1      1      1      1      1      2
REFUSED               -      -      1      -      1      -      1      -
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Good                  6%    13%     7%     8%     4%
Bad                  15     10     13     16     15
No opinion           79     74     78     75     80
NO DIFF(VOL)          -      2      1      1      1
REFUSED               -      1      -      1      -
 
 
25. Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New Jersey, which is now $7.25 an hour?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              76%    55%    94%    76%    68%    83%    71%    99%
Oppose               21     41      4     20     30     13     26      1
DK/NA                 3      5      1      4      2      3      4      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Support              74%    78%    77%    79%    74%    83%    77%    70%
Oppose               23     19     19     20     22     13     20     28
DK/NA                 2      3      4      1      4      3      3      2
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Support              82%    80%    68%    81%    69%
Oppose               18     18     30     16     25
DK/NA                 -      3      2      2      6
 
TREND: Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New Jersey, which is now $7.25 an hour?
                     Feb 20  Jan 24
                     2013    2013
 
Support              76      82
Oppose               21      16
DK/NA                 3       2
 
 
26. Do you think the issue of raising the minimum wage should be decided by the State Legislature passing a law, or the voters enacting a constitutional amendment in a referendum?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Legislature/Law      38%    32%    41%    40%    37%    39%    39%    32%
Voters/Amendment     56     63     54     53     57     55     54     66
DK/NA                 6      4      5      7      6      6      7      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+    <50K   50-100 >100K
 
Legislature/Law      48%    31%    33%    38%    42%    34%    35%    47%
Voters/Amendment     45     63     66     56     50     60     59     47
DK/NA                 6      6      1      6      8      7      5      6
 
                                          Philly
                     Urban  SbUrbn ExUrbn land   Shore
 
Legislature/Law      40%    43%    41%    33%    30%
Voters/Amendment     55     52     54     62     60
DK/NA                 5      5      6      5     10
 
 

Demographic Summary