October 17, 2013 - Christie Has 29-Point Lock On New Jersey Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; He Tops Dem Among Women By 20 Points
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With big leads among men and women, New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie buries State Sen. Barbara Buono 62 - 33 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This is unchanged from the results of an October 10 survey.

Gov. Christie leads 66 - 29 percent among men and 57 - 37 percent among women, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. White voters back Christie 67 - 29 percent while black voters back Buono 60 - 30 percent. Christie leads 92 - 6 percent among Republicans and 71 - 23 percent among independent voters, while Democrats back Buono 66 - 30 percent.

Five percent of likely voters remain undecided and six percent of those who chose a candidate say there's a "good chance" they will change their mind by Election Day.

"Gov. Christopher Christie was able to keep Mayor Cory Booker off the November ballot, and the governor certainly looks like a winner in his race against State Sen. Barbara Buono" said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"One caution: blow-out polls tend to have a self-correcting factor so that the lead can shrink a bit on Election Day."

From October 10 - 14, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,938 New Jersey likely voters in the election for governor, with a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

2. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Barbara Buono the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Buono or Christie? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Buono                33%     6%    66%    23%    29%    37%    29%    60%
Christie             62     92     30     71     66     57     67     30
SOMEONE ELSE(VOL)     -      -      -      1      1      -      1      -
DK/NA                 5      2      4      5      4      6      3     10
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Barbara Buono the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Buono or Christie? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 17  Oct 10  Sep 25
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Buono                33      33      30
Christie             62      62      64
SOMEONE ELSE (VOL)    -       1       1
DK/NA                 5       4       5
 
 
2a. (If candidate chosen q2) Will you definitely vote for (Candidate of choice), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for (Candidate not chosen)? IF CHANGE MIND: Would you say there's a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?
                     LIKELY VOTERS...............
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q2.........
                           CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2
                     Tot   Buono   Christie
 
Def vote for cand    87%    89%    86%
Unlikely to change    6      5      6
Good chance change    6      5      6
DK/NA                 1      1      1
 
TREND: (If candidate chosen) Will you definitely vote for (Candidate of choice), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for (Candidate not chosen)? IF CHANGE MIND: Would you say there's a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 17  Oct 10  Sep 25
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Def vote for cand    87      87      86
Unlikely to change    6       6       5
Good chance change    6       7       8
DK/NA                 1       1       1
 
 
2b. (If candidate chosen q2) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Candidate of choice), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS...............
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q2.........
                           CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2
                     Tot   Buono   Christie
 
Very enthusiastic    48%    37%    54%
Somewht enthusiastic 39     46     35
Not so enthusiastic   9     12      7
Not enthus at all     4      4      4
DK/NA                 1      1      -
 
TREND: (If candidate chosen) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Candidate of choice), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 17  Oct 10  Sep 25
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Very enthusiastic    48      48      50
Somewht enthusiastic 39      41      37
Not so enthusiastic   9       7       8
Not enthus at all     4       3       4
DK/NA                 1       -       1
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            63%    89%    38%    69%    68%    59%    68%    38%
Unfavorable          31      9     54     24     29     33     28     50
Hvn't hrd enough      3      1      5      2      1      4      1      8
REFUSED               3      1      3      4      2      4      2      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 17  Oct 10  Sep 25
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            63      63      67
Unfavorable          31      31      27
Hvn't hrd enough      3       2       2
REFUSED               3       4       4
 
 
4. Is your opinion of Barbara Buono favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            28%     8%    52%    20%    27%    29%    26%    39%
Unfavorable          36     61     10     43     40     34     43      4
Hvn't hrd enough     34     29     38     34     32     36     29     55
REFUSED               2      1      -      3      2      2      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barbara Buono favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 17  Oct 10  Sep 25
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            28      29      23
Unfavorable          36      35      36
Hvn't hrd enough     34      34      40
REFUSED               2       2       1
 
 

Demographic Summary