August 6, 2014 - Clinton Blooms Over Christie In Garden State, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Booker Tops Little-Known Challenger By 10 Points
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Despite his favorite son status, New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie trails former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton 50 - 42 percent in an early look at the 2016 presidential race in the Garden State, measured in a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.

Secretary Clinton has double-digit leads over other possible Republican contenders, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds:
  • 54 - 34 percent over former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush;
  • 55 - 35 percent over U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky;
  • 57 - 34 percent over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee.
There is a large gender gap in the Clinton-Christie matchup as women back the Democrat 54 - 38 percent, while men are divided with 47 percent for Christie and 44 percent for Clinton. She leads 85 - 10 percent among Democrats and 48 - 42 percent among independent voters. Republicans go to Christie 85 - 7 percent.

"As Gov. Christopher Christie traipses around the nation, his presidential potential seems alive, but former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, the adopted girl next door, easily beats him in his home state," said Maurice Carroll, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Gov. Christie does better against Clinton in New Jersey than the other Republicans. Here he looks like another Woodrow Wilson."

New Jersey voters give Clinton a 60 - 38 percent favorability rating. Christie gets a split 47 - 47 percent favorable score. The other Republicans all get mixed favorability ratings:
  • 32 - 33 percent for Bush.
  • 31 - 33 percent for Paul
  • 34 - 31 percent for Huckabee.
New Jersey voters say 55 - 39 percent that Christie would not be a good president. Democrats say no 79 - 16 percent and independent voters agree 55 - 39 percent. Republicans say 72 - 23 percent that Christie would make a good president.

Christie should run for president, 46 percent of voters say, while 49 percent say he should stay home.

"His New Jersey neighbors don't think Christie would be a good President and almost half of them don't want him to run," Carroll said. U.S. Senate Race

Democratic first-term U.S. Sen. Cory Booker leads Republican challenger Jeff Bell 47 - 37 percent. Republicans back Bell 84 - 9 percent. Behind Booker are Democrats 85 - 3 percent and independent voters 42 - 34 percent.

By a 47 - 27 percent margin, New Jersey voters have a favorable opinion of Booker. The challenger does not ring a bell with voters, as 77 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion. That includes 68 percent of Republicans, 83 percent of Democrats and 77 percent of independent voters.

"Hardly anyone knows Jeff Bell. Still, U.S. Sen. Cory Booker's lead is barely in double digits," Carroll said. "Two-thirds of Republicans don't know their Senate candidate, but more than 80 percent back him."

Voters approve 47 - 27 percent of the job Booker is doing and say 48 - 31 percent he deserves a full six-year term in the Senate.

U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez gets a 45 - 34 percent approval rating.

President Barack Obama gets a negative 44 - 52 percent job approval rating, nearly matching his lowest rating ever in New Jersey, a negative 43 - 52 percent score in an October 13, 2011, Quinnipiac University poll.

"Even in true-blue New Jersey, President Barack Obama's approval numbers are in the swamp," Carroll said.

From July 31 - August 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,148 New Jersey voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Cory Booker the Democrat and Jeff Bell the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Booker               47%     9%    85%    42%    40%    53%    49%    49%    45%
Bell                 37     84      3     34     42     32     26     37     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      2      -      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      -      3      3      4      2      5      2      3
DK/NA                13      6      8     19     12     13     18     11     11
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Cory Booker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            47%    26%    70%    43%    44%    49%    43%    46%    49%
Unfavorable          27     47      9     28     33     22     20     27     28
Hvn't hrd enough     23     25     18     25     20     26     35     24     19
REFUSED               3      2      3      4      3      4      2      3      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Cory Booker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Aug 06  Jul 09  Jun 10  Feb 21  Jan 23  Feb 21  Aug 06  
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2014    
                                                                             
Favorable            47      56      57      59      54      59      47      
Unfavorable          27      16      14      11      16      11      27      
Hvn't hrd enough     23      27      25      28      29      28      23      
REFUSED               3       2       3       1       2       1       3      
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Jeff Bell favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            16%    31%     5%    16%    21%    11%    14%    14%    18%
Unfavorable           5      1      9      5      8      4      6      4      7
Hvn't hrd enough     77     68     83     77     69     83     78     81     72
REFUSED               2      -      3      2      2      2      2      1      3
 
 
4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              50%     7%    85%    48%    44%    54%    54%    50%    48%
Christie             42     85     10     42     47     38     39     42     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      2      2      -      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      2      3      3      3      1      3      4
DK/NA                 4      3      3      5      4      5      4      5      4
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Aug 06  Feb 20
                     2014    2013
 
Clinton              50      49
Christie             42      45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       1
DK/NA                 4       5
 
 
5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              54%    12%    89%    54%    49%    59%    63%    56%    51%
Bush                 34     78      5     32     37     32     28     33     38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      1      2      4      1      3      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      5      -      4      4      2      1      4      4
DK/NA                 6      3      4      8      6      6      4      7      5
 
 
6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              55%    16%    92%    52%    49%    61%    60%    56%    54%
Paul                 35     73      4     34     40     31     34     36     35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      3      1      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      -      3      3      2      -      1      4
DK/NA                 6      6      3      8      6      6      5      5      6
 
 
7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              57%    16%    91%    56%    51%    62%    65%    59%    53%
Huckabee             34     76      4     32     36     32     26     32     38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      2      4      -      3      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      -      4      4      2      2      2      4
DK/NA                 4      2      3      6      5      4      4      4      4
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            60%    21%    91%    61%    54%    64%    71%    62%    56%
Unfavorable          38     76      7     37     44     33     25     38     41
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      -      2      1      1      2      -      1
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      1      2      2      -      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Aug 06  Feb 20  Jun 12  Feb 21  Dec 13  Feb 20  Dec 13
                     2014    2013    2008    2008    2007    2013    2007
 
Favorable            60      67      51      50      43      67      43
Unfavorable          38      29      45      43      42      29      42
Hvn't hrd enough      1       3       2       5      11       3      11
REFUSED               1       1       2       3       4       1       4
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            47%    82%    24%    47%    51%    44%    50%    48%    46%
Unfavorable          47     14     70     49     45     49     47     46     48
Hvn't hrd enough      2      1      2      2      1      3      1      4      1
REFUSED               3      3      4      2      3      3      2      2      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 69% Jan 2013, Feb 2013)
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Aug 06  Jul 10  Jun 10  Apr 24  Mar 26  Mar 26  Aug 12
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013*   2008
 
Favorable            47      66      63      66      69      69      21
Unfavorable          47      27      27      24      22      22       7
Hvn't hrd enough      2       3       4       5       6       6      69
REFUSED               3       4       6       4       4       4       2
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            32%    57%    15%    31%    38%    28%    19%    32%    38%
Unfavorable          33     11     50     33     34     33     26     36     36
Hvn't hrd enough     33     29     33     35     27     38     53     31     25
REFUSED               2      3      1      1      2      1      2      1      2
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            31%    47%     8%    37%    42%    23%    34%    32%    31%
Unfavorable          33     16     53     29     37     30     24     33     37
Hvn't hrd enough     34     36     38     32     20     45     42     34     30
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      1      2      -      1      2
 
 
12. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            34%    61%    12%    36%    39%    30%    29%    33%    36%
Unfavorable          31     13     50     28     33     29     23     33     32
Hvn't hrd enough     35     26     38     35     27     41     48     34     30
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      -      1      1
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Cory Booker is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              47%    25%    73%    42%    41%    51%    52%    47%    44%
Disapprove           27     47      8     29     34     22     17     29     30
DK/NA                26     28     19     29     25     27     31     24     26
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Cory Booker is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Aug 06  Apr 09
                     2014    2014
 
Approve              47      47
Disapprove           27      25
DK/NA                26      28
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              45%    28%    69%    40%    42%    48%    48%    46%    45%
Disapprove           34     54     11     39     39     30     16     35     38
DK/NA                21     18     20     21     19     22     36     19     16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                              APPROVE.......
                                                              High    Low
                     Aug 06  Apr 09  Apr 24   Mar 27  Feb 21  Nov 28  Feb 20
                     2014    2014    2013     2013    2013    2012    2008
                     
Approve              45      43      44       40      36      56      30
Disapprove           34      39      32       37      41      29      31
DK/NA                21      18      24       22      23      14      39
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              44%    10%    83%    34%    40%    48%    52%    44%    41%
Disapprove           52     90     13     61     57     48     42     53     55
DK/NA                 4      -      4      5      3      4      6      3      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Aug 06  Apr 09  Jul 09  Jun 10  Apr 24  Jun 10  Oct 13
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2009    2011
 
Approve              44      49      53      53      57      68      43
Disapprove           52      48      41      41      38      25      52
DK/NA                 4       4       6       5       5       7       5
 
 
18. Do you feel that Cory Booker deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes/Deserves         48%    25%    77%    41%    44%    51%    58%    47%    47%
No/Does not          31     52      8     34     39     24     18     33     34
DK/NA                21     23     15     25     17     25     25     20     19
 
TREND: Do you feel that Cory Booker deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Aug 06  Apr 09
                     2014    2014
 
Yes/Deserves         48      47
No/Does not          31      28
DK/NA                21      25
 
 
19. Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  39%    72%    16%    39%    43%    36%    39%    39%    39%
No                   55     23     79     55     50     59     55     56     55
DK/NA                 6      5      5      6      6      6      5      5      6
 
TREND: Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                     Aug 06  Apr 09  Mar 26  Dec 21  Nov 09
                     2014    2014    2013    2010    2010
 
Yes                  39      35      41      25      24
No                   55      57      44      63      61
DK/NA                 6       8      15      13      15
 
 
20. Would you like to see Chris Christie run for President in 2016 or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  46%    70%    30%    46%    50%    42%    49%    47%    43%
No                   49     25     65     49     44     53     45     49     52
DK/NA                 5      5      5      5      5      5      6      3      6
 
TREND: Would you like to see Chris Christie run for President in 2016 or not?
                     Aug 06  Apr 09  Mar 26
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Yes                  46      43      46
No                   49      52      47
DK/NA                 5       5       8
 
 
21. As you may know, the Lieutenant Governor becomes Governor if the Governor does not complete his or her term. Do you think Kim Guadagno would make a good governor if it becomes necessary, or not, or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes/Good governor    16%    24%     9%    16%    19%    14%    16%    17%    16%
No                   17      9     22     19     18     16     15     15     20
Hvn't hrd enough     66     66     68     64     63     69     69     67     63
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1      -      1
 
TREND: As you may know, the Lieutenant Governor becomes Governor if the Governor does not complete his or her term. Do you think Kim Guadagno would make a good governor if it becomes necessary, or not, or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Aug 06  Aug 08
                     2014    2013
 
Yes/Good governor    16      15
No                   17       7
Hvn't hrd enough     66      77
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
52. Senator Robert Menendez is asking the Justice Department to pursue evidence obtained by U.S. investigators that the Cuban government concocted an elaborate plot to smear him with allegations that he cavorted with underage prostitutes. Have you heard or read anything about this?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  56%    57%    52%    59%    61%    53%    21%    52%    72%
No                   42     43     46     40     38     46     77     46     28
DK/NA                 1      -      2      -      1      2      2      2      1
 
 

Demographic Summary

Additional Crosstabs