November 12, 2003 - McGreevey Gets No Bump From Dem Win In New Jersey, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Taxes Are Top Trenton Priority, Voters Say
Despite Democratic victories in New Jersey legislative elections, Gov. James McGreevey's approval rating is stuck at a negative 34 - 52 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a negative 35 - 52 percent approval in a September 24 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In an open-ended question, where respondents can give any answer, 31 percent of New Jersey voters say "property taxes" or "taxes" should be at the top of the Trenton agenda now that Democrats control both houses of the State Legislature and the Governor's Mansion. Another 10 percent of voters list "auto insurance" as the top priority, followed by 9 percent each for "education" and "the economy."

"Gov. McGreevey gets no credit for the election that gave Democrats control of the New Jersey legislature. Only 6 percent say their State Senate vote was to support McGreevey while 76 percent say he was not a factor at all," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"What does that say about the Republicans, who tried to make the legislative election all about McGreevey?"

"When the new legislature convenes, New Jersey voters say the most serious problem the Governor and the Democratic controlled state house should address remains unchanged - taxes and property taxes in particular. But nearly 60 percent say they don't expect a quick solution to the budget mess in Trenton just because the Democrats are in control," Richards added.

While 72 percent of voters say McGreevey was either "not a reason at all" (39 percent) or "a minor reason" (33 percent) that Democrats won control of the state legislature, only 17 percent say he was a "major reason."

Even as they ask for tax relief, 45 percent of New Jersey voters say the state's budget problems are "very serious," while 42 percent call them "somewhat serious."

Former Gov. Christine Whitman is most responsible for the state budget deficit, 33 percent of voters say, while 25 percent blame economic conditions; l5 percent blame the Governor and 15 percent blame the legislature.

"If there's any good news for McGreevey, it's that a majority believe that either former Gov. Whitman or the economy are to blame for the budget problems," Richards said. "And while 57 percent of voters say they wouldn't vote for McGreevey if he runs again, only 30 percent would vote to remove him from office if a recall election were held today."

Only 21 percent of New Jersey voters would vote for Arnold Schwarzenegger for governor, if they could.

From November 6 - 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,027 New Jersey registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut and nationally as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks or call (203)582-5201.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James McGreevey is handling his job as Governor?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Approve 34% 17% 49% 30% 35% 32% 37% Disapprove 52 73 35 52 54 50 52 DK/NA 14 10 15 17 10 18 12

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 49% 38% 28% 27% 27% Disapprove 36 49 57 53 62 DK/NA 14 13 15 20 11



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Approve 30% 23% 42% 25% 31% 29% 33% Disapprove 51 62 36 57 54 48 50 DK/NA 19 15 22 18 14 23 17

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 35% 32% 27% 31% 24% Disapprove 40 52 49 47 62 DK/NA 25 16 24 22 13



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jon Corzine is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Approve 44% 30% 56% 46% 44% 45% 44% Disapprove 30 48 15 30 37 24 30 DK/NA 26 22 30 24 19 32 26

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 53% 46% 36% 38% 48% Disapprove 23 32 35 29 27 DK/NA 24 21 29 33 25



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Approve 45% 26% 60% 45% 45% 44% 48% Disapprove 33 54 16 31 38 28 33 DK/NA 23 20 24 24 17 28 19

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Approve 47% 45% 39% 45% 47% Disapprove 26 36 38 26 32 DK/NA 27 18 24 29 20



6. James McGreevey will be up for re-election in 2005. Would you like to see James McGreevey re-elected Governor, or would you rather see someone else elected Governor?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Yes/Re-elected 24% 6% 40% 22% 24% 24% 23% No/Someone else 57 80 39 56 61 53 59 DK/NA 19 14 21 22 15 23 18

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Yes/Re-elected 30% 31% 15% 20% 21% No/Someone else 45 52 66 61 60 DK/NA 25 17 20 19 19



15. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                                   
                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Very satisfied 3% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% Smwhtsatisfied 37 30 46 35 37 36 35 Smwht dissat 35 38 33 35 33 37 33 Very dissat 23 29 15 27 25 23 28 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 2

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Very satisfied 8% 3% 1% 3% 3% Smwht satisfied 37 38 43 35 29 Smwht dissat 34 37 30 31 43 Very dissat 19 20 24 31 24 DK/NA 2 2 1 - 1



16. Did you vote in Tuesday's election for state senator?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Yes 62% 69% 60% 61% 64% 61% 64% No 37 31 39 39 35 39 36 DK/NA - - - - - - 1

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Yes 57% 58% 61% 71% 66% No 42 42 39 29 34 DK/NA 1 - - - 1



17. (If "voted" q16) Did you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate for state senator?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Democratic cand. 50% 6% 92% 49% 45% 55% 53% Republican cand. 41 87 7 35 46 36 37 DK/NA 9 7 1 16 8 9 9

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Democratic cand. 64% 48% 32% 60% 50% Republican cand. 29 43 58 33 39 DK/NA 7 8 10 6 11



18. (If "voted" q16) Was one reason for your vote for state senator to express support for James McGreevey, to express opposition to James McGreevey, or was James McGreevey not a factor?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Support for JM 6% 1% 12% 4% 4% 7% 4% Opposition to JM 17 29 6 17 17 17 16 JM not a factor 76 69 79 78 78 74 79 DK/NA 2 1 3 - 1 2 -

VOTE IN Q17 Philly Dem Rep Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Support for JM 10% 1% 8% 6% 3% 5% 7% Opposition to JM 4 31 6 20 18 17 19 JM not a factor 84 68 80 74 76 77 74 DK/NA 2 - 6 1 2 1 -



19. As you may know, the Democrats won control of the state legislature in Tuesday's elections. Do you think Governor McGreevey was a major reason the Democrats won control of the state legislature, a minor reason, or not a reason at all?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Major reason 17% 10% 19% 18% 15% 18% 15% Minor reason 33 32 33 36 30 36 33 Not a reason 39 48 35 38 49 31 41 DK/NA 11 11 12 8 6 15 11

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Major reason 15% 15% 17% 23% 13% Minor reason 36 38 31 28 31 Not a reason 35 36 43 42 43 DK/NA 14 11 9 7 14



20. What do you think is the most important problem in New Jersey that the Governor and the new state legislature should deal with first?

                                                                    Union
                     Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HsHlds


Taxes total 31% 39% 24% 30% 35% 26% 34% Taxes general 10 10 9 9 9 11 13 Property tax 19 27 14 19 24 15 21 State Income Tax 1 2 - 1 1 - 1 Taxes other 1 - 1 1 1 - -

Auto insurance 10 13 8 10 11 8 9

Economy total 9% 5% 10% 8% 7% 11% 12% Economy general 3 3 3 3 2 4 4 Unemployment/Jobs 5 2 7 5 5 5 7 Cost of living 1 - - - - 2 1

Education total 9% 5% 11% 9% 7% 9% 10% Education general 7 4 9 7 6 7 7 Funding education 2 1 2 2 1 2 3

Bud/Spending total 4% 5% 2% 4% 4% 2% 2% Budget general 3 3 1 4 3 2 1 Budget deficit 1 2 1 - 1 - 1

Children's issues/ Family services 4 2 5 3 4 3 7

Sprawl/Overdev/ Overpopulation 4 4 4 2 4 3 2

Politicians/ Campaigns total 4% 4% 1% 4% 4% 2% 2% Pol corruption/ Ethics 3 4 1 3 3 2 2 Pol/Campaigns othr 1 - - 1 1 - -

Crime total 3% - 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% Crime/Violence gen 2 - 3 3 2 3 1 Drugs 1 - 1 1 1 - 1

Healthcare/Costs/ Insurance/HMO's 3 2 4 4 2 4 3

Environment/ Pollution 2 - 3 2 1 2 2

Trans/DMV total 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% Highway traffic/ congestion 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 Poor condition of roads/highways 1 2 - 1 1 1 1

Housing general 1 - 1 2 - 2 1 Immigration 1 1 1 - 1 1 - Police general 1 - 1 1 1 - - Poverty/Homeless 1 - 2 2 1 2 - Senior issues 1 1 - 1 - 1 -

Other 4 3 3 6 4 3 6 DK/NA 5 7 5 4 4 7 1



21. How serious do you think New Jersey's budget problems are - very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not at all serious?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Very serious 45% 38% 47% 49% 42% 48% 45% Smwht serious 42 53 39 40 43 41 40 Not too serious 8 5 9 8 9 7 9 Not at all serious 1 1 1 1 2 - 1 DK/NA 4 3 4 3 4 4 5

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Very serious 50% 45% 43% 46% 43% Smwht serious 36 44 46 39 42 Not too serious 5 6 9 9 11 Not at all serious 4 1 - 1 1 DK/NA 4 4 3 5 3



22. Who or what do you think is most responsible for New Jersey's budget deficit -- poor economic conditions, Governor McGreevey, former Governor Whitman or the state legislature

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Economic cond 25% 33% 22% 22% 26% 24% 21% Gov McGreevey 15 27 6 16 16 15 13 Former Gov Whitman 33 11 49 35 33 33 41 State legislature 15 19 13 14 17 13 12 OTHER(VOL) 4 2 2 6 4 3 5 DK/NA 8 9 8 7 3 12 7

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Economic cond 26% 22% 29% 27% 24% Gov McGreevey 12 14 20 16 16 Former Gov Whitman 29 40 25 31 33 State legislature 12 14 20 12 15 OTHER(VOL) 4 3 2 5 4 DK/NA 17 7 4 7 8



23. Now that Democrats control both the state legislature and the governorship do you expect quick agreement on a program to close the state's 4 billion dollar budget deficit or not?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Yes 31% 18% 43% 28% 32% 30% 29% No 59 74 44 62 61 58 62 DK/NA 10 7 12 10 7 13 9

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Yes 36% 36% 25% 32% 25% No 51 52 67 63 66 DK/NA 14 12 9 5 9



24. Do you think that New Jersey should or should not have a recall provision, where people can vote to remove an elected official from office, such as has happened in California?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Yes/Should 52% 57% 38% 60% 52% 52% 60% No/Shold not 44 39 57 38 46 42 37 DK/NA 4 5 5 3 3 6 3

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Yes/Should 46% 47% 51% 59% 56% No/Shold not 47 47 46 39 39 DK/NA 7 5 2 3 5



25. If you had the chance, would you vote to recall Governor McGreevey or not?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Yes 30% 39% 21% 33% 34% 27% 35% No 63 56 72 60 62 64 59 DK/NA 7 5 7 7 5 9 6

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Yes 26% 29% 34% 29% 33% No 68 65 60 60 61 DK/NA 6 6 7 10 6



26. If you had the chance, would you vote for Arnold Schwarzenegger to be governor of New Jersey or not?

                                                                   Union
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Yes 21% 29% 15% 20% 20% 22% 20% No 72 64 80 73 75 70 71 DK/NA 7 7 5 7 5 8 9

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Yes 18% 17% 22% 26% 23% No 76 77 72 67 68 DK/NA 7 6 6 7 9