March 6, 2002 - Torricelli Strong Leader, But So-So On Other Traits, New Jersey Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Diane Allen Runs Slightly Better In No-Name Pack
Incumbent Democratic Sen. Robert Torricelli has strong leadership qualities, but gets lukewarm ratings on other character traits, New Jersey voters say in a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Sen. Torricelli is just over 50 percent in his reelection bid when matched against all but one of the largely unknown Republican challengers. Former TV news anchor Diane Allen holds the Democrat at 49 percent.

Results among New Jersey registered voters show:
  • Sen. Torricelli over Essex County Executive James Treffinger 51 - 27 percent;
  • Torricelli over businessman Douglas Forrester 53 - 26 percent;
  • Torricelli over Assemblyman Guy Gregg 52 - 26 percent;
  • Torricelli over State Sen. John Matheussen 52 - 28 percent;
  • Torricelli over State Sen. Diane Allen 49 - 30 percent;
  • Torricelli over Independent Counsel Robert Ray 53 - 28 percent.
From February 26 - March 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,005 New Jersey registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.

"People usually don't vote for you if they don't know you and hardly anyone in New Jersey knows the Republicans who are thinking about challenging Sen. Torricelli. Maybe it's her broadcast background, but Sen. Allen is the only Republican who holds Torricelli below 50 percent statewide. In South Jersey, she trails the incumbent 47 - 35 percent," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"There's a 26 to 28 percent hard core - maybe it's Republican, maybe it's anti-Torricelli - who vote for any candidate running against the Democratic incumbent," Carroll added.

Torricelli gets a 41 - 26 percent approval rating, with 33 percent undecided, almost identical to his approval in a January 30 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University. Sen. Jon Corzine's approval is 51 - 20 percent, with 29 percent undecided.

By a 35 - 20 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Torricelli, with 22 percent mixed and 22 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings for possible challengers are:
                        Favorable    Unfavorable     Mixed     No Opinion

Treffinger                  6%            4%           6%          83%
Forrester                   6             1            4           88
Gregg                       4             2            6           87
Matheussen                  9             2            8           80
Allen                      12             3            8           76
Ray                         4             3            7           86



Torricelli has "strong leadership qualities," voters say 60 - 19 percent. Ratings on other character traits are:
  • 43 - 30 percent that he is honest and trustworthy, with 27 percent undecided;
  • 51 - 27 percent that he cares about their needs and problems, with 22 percent undecided;
  • 43 - 32 percent that he shares their views on issues important to them, with 25 percent undecided.
"Voters are reasonably familiar with Torricelli and they rate him high on leadership," Carroll said.

"And despite a drumbeat of headlines and broadcasts about a federal investigation, he does OK on the `honest and trustworthy' question."

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Torricelli is handling his job as United States Senator?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Approve 41% 30% 48% 43% 39% 43% 43% 39% 42% Disapprove 26 41 18 27 34 20 24 29 27 DK/NA 33 29 34 30 27 37 34 32 32

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jon Corzine is handling his job as United States Senator?
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Approve 51% 35% 64% 49% 51% 50% 48% 52% 52% Disapprove 20 31 13 19 24 16 18 23 20 DK/NA 29 34 23 32 25 33 35 26 29

6. Is your opinion of Essex County Executive James Treffinger favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Favorable 6% 9% 4% 5% 7% 5% 4% 3% 9% Unfavorable 4 4 5 3 6 2 2 5 5 Mixed 6 8 4 7 8 5 5 5 8 Hvn't hrd enough 83 78 86 83 79 86 89 87 77 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 1 - - 2

7. Is your opinion of businessman Douglas Forrester favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Favorable 6% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 7% 5% 5% Unfavorable 1 - 3 1 2 1 1 1 2 Mixed 4 4 4 6 4 4 5 4 4 Hvn't hrd enough 88 89 88 85 87 88 87 88 88 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 - 1 - 1 1

8. Is your opinion of Assemblyman Guy Gregg favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Favorable 4% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% Unfavorable 2 2 2 1 3 - 1 2 1 Mixed 6 5 6 8 5 7 9 5 5 Hvn't hrd enough 87 85 89 86 86 88 85 89 87 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 - 1 - - 1

9. Is your opinion of State Senator John Matheussen favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Favorable 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 8% 14% 9% 6% Unfavorable 2 1 3 1 2 2 3 2 1 Mixed 8 8 10 7 8 8 11 6 8 Hvn't hrd enough 80 80 78 82 79 81 73 83 83 REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1 1 - 1 1

10. Is your opinion of State Senator Diane Allen favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Favorable 12% 8% 16% 10% 10% 13% 27% 8% 5% Unfavorable 3 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 2 Mixed 8 8 9 8 7 10 11 7 7 Hvn't hrd enough 76 80 72 77 79 73 58 81 84 REFUSED - 1 - 1 1 - - - 1

11. Is your opinion of Independent Counsel Robert Ray favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth 


Favorable 4% 4% 3% 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 3% Unfavorable 3 2 4 4 4 2 3 4 3 Mixed 7 6 6 8 8 5 7 5 7 Hvn't hrd enough 86 86 87 84 82 89 85 87 85 REFUSED 1 2 - - - 1 - 1 1

12. Is your opinion of United States Senator Robert Torricelli favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Favorable 35% 24% 44% 34% 37% 33% 37% 33% 35% Unfavorable 20 33 10 21 28 14 16 21 22 Mixed 22 18 21 25 16 27 19 24 22 Hvn't hrd enough 22 21 24 20 18 25 26 19 20 REFUSED 1 3 1 - 1 1 1 3 1

13. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Robert Torricelli the Democrat, and James Treffinger the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Torricelli 51% 16% 81% 45% 49% 53% 55% 50% 50% Treffinger 27 66 6 22 34 21 26 26 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 4 2 3 2 2 3 DK/NA 18 16 11 28 15 22 17 20 18



14. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Robert Torricelli the Democrat, and Douglas Forrester the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Torricelli 53% 19% 82% 46% 51% 55% 57% 51% 51% Forrester 26 64 5 22 33 20 25 27 26 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 2 - - 4 DK/NA 18 15 11 28 14 22 16 19 18

15. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Robert Torricelli the Democrat, and Guy Gregg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Torricelli 52% 16% 83% 46% 50% 54% 54% 50% 53% Gregg 26 64 4 22 32 21 24 27 26 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 1 3 DK/NA 18 16 11 27 15 21 19 20 17

16. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Robert Torricelli the Democrat, and John Matheussen the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Torricelli 52% 18% 81% 46% 48% 56% 54% 50% 53% Matheussen 28 65 6 24 35 21 29 29 26 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 1 3 1 1 3 DK/NA 17 14 10 26 15 19 15 18 17

17. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Robert Torricelli the Democrat, and Diane Allen the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Torricelli 49% 17% 77% 43% 46% 51% 47% 46% 51% Allen 30 65 10 26 36 25 35 30 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 1 2 - 1 3 DK/NA 18 16 12 26 16 21 17 21 18

18. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Robert Torricelli the Democrat, and Robert Ray the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Torricelli 53% 17% 82% 46% 50% 54% 56% 49% 53% Ray 28 66 6 24 34 22 26 31 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 1 1 3 DK/NA 17 15 10 26 13 21 17 18 17

19. Would you say that Robert Torricelli is honest and trustworthy or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Yes 43% 26% 56% 40% 38% 47% 47% 43% 40% No 30 48 17 32 42 21 24 33 33 DK/NA 27 26 26 29 21 32 29 24 27

20. Would you say that Robert Torricelli cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Yes 51% 37% 62% 50% 46% 55% 49% 49% 53% No 27 43 18 26 36 20 25 28 28 DK/NA 22 20 20 24 18 25 26 23 18

21. Would you say that Robert Torricelli has strong leadership qualities or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Yes 60% 46% 68% 64% 58% 62% 58% 57% 63% No 19 32 11 17 24 14 18 21 17 DK/NA 21 22 21 19 18 24 25 21 19

22. Would you say that Robert Torricelli shares your views on issues that are important to you or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   Sth   Cntrl Nrth


Yes 43% 24% 60% 37% 41% 44% 40% 40% 46% No 32 53 17 33 39 25 32 33 31 DK/NA 25 23 23 30 20 30 28 27 23