December 13, 2002 - Bush VS. Gore II Is Neck & Neck In New Jersey, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Ex V.P. Is Top Choice Of Garden State Dems
President George W. Bush squeaks past former Vice President Al Gore 48 - 45 percent among New Jersey registered voters in an early look at the 2004 Presidential matchup by the Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Bush tops Gore 89 - 7 percent among Republicans and 50 - 39 percent among independent voters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Gore leads 80 - 15 percent among Democrats. Men back the Republican President 52 - 40 percent, while women back the Democrat 49 - 44 percent.

Among Democratic voters, Gore leads the pack of possible candidates with 37 percent, followed by New York Sen. Hillary Clinton with 22 percent and Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry with 14 percent. No other Democrat breaks into double digits.

"If President Bush's popularity in a Democratic state like New Jersey continues, he will be hard to beat nationwide. On the Democratic side, Sen. Kerry's early attention to New Jersey appears to be paying off already," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

From December 3 - 9, Quinnipiac University surveyed 934 New Jersey registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut and nationally as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks or call (203) 582-5201.

4. Now I'm going to name eight Democrats who might run for president in 2004. After I read all eight names, tell me which one you would most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004. Here are the choices... Former Vice President Al Gore, New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, Senate Democratic leader Tom Daschle, Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, or Vermont Governor Howard Dean?

                      Democrats


Gore 37% Clinton 22 Daschle 5 Lieberman 5 Kerry 14 Gephardt 7 Edwards 2 Dean - DK/NA 6



5. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
                                                                     Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom    HouseHld


Gore 45% 7% 80% 39% 40% 49% 46% Bush 48 89 15 50 52 44 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 4 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 DK/NA 4 3 2 5 4 3 3

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Gore 55% 47% 39% 44% 35% Bush 40 44 56 49 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 3 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 2 - 3 DK/NA 1 7 - 2 4