November 1, 2004 - Quinnipiac University Poll Results In 3 Key States: * Bush Leads Kerry 51 - 43 Percent In Florida; * Bush, Kerry In Dead Heat In Pennsylvania; * Kerry Is Ahead 48 - 43 Percent In New Jersey
Three separate Quinnipiac University polls of likely voters in key states today show:
  • President George W. Bush leads Democratic challenger John Kerry 51 - 43 percent in Florida, with 1 percent for independent candidate Ralph Nader and 4 percent undecided. In the U.S. Senate race, Republican Mel Martinez leads Democrat Betty Castor 49 - 44 percent, with 6 percent undecided.
  • President Bush and Sen. Kerry are tied at 47 - 47 percent in Pennsylvania, with 6 percent undecided. Republican incumbent Sen. Arlen Specter leads Democratic challenger U.S. Rep. Joseph Hoeffel 53 - 33 percent with 7 percent for Constitution Party Candidate Jim Clymer and 7 percent undecided.
  • Sen. Kerry leads President Bush 48 - 43 percent in New Jersey, with 2 percent for Nader and 6 percent undecided.
Polls in all three states were conducted October 27 - 31 and include:
  • 1,098 Florida likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points;
  • 1,022 Pennsylvania likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points;
  • 984 New Jersey likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida and the nation as a public service and for research. For complete polling data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and Quicklinks