October 30, 2001 - McGreevey Over 50 Percent In New Jersey Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Issues Work Against Schundler
Democrat James McGreevey has widened his lead over Republican Bret Schundler to 52 - 35 percent among likely voters in the New Jersey governor's race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Eleven percent are undecided.

An October 17 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University showed McGreevey leading 49 - 39 percent among likely voters.

In this latest survey, Democratic voters back McGreevey 84 - 7 percent, while Republicans back Schundler 74 - 17 percent. Independent voters go with the Democrat 54 - 28 percent. Among independent voters, 17 percent are undecided.

McGreevey leads 50 - 38 percent among men and 54 - 33 percent among women.

From October 23 - 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,068 New Jersey registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The survey includes 685 New Jersey likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percent.

"Mayor McGreevey has arrested the shift to Bret Schundler that showed up in the last poll. It looks like one of those rarities, a campaign in which voters focus on issues. New Jersey voters apparently know about, and reject, Schundler's' stands on abortion and gun control," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Both candidates rate high on honesty, likeability and leadership. But voters think McGreevey shares their views on issues and give Schundler only a standoff."

By a 41 - 24 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of McGreevey, with 23 percent mixed and 10 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Schundler gets a 30 - 30 percent favorability rating, with 23 percent mixed and 15 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion.

Looking at McGreevey, New Jersey likely voters say:
  • 57 - 29 percent that he shares their views on issues they care about;
  • 57 -21 percent that he is honest and trustworthy;
  • 65 - 18 percent that he has strong leadership qualities;
  • 63 - 20 percent that he has a likable personality;
  • 62 - 25 percent that he cares about their needs and problems. Looking at Schundler, New Jersey likely voters say:
  • 43 - 44 percent that he shares their views on issues they care about;
  • 54 -21 percent that he is honest and trustworthy;
  • 63 - 17 percent that he has strong leadership qualities;
  • 56 - 22 percent that he has a likable personality;
  • 50 -35 percent that he cares about their needs and problems.
In open-ended questions, where respondents can give any answer, voters were asked to name something about each candidate that would make him a good governor and something that would not make him a good governor. Education, abortion and gun control were issues which showed up most in the answers. More people cited them as a negative than a positive for Schundler, while these issues were more positive than negative for McGreevey.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu
2. Is your opinion of James McGreevey favorable, unfavorable, mixed,or haven't you heard enough about him?

                    LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


Favorable 41% 16% 69% 37% 38% 44% Unfavorable 24 52 4 20 29 21 Mixed 23 23 17 30 22 23 Hvn't hrd enough 10 8 9 12 9 11 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 2 2

3. Is your opinion of Bret Schundler favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                    LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


Favorable 30% 60% 10% 22% 31% 29% Unfavorable 30 9 46 33 30 30 Mixed 23 20 21 29 24 22 Hvn't hrd enough 15 10 20 15 13 17 REFUSED 2 1 2 0 2 2

4. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were James McGreevey the Democrat and Bret Schundler the Republican for whom would you vote?

                    LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


McGreevey 52% 17% 84% 54% 50% 54% Schundler 35 74 7 28 38 33

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 0 1 2 1 DK/NA 11 6 9 17 10 12

5. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                          LIKELY VOTERS ......................
                          McGreevey Voters    Schundler Voters


Made up 76% 77% Might change 23 23 DK/NA - -

6. Would you describe your support for McGreevey/Schundler as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support McGreevey/Schundler because you dislike the other candidate?

                          LIKELY VOTERS ......................
                          McGreevey Voters    Schundler Voters


Strongly favor 47% 47% Like with reservations 35 37 Dislike other candidate 15 15 DK/NA 3 1



7. Is there anything in particular about James McGreevey that makes you think that he would make a good Governor? (Up to 3 responses allowed, may total >100%)
                              LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                              Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


Leadership qualities 1 - - 1 1 - Intelligent/Knowledgeable 1 - 1 - 1 1 Good Speaker 1 - 1 2 1 2 Experience/record 10 6 13 11 10 10

Stand on issues (general) 3 1 6 1 1 4 Stand on taxes 2 1 3 3 2 3 Stand on property taxes 2 1 4 2 3 2 Stand on education 10 5 14 12 6 14 Stand on school vouchers 1 - - 1 1 1 Stand on abortion 6 3 8 7 5 7 Stand on gun control 9 7 13 8 8 10 Stand on police issues 1 1 - 1 2 - Stand on highway tolls 1 - 1 2 2 - Stand on auto insurance 4 2 7 3 6 3

Honesty/Integrity/Character 4 4 6 3 5 4 In touch with/Cares for people 2 1 3 1 1 2 Personality/Style 1 1 1 2 1 2 Young 1 1 - - 1 1 Supports/Fights for middle class 2 - 4 1 2 2 Union supporter 1 - 2 2 2 1

Party 5 - 12 3 3 7 Political philosophy 1 2 - 1 1 1 Just like him 1 - - - 1 1 Other 10 4 13 12 11 9 DK/NA 50 71 30 48 51 49

8. Is there anything in particular about James McGreevey that makes you think that he would not make a good Governor?
                              LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                              Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


Not a good speaker 1 - 1 - 1 1 Weak 1 1 1 1 1 1 Vague/indecisive 1 1 - - 1 - Flip-flops on issues 1 1 1 - 1 1 Experience/record 4 4 3 4 5 3 Insider/typical pol 3 3 3 2 4 2

Stand on issues(general) 2 4 - 1 1 2 Stand on taxes 7 13 2 8 8 7 Stand on fiscal issues/budget 3 5 1 2 4 2 Stand on education 1 1 - 1 1 1 Stand on school vouchers 1 2 - 1 1 1 Stand on abortion 5 9 3 2 4 5 Stand on gun control 2 2 1 2 2 2

Lacking honesty/integrity/char 3 6 2 2 3 3 Too young 1 1 - 1 1 -

Party 4 8 1 2 5 3 Political Philosophy 2 4 - 1 3 1 Florio ref(general) 1 2 - 1 2 1 Dislike campaign 1 3 - 1 1 2 Tied to interest groups/unions 1 4 - - 2 1 Just don't like him 1 1 - 1 - 1 Other 7 10 1 7 10 5 DK/NA 63 39 80 66 57 67



9. Is there anything in particular about Bret Schundler that makes you think that he would make a good Governor? (Up to 3 responses allowed, may total >100%)

                              LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                              Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


Leadership qualities 1 2 - 2 1 2 Intelligent/Knowledgeable 1 1 - 1 1 1 Good Speaker 1 1 - - 1 1 Experience/record 13 23 7 11 16 12 Independent thinker/ fresh ideas 4 8 1 2 5 3

Stand on issues(general) 3 5 1 3 3 3 Stand on taxes 5 9 - 6 7 4 Stand on property taxes 2 2 1 2 2 1 Stand on fiscal issues/budget 1 2 - - 2 - Stand on education 2 4 - 2 3 1 Stand on school vouchers 2 6 - 2 3 2 Stand on abortion 5 7 2 5 4 5 Stand on gun control 3 5 1 3 4 2 Stand on highway tolls 4 5 2 4 5 3

Honesty/Integrity/Character 4 5 3 4 5 4 In touch with/Cares for people 1 1 - - 1 1 Personality/Style 1 3 - 1 1 2 Aggressive/Fights for what he believes in 1 1 - 1 1 1

Party 3 7 1 1 4 2 Political philosophy 1 3 - - 1 1 Other 11 21 4 6 9 11 DK/NA 57 29 79 60 51 62

10. Is there anything in particular about Bret Schundler that makes you think that he would not make a good Governor?

                              LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                              Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


Experience/record 4 3 5 3 5 3

Stand on issues(general) 1 - 1 2 1 1 Stand on taxes 2 - 3 1 2 1 Stand on fiscal issues/budget 1 1 - 1 1 1 Stand on education 4 1 5 4 2 5 Stand on school vouchers 4 1 6 4 3 4 Stand on abortion 15 11 17 17 13 16 Stand on gun control 14 6 20 15 13 14 Stand on highway tolls 1 - 3 1 2 1

Lacking honesty/ integrity/character 2 - 4 1 3 1 Personality/style 1 1 1 - 1 1

Party 2 - 5 2 2 3 Political Philosophy 4 2 5 6 5 4 Dislike campaign 2 2 2 1 1 2 Just don't like him 1 - 1 - - 1 Other 9 6 10 8 12 7 DK/NA 56 70 44 53 53 59



11. Which is more important to you when voting for Governor, the experience and personal qualities of the candidates or the candidates' positions on specific issues?

                    LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


Experience/ Qualities 29% 39% 25% 24% 27% 31%

Positions on issues 63 53 68 70 64 63

DK/NA 7 8 7 6 9 6



12. Would you say that James McGreevey shares your views on issues that you care about or not?

                    LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


Yes 57% 22% 84% 63% 55% 59% No 29 64 4 23 35 25 DK/NA 13 14 12 13 10 16

13. Would you say that James McGreevey is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes                 57%     39%     74%     60%     56%     58%
No                  21      37       6      20      26      17
DK/NA               22      25      20      20      19      25


14. Would you say that James McGreevey has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes                 65%     54%     75%     67%     63%     68%
No                  18      31       8      15      21      15
DK/NA               17      15      17      19      16      18


15. Would you say that James McGreevey has a likable personality or not?

Yes                 63%     47%     77%     66%     61%     65%
No                  20      36       7      19      25      16
DK/NA               17      17      15      16      14      19


16. Would you say that James McGreevey cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

Yes                 62%     38%     83%     64%     58%     65%
No                  25      48       5      23      30      21
DK/NA               13      13      12      13      12      15


17. Would you say that James McGreevey has the right kind of experience to be Governor of New Jersey or not?

Yes                 64%     47%     82%     63%     64%     64%
No                  20      40       6      18      23      18
DK/NA               16      13      12      19      13      18




18. Would you say that Bret Schundler shares your views on issues that you care about or not?

                    LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


Yes 43% 79% 16% 38% 47% 40% No 44 13 71 49 44 45 DK/NA 12 8 13 12 9 15

19. Would you say that Bret Schundler is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes                 54%     75%     37%     54%     58%     51%
No                  21      13      26      24      23      19
DK/NA               25      12      38      22      19      30


20. Would you say that Bret Schundler has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes                 63%     81%     47%     66%     66%     61%
No                  17       9      26      16      18      16
DK/NA               20      10      27      18      16      23


21. Would you say that Bret Schundler has a likable personality or not?

Yes                 56%     73%     44%     55%     60%     53%
No                  22      12      32      23      21      23
DK/NA               22      15      25      22      19      24


22. Would you say that Bret Schundler cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

Yes                 50%     77%     27%     50%     53%     48%
No                  35      14      53      36      36      34
DK/NA               15       9      20      14      11      18


23. Would you say that Bret Schundler has the right kind of experience to be Governor of New Jersey or not?

Yes                 61%     80%     44%     62%     64%     58%
No                  23      11      34      22      24      21
DK/NA               17       9      22      16      12      21




24. Regardless of how you intend to vote for Governor, who do you think would do a better job on education - James McGreevey or Bret Schundler?

                    LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


McGreevey 52 24 78 53 52 53 Schundler 32 63 9 29 36 29 DK/NA 15 13 13 18 12 19

25. Regardless of how you intend to vote for Governor, who do you think would do a better job on taxes - James McGreevey or Bret Schundler?

McGreevey           40      11      67      40      38      41
Schundler           43      80      14      40      49      38
DK/NA               17      10      19      21      12      21


26. Regardless of how you intend to vote for Governor, who do you think would do a better job on car insurance - James McGreevey or Bret Schundler?

McGreevey           41      15      64      41      41      40
Schundler           21      42       5      19      23      19
DK/NA               39      43      31      40      36      41


27. Regardless of how you intend to vote for Governor, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - James McGreevey or Bret Schundler?

McGreevey           40      13      70      35      38      42
Schundler           38      73      12      33      44      32
DK/NA               22      14      19      32      18      26


28. Regardless of how you intend to vote for Governor, who do you think would do a better job on issue of Garden State Parkway tolls - James McGreevey or Bret Schundler?

McGreevey           32      15      52      29      31      33
Schundler           33      54      17      31      37      30
DK/NA               35      31      32      40      33      38


29. Regardless of how you intend to vote for Governor, who do you think would do a better job handling a crisis - James McGreevey or Bret Schundler?



McGreevey           35      11      59      36      33      38
Schundler           32      62      12      26      38      27
DK/NA               32      27      30      37      29      35


30. Do you favor or oppose providing parents with tax money in the form of school vouchers to help pay for their children to attend private or religious schools?

                    LIKELY VOTERS.............................
                    Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men    Wom


Favor 42% 65% 28% 34% 46% 39%

Oppose 51 28 66 57 49 52

DK/NA 7 7 6 9 6 9