March 29, 2000 - Corzine Inches Up On Florio With Jersey Dems, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; Voters Prefer Government To Business Resume
Businessman Jon Corzine has closed some of the gap with former Gov. James Florio and now trails 50 - 26 percent among Democratic voters, according to a Quinnipiac College Poll released today.

This 24-point lead for Florio compares to his 35-point lead over Corzine, 57 - 22 percent, in a February 23 poll by the independent Quinnipiac College, before Corzine began his multi-million-dollar advertising blitz.

By a 67 - 21 percent margin, Democrats say it is more important for a U.S. Senator to have government experience rather than business experience. Among all voters, government experience is rated more important 51 - 35 percent.

Florio's biggest downside is that 26 percent of all New Jersey voters have a favorable opinion of him, with 35 percent negative and 24 percent mixed. For Corzine, 76 percent of all voters say they don't know enough to form an opinion, compared to 81 percent in the February 23 poll. "Jon Corzine has closed some of that 35-point gap with Gov. Florio. But despite spending almost $1 million on TV advertising, he barely registers recognition among voters. Why? Because voters get the bulk of their information from sources other than TV ads," said Quinnipiac College Political Science Professor Scott McLean. "Will Florio's high negatives be his undoing? Don't count on it. New Jersey Democrats, by three to one, think it is more important for a Senator to have government experience than business experience. Florio, a former Congressman and Governor, might show that among Democrats, it is better to be known than loved," Dr. McLean said.

In the Republican Senate primary, 53 percent of voters are undecided, while 14 percent back U.S. Rep Bob Franks. No other candidate gets 10 percent of the vote.

Favorability ratings among possible Senate contenders are:
                            Favorable     Unfavorable     Mixed     No Opinion
Jon Corzine                     9%             6%           8%         76%
Former State. Sen. 
   Brian Kennedy                4              4            8          82
U.S. Rep. Bob Franks           12              5           14          68
State Sen. William Gormley     10              5           11          74
Essex  County Executive  
   James Treffinger             6              5            4          84
Professor Murray Sabrin         6              6            7          81



Fifteen percent of Democratic voters say endorsements of local party leaders are "very important" and 31 percent say "somewhat important" in their decision on a Senate candidate.

With Republican voters, 7 percent say these endorsements are "very important" and 36 percent say they are "somewhat important."

"Voters are not paying much attention to the Senate race so far, and local party endorsements don't mean much today. But that could all change by the June 6 primary," Dr. McLean said.

From March 21 - 27, Quinnipiac College surveyed 1,177 New Jersey registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. The survey includes 348 registered Republican voters, with a margin of error of +/- 5.3 percent and 400 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.

The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data: www.quinnipiac.edu

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Approve 53% 44% 62% 56% 49% 57%

Disapprove 22 36 12 20 30 15

DK/NA 25 20 26 24 21 28



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Torricelli is handling his job as United States Senator?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Approve 42% 33% 48% 45% 40% 44%

Disapprove 24 39 15 22 31 18

DK/NA 33 28 37 33 29 38



14. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for United States Senator -- a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


A lot 11% 12% 10% 12% 14% 9%

Some 25 24 25 25 26 24

Only a little 35 37 34 36 37 33

None at all 29 27 30 26 23 34

DK/NA - - - 1 - -



15. Is your opinion of former New Jersey Governor James Florio favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Favorable 26% 10% 41% 25% 24% 27%

Unfavorable 35 60 15 33 42 28

Mixed 24 18 27 27 22 27

Hvn't hrd enough 14 11 17 14 12 17

DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1



16. Is your opinion of businessman Jon Corzine favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Favorable 9% 6% 11% 9% 10% 8%

Unfavorable 6 10 5 4 9 3

Mixed 8 6 7 11 9 7

Hvn't hrd enough 76 77 75 75 72 81

DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1



17. Is your opinion of New Jersey Congressman Bob Franks favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Favorable 12% 17% 8% 11% 13% 11%

Unfavorable 5 4 8 4 7 4

Mixed 14 11 13 16 16 12

Hvn't hrd enough 68 67 69 67 62 73

DK/NA 2 1 1 2 2 1



18. Is your opinion of State Senator William Gormley favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Favorable 10% 11% 7% 11% 10% 9%

Unfavorable 5 4 7 3 6 3

Mixed 11 12 9 11 11 10

Hvn't hrd enough 74 72 76 73 72 77

DK/NA 1 1 1 2 1 1



19. Is your opinion of Essex county executive James Treffinger favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Favorable 6% 9% 5% 5% 7% 5%

Unfavorable 5 2 6 5 6 3

Mixed 4 3 4 5 4 4

Hvn't hrd enough 84 84 84 83 82 86

DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1



20. Is your opinion of college professor Murray Sabrin favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Favorable 6% 9% 4% 6% 8% 3%

Unfavorable 6 5 6 6 8 3

Mixed 7 6 5 9 8 7

Hvn't hrd enough 81 79 84 79 75 85

DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1



21. Is your opinion of former State Senator Brian Kennedy favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Favorable 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4%

Unfavorable 4 6 4 4 6 3

Mixed 8 8 5 9 6 9

Hvn't hrd enough 82 79 85 82 82 82

DK/NA 2 2 1 1 1 2



23a. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic Primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were James Florio and Jon Corzine, for whom would you vote?

                        Registered
                        Democrat 


James Florio 50%

Jon Corzine 26

WLDN'T VOTE (VOL) 2

DK/NA 22



24a. (If Registered Democrat) When deciding how to vote in the Democratic primary for United States Senator, how important is it to you which candidate is endorsed by the local Democratic party leaders? Is it very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not important at all?

                        Registered
                        Democrat


Very important 15%

Smwht important 31

Not very important 23

Not important at all 30

DK/NA 2



23b. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican Primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Murray Sabrin, Bob Franks, James Treffinger, William Gormley, or Brian Kennedy, for whom would you vote?

                        Registered
                        Republican


Murray Sabrin 5%

Bob Franks 14

James Treffinger 7

William Gormley 9

Brian Kennedy 6

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7

DK/NA 53



24b. (If Registered Republican) When deciding how to vote in the Republican primary for United States Senator, how important is it to you which candidate is endorsed by the local Republican party leaders? Is it very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not important at all?

                        Registered
                        Republican


Very important 7%

Smwht important 36

Not very important 25

Not important at all 30

DK/NA 1



25. Do you think it is more important for a United States Senator to have experience in government or experience in business?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Government 51% 43% 67% 44% 48% 54%

Business 35 46 21 40 40 31

DK/NA 14 12 11 16 12 15



26. Where have you been getting most of your information about the campaign for United States Senator from New Jersey?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


Family,Friends, Acquaintances 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Magazine, News articles 1 1 - 1 1 1

Newspaper, News articles 40 40 40 43 48 33

Newspaper, Editorials,Opinion columns 9 11 6 9 8 9

Newspaper, Paid political advertisements 1 2 1 1 1 1

Radio, News 4 2 4 4 5 3

Radio, Paid political advertisements - - - - - -

Radio, Political talk shows 1 2 1 1 2 1

TV, News 24 21 31 21 17 31

TV, Paid political advertisements 3 2 3 5 3 4

TV, Political talk shows 4 5 3 2 3 4

TV, Debates 2 2 1 1 2 2

Computer/Internet 1 2 2 1 1 1

Mailings, Political campaigns 1 3 1 1 1 1

Telephone, Polictical campaigns - - - - - -

OTHER 1 1 2 2 1 2

DK/NA 6 5 4 5 6 5



27. In general, if a wealthy candidate relies on their own money to fund their political campaign, does that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or doesn't it make a difference?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


More likely 14% 16% 14% 13% 14% 14%

Less likely 11 7 17 10 12 11

Doesn't make a diff. 74 76 69 76 73 74

DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1



28. If a wealthy candidate relies on their own money to fund their political campaign and wins the election, do you think that candidate ...would be more influenced by special interests, less influenced by special interests, or doesn't it make a difference?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom 


More influenced 16% 14% 17% 17% 14% 18%

Less influenced 31 35 30 29 34 27

Doesn't make a diff. 48 47 48 49 47 49

DK/NA 5 4 5 5 5 5