February 11, 1999 - Bradley Beats Bush Or Dole In Run For White House, New Jersey Voters Tell Quinnipiac College Poll; Gore Would Have Tough Fight With Bush Or Dole
Native Son Bill Bradley is the early favorite in New Jersey for the 2000 Presidential election, beating the top Republican candidates, Texas Gov. George W. Bush 55 - 32 percent and Elizabeth Dole 56 - 32 percent, according to a Quinnipiac College Poll released today.

Bush beats Vice President Al Gore by a narrow 46 - 41 percent, with 13 percent undecided or choosing someone else or not voting. Gore and Mrs. Dole, wife of former GOP presidential candidate Bob Dole, are locked in a 42 - 43 percent tie, the independent Quinnipiac College Poll finds.

Bradley, the former New Jersey Senator, also is best liked. By a 54 - 12 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion, while 17 percent have a mixed opinion and 17 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion.

Among the other possible candidates:
                                  Favorable     Unfavorable      Mixed     No Opinion
Gore                                30%             32%           24%          13%
Bush                                29              13            11           46
Dole                                39              14            15           32


"Bill Bradley's neighbors tell Quinnipiac College pollsters they'd like to see him become President. His favorability rating is awesome. And he'd trounce either of the two Republican leaders, Gov. Bush of Texas and former Red Cross Chair Elizabeth Dole, who would like to make Bob Dole first husband," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

"Maybe it's because he's up against a popular native son, or maybe people just aren't very excited about him, but Vice President Gore barely breaks even on favorability and doesn't run well against Bush or Dole," Carroll added.

When Bradley faces either Republican candidate, he gets support from Republicans, independents and women voters that Gore does not receive. Against Bush, Bradley gets 17 percent of Republican voters, 58 percent of independent voters and 57 percent of women voters.

Women voters back Bradley over Dole 53 - 35 percent, while men go with Bradley 60 - 29 percent.

When Gore faces Dole, women go to Dole 45 - 40 percent, while men favor Gore 44 - 42 percent, a statistical tie on both counts.

From February 3 - 8, Quinnipiac College surveyed 926 New Jersey residents who say they are registered voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percent.

The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

13. Is your opinion of Texas Governor George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                 Nov 12
                         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom   1998


Favorable 29% 54% 11% 26% 31% 27% 39%

Unfavorable 13 3 22 13 14 11 10

Mixed 11 8 15 11 12 11 9

Haven't hrd enough 46 34 51 49 42 50 41

REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 -



14. Is your opinion of Vice President Al Gore favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                 Nov 12
                         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom   1998


Favorable 30% 13% 54% 25% 30% 30% 33%

Unfavorable 32 54 8 36 36 29 27

Mixed 24 25 22 25 23 26 23

Haven't hrd enough 13 8 16 13 11 15 17

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1



15. Is your opinion of former United States Senator Bill Bradley favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                 Nov 12
                         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom   1998


Favorable 54% 41% 70% 53% 56% 53% 59%

Unfavorable 12 21 3 12 14 10 8

Mixed 17 21 11 18 18 16 16

Haven't hrd enough 17 17 15 16 12 21 17

REFUSED - - 1 1 - - -



16. Is your opinion of former Red Cross Chairwoman Elizabeth Dole favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her? * Question read, "Is your opinion of Elizabeth Dole favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?"

                                                                 June 26
                         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom   1996 *


Favorable 39% 55% 29% 36% 35% 42% 31%

Unfavorable 14 6 22 14 15 12 9

Mixed 15 14 15 16 18 12 14

Haven't hrd enough 32 25 34 34 30 34 45

REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 - 1



17. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Vice President Al Gore the Democrat and Texas Governor George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom


Al Gore 41% 6% 81% 38% 40% 43%

George W. Bush 46 86 8 47 50 42

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 3 1 2 3 3 2

WOULDN'T VOTE (VOL) 2 1 2 3 2 2

DK/NA 8 6 8 9 6 11



18. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were former United States Senator Bill Bradley the Democrat and Texas Governor George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom


Bill Bradley 55% 17% 86% 58% 54% 57%

George W. Bush 32 71 8 26 35 30

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 1

WOULDN'T VOTE (VOL) 1 - - 1 1 -

DK/NA 10 11 5 11 8 11



19. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Vice President Al Gore the Democrat and former Red Cross Chairwoman Elizabeth Dole the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom


Al Gore 42% 12% 78% 38% 44% 40%

Elizabeth Dole 43 73 12 45 42 45

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 2 1 2 3 3 2

WOULDN'T VOTE (VOL) 4 4 1 5 4 3

DK/NA 9 9 7 9 8 9



20. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were former United States Senator Bill Bradley the Democrat and former Red Cross Chairwoman Elizabeth Dole the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom


Bill Bradley 56% 28% 84% 56% 60% 53%

Elizabeth Dole 32 61 10 28 29 35

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 2 2 1 4 3 1

WOULDN'T VOTE (VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 2

DK/NA 8 7 4 10 7 9