April 1, 1999 - Racial Profiling Divides New Jersey Voters, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; Bradley Beats Bush, But Bush Beats Gore
New Jersey voters approve 68 - 22 percent of the way the State Police are doing their job, according to a Quinnipiac College Poll released today. Black voter approval is a negative 22 - 66 percent, while whites approve 73 - 16 percent.

All voters believe 45 - 41 percent, a very close margin, that State Police target minority drivers for car stops, rather than treating everyone the same. Black voters believe 84 - 12 percent that racial profiling occurs, while white voters say 39 - 45 percent that it occurs.

Only 17 percent of all voters say racial profiling is a good idea, while 76 percent say it is a bad idea.

"Hardly anyone notices the State Police unless they're pulled over for a traffic violation. But white and black perceptions of the troopers are a mirror image: White respondents approve of them; black respondents don't," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute. "While 76 percent of all voters say racial profiling is a bad idea, white voters aren't convinced it occurs, while black voters feel overwhelmingly that they are targets."

In the 2000 Presidential election, New Jersey native son Bill Bradley beats the top Republican candidates, Texas Gov. George W. Bush 53 - 35 percent and Elizabeth Dole 59 - 28 percent, according to the independent Quinnipiac College Poll.

Bush beats Vice President Al Gore 47 - 40 percent. Gore and Mrs. Dole, wife of former GOP presidential candidate Bob Dole, remain locked in a 41 - 42 percent tie, results which are virtually unchanged since a February 11 Quinnipiac College Poll.

Bradley, the former Senator, enjoys huge popularity in his home state. By a 63 - 9 percent margin, New Jersey voters have a favorable opinion of him, while 15 percent have a mixed opinion and 12 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion. Among the other possible candidates:
                   Favorable      Unfavorable      Mixed      No Opinion
Gore                  34%             36%           18%           11%
Bush                  38              15            11            36
Dole                  42              15            15            27


"Politicians can only dream of the popularity Bill Bradley enjoys in the Garden State. Even Republicans like him 53 - 16 percent," Carroll said. "Of course, once we get into the rough and tumble of a New Jersey political campaign, we'll see what happens to that high favorability," Carroll said.

Republicans are making a quick comeback from their bad ratings during the impeachment process: By a split 26 - 27 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of the Republican Party, up from a negative 23 - 37 percent favorability in a February 10 Quinnipiac College Poll. The Democratic party has a 31 - 23 percent favorability, compared to 35 - 24 percent in the February 10 poll.

Because of the GOP's handling of impeachment, 14 percent of voters say they are more likely to vote for Republican candidates next year, while 37 percent of voters say they are less likely and 46 percent say it will have no effect on their vote.

The Democrat's handling of impeachment leaves 21 percent of voters saying they are more likely to vote Democratic next year, while 28 percent say they are less likely and 48 percent say it will have no effect on their vote

From March 23 - 29, Quinnipiac College surveyed 984 New Jersey residents who say they are registered voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.

The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?

                                                                         Feb 10
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


Approve 59% 26% 86% 57% 53% 64% 60%

Disapprove 39 70 12 41 45 33 38

DK/NA 3 4 2 3 2 3 2



22. Is your opinion of President Bill Clinton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                         Feb 10
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


Favorable 39% 11% 68% 35% 40% 38% 42%

Unfavorable 39 72 11 39 45 34 39

Mixed 21 16 20 25 14 27 18

Haven't heard enough 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

REFUSED - - - - - - -



23. Is your opinion of Texas Governor George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                         Feb 11
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


Favorable 38% 65% 16% 37% 42% 34% 29%

Unfavorable 15 3 27 14 16 14 13

Mixed 11 5 13 12 10 12 11

Haven't heard enough 36 26 43 36 31 39 46

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 - 1 1



24. Is your opinion of Vice President Al Gore favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                         Feb 11
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


Favorable 34% 14% 59% 30% 33% 35% 30%

Unfavorable 36 62 13 36 43 30 32

Mixed 18 13 16 22 13 22 24

Haven't heard enough 11 10 11 11 10 12 13

REFUSED 1 - 1 1 - 2 1



25. Is your opinion of former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                         Feb 11
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


Favorable 63% 53% 74% 63% 67% 59% 54%

Unfavorable 9 16 5 9 11 8 12

Mixed 15 17 11 17 14 16 17

Haven't heard enough 12 13 10 12 8 16 17

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 - 1 -



26. Is your opinion of former Red Cross Chairwoman Elizabeth Dole favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                                                                         Feb 11
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


Favorable 42% 60% 31% 41% 39% 45% 39%

Unfavorable 15 9 21 16 16 15 14

Mixed 15 11 18 15 16 13 15

Haven't heard enough 27 19 28 28 28 25 32

REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1



27. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Vice President Al Gore the Democrat and Texas Governor George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                         Feb 11
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999
Vice President Al
Gore                      40%      8%     76%     35%     35%     44%     41%


Texas Governor George W. Bush 47 85 15 46 53 42 46

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 2 - - 4 2 1 3

WOULDN'T VOTE (VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 2

DK/NA 10 6 7 13 8 12 8



28. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley the Democrat and Texas Governor George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                         Feb 11
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999
former New Jersey
Senator Bill Bradley      53%     20%     84%     54%     48%     57%     55%


Texas Governor George W. Bush 35 68 9 32 40 30 32

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 1 - - 2 2 1 2

WOULDN'T VOTE (VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - 1

DK/NA 11 11 7 11 9 13 10



29. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Vice President Al Gore the Democrat and former Red Cross Chairwoman Elizabeth Dole the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                         Feb 11
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


Vice President Al Gore 41% 11% 73% 39% 41% 41% 42%

former Red Cross Chairwoman Elizabeth Dole 42 76 16 41 43 41 43

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 2 - 1 4 2 1 2

WOULDN'T VOTE (VOL) 3 2 1 4 3 2 4

DK/NA 12 10 9 13 10 14 9



30. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley the Democrat and former Red Cross Chairwoman Elizabeth Dole the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                         Feb 11
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999
former New Jersey
Senator Bill Bradley      59%     33%     84%     60%     61%     58%     56%


former Red Cross Chairwoman Elizabeth Dole 28 59 7 23 27 29 32

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 1 - - 3 2 1 2

WOULDN'T VOTE (VOL) 2 2 1 1 2 1 2

DK/NA 10 7 7 12 8 12 8



31. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about it?

                                                                         Feb 10
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


Favorable 31% 4% 68% 24% 26% 34% 35%

Unfavorable 23 55 3 20 30 18 24

Mixed 42 38 26 54 42 42 35

Haven't heard enough 3 1 3 2 1 4 5

REFUSED 1 2 - - 1 1 1



32. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about it?

                                                                         Feb 10
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


Favorable 26% 63% 5% 20% 28% 25% 23%

Unfavorable 27 2 56 24 29 25 37

Mixed 42 33 34 52 40 43 34

Haven't heard enough 4 1 5 3 2 6 6

REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1



33. Has the handling of the impeachment matter by House and Senate Republicans made you more likely to vote for Republican candidates in elections in the year 2000, less likely to vote for Republican candidates, or hasn't it had an effect?

                                                                         Feb 10
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


More likely 14% 30% 4% 11% 14% 13% 14%

Less likely 37 11 62 36 38 35 41

No effect 46 54 30 49 46 46 43

DK/NA 4 4 4 3 2 5 2



34. Has the handling of the impeachment matter by House and Senate Democrats made you more likely to vote for Democratic candidates in elections in the year 2000, less likely to vote for Democratic candidates, or hasn't it had an effect?

                                                                         Feb 10
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     1999


More likely 21% 3% 43% 20% 21% 22% 26%

Less likely 28 54 7 27 32 25 24

No effect 48 40 47 51 46 49 47

DK/NA 3 3 3 2 1 4 2



35. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the New Jersey State police are doing their job?

                   Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht    Blk 


Approve 68% 85% 52% 67% 73% 63% 73% 22%

Disapprove 22 9 36 22 20 23 16 66

DK/NA 11 7 12 11 7 14 11 12



36. Recently there have been allegations that the New Jersey State police selectively target minority drivers for traffic stops in order to search for drugs or guns. This practice is know as racial profiling. Do you think the New Jersey State police selectively target minority drivers or do you think they treat everyone the same?

                   Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht    Blk


Selectively target 45% 31% 60% 47% 42% 47% 39% 84%

Treat all the same 41 55 30 38 47 37 45 12

DK/NA 14 14 10 16 11 15 15 4



37. Some people say that racial profiling is a good idea because certain groups are more likely to commit crimes, while others say it is a bad idea because racial profiling unfairly discriminates against minorities. Do you think racial profiling is a good idea or a bad idea?

                   Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht    Blk


Good idea 17% 25% 9% 19% 24% 11% 18% 5%

Bad idea 76 67 87 73 68 82 74 89

DK/NA 8 8 4 8 9 7 7 6