July 22, 1999 - Men, Women Back Whitman Over Florio In Senate Race, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; Bob Grant Would Cut Slightly Into Whitman Lead
Gov. Christine Todd Whitman holds a commanding 52 - 35 percent lead over former Democratic Governor James Florio in their possible U.S. Senate race, with equally strong support among men and women, according to a Quinnipiac College Poll released today.

Gov. Whitman leads 54 - 34 percent among men and 51 - 35 percent among women, the independent Quinnipiac College Poll of New Jersey registered voters finds.

If radio personality Bob Grant were to enter the race as a third party candidate, Whitman would get 46 percent to Florio's 32 percent, with 11 percent for Grant.

Whitman would beat businessman Jon Corzine 56 - 22 percent.

"At this early stage, Gov. Whitman wins, no matter who is on the ballot against her. New Jerseyans think highly of their current governor. They don't think highly of her predecessor," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

"As a right-wing radio host, Bob Grant is popular. But New Jerseyans don't know much about him as a candidate. Or if they do, they don't like him. He gets 11 percent of the vote, cutting into Whitman's support more than Florio's."

Republicans back Whitman over Florio 82 - 8 percent, while Democrats back Florio 66 - 22 percent and independent voters go with Whitman 54 - 32 percent.

The Governor's approval rating is 55 - 37 percent, unchanged from a June 9 Quinnipiac College Poll.

Sen. Frank Lautenberg has a 55 - 25 percent approval rating, while Sen. Robert Torricelli has a 44 - 29 percent approval.

By a 44 - 29 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Whitman, while 24 percent have a mixed opinion and 2 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings for other possible Senate candidates are:
                        Favorable      Unfavorable       Mixed      No Opinion
Florio                     21              38             23           17
Radio host Bob Grant       11              23             10           56
Businessman Jon Corzine     3               3              3           90


"Corzine, the great North Jersey hope of some Democratic professionals, is all but anonymous to the general public," Carroll said.

Florio would beat Corzine in a Democratic Primary 55 - 19 percent.

"You have to assume -- given that no one knows much about Corzine -- that sentiment for Corzine in a primary is essentially sentiment against Florio," Carroll said.

From July 13 - 20, Quinnipiac College surveyed 1,082 New Jersey residents who say they are registered voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.

The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data: www.quinnipiac.edu

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Whitman is handling her job as Governor of New Jersey?

                                                            Jun 9
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999
                      
Approve                 55%   75%   38%   56%   56%   55%   55%
                      
Disapprove              37    20    52    38    37    36    37
                      
DK/NA                    8     5    11     6     7     9     8




2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                            Mar 31
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999
                       
Approve                 55%   42%   68%   56%   52%   57%   54%
                       
Disapprove              25    40    15    24    30    21    25
                       
DK/NA                   20    18    17    20    17    22    21




3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Torricelli is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                            Mar 31
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999
                      
Approve                 44%   34%   61%   38%   42%   45%   43%
                      
Disapprove              29    40    16    32    36    23    29
                      
DK/NA                   28    26    23    30    22    32    28




6. Is your opinion of former New Jersey Governor James Florio favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                      Jun 9
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999
                       
Favorable               21%    8%   35%   19%   22%   20%   25%
                       
Unfavorable             38    60    17    39    43    34    34
                       
Mixed                   23    18    27    26    22    25    22
                       
Haven't heard          
enough                  17    13    20    16    12    21    18
                       
REFUSED                  1     -     -     1     1     1     1




7. Is your opinion of New Jersey Governor Christine Whitman favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                                                            Jun 9
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999
                      
Favorable               44%   65%   21%   45%   47%   42%   48%
                      
Unfavorable             29    14    44    29    29    28    28
                      
Mixed                   24    19    32    24    21    27    21
                      
Haven't heard         
enough                   2     1     3     2     2     3     2
                      
REFUSED                  -     -     -     -     1     -     -




8. Is your opinion of businessman Jon Corzine favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                            Jun 9
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999
                       
Favorable                3%    4%    4%    3%    4%    2%    3%
                       
Unfavorable              3     3     4     1     4     1     2
                       
Mixed                    3     2     4     3     3     3     4
                       
Haven't heard          
enough                  90    90    87    93    88    93    91
                       
REFUSED                  1     1     1     -     -     1     -
                       
                       
9. Is your opinion of broadcast personality Bob Grant favorable unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                            Jun 9
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999
                      
Favorable               11%   19%    7%   10%   15%    8%   15%
                      
Unfavorable             23    15    30    23    28    18    19
                      
Mixed                   10    12     8    11    10     9    12
                      
Haven't heard                                             
enough                  56    55    55    55    46    64    54
                      
REFUSED                  1     -     1     1     -     1     1
                      


10. If the election for United States Senator in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were James Florio the Democrat, and Christine Whitman the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                            Jun 9
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999
                        
Florio                  35%    8%   66%   32%   34%   35%   38%
                        
Whitman                 52    82    22    54    54    51    50
                        
SOMEONE ELSE(VOL)        4     3     4     5     4     4     3
                        
WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL)       4     4     3     3     3     4     3
                        
DK/NA                    6     3     5     6     5     6     6




11. If the election for United States Senator in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were James Florio the Democrat, Christine Whitman the Republican, and Bob Grant the independent, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                        
Florio                  32%    7%   64%   27%   31%   33%
                        
Grant                   11    12     7    14    12     9
                        
Whitman                 46    74    18    46    47    45
                        
SOMEONE ELSE(VOL)        2     1     2     2     2     2
                        
WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL)       3     2     3     2     3     3
                        
DK/NA                    7     5     6     8     6     8




12. If the election for United States Senator in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Jon Corzine the Democrat, and Christine Whitman the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                        
Corzine                 22%    6%   42%   20%   22%   21%
                        
Whitman                 56    83    32    55    61    52
                        
SOMEONE ELSE(VOL)        2     1     4     2     2     3
                        
WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL)       6     4     6     6     5     7
                        
DK/NA                   14     6    17    16    11    17




13. If the election for United States Senator in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Jon Corzine the Democrat, Christine Whitman the Republican, and Bob Grant the independent, for whom would you vote?

                       Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
Corzine                17%    4%   38%   11%   18%   16%
                       
Grant                  11    13     6    14    11    11
                       
Whitman                52    76    29    52    56    49
                       
SOMEONE ELSE(VOL)       2     1     4     1     2     2
                       
WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4     1     5     5     4     4
                       
DK/NA                  15     5    18    17    10    18




34.(If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for United States Senator in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were James Florio and Jon Corzine, for whom would you vote?

                        Registered
                        Democrats
                        
Florio                  55%
                        
Corzine                 19
                        
SOMEONE ELSE(VOL)        1
                        
WON'T VOTE(VOL)          7 
                        
DK/NA                   19